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Elon Musk Thinks Tesla Will Become the World's Most Valuable Company. Here's Why Its Stock Could Plunge by 70% (or More) Instead.
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-05 08:22
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's true value may lie in its future product platforms, such as autonomous robotaxis and humanoid robots, rather than its current electric vehicle (EV) sales [1][10] Sales Performance - Tesla delivered 1.79 million EVs in 2024, marking a 1% decline from the previous year, which is the first annual drop since 2011 [5] - In Q1 2025, Tesla delivered 336,681 EVs, reflecting a 13% year-over-year decline [6] - For Q2 2025, Tesla delivered 384,122 EVs, also down 13% year-over-year, indicating a potential sharper annual decline in sales for 2025 compared to 2024 [6] Competitive Landscape - Tesla's sales in Europe fell by 40% in May, while the overall EV market in Europe grew by 26% [7] - Chinese EV brands have doubled their market share in Europe, presenting significant competition for Tesla [7] - Tesla's pricing strategy is challenged by competitors like BYD, which offers lower-priced models, making it difficult for Tesla to compete in key markets [8] Future Product Development - Tesla is focusing on its Cybercab robotaxi, which will operate on full self-driving software, avoiding a price war with competitors [9][10] - The goal is to have millions of Cybercabs generating revenue through passenger transport and small deliveries [10] Financial Implications - Tesla's total revenue shrank by 9% in Q1 2025, with earnings plummeting by 71% to $0.12 per share [13] - The stock is down approximately 34% from its peak, but the decline in earnings is more severe, leading to a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 173.4 [14] - Comparatively, major tech companies have an average P/E ratio of 35.4, indicating Tesla's stock may be overvalued [15] Market Outlook - If Tesla's FSD and Cybercab initiatives succeed, the current stock price may appear cheap in the long term, but regulatory hurdles remain [16] - Significant declines in stock value could occur if EV sales continue to drop or if the robotaxi business fails to gain traction [18]
Should You Buy Ford While It's Below $11?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-01 10:25
Company Overview - Ford is currently outperforming the broader market, with its stock up nearly 3% in 2025, despite a poor long-term track record [1] - The stock is trading below $11, raising questions about whether it is a good buying opportunity for long-term investors [2] Economic Moat - Ford lacks a significant economic moat, as evidenced by a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.6%, which is below the desirable threshold of over 20% [5] - The competitive landscape in the auto industry is fierce, with both domestic and foreign automakers competing for market share, further complicating Ford's position [6] Industry Context - The auto industry is mature, with Ford's total revenue in 2024 reaching $185 billion, only 28% higher than a decade ago [9] - The number of cars sold in the U.S. remains stagnant, with 17.8 million cars sold in April, the same as 25 years ago, indicating limited growth potential [9] Growth Opportunities - Ford's Pro segment, focused on commercial operations, showed a promising 15% sales growth in 2024, with an operating margin of 13.5% [10] Valuation - Ford's stock is considered cheap, trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.1, significantly lower than the overall market, and offering a dividend yield of 5.9% [11] - However, due to the capital-intensive and cyclical nature of its operations, Ford may not achieve a market-aligned multiple, and the dividend could be at risk during economic downturns [12]
Griffon Plunges 19.5% in Six Months: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-27 15:31
Griffon Corporation (GFF) shares have dropped 19.5% in the past six months, wider than the industry and the S&P 500’s decline of 6.1% and 3.2%, respectively. The company’s performance is also notably weaker than its peers, 3M Company (MMM) and Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) , which have gained 11.4% and lost 15.5%, respectively, over the same time frame.GFF’s Six-Month Price PerformanceImage Source: Zacks Investment ResearchClosing at $67.20 in the last trading session, the stock is trading much belo ...
