Simple Moving Average (SMA)

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Devon is Trading Above 50 and 200 Day SMA: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 17:20
Key Takeaways DVN is trading above its 50 and 200-day SMAs, signaling a potential bullish momentum shift. Devon Energy's diversified basins and low-cost strategy support strong cash flow and profitability. DVN trades at 3.73X EV/EBITDA, well below the industry average of 10.99X and its five-year median.Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages ("SMA"), signaling a bullish trend. DVN has a multi-basin portfolio and focuses on high-margin assets that hold ...
CINF Stock Trades Above 200-Day SMA: Time to Buy it for Solid Returns?
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 15:21
Key Takeaways CINF benefits from prudent pricing, an agent-centric model, and disciplined growth in Cincinnati Re. CINF actively returns capital, reflecting strong operating performance and financial flexibility. CINF boasts 65 consecutive years of dividend increases, with a current yield surpassing the industry average.Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) has been trading above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), signaling a short-term bullish trend. Its share price, as of July 8, 2025, was $146. ...
MCY Outperforms Industry, Trades at Premium: How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-07-02 14:35
Key Takeaways MCY's top line witnessed a 7.6% CAGR from 2020-2024, backed by higher net premiums earned and other revenues. Net investment income has surged with a 15.7% CAGR over the past five years. MCY's net premiums written are driven by rate increases and rising policy counts in California auto.Shares of Mercury General Corporation (MCY) have gained 27% in the past year, outperforming its industry, the Finance sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite’s growth of 19.8%, 20.4% and 11.7%, respectively. Me ...
MTG Hits 52-Week High: Time to Add the Stock for Better Returns?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 15:26
Key Takeaways MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) hit a 52-week high of $28.28 on June 24. Shares closed at $28.10 after gaining 18.5% year to date, outperforming the industry, the sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite in the same time frame. MGIC Investment has outperformed its peers, including Enact Holdings, Inc. (ACT) , Horace Mann Educators Corporation (HMN) and Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) . Shares of ACT, HMN and ORI have gained 15.6%, 9.2% and 4.8%, respectively, year to date. With a ...
NRG is Trading Above 50 Day and 200 Day SMA: Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 18:31
Key Takeaways NRG is trading above its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, signaling a sustained bullish price trend. Strong earnings, data center demand, and acquisitions are fueling NRG's growth momentum. NRG's ROE exceeds peers, and it targets 7-9% annual dividend growth over the long term.NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages ("SMA"), signaling a bullish trend. NRG’s shares have gained steadily over the past 12 months after the earnings beat in three out of the trai ...
Barrick Mining Eclipses 50-Day SMA: What Should Investors Do Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-04 12:21
Core Insights - Barrick Mining Corporation's stock has shown bullish momentum, breaking above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and gaining approximately 6% in a week due to rising gold prices driven by trade and geopolitical tensions [1][8] - The stock is also trading above its 200-day SMA, indicating a long-term uptrend, with a golden crossover occurring on April 9, 2025 [2] Stock Performance - Over the past year, Barrick's shares have increased by 20.3%, underperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 52.6% rise but outperforming the S&P 500's 10.8% increase [5] - Compared to peers, Newmont Corporation, Kinross Gold Corporation, and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited have seen gains of 34.6%, 97%, and 85.3%, respectively [5][6] Production and Projects - Key projects such as Goldrush and Lumwana are progressing on schedule and within budget, which is expected to enhance long-term output [8][11] - The Goldrush mine aims for 400,000 ounces of annual production by 2028, while the Reko Diq project in Pakistan is projected to produce 460,000 tons of copper and 520,000 ounces of gold annually starting in 2028 [12][13] Financial Performance - Barrick's liquidity is strong, with cash and cash equivalents around $4.1 billion and operating cash flows of approximately $1.2 billion in Q1 2025, a 59% increase year over year [17] - The company returned $1.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 through dividends and share repurchases, with a healthy dividend yield of 2% and a payout ratio of 28% [18] Cost Challenges - Barrick faces rising costs, with cash costs per ounce of gold and all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) increasing by approximately 16% and 20% year over year, respectively [19] - For 2025, total cash costs are projected to be between $1,050-$1,130 per ounce, and AISC is expected to range from $1,460-$1,560 per ounce, indicating a year-over-year increase [19][20] Production Outlook - The company forecasts attributable gold production for 2025 to be between 3.15-3.5 million ounces, a decline from 3.91 million ounces in 2024, primarily due to reduced output from certain mines [20] - Total gold production fell roughly 19% year over year to 758,000 ounces in Q1 2025 [20] Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for Barrick have been revised upward over the past 60 days, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 being adjusted higher [21] Valuation - Barrick's stock is currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 10.67X, which is about 23.6% lower than the industry's average of 13.97X, indicating an attractive valuation [21] Investment Recommendation - The combination of production growth initiatives, strong financial health, rising earnings estimates, and a safe dividend yield suggests a positive outlook for Barrick, although caution is warranted due to high costs and a subdued production forecast [22]
NIKE Stock Slides Below 50-Day SMA: Buy Opportunity or Risky Affair?
