Core Viewpoint - The value of life insurance licenses has significantly declined, while the value of property insurance companies has increasingly been recognized by the industry and outside investors [1][5]. Group 1: Life Insurance Sector - In September, Minsheng Life Insurance's 705,000 shares were auctioned with a starting price of 12.7795 million yuan, which is 70% lower than the assessed value of 18.2564 million yuan, but the auction received no bids [2]. - Minsheng Life Insurance reported an insurance business income of 12.887 billion yuan and a net profit of 607 million yuan for 2024, with total assets of 140.056 billion yuan and a risk rating of BBB [3]. - The life insurance industry is facing challenges due to a decline in new premium growth and the pressure of rigid claims payments, leading to cash flow issues for companies [5][6]. Group 2: Property Insurance Sector - The approval of the share transfer for Anhua Agricultural Insurance to Rongjie Investment Holding Group, which now holds 32.719% of the company, indicates a growing recognition of property insurance value [2][9]. - The business model of property insurance is characterized by high certainty, with clear metrics for premium income and claims, making it easier to evaluate compared to life insurance [8]. - The market for property insurance is dominated by major players like PICC, Ping An, and Taikang, making it difficult for smaller companies to achieve significant breakthroughs [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of the "Active Selection" strategy compared to the CSI 300 index and other equity fund indices, highlighting its ability to generate excess returns in most years since its inception, particularly noting a recovery in 2025 after underperforming in 2024 [1][2][36]. Performance Summary - As of June 30, 2025, the Active Selection strategy achieved a 5.46% excess return compared to the CSI 300 index [1]. - The performance of the Active Selection strategy since its inception shows that it outperformed the CSI 300 and the equity fund index in most years, particularly excelling during the bull market from 2020 to 2021 [4][8]. - Yearly performance data indicates that in 2020, the Active Selection strategy rose by 65.78%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 24.49% and the equity fund index by 5.61% [7][4]. 2024 Underperformance Analysis - In 2024, the Active Selection strategy increased by 6.56%, but underperformed the CSI 300, which rose by 14.68%, resulting in an 8.12% shortfall [11][12]. - The underperformance in 2024 is attributed to market style shifts, particularly a surge in small-cap and loss-making stocks, which the Active Selection strategy does not engage with [14][23]. Investment Strategy Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of investing in companies with strong profitability, as measured by Return on Equity (ROE), and categorizes companies into three groups based on their ROE [15][18]. - The strategy focuses on high-quality stocks, avoiding speculative investments in loss-making companies, which led to its relative underperformance during periods of "speculative trading" in 2024 [23][34]. - Long-term investment in high-performing stocks is advocated, aligning with the principle that stock prices ultimately reflect the underlying company's value over time [37][38].

2024 年公司人身险（寿险和健康险）NBV 可比口径下同比增长127%，其中代理人/银保渠道分别同比 +86%/223%。2024 年新单保费小幅下滑1%，NBV 增长由利润率提升驱动。2024 年预定利率再次下 调、"报行合一"挤压渠道费用，带动假设调整前的NBV 利润率（新单保费基准）改善至18%（前值 8%）。合同服务边际CSM/EV 分别同比大幅提升22%/21%，增长强劲。公司下调长期投资收益率至 4.0%（前值：分红万能4.75%/传统险4.5%），下调贴现率至8.5%（前值：9%），假设调整导致NBV 下 降约22%。考虑到公司NBV 利润率有望提升，我们预计公司2025 年NBV 增长17%。 财产险：综合成本率上升 公司公布2024 年业绩：2024 EPS RMB0.95 同比提升90%，主要因投资业绩高增，符合公司此前业绩预 告（同比增长75%-95%）。公司人身险NBV可比口径下同比提升127%，增长强劲。财险业务综合成本 率同比上升1pct至98.8%，主要受自然灾害因素影响。24 年人身险利润贡献增长至40%（23年6%），预 计25 年仍处于较高水平并对利润形成支撑，上调A 股 ...