Workflow
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
icon
Search documents
NIKE Stock Breaks Below 50-Day SMA: Buying Sign or Time to Exit?
ZACKS· 2026-02-10 17:15
Core Viewpoint - NIKE Inc. (NKE) has experienced a decline in stock performance, falling below key moving averages, indicating bearish sentiment and a lack of investor confidence [1][2][23]. Stock Performance - NKE shares have dropped 15.6% over the past six months, underperforming the Zacks Shoes and Retail Apparel industry's decline of 12.8% and the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector's 6.9% decline [6]. - The stock closed at $62.41 on February 9, 2026, which is 19.4% above its 52-week low of $52.28 and 24.3% below its 52-week high of $82.44 [10]. Technical Analysis - The stock has fallen below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $63.89 and its 200-day SMA, indicating a shift from short-term bullish to bearish sentiment [1][2][9]. - A drop below these moving averages typically signals weakness and reflects fading investor confidence [2]. Competitive Landscape - NKE's performance is notably weaker than competitors such as Carter's Inc. (CRI) and Steven Madden (SHOO), which have seen stock increases of 56% and 48.5%, respectively, in the same timeframe [7]. - NKE also lagged behind adidas AG (ADDYY), which experienced a decline of only 3.8% [7]. Margin and Revenue Challenges - NIKE faces significant margin pressure due to $1.5 billion in annualized product costs linked to higher U.S. tariffs, which is expected to impact fiscal 2026 margins by 320 basis points [12]. - Greater China revenues fell by 16%, with EBIT dropping nearly 50%, highlighting geographic weaknesses and challenges in brand premiumization [13]. Future Outlook - NIKE has guided for low-single-digit revenue declines in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, along with another quarter of margin contraction, indicating a bleak near-term outlook [15]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 EPS remains unchanged, while the estimate for fiscal 2027 EPS has decreased by 1.2% [16]. Valuation Concerns - NIKE's forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 28.94X, which is higher than the industry average of 26.45X and the S&P 500's average of 22.98X, raising concerns about the stock's valuation [19][20]. - Compared to peers like Carter's, Steven Madden, and adidas, which have lower P/E ratios, NIKE's valuation appears misaligned with its growth trajectory [20].
Coca-Cola Trades Below 200-Day SMA: Opportunity or Warning Sign?
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 18:26
Core Viewpoint - The Coca-Cola Company (KO) has experienced a decline in its stock price, falling below key technical indicators, which indicates weakening momentum and investor confidence [1][2][20]. Stock Performance - KO shares have decreased by 3.4% over the past six months, underperforming the Zacks Beverages – Soft Drinks industry, which declined by 1.3%, and the S&P 500, which increased by 13.8% during the same period [6]. - The stock is currently trading at $67.84, which is 11.7% above its 52-week low of $60.71 and 8.8% below its 52-week high of $74.38 [10]. Technical Indicators - The stock fell below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on January 5, 2026, closing at $67.94, which is below the 200-day SMA of $68.99, indicating bearish momentum [1][9]. - KO also fell below its 50-day SMA on December 23, 2025, and has remained under this level, suggesting a sustained short-term downtrend [2]. Volume Trends - Volume growth for KO remains fragile, with North America showing flat volumes and declines in the Asia Pacific region due to weaker consumer spending and adverse weather conditions [12][21]. - Europe also experienced volume declines, while Latin America volumes remained flat amid macroeconomic stress in Mexico [12]. Management Outlook - Management has reiterated confidence in full-year guidance, but recent improvements are seen as execution-driven rather than indicative of stronger demand, leading to uncertainty about a sustained rebound [13][21]. - Coca-Cola anticipates tougher volume comparisons in the fourth quarter, which may affect near-term momentum [13]. Valuation Metrics - KO's current forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 21.04X, which is higher than the industry average of 17.64X, indicating that the stock may be relatively expensive [15][19]. - Compared to its key rival PepsiCo, which has a P/E of 16.23X, KO appears to be trading at a premium [19]. Competitive Landscape - KO's performance is notably weaker than competitors such as PepsiCo, Monster Beverage, and The Vita Coco Company, which have seen stock rallies of 2.9%, 22.9%, and 38.4%, respectively, over the past six months [7][20].
NMIH Outperforms Industry, Trades Near 52-Week High: Time to Hold?
