Simple Moving Average (SMA)
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Coca-Cola Trades Below 200-Day SMA: Opportunity or Warning Sign?
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 18:26
Key Takeaways KO fell below its 200-day SMA on Jan. 5, reinforcing a shift toward bearish technical momentum.Coca-Cola faces fragile volumes, with the Asia Pacific declines, and flat North America and Latin America.KO sees tougher volume comparisons ahead and easing pricing power as inflation moderates.Shares of The Coca-Cola Company (KO) have trended lower in recent months, slipping below key industry benchmarks and signaling weakening technical momentum. The bearish tone intensified on Jan. 5, 2026, when ...
NMIH Outperforms Industry, Trades Near 52-Week High: Time to Hold?
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 15:50
Key Takeaways NMIH is poised to capitalize on growth in the mortgage insurance sector. A robust reinsurance strategy helps NMIH manage credit volatility and access efficient growth capital. Earnings growth is supported by increased production of both monthly and single premium policies. Shares of NMI Holdings Inc. (NMIH) have gained 15.1% in the past year, outperforming the industry’s growth of 7.8%.NMIH has outperformed its peers, American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) and Cincinnati Financial Corporation (C ...
AXS Stock Moves Above 50 & 200-Day SMA: Buy, Sell or Stay Invested?
ZACKS· 2026-01-02 17:40
Core Insights - Shares of Axis Capital Holdings (AXS) are showing bullish momentum, trading above both the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) [1][8] - The stock has gained 20.5% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 11% [3][8] - Analysts have set a Zacks average price target of $118.18 per share, indicating an 8.7% potential upside from the last closing price [3] Company Performance - AXS is currently trading at a price-to-book multiple of 1.42, which is lower than the industry average of 1.52 but above the median of 1.37, suggesting it is undervalued compared to its peers [10] - The company has a trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) of 19%, significantly higher than the industry average of 8.1% [17] - AXS has maintained a strong dividend growth record, with 18 consecutive annual increases and a current yield of 2.3%, well above the industry average of 0.2% [16] Strategic Focus - AXS specializes in higher-value, less commoditized insurance products, targeting markets with higher margins and lower competitive intensity [13] - The company has expanded its underwriting capabilities and repositioned its portfolio over the past three years, resulting in improved performance and reduced volatility [14] - Strong client and distribution relationships are central to AXS's business model, enabling effective risk management and high service standards [15] Market Position - AXS is well-positioned in the specialty insurance market, with growth opportunities in segments such as marine cargo, cyber, and renewable energy, expected to deliver attractive double-digit returns on equity [13] - The company has a solid capital position and continues to enhance shareholder value through consistent dividend growth and share repurchases [16] Analyst Sentiment - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 revenues indicates a 5.1% year-over-year increase, but earnings are expected to decline by 0.1% [19] - Analyst sentiment remains muted, with no movement in the consensus estimate for 2026 earnings over the last 30 days [19]
SLF Stock Near 52-Week High: Time to Hold Despite Expensive Valuation?
ZACKS· 2025-12-23 16:40
Key Takeaways SLF expands across Asia, with markets like China and India lifting the region's share of earnings to 21%. SLF is shifting growth toward voluntary benefits and capital-light products for predictable earnings. SLF is strengthening asset management and using its strong capital position to fund dividends and buybacks. Sun Life Financial Inc. (SLF) closed at $62.15 on Monday, near its 52-week high of $66.81. This proximity underscores investor confidence. It has the ingredients for further price ap ...
Mission Produce Slips Below 200-Day SMA: Growth Ahead or Caution?
ZACKS· 2025-11-21 16:51
Core Insights - Mission Produce Inc. (AVO) shares have experienced a decline in momentum following the release of its fiscal third-quarter 2025 results, with a 10.1% drop over the past three months, underperforming key industry benchmarks [1][7][10] - The stock has fallen below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and 50-day SMA, indicating a shift from long-term bullish to bearish sentiment among investors [2][3][10] - AVO's current stock price of $11.51 is 20.4% above its 52-week low of $9.56 and 24.5% below its 52-week high of $15.25, reflecting significant volatility [11] Performance Comparison - AVO's decline of 10.1% over the past three months contrasts with the Zacks Agriculture – Operations industry's decline of 14.8%, the Consumer Staples sector's decline of 8.1%, and the S&P 500's increase of 3.9% [7] - Compared to competitors, AVO's performance is weaker than Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) and Dole Plc (DOLE), which declined by 8% and 8.4%, respectively, but better than Corteva Inc. (CTVA), which fell by 12.3% [8] Operational Challenges - AVO faces margin normalization in its core distribution business, with previously elevated per-unit profitability now seen as unsustainable, leading to cooled investor sentiment despite rising volumes [12][13] - The company is dealing with volatile pricing environments influenced by weather, crop cycles, and sourcing shifts, which compress profitability even during strong harvests [14] - Rising operating complexity and costs, including higher employee-related expenses and region-specific obligations, are impacting operating leverage and profit expansion [15][16] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVO's fiscal 2025 sales indicates a year-over-year growth of 12.1%, while EPS is expected to fall by 9.5%. For fiscal 2026, sales and earnings estimates suggest declines of 9.7% and 28.4%, respectively [17] Valuation Insights - AVO is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E multiple of 28.78X, which is significantly higher than the industry average of 22.89X, indicating a premium valuation [20][22] - This premium suggests that investors have high expectations for AVO's future performance, but it also highlights the risks associated with its ability to execute its strategy effectively [23] Market Sentiment - Despite solid operational performance, the market is signaling caution due to the stock's recent decline and bearish trading patterns, reflecting a focus on short-term concerns over operational progress [24][25] - AVO's situation presents a mix of optimism regarding its core business and skepticism due to technical softness and a high valuation, leading to a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [26]
PepsiCo Slips Below 50-Day SMA: Bargain Opportunity or Red Flag?
