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Lennar Is Set to Report Earnings. Watch for Impact of Buyer Incentives.
Barrons· 2025-12-16 09:00
Core Insights - Margins are crucial for home-builder stocks as companies are providing incentives such as free upgrades to finalize sales [1] Group 1 - Home-builder companies are focusing on maintaining margins while offering incentives to attract buyers [1]
The Most Hated Bull Market In History Is Far From Over
Market Trends & Bull Market Drivers - The bull market is driven by higher corporate profits and higher profit margins [3][6] - S&P 500 third quarter earnings are expected to be up approximately 8%, but are currently tracking over 13% year-over-year [4] - Over 80% of companies have exceeded expectations [5] - Profit margins are currently at new cycle highs [5] - A global bull market is underway, with European financials reaching all-time highs [17] Investor Sentiment & Market Indicators - Despite the bull market, the Fear and Greed index indicates that investors are fearful [18] - The American Association of Individual Investors sentiment poll has shown more bears than bulls this year, a rare occurrence historically associated with down years [20] - The S&P 500 has traded within 3% of its all-time high for five consecutive months [31] - Historically, when the S&P 500 is up 10% year-to-date going into November, the last two months of the year tend to be positive [35][37] - S&P 500 companies with more than 50% of their revenue from overseas are experiencing better earnings, with earnings up 14% compared to the overall S&P 500 earnings increase of 131% [41][42] Fed Policy & Economic Factors - The market anticipates the Fed will likely cut rates in December [52] - Historically, when the Fed cuts rates within 3% of an all-time high, the S&P 500 is higher a year later 21 out of 21 times, with an average increase of 14% [53]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-07 12:40
Restaurants are responding to a stressed consumer by limiting price increases, but investors will demand higher profit margins before long, @conorsen says (via @opinion) https://t.co/mCjYk7pY2d ...
Profit Margins Aren't Just Higher in Tech. Call It a ‘Moneyball' Rally.
Barrons· 2025-10-28 19:10
Core Insights - The stock market is poised for movement as investors anticipate earnings reports from five major technology companies this week [1] Group 1 - Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming results from the five tech titans, indicating a significant focus on the technology sector [1]
How earnings and a potential US-China trade deal are driving markets
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-27 17:56
Corporate Earnings & Market Trends - S&P 500 companies' net profit margins are above their 5-year average for the sixth consecutive quarter, with analysts expecting this trend to continue into next year [1] - The earnings season has been solid, with financials showing strong numbers, particularly from money center banks, driven by trading and investment banking [3] - Industrials are pointing to solid AI infrastructure demand driving their numbers [3] - Tech earnings are expected to be a significant market driver this week [3] - Strong earnings growth is expected heading into next year, with double-digit earnings growth anticipated [12] Economic Factors & Federal Reserve - The market has high expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut rates [4] - A 25 basis points rate cut is largely priced in, with some possibility of the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) being announced [17] - Markets are starting to price in a third rate cut in January with slightly better than a coin flip probability [20] - Corporate commentary suggests the economic environment remains largely the same, with some caution on hiring but no mass layoffs [15] - The higher-end consumer is holding up well, while the lower-income consumer is struggling with the cumulative impacts of inflation [16] Geopolitical & Trade - Treasury Secretary is confident that they have a framework of a potential deal, which is enough for markets [9] - Removal of trade overhang allows markets to focus on earnings [11][12]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-23 11:10
Microsoft is asking the studios in its Xbox gaming division to produce profit margins that are well above the industry average, ratcheting up pressure on its video-game makers during a difficult time for the field at large https://t.co/l79rhAmusk ...
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-10-21 14:00
Learn about gross, operating, and net profit margins, how each is calculated, and how businesses and investors can use them to analyze a company’s profitability. https://t.co/me6LLLa0HI ...
Nvidia: It's Too Profitable, I'll Pass (NASDAQ:NVDA)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-17 17:54
Core Insights - High profit margins can create nervousness due to the potential for increased competition driving prices down, which may erode those margins [1] - Observing megatrends is essential for understanding societal advancements and identifying investment opportunities [1] - The importance of fundamentals, quality of leadership, and product pipeline is emphasized in investment analysis [1] Group 1: Economic Trends - Markets are subject to fluctuations, and understanding macrotrends and emerging technologies is crucial for investment insights [1] - Companies that adapt to evolving technologies and societal changes are likely to seize competitive advantages [1] Group 2: Investment Focus - Recent focus has been on marketing and business strategy for medium-sized companies and startups [1] - Experience includes evaluating startups and emerging industries, highlighting the importance of thorough analysis in investment decisions [1]
Greene: Small caps may finally be breaking out for good this time
CNBC Television· 2025-10-16 11:59
All right. So, what do you make of the action that we saw yesterday. I think I want to start off with the small caps hitting another record yesterday.What does that say about the market right now and the fact that investors are going into small caps, what we thought was a catch-up trade, uh, looking for, I guess, gains. What What do you think they're looking for there. >> I I think it's great.You're looking for something cheaper than the mega cap tech, right. You're looking for something that hasn't moved u ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-10-14 00:20
So far, American firms have absorbed most of the tariffs’ cost. Fat profit margins and inventories imported before the levies took effect have made a difference. But as these buffers diminish, prices will rise https://t.co/xYxHEkXwt2 ...