ZACKS· 2025-05-27 15:55
Core Viewpoint - NIKE Inc. is experiencing a significant decline in stock performance, with shares dropping below key moving averages, indicating bearish sentiment and concerns over growth prospects [1][5][9]. Stock Performance - On May 23, 2025, NIKE's stock closed at $60.02, below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $60.89, marking a short-term bearish trend [1][3]. - The stock has lost 24.4% over the past three months, underperforming the Zacks Shoes and Retail Apparel industry's decline of 20.2% and the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector's decline of 0.9% [5][6]. - Currently, NIKE's stock trades 38.8% below its 52-week high of $98.04 and 14.8% above its 52-week low of $52.28 [8]. Growth Concerns - The decline in stock price is attributed to concerns regarding NIKE's growth prospects, including weak performance in the lifestyle segment and a drop in digital sales, alongside lower retail traffic in Greater China [9][11]. - Management has indicated potential mid-teen revenue declines due to shipment timing disruptions, adverse foreign exchange rates, and new tariffs on imports [11][12]. Margin and Profitability - NIKE anticipates a gross margin contraction of 400-500 basis points, influenced by prior restructuring charges and ongoing margin pressures [12]. - SG&A expenses are expected to grow in the low to mid-single digits, further squeezing profitability [12]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NIKE's fiscal 2025 EPS remains unchanged, while the estimate for fiscal 2026 EPS has decreased by a penny [13]. - For fiscal 2025, revenue and EPS are projected to decline by 10.7% and 45.6%, respectively, with fiscal 2026 estimates indicating further declines of 1.4% and 9.8% [15]. Strategic Initiatives - NIKE is focusing on its "Win Now" strategy, which includes tighter inventory control, accelerated innovation, and strengthened wholesale partnerships to stabilize performance [16][17]. - The company is enhancing its sports-driven identity through faster product development and a shift towards full-price, digitally led sales [17]. Valuation Perspective - NIKE's current forward P/E ratio of 30.86X is significantly higher than the industry average of 24.21X and the S&P 500's average of 21.36X, raising questions about the justification of its premium valuation [18][20]. - Competitors like adidas, Caleres, and Carter's have lower forward P/E ratios, indicating a stretched valuation for NIKE [20]. Long-Term Outlook - Despite near-term challenges, NIKE's long-term potential is supported by its strong brand equity, innovation, and strategic direction aimed at reigniting growth [22]. - The company is well-positioned for long-term, profitable growth, but current market conditions and technical indicators suggest a cautious approach [23][24].
MTG Near 52-Week High: Time to Buy the Stock for Solid Returns?
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 13:15
Core Viewpoint - MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) is experiencing strong investor confidence, with its stock price near a 52-week high, indicating potential for further price appreciation [1] Stock Performance - MTG shares closed at $26.61, close to its 52-week high of $26.92, and are trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $24.57 and $24.68, respectively, suggesting solid upward momentum [1] - The stock has gained 28% over the past year, outperforming the Finance sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which grew by 18.6% and 12.1%, respectively [5][6] Market Capitalization and Trading Volume - The market capitalization of MGIC Investment is $6.31 billion, with an average trading volume of 2.45 million shares over the last three months [2] Valuation Metrics - MTG shares are trading at a price to forward 12-month earnings ratio of 1.23X, which is lower than the industry average of 2.45X, indicating a better entry point for investors [9] - The company has a Value Score of B, suggesting it is attractively priced compared to other insurers [9] Financial Performance - Return on invested capital (ROIC) has been increasing, currently at 11.4%, significantly higher than the industry average of 2% [10] - Earnings have grown by 12% over the past five years, surpassing the industry average growth of 10.3% [11] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is $1.25 billion, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 2.9% [11] - Analysts have raised estimates for 2025 and 2026, with the consensus moving up by 1.4% and 2.4%, respectively, in the last 30 days [13] Business Drivers - New business and solid annual persistency are expected to drive growth in the insurance-in-force portfolio, supported by higher home sales and improved refinance activity [14] - A decline in claim filings is strengthening the balance sheet and improving the financial profile of MGIC Investment [14] Capital Position and Shareholder Returns - The company is improving its capital position through capital contributions and reinsurance transactions, with $232.9 million remaining in its authorization for share repurchases through December 2026 [15] - Higher premiums and outstanding credit quality are anticipated to continue driving growth, with share buybacks reflecting capital strength and attractive share price levels [17][18]
Arch Capital Trades Above 50-Day SMA: Time to Hold ACGL Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 14:31