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 15:50
Core Insights - NMI Holdings Inc. (NMIH) shares have increased by 15.1% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 7.8% [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $3.19 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.4 million shares over the last three months [2] - NMIH's stock closed at $41.21, close to its 52-week high of $43.20, indicating strong investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation [3] - Earnings for NMIH have grown by 15.7% over the last five years, with a solid track record of beating earnings estimates [4] - NMIH shares are trading at a forward price-to-book value of 1.26X, lower than the industry average of 1.48X, indicating attractive valuation [5] Growth Projections - NMIH is positioned to benefit from growth in the mortgage insurance sector, supported by a robust reinsurance strategy [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NMIH's 2025 earnings per share indicates an 8.6% year-over-year increase, with revenues expected to reach $704.54 million, reflecting a 7.9% improvement [10] - The average price target from analysts for NMIH is $44.71 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 10.1% from the last closing price [11] Financial Performance - NMIH's return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months was 16.08%, significantly higher than the industry's 8.04%, indicating efficient use of shareholders' funds [13] - The company is focused on enhancing its return profile and managing expenses, with a new $250 million share repurchase program authorized through December 31, 2027 [16] - NMIH is expected to generate solid mid-teens returns for shareholders [17] Strategic Positioning - NMIH is well-positioned for growth with new primary insurance written and a comprehensive reinsurance program [18] - The company is expected to benefit from favorable growth estimates and the affordability of its shares, making it a stock to hold [19]
AXS Stock Moves Above 50 & 200-Day SMA: Buy, Sell or Stay Invested?
ZACKS· 2026-01-02 17:40
Core Insights - Shares of Axis Capital Holdings (AXS) are showing bullish momentum, trading above both the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) [1][8] - The stock has gained 20.5% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 11% [3][8] - Analysts have set a Zacks average price target of $118.18 per share, indicating an 8.7% potential upside from the last closing price [3] Company Performance - AXS is currently trading at a price-to-book multiple of 1.42, which is lower than the industry average of 1.52 but above the median of 1.37, suggesting it is undervalued compared to its peers [10] - The company has a trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) of 19%, significantly higher than the industry average of 8.1% [17] - AXS has maintained a strong dividend growth record, with 18 consecutive annual increases and a current yield of 2.3%, well above the industry average of 0.2% [16] Strategic Focus - AXS specializes in higher-value, less commoditized insurance products, targeting markets with higher margins and lower competitive intensity [13] - The company has expanded its underwriting capabilities and repositioned its portfolio over the past three years, resulting in improved performance and reduced volatility [14] - Strong client and distribution relationships are central to AXS's business model, enabling effective risk management and high service standards [15] Market Position - AXS is well-positioned in the specialty insurance market, with growth opportunities in segments such as marine cargo, cyber, and renewable energy, expected to deliver attractive double-digit returns on equity [13] - The company has a solid capital position and continues to enhance shareholder value through consistent dividend growth and share repurchases [16] Analyst Sentiment - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 revenues indicates a 5.1% year-over-year increase, but earnings are expected to decline by 0.1% [19] - Analyst sentiment remains muted, with no movement in the consensus estimate for 2026 earnings over the last 30 days [19]
SLF Stock Near 52-Week High: Time to Hold Despite Expensive Valuation?
ZACKS· 2025-12-23 16:40
Core Insights - Sun Life Financial Inc. (SLF) closed at $62.15, close to its 52-week high of $66.81, indicating strong investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation [1] - The company has outperformed peers like Reinsurance Group of America and Primerica, which saw declines of 1% and 3.4% respectively, while Manulife Financial Corp gained 19.2% [2] - SLF has a market capitalization of $34.72 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.4 million shares over the last three months [3] Technical Analysis - SLF shares are trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $60.07 and $60.17, indicating solid upward momentum [4] Growth Strategy - SLF is expanding in Asia, with earnings from the region now contributing 21% to total earnings, focusing on voluntary benefits and capital-light products for predictable earnings [7][15] - The company aims to strengthen its asset management division, which is expected to yield higher returns with lower capital requirements [17] Valuation Metrics - SLF shares are trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.97X, above the industry average of 8.09X, indicating a premium valuation [8] - The Zacks average price target for SLF is $66.30 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 7.7% from the last closing price [9] Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects an 8.8% year-over-year increase in SLF's earnings per share for 2025, with a further increase of 7.2% for 2026 [11] - Recent analyst sentiment has been optimistic, with estimates for 2025 and 2026 earnings raised by 1.1% and 1.2% respectively over the past 30 days [12] Financial Performance - SLF's return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months is 16.9%, surpassing the industry average of 15.4%, reflecting efficient use of shareholders' funds [13] - The company is targeting a medium-term financial objective of an ROE of 18% or higher, emphasizing capital-light business models [14] Shareholder Returns - SLF is committed to returning wealth to shareholders through higher dividends and share buybacks, with a targeted dividend payout ratio of 40-50% [18]
Mission Produce Slips Below 200-Day SMA: Growth Ahead or Caution?