Play These 5 Top-Ranked Stocks With Rising P/E
ZACKS· 2025-05-09 11:25
Core Viewpoint - Investors often prefer stocks with a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, believing that a lower P/E indicates higher stock value and potential for growth [1] Group 1: P/E Ratio Insights - Stocks with a rising P/E ratio can also yield strong returns, indicating that investors are willing to pay more for expected future earnings growth [2][3] - A rising P/E ratio suggests investor confidence in a company's fundamentals and anticipated positive performance [4] - Historical data shows that stocks can experience P/E ratio increases of over 100% from their breakout points, highlighting the potential for significant gains if stocks are selected early in their breakout cycle [5] Group 2: Stock Screening Criteria - The screening parameters for identifying stocks with increasing P/E include: - Current year EPS growth estimate should be greater than or equal to last year's actual growth [7] - Price changes over four weeks should exceed those over 12 weeks, and similarly for 12 weeks compared to 24 weeks, indicating consistent price increases [7][8] - Price change for 12 weeks should be at least 20% higher than for 24 weeks, but not exceed 100%, suggesting an impending uptrend [8] Group 3: Selected Stocks - The screening process narrowed down over 7,700 stocks to 83, with notable mentions including: - Comfort Systems USA (Zacks Rank 1) with an average four-quarter earnings surprise of 17.57% [9][10] - MasTec (Zacks Rank 2) with an average four-quarter earnings surprise of 26.03% [10] - Virgin Galactic (Zacks Rank 2) with an average four-quarter earnings surprise of 21.99% [11] - AeroVironment (Zacks Rank 2) with an average four-quarter earnings surprise of 18.40% [11] - Blackbaud (Zacks Rank 1) with an average four-quarter earnings surprise of 1.20% [12]
Buy Pfizer (PFE) Stock for a Rebound After Crushing Q1 EPS Expectations?
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 01:35
Core Insights - Pfizer (PFE) shares increased by 3% following the release of Q1 earnings that significantly exceeded expectations, although the stock has declined 10% year-to-date [1][6] - The company is trading near multi-year lows at approximately $20 per share, which may attract investors looking for a rebound [2][6] Q1 Results - Pfizer reported Q1 earnings of $0.92 per share, surpassing EPS expectations of $0.64 by 43% and up from $0.82 in the same quarter last year [3][4] - Q1 sales totaled $13.71 billion, falling short of estimates of $13.83 billion and down from $14.87 billion year-over-year [4] Full-Year Guidance - Pfizer reaffirmed its fiscal 2025 guidance, projecting revenues between $61 billion and $64 billion, with Zacks projections at $63.48 billion [7] - The company expects adjusted FY25 EPS to be in the range of $2.80 to $3.00, with the Zacks Consensus at $2.99 [7] Valuation Metrics - Pfizer's stock is trading at a price-to-forward earnings ratio of 7.7X, significantly lower than its decade-high of 20.1X and below the S&P 500's 21.3X [8] - The stock is also trading at a discount compared to the Zacks industry average of 16.4X [8] Dividend Information - Pfizer offers an annual dividend yield of 7.46%, which is substantially higher than the industry average of 2.51% and the benchmark's 1.33% [10] - The company has increased its dividend for 16 consecutive years, despite losing its dividend aristocrat status during the 2008 financial crisis [10] Market Sentiment - Following the Q1 report, Pfizer holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), with earnings estimate revisions for FY25 and FY26 trending upward [12] - The company's strong performance in exceeding EPS expectations and its cost-saving initiatives may enhance its valuation and attract long-term investors [13]
PepsiCo Trades Below 200-Day SMA: Buying Opportunity or Red Flag?
ZACKS· 2025-04-01 15:45
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) has encountered a notable resistance level, prompting caution among investors from a technical standpoint. PEP has been trading below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) for quite some time now, which suggests a bearish trend. Closing at $149.94, PEP remains below its 200-day SMAs of $159.46, indicating a possible sustained downward trend. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research PepsiCo has shown a lackluster performance, with its shares plummeting 12.5% over the past year against th ...