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Downgrading Newmont On Wall Street Bear Market And Recession Risks
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-26 16:58
Core Insights - The article highlights the investment strategies and achievements of Paul Franke, a seasoned investor with 39 years of trading experience, emphasizing his contrarian stock selection style and the development of a system called "Victory Formation" for identifying stocks based on supply/demand imbalances [1] Group 1: Investment Strategies - Paul Franke suggests using 10% or 20% stop-loss levels on individual stock choices to manage risk effectively [1] - A diversified approach is recommended, advocating for ownership of at least 50 well-positioned stocks to achieve consistent outperformance in the stock market [1] - The "Bottom Fishing Club" articles focus on identifying deep value candidates or stocks that are experiencing significant upward technical momentum reversals [1] Group 2: Analytical Approach - Franke employs daily algorithm analysis of both fundamental and technical data as part of his investment strategy [1] - The "Volume Breakout Report" articles discuss positive trend changes that are supported by strong price and volume trading actions [1]
J.P. Morgan’s Meera Pandit: Budget bill would be short-term positive, but deficit question remains
CNBC Television· 2025-07-01 14:57
International Markets - US stocks still have a home bias, but international markets offer catalysts beyond just a weaker dollar [1] - Europe benefits from lower rates and fiscal stimulus, China from AI, and Japan from corporate reform [2] - Emerging markets, including Korea, Taiwan, and Latin America, benefit from the resurgence in hardware within tech and the reorganization of global trade [2][3] - International opportunities are not all dependent on each other, providing diversification [3] US Market & Fiscal Policy - The market has largely priced in the "big beautiful bill," with short-term positive impacts on equity markets due to growth boosts [4][5] - The long-term impact of the bill includes a potentially ever-expanding deficit, estimated to be in the trillions, which could create a floor on yields [5][6] - The market seems to have gotten comfortable with tariffs around 14% or 15%, after a previous range of 2% to 25% [8] Market Resilience & Outlook - The market has shown resilience to geopolitical risks, the reconciliation bill, and recession risks [9][10] - The path of least resistance for the market is higher, given its resilience to various downside risks [10] - The market could become more rangebound in the second half of the year due to higher valuations [12][13] - Diversified portfolios are up 6% to 7% in the first half of the year [14] Bond Market & Yields - Resistance has been met around 45% on the 10-year Treasury yield [15] - Yields could drift lower throughout the year, potentially providing opportunities for investors [16] - Even if yields remain stable, the income cushion will generate a decent return further out on the curve [16]