ZACKS· 2025-11-21 16:51
Core Insights - Mission Produce Inc. (AVO) shares have experienced a decline in momentum following the release of its fiscal third-quarter 2025 results, with a 10.1% drop over the past three months, underperforming key industry benchmarks [1][7][10] - The stock has fallen below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and 50-day SMA, indicating a shift from long-term bullish to bearish sentiment among investors [2][3][10] - AVO's current stock price of $11.51 is 20.4% above its 52-week low of $9.56 and 24.5% below its 52-week high of $15.25, reflecting significant volatility [11] Performance Comparison - AVO's decline of 10.1% over the past three months contrasts with the Zacks Agriculture – Operations industry's decline of 14.8%, the Consumer Staples sector's decline of 8.1%, and the S&P 500's increase of 3.9% [7] - Compared to competitors, AVO's performance is weaker than Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) and Dole Plc (DOLE), which declined by 8% and 8.4%, respectively, but better than Corteva Inc. (CTVA), which fell by 12.3% [8] Operational Challenges - AVO faces margin normalization in its core distribution business, with previously elevated per-unit profitability now seen as unsustainable, leading to cooled investor sentiment despite rising volumes [12][13] - The company is dealing with volatile pricing environments influenced by weather, crop cycles, and sourcing shifts, which compress profitability even during strong harvests [14] - Rising operating complexity and costs, including higher employee-related expenses and region-specific obligations, are impacting operating leverage and profit expansion [15][16] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVO's fiscal 2025 sales indicates a year-over-year growth of 12.1%, while EPS is expected to fall by 9.5%. For fiscal 2026, sales and earnings estimates suggest declines of 9.7% and 28.4%, respectively [17] Valuation Insights - AVO is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E multiple of 28.78X, which is significantly higher than the industry average of 22.89X, indicating a premium valuation [20][22] - This premium suggests that investors have high expectations for AVO's future performance, but it also highlights the risks associated with its ability to execute its strategy effectively [23] Market Sentiment - Despite solid operational performance, the market is signaling caution due to the stock's recent decline and bearish trading patterns, reflecting a focus on short-term concerns over operational progress [24][25] - AVO's situation presents a mix of optimism regarding its core business and skepticism due to technical softness and a high valuation, leading to a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [26]
PepsiCo Slips Below 50-Day SMA: Bargain Opportunity or Red Flag?
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 19:11
Core Insights - PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) shares have experienced a decline following the release of its third-quarter 2025 results, indicating a shift in investor sentiment from bullish to bearish [2][3] - The stock closed at $143.60 on November 3, 2025, falling below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $145.5, which is a technical indicator of weakness [2][10] - Despite the recent downturn, PepsiCo's stock remains above its 200-day SMA, suggesting a more favorable long-term outlook [4] Performance Comparison - Over the past month, PepsiCo's stock has declined by 4.2%, contrasting with a 3% growth in the Zacks Beverages – Soft Drinks industry [6] - The stock has underperformed compared to the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector, which saw a decline of 0.5%, and the S&P 500, which increased by 1.6% [6] - Competitors such as The Coca-Cola Company (KO) and Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) have seen stock increases of 5.6% and 4.3%, respectively, during the same period [7] Financial Performance - PepsiCo reported a 3% revenue growth in Q3 2025, despite facing cost pressures that impacted profitability [10][12] - The company is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 16.79X, which is below the industry average of 17.8X and the S&P 500's average of 23.3X [22][23] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PepsiCo's 2025 sales suggests a year-over-year growth of 1.8%, while EPS is expected to decline by 0.6% [17] Strategic Initiatives - To address operational challenges, PepsiCo is implementing cost-cutting measures, streamlining product offerings, and optimizing its price-pack architecture [14][20] - The company has maintained strong international performance, achieving 18 consecutive quarters of mid-single-digit organic growth [15] - Recent acquisitions and partnerships are aimed at enhancing PepsiCo's presence in functional beverages and healthier snack segments [20][21] Market Outlook - Analysts have revised earnings estimates upward for 2025 and 2026, indicating growing confidence in PepsiCo's growth potential [16] - The company's fundamentals remain robust, with a focus on innovation and structural efficiency to drive long-term growth [21] - Despite short-term headwinds, PepsiCo is positioned for gradual improvement in margins and profitability, making it an attractive opportunity for investors [26][27]
lululemon Dips Below 50-Day SMA: Buy Now or Stay on the Sidelines?
