Core Insights - Financial Serenity focuses on the asset management sector, providing in-depth analysis of market dynamics [1] - The initiative is managed by Tommaso Scarpellini, who has extensive experience in financial research and analytics [1] - The goal is to deliver data-driven perspectives to assist investors in making informed decisions in a changing market [1] Industry Summary - The asset management market is characterized by evolving dynamics that require rigorous data analysis and actionable insights [1] - The column combines insights from data analysis with opinions and ratings on ETFs and other trending instruments [1]

Labor Market & Economic Outlook - US labor market shows warning signs with payrolls tumbling and unemployment rate rising, indicating a deceleration in job gains [1][2] - Concerns mount over a complicated mix for the Federal Reserve to deal with, leading to expectations of potential rate cuts in September and December [2][3] - Slowing services wages suggest a potential slowdown in consumption and the overall economy, justifying lower interest rates even without a formal recession [19] - The economy is structurally sound, but current policy may be suboptimal, with rates disproportionately hurting lower-income households as housing and labor markets slow [9][10] Interest Rate & Monetary Policy - Fed rate cut bets for September have reached nearly 90%, a significant increase from 45% prior to jobs data, with two rate cuts priced in for the year [6] - The Cleveland Fed President acknowledges a tricky time for monetary policy makers due to conflicting mandates, requiring careful data analysis and business conversations [7][8] - The market anticipates bull steepening as the economy slows and the Fed cuts rates, potentially spurring inflation or growth, leading to a V-shaped recovery [12] - Neutral rate is difficult to determine, potentially higher than expected due to shifts in household and business debt structures, allowing for higher interest rates with a robust economy [17][18] Bond Market & Credit Issuance - US high-grade weekly volume reached $12 million, driven by foreign bank sales, while July volume was $81 billion, the lightest month for supply this year [29] - US high-yield July volumes exceeded $35 billion, marking the second busiest month since September 2021 and the busiest since at least 2006 [30] - Leveraged loan launches in July set a record, reaching over $222 billion, the fourth time in 14 months an all-time record has been broken [30] - Private sector holds $225 trillion in cash, exceeding marketable Treasury debt, with only $29 trillion in high-quality bonds, creating a transcendent influence on the market [26][27]

Injective Protocol (INJ) 2025 Vision - Injective 协议计划在 2025 年实现真实资产和真实收益的结合 [1] - 该协议计划引入代币化的苹果和亚马逊股票 [1] - Injective 协议将提供 SBET，一种包含质押 ETH 和国债的资产 [1] - 该协议还将提供外汇交易等服务 [1]

Injective Protocol (INJ) 2025 Vision - Injective 协议计划在 2025 年实现真实资产和真实收益的结合 [1] - 该协议计划引入代币化的苹果和亚马逊股票 [1] - 计划推出 SBET，一种包含质押 ETH 和国债的资产 [1] - 计划提供外汇交易等服务 [1]

Product Development - Pendle shipped 20+ on-chain agents, point-to-point swaps, and cross-chain expansion [1] Market Perception - The market keeps focusing on Pendle's APY [1] Industry Perspective - The real yield game is about programmatic access, not just rates [1]

solana q3 snapshot:• $418m in tokenized assets (+140% ytd) while tradfi bridges multiply. proshares etf, kamino stocks integration, slash fiat ramps all live• corporate treasuries loading: $700m+ fresh capital deployed in 48h• 4 new infra projects funded. tvl crossed $9.4bserious capital gravitating to real yield ...

Market Position - Pendle is gaining significant market share [1] Financial Performance - 71% APY (Annual Percentage Yield) on sUSP demonstrates the potential of real yield [1] - Weekly revenue reaches $85,000, indicating strong performance [1]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific securities Core Insights - Breakeven rates have increased, with 5-year breakevens rising by 5.4 basis points, 10-year breakevens by 5.5 basis points, and 30-year breakevens by 5 basis points for the week [1] - Real yields have also increased, with 5-year real yields up by 14.9 basis points, 10-year real yields by 9.8 basis points, and 30-year real yields by 5.3 basis points [1] Summary by Sections Breakeven and Real Yield Changes - Breakeven rates for various maturities have shown upward movement, indicating market expectations of inflation are rising [1] - Real yields have also increased, suggesting a shift in investor sentiment regarding future interest rates and inflation [1] Open and Closed Trades - The report details several open trades, including a long position in 10-year TIPS and a short position in 3-month to 10-year receivers, which started on January 5, 2024, with a current level of 2.05% and a loss of $549,000 [4] - Closed trades include a profitable position in the 3-year to 10-year inflation spread, which yielded a profit of $1,040,000 [4] Inflation Calendar - Important upcoming inflation data releases include the US CPI on June 11, 2025, and PPI on May 15, 2025, which are critical for assessing inflation trends [6] TIPS Relative Value - The report provides a detailed analysis of TIPS relative value, showing various maturities and their respective real yields, with some bonds identified as rich or cheap based on market adjustments [8][9] Current Market Levels - The report includes current market levels for TIPS, indicating real yields across different maturities, with the 10-year real yield at 2.00% [11]