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 19:11
Core Insights - PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) shares have experienced a decline following the release of its third-quarter 2025 results, indicating a shift in investor sentiment from bullish to bearish [2][3] - The stock closed at $143.60 on November 3, 2025, falling below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $145.5, which is a technical indicator of weakness [2][10] - Despite the recent downturn, PepsiCo's stock remains above its 200-day SMA, suggesting a more favorable long-term outlook [4] Performance Comparison - Over the past month, PepsiCo's stock has declined by 4.2%, contrasting with a 3% growth in the Zacks Beverages – Soft Drinks industry [6] - The stock has underperformed compared to the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector, which saw a decline of 0.5%, and the S&P 500, which increased by 1.6% [6] - Competitors such as The Coca-Cola Company (KO) and Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) have seen stock increases of 5.6% and 4.3%, respectively, during the same period [7] Financial Performance - PepsiCo reported a 3% revenue growth in Q3 2025, despite facing cost pressures that impacted profitability [10][12] - The company is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 16.79X, which is below the industry average of 17.8X and the S&P 500's average of 23.3X [22][23] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PepsiCo's 2025 sales suggests a year-over-year growth of 1.8%, while EPS is expected to decline by 0.6% [17] Strategic Initiatives - To address operational challenges, PepsiCo is implementing cost-cutting measures, streamlining product offerings, and optimizing its price-pack architecture [14][20] - The company has maintained strong international performance, achieving 18 consecutive quarters of mid-single-digit organic growth [15] - Recent acquisitions and partnerships are aimed at enhancing PepsiCo's presence in functional beverages and healthier snack segments [20][21] Market Outlook - Analysts have revised earnings estimates upward for 2025 and 2026, indicating growing confidence in PepsiCo's growth potential [16] - The company's fundamentals remain robust, with a focus on innovation and structural efficiency to drive long-term growth [21] - Despite short-term headwinds, PepsiCo is positioned for gradual improvement in margins and profitability, making it an attractive opportunity for investors [26][27]
lululemon Dips Below 50-Day SMA: Buy Now or Stay on the Sidelines?
ZACKS· 2025-10-31 17:51
Core Insights - lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) shares have experienced a significant decline, losing 56.1% year-to-date, underperforming both the Zacks Textile – Apparel industry and the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector [6][7][24] - The stock has fallen below its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA), indicating a bearish sentiment and a long-term downward trend [1][9][24] - The company has cut its fiscal year 2025 guidance due to sluggish U.S. demand and increased tariff-related costs, leading to a cautious outlook from analysts [9][14][25] Performance Metrics - LULU's stock closed at $170.30 on October 29, 2025, below the 50-day SMA of $178.55 [1] - The stock is currently trading 1.1% above its 52-week low of $159.25 and 60.3% below its 52-week high of $423.32 [10] - The company anticipates net revenues of $10.85-$11 billion for fiscal 2025, reflecting a 2-4% year-over-year growth [14] Competitive Landscape - LULU's performance is notably weaker than its competitor NIKE Inc., which has declined 14.3% year-to-date, and other competitors like Gildan Activewear and Ralph Lauren, which have seen growth of 25.1% and 39.8%, respectively [7][24] - The current forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple for LULU is 12.92X, lower than the industry average of 16.13X and the S&P 500's average of 24.03X, indicating a relatively cheap valuation [20][21] Financial Outlook - Analysts have revised down earnings estimates for LULU, reflecting skepticism about the company's near-term growth potential [18] - For fiscal 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate suggests a revenue growth of 3.7% year-over-year, while EPS is expected to decline by 11.8% [19] - Management expects a decline in operating margin by 390 basis points for fiscal 2025 due to tariff pressures and markdowns [13] Strategic Initiatives - The company is undergoing a reset phase, aiming to rebalance its merchandise mix and accelerate innovation, with plans to increase the share of new styles from 23% to 35% by spring 2026 [16] - Despite strong international performance, particularly in China, the execution gap in the U.S. market and margin pressures are contributing to the stock's decline [16][24]
Bitcoin Hits Most Oversold Level Against Gold in 3 Years as BTC Risks Falling Below $100K
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-17 10:26