ZACKS· 2025-10-31 17:51
Core Insights - lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) shares have experienced a significant decline, losing 56.1% year-to-date, underperforming both the Zacks Textile – Apparel industry and the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector [6][7][24] - The stock has fallen below its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA), indicating a bearish sentiment and a long-term downward trend [1][9][24] - The company has cut its fiscal year 2025 guidance due to sluggish U.S. demand and increased tariff-related costs, leading to a cautious outlook from analysts [9][14][25] Performance Metrics - LULU's stock closed at $170.30 on October 29, 2025, below the 50-day SMA of $178.55 [1] - The stock is currently trading 1.1% above its 52-week low of $159.25 and 60.3% below its 52-week high of $423.32 [10] - The company anticipates net revenues of $10.85-$11 billion for fiscal 2025, reflecting a 2-4% year-over-year growth [14] Competitive Landscape - LULU's performance is notably weaker than its competitor NIKE Inc., which has declined 14.3% year-to-date, and other competitors like Gildan Activewear and Ralph Lauren, which have seen growth of 25.1% and 39.8%, respectively [7][24] - The current forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple for LULU is 12.92X, lower than the industry average of 16.13X and the S&P 500's average of 24.03X, indicating a relatively cheap valuation [20][21] Financial Outlook - Analysts have revised down earnings estimates for LULU, reflecting skepticism about the company's near-term growth potential [18] - For fiscal 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate suggests a revenue growth of 3.7% year-over-year, while EPS is expected to decline by 11.8% [19] - Management expects a decline in operating margin by 390 basis points for fiscal 2025 due to tariff pressures and markdowns [13] Strategic Initiatives - The company is undergoing a reset phase, aiming to rebalance its merchandise mix and accelerate innovation, with plans to increase the share of new styles from 23% to 35% by spring 2026 [16] - Despite strong international performance, particularly in China, the execution gap in the U.S. market and margin pressures are contributing to the stock's decline [16][24]
Bitcoin Hits Most Oversold Level Against Gold in 3 Years as BTC Risks Falling Below $100K
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-17 10:26
Core Insights - Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a decline in price, with bulls hoping for a rotation of investment from gold to BTC as the latter appears oversold against gold [1][2] - The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) for BTC has dropped to 22.20, indicating oversold conditions, which may suggest that BTC is undervalued relative to gold [2] - Despite the oversold RSI reading, a bullish reversal for BTC is not guaranteed without confirmation from other technical indicators [3] Technical Analysis - The BTC/gold ratio is in a downtrend, characterized by a death cross of the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA), indicating seller dominance [4] - BTC's dollar-denominated price is expected to test the lower end of an expanding channel, currently below $100,000, with the 14-day RSI not yet in oversold territory [5] - The 200-day SMA is a critical level for BTC, with current prices below this average suggesting potential further selling pressure [6]
BMY Slips Below 50-Day SMA: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 15:06
Core Insights - Bristol Myers (BMY) shares have been losing momentum in 2025, with a 4.7% decline in a month compared to a 4.8% gain in the industry, closing at $45.11 on October 2, 2025, below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $45.84 [1][2][7] Stock Performance - The stock reached a 52-week high of $63.33 on March 11 but has since been on a downward trend, hitting a 52-week low of $42.96 on July 31, 2025 [2] - Over the past six months, BMY shares have decreased by 10.5%, while the industry has gained 17% [3] Financial Outlook - The outlook for 2025 has disappointed investors, with a cut in EPS guidance to $6.35-$6.65 from a previous $6.70-$7 due to unfavorable impacts from the BNTX deal [4][16] - Revenues from BMY's legacy portfolio fell by 17% in the first half of 2025, with expectations of a decline of approximately 15% to 17% for the full year [8][9] Drug Portfolio Performance - BMY's growth portfolio includes drugs like Opdivo and Reblozyl, which have shown strong performance, with Opdivo sales expected to grow in the mid to high-single-digit range [10][11] - Reblozyl has generated over $1 billion in global sales year-to-date, while Breyanzi sales increased by 134% to $607 million in the first half [12] Debt and Valuation - As of June 30, 2025, BMY had cash and equivalents of $12.6 billion and long-term debt of $44.5 billion, raising concerns about its high debt ratio [14] - BMY is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 7.12X forward earnings, lower than its historical mean of 8.45X and the large-cap pharma industry's 15.70X [17] Market Sentiment - The recent slip below the 50-day SMA indicates bearish sentiment, although BMY is considered a safe haven for long-term investors in the biotech sector [21] - The company's attractive dividend yield of 5.64% is a reason for existing investors to remain invested [21]