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Vistra Stock Could Chart Path Back to Record Highs
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-08-18 19:37
Core Insights - Vistra Corp (NYSE:VST) stock has increased by 0.6% to $198.53, approaching its all-time high of $216.85 from August 5, indicating a potential recovery from a three-day losing streak [1] - The stock is currently supported by the $190 region, and a historically bullish signal suggests that shares may extend their 150.4% gain [1] Technical Analysis - According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst, the recent pullback has brought Vistra stock within one standard deviation of its 50-day moving average, with the stock being above this trendline in 8 of the last 10 trading days and spending 80% of the past two months above it [2] - Historical data shows that similar signals over the last three years resulted in a 75% success rate for the stock being higher one month later, averaging an 8% gain, which could push shares back above $213 [3] Options Market Sentiment - At the International Securities Exchange, Cboe Options Exchange, and NASDAQ OMX PHLX, Vistra's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 1.17 is the highest in the past year, indicating potential for a reversal of pessimism [7] - The current options are considered affordable, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 49%, placing it in the 10th percentile of readings from the past year, suggesting it may be a favorable time to invest in VST [7]
Signal: This Semiconductor Stock Has Room To Run
Forbes· 2025-06-13 15:05
Core Viewpoint - Broadcom (AVGO) has experienced significant stock movement, reaching a market cap of $1 trillion and a record high of $265.43, but faced a 5% drop following a revenue forecast that fell short of estimates. The stock has since rebounded and is showing historically bullish signals [1][2]. Stock Performance - The stock's recent peak coincides with historically low implied volatility (IV), which has previously indicated bullish trends for the equity. Currently, AVGO's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is at 32%, placing it in the bottom percentile of its 12-month range [2]. - Historical data indicates that Broadcom stock has risen 75% of the time one month after trading within 2% of its 52-week high, averaging a 3% return during that period. A similar increase from the current level would position AVGO at approximately $264 [3]. Support Levels - The $250 level is identified as a potential support area, having previously served as a peak in December and January. Additionally, the ascending 20-day moving average may provide short-term support, as it has not been breached on a closing basis since April [4]. Options Activity - There has been a notable increase in the popularity of puts in the options market, with Broadcom's 50-day put/call volume ratio at 0.59, ranking higher than 91% of readings from the past year. This suggests a rising trend in put activity, despite calls still outnumbering puts [5]. - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) for AVGO is high at 84 out of 100, indicating that the stock has historically exceeded volatility expectations, which is favorable for options buyers [6].
Can This Chip Stock Topple Technical Resistance?
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-03-26 17:01
Group 1 - The current Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for Broadcom (AVGO) is 41%, indicating low option premiums, which presents a favorable opportunity for buyers [1] - Historically, after similar trading conditions occurred six times in the past three years, AVGO stock was higher a month later 50% of the time, with an average gain of 10%, suggesting a potential price target just above $199 [1] - AVGO is currently trading within one standard deviation of its 200-day moving average, a condition that has historically led to gains [2] Group 2 - AVGO shares have decreased by 3.9% recently, marking a third consecutive daily drop, and have dropped 21.5% so far in 2025, although they still show a year-over-year increase of 36.6% [3] - A historically bullish signal is indicating that AVGO could soon experience a rally, suggesting a potential rebound from a bullish trendline [3]
Netflix Stock Could Bounce Off Bullish Trendline
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-02-26 17:11
Core Insights - Netflix Inc's shares have experienced a pullback after reaching a record high of $1,064.50 on February 14, but are currently trading at $998.53, showing a 2.3% increase and approaching a bullish trendline [1] - The stock has spent 80% of the past two months above its 50-day moving average, with a historical trend indicating a 67% chance of a one-month gain averaging 5.8% when this signal is triggered [2] - Year-to-date, Netflix's stock has a 12.2% lead and a 66.3% gain over the past 12 months, marking a consistent upward trend since August [3] Market Sentiment - There has been an increase in bearish bets, with a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1, ranking in the 88th percentile of its annual range, indicating a strong preference for puts among traders [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for Netflix is at 31%, placing it in the 16th percentile of its annual range, suggesting low volatility expectations which may benefit premium buyers [5]