Core Insights - Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a decline in price, with bulls hoping for a rotation of investment from gold to BTC as the latter appears oversold against gold [1][2] - The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) for BTC has dropped to 22.20, indicating oversold conditions, which may suggest that BTC is undervalued relative to gold [2] - Despite the oversold RSI reading, a bullish reversal for BTC is not guaranteed without confirmation from other technical indicators [3] Technical Analysis - The BTC/gold ratio is in a downtrend, characterized by a death cross of the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA), indicating seller dominance [4] - BTC's dollar-denominated price is expected to test the lower end of an expanding channel, currently below $100,000, with the 14-day RSI not yet in oversold territory [5] - The 200-day SMA is a critical level for BTC, with current prices below this average suggesting potential further selling pressure [6]
BMY Slips Below 50-Day SMA: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 15:06
Core Insights - Bristol Myers (BMY) shares have been losing momentum in 2025, with a 4.7% decline in a month compared to a 4.8% gain in the industry, closing at $45.11 on October 2, 2025, below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $45.84 [1][2][7] Stock Performance - The stock reached a 52-week high of $63.33 on March 11 but has since been on a downward trend, hitting a 52-week low of $42.96 on July 31, 2025 [2] - Over the past six months, BMY shares have decreased by 10.5%, while the industry has gained 17% [3] Financial Outlook - The outlook for 2025 has disappointed investors, with a cut in EPS guidance to $6.35-$6.65 from a previous $6.70-$7 due to unfavorable impacts from the BNTX deal [4][16] - Revenues from BMY's legacy portfolio fell by 17% in the first half of 2025, with expectations of a decline of approximately 15% to 17% for the full year [8][9] Drug Portfolio Performance - BMY's growth portfolio includes drugs like Opdivo and Reblozyl, which have shown strong performance, with Opdivo sales expected to grow in the mid to high-single-digit range [10][11] - Reblozyl has generated over $1 billion in global sales year-to-date, while Breyanzi sales increased by 134% to $607 million in the first half [12] Debt and Valuation - As of June 30, 2025, BMY had cash and equivalents of $12.6 billion and long-term debt of $44.5 billion, raising concerns about its high debt ratio [14] - BMY is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 7.12X forward earnings, lower than its historical mean of 8.45X and the large-cap pharma industry's 15.70X [17] Market Sentiment - The recent slip below the 50-day SMA indicates bearish sentiment, although BMY is considered a safe haven for long-term investors in the biotech sector [21] - The company's attractive dividend yield of 5.64% is a reason for existing investors to remain invested [21]
American Financial Trades Above 200-Day SMA: Time to Hold AFG Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 15:15
Core Insights - American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) is currently trading above its 200-day simple moving average, indicating a short-term bullish trend, with a share price of $139.32, down 7.2% from its 52-week high of $150.19 [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $11.61 billion and has seen a 2% increase in share price over the past year, underperforming the industry average return of 6.4% [2] Valuation and Performance - AFG's forward 12-month price-to-book ratio stands at 2.58X, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.55X, indicating an expensive valuation [3] - The company has maintained a combined ratio that has outperformed the industry average for over 20 years, with a target of 92.5% for 2025 [6] - AFG has achieved 18 consecutive years of dividend increases, with a 10-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.4% [6][14] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a 22% increase in earnings per share and a 10.7% increase in revenues for 2026 compared to 2025 estimates [8] - AFG's return on equity (ROE) has improved, currently at 17.4%, compared to the industry average of 7.6% [9] Strategic Positioning - The company is well-positioned for growth due to new business opportunities, a favorable renewal rate environment, and additional crop premiums from its acquisition of Crop Risk Services [10] - AFG has reported 35 consecutive quarters of renewal rate increases, indicating strong pricing power in the property and casualty (P&C) market [11] Financial Stability - AFG's financial stability is reflected in its consistent dividend payments and robust operating profitability in the P&C segment [13] - The dividend yield of 2.3% is notably higher than the industry average of 0.2% [14] Conclusion - Despite an expensive valuation and some bearish sentiment from analysts, AFG is expected to benefit from strategic acquisitions and improved underwriting profits, making it a stock worth holding [16]