Core Viewpoint - Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) is currently experiencing a short-term bullish trend, trading above its 50-day simple moving average, despite a significant decline from its 52-week high [1]. Price Performance - ACGL's share price is $94.59, down 18.7% from its 52-week high of $116.47 [1]. - Over the past year, ACGL shares have gained 2.4%, underperforming the industry growth of 12.8% and the Finance sector's growth of 6.3%, but outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite return of 0.6% [4][5]. Valuation Metrics - ACGL is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-book ratio of 1.72X, above the industry average of 1.58X, indicating an expensive valuation [6]. - The company has a Value Score of B, suggesting a relatively attractive valuation compared to peers [6]. Profitability - Arch Capital's trailing 12-month return on equity is 15.7%, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.8%, reflecting effective utilization of shareholders' equity [9]. Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Arch Capital's 2025 revenues is $18.88 billion, representing a year-over-year improvement of 13.5% [10]. - For 2026, the consensus estimates indicate a year-over-year increase of 20.3% in earnings per share and 5.8% in revenues from the 2025 estimates [10]. - Earnings have grown by 33.5% over the past five years, outperforming the industry average of 18.9% [10]. Earnings Performance - Arch Capital has consistently surpassed earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 13.93% [11]. Business Strengths - The company benefits from widespread operations and a compelling product portfolio, providing diversification and earnings stability [12]. - Significant efforts in inorganic growth through acquisitions have aided international expansion and enhanced operations [12]. - Solid performances in both the Insurance and Reinsurance segments, complemented by Mortgage Insurance, are expected to drive premium growth [13]. Financial Health - ACGL has maintained a free cash flow conversion rate of over 85% in recent quarters, indicating strong earnings [14]. - The company enjoys sufficient liquidity and low leverage, which strengthens its balance sheet and supports growth initiatives [13]. Final Assessment - Arch Capital has a robust product portfolio and a solid track record of premium growth, with expectations for continued growth across its business lines [15]. - The company has a VGM Score of B, indicating attractive value, growth, and momentum [17].
Newmont Stock Slips Below 50-Day SMA: What Should Investors Do Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 12:21
Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation's stock has recently experienced a pullback due to declining gold prices, but the company maintains a long-term bullish trend supported by strong project execution and financial health [1][2][21]. Stock Performance - Newmont's stock fell below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $50.10, indicating a bearish signal, while it remains above its 200-day SMA, suggesting a long-term uptrend [1][2]. - Over the past month, Newmont's shares have decreased by 9.3%, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's decline of 11.3% but underperforming the S&P 500's increase of 15.3% [5]. Project Execution and Acquisitions - Newmont is actively investing in growth projects, including the Tanami Expansion 2 in Australia and the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana, which are expected to enhance production capacity and extend mine life [10]. - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has created a robust portfolio, achieving $500 million in annual run-rate synergies and positioning Newmont favorably in the gold and copper production landscape [11]. Financial Health - Newmont reported a strong liquidity position with $8.8 billion in liquidity, including $4.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and a significant operating cash flow increase of approximately 162% year over year [13]. - The company generated a record free cash flow of $1.2 billion in the first quarter and returned $1 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [13]. Gold Price Dynamics - Despite recent declines, gold prices have increased by roughly 22% this year, with Newmont's average realized gold prices rising around 41% year over year to $2,944 per ounce in the first quarter [14][15]. - Factors such as central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions are expected to support gold prices, which remain above $3,200 per ounce [15]. Dividend and Valuation - Newmont offers a dividend yield of 2% with a payout ratio of 24%, indicating a sustainable dividend backed by strong cash flows [16]. - The stock is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 12.07X, approximately 11% lower than the industry average of 13.57X, making it an attractive investment option [18]. Earnings Estimates - Newmont's earnings estimates for 2025 have been revised upward, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate suggesting a year-over-year growth of 12.6% [17][18]. Investment Outlook - Despite recent stock performance challenges, Newmont presents a compelling investment case due to its growth projects, strong financial health, and favorable market conditions for gold [21].