REITs超跌修复
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国泰海通|固收:分化加剧,博弈修复——公募REITs三季度报点评
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-11-06 12:05
Core Insights - The infrastructure REITs sector showed significant divergence in Q3 2025, with structural opportunities emerging for quality assets supported by oversold recovery and institutional allocation demand [1][2] Group 1: Sector Performance - The affordable housing sector demonstrated the most robust performance, benefiting from stable rental rates and occupancy, with most projects achieving positive revenue growth [1] - The municipal environmental protection sector also performed well, with overall revenue indicators showing year-on-year increases and a simultaneous rise in both volume and price [1] - In contrast, the industrial park sector continued to decline, facing significant challenges due to supply-demand imbalances, with most projects experiencing revenue pressure [1] - The warehousing sector faced marginal pressure, with market-driven projects impacted by increased competition from new entrants [1] - The energy sector's Q3 operational data was disappointing, with only 1 out of 6 comparable projects achieving positive year-on-year revenue growth, influenced by regional natural resource changes and electricity market reforms [1] Group 2: Market Trends - Following the disclosure of Q3 REIT reports, the divergence in operating performance across different REIT sectors was reflected in the secondary market, with significant declines in industrial park and warehousing sector stock prices [2] - The REITs total return index briefly returned to the 1030-point level, indicating market volatility [2] - Future focus should remain on quality assets supported by oversold recovery and institutional allocation demand, while weaker projects may face further declines [2] - Attention is needed on the pace of market recovery to prevent oversold recovery from turning into an overshoot, with a cautious approach to trading and timely portfolio optimization recommended [2]