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买菜大妈一番话,道破楼市真相,众人坦言:多数人都没她清醒
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 16:15
然而,就在全民热衷于投资房产之际,一位买菜大妈的一番话,却如同一盆冷水,浇醒了不少沉迷于楼市神话的人。她说:"如果连我们这些老太太都知道 买房能赚钱,那说明这个市场已经到了需要找'接盘侠'的时候了。" 这番朴实却深刻的话语,让许多人幡然醒悟,感叹大妈比大多数人都看得更透彻。 首先,经过二十多年的上涨,国内房价已经明显进入了长期的调整周期。全国平均房价已经从去年上半年的每平方米1.1万元,下跌至今年六月底的9560 元。包括郑州、天津、石家庄、长春、济南、太原等在内的多个省会城市,房价均出现不同程度的下跌,部分城市甚至回到了三年前甚至五年前的水平。 长久以来,国人对房产的热衷可谓是家喻户晓。究其原因,不外乎两点:其一是投资属性。过去几十年房价只涨不跌的"赚钱效应",让投资房产成为了不少 人眼中稳赚不赔的生意。其二是房产所承载的多重功能,除了居住和投资,还与落户、子女教育乃至婚姻大事紧密相连。没有房子,年轻人可能难以步入婚 姻殿堂;没有房子,外来务工人员也难以在城市扎根落户。 那么,在当下这个时间节点选择购房,未来真的会成为"接盘侠"吗?我们的答案是肯定的。 正是这些因素,持续激发着人们的购房热情。数据显示,高达 ...
X @The Wall Street Journal
A $500 million shift in Chicago’s property tax burden to homeowners from downtown businesses is sparking outrage in many struggling neighborhoods https://t.co/vL6Tol4oBW ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-18 14:25
Two of the country's largest states are toying with property tax policies that would erode local autonomy and make towns more susceptible to authoritarian-leaning lawmakers, writes @MaryEllenKlas (via @opinion) https://t.co/UGd1TP54t4 ...
X @Nick Szabo
Nick Szabo· 2025-11-15 22:56
Taxation Policy & Economic Impact - The American right has been trained to oppose any and all taxes, but this is a terrible idea [1] - Taxes are necessary, and property tax distortions are less significant than alternatives like income tax [2] - Removing property taxes would lead to higher taxes on working young people and increased home prices, benefiting retirees [2] - Current policies disproportionately favor the elderly, necessitating policies that support the young [3] Housing Affordability & Generational Wealth - Young people are struggling to afford homes, leading to wealth accumulation among the old [2] - Property taxes may require some individuals to downsize when income decreases [3]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-24 15:28
An affluent school district in New Jersey is cutting staff and eyeing a property tax hike to address a nearly $20 million surprise budget hole uncovered this summer. https://t.co/unpio1COuJ ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-28 10:17
Switzerland voted to abolish a century-old system of taxing property, a move that will see lower dues for homeowners and potentially boost real estate prices https://t.co/bMBNv6Nskf ...
Deep Seek预测:到2030年,300万的房子还值多少钱?答案终于揭晓
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 10:21
Core Viewpoint - The domestic real estate market is experiencing a significant decline in prices, with an average drop exceeding 30% across the country, affecting both second and first-tier cities. Various government policies aimed at stabilizing the market have been implemented, including the relaxation of purchase restrictions and reductions in mortgage rates and down payment ratios [1][3]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Future Housing Prices - The number of first-time homebuyers is decreasing, primarily due to an aging population and a reluctance among younger generations to take on substantial mortgage debt, leading to a preference for renting over buying [4][6]. - Residents' income levels are insufficient to support current high housing prices, as many households have lowered their income growth expectations amid economic downturns, resulting in a more rational approach to home buying [8][10]. - The housing market is in a long-term state of oversupply, with 6 billion existing homes capable of accommodating 30 billion people, and 96% of families already owning at least one home, indicating a significant surplus [10][12]. Group 2: Impending Taxation and Market Predictions - The introduction of property taxes is anticipated, with plans to expand pilot programs in cities like Shanghai and Chongqing, which will increase the holding costs for families with multiple properties, potentially leading to a surge in property sales and further downward pressure on prices [12]. - Predictions suggest that housing prices will vary by city, with areas currently experiencing significant price bubbles expected to see larger declines. It is advised that first-time buyers take advantage of current favorable policies, while those looking for investment properties should consider waiting, as prices may drop by 30% to 50% over the next five years [12].
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-09-19 07:11
Policy Adjustment - Shanghai's new housing policy adjusts property tax for non-local residents, offering exemptions to high-level talents, key industry personnel with Shanghai residence permits, and those with 3+ years of residence, for their first home purchase [1] - The policy extends tax benefits, previously exclusive to Shanghai residents with multiple properties (up to 60 square meters per person), to eligible non-local families [1] - New homes purchased within Shanghai, considered the family's first home, are temporarily exempt from property tax [2] - For new homes purchased as the family's second or subsequent property, if the combined family housing area does not exceed 60 square meters per person (including the 60 square meter tax-exempt area), the new home is temporarily exempt from property tax [2]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-17 04:17
A proposal to abolish a century-old property tax in Switzerland is losing support among voters ahead of a ballot in less than two weeks on overhauling housing levies https://t.co/4kAoXB8TlL ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-16 15:12
Budget Deficit - Chicago faces a $115 billion (1150 million) deficit [1] Proposed Solutions - Potential measures to address the deficit include furloughs, hiring freezes, and fee hikes [1] - An inflation-linked property tax increase is also being considered [1]