Jim Chanos, a noted short seller on Wall Street, disclosed a new bet against used car retailer Carvana (CVNA). Valued at a market cap of $45 billion, CVNA stock has returned 2,155% in the last three years. However, it fell 11% yesterday after Chanos highlighted concerns over the mounting stress in the subprime auto lending market. www.barchart.com Chanos pointed to rising delinquencies, defaults, and the recent collapse of Tricolor Holdings as red flags, questioning how Carvana continues thriving while c ...

Capital One Financial Corp. reported a surge in third-quarter profit, beating Wall Street estimates, and the lender announced plans to repurchase as much as $16 billion of stock in the wake of its acquisition of Discover Financial Services. Most Read from Bloomberg Net income surged 80% to $3.19 billion, or $4.83 a share, the McLean, Virginia-based company said Tuesday in a statement. Adjusted earnings per share totaled $5.95, topping the $4.39 average estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. “The Di ...

Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing significant challenges due to geopolitical tensions, tariffs, inflation, and other disruptions, leading to a cautious but resilient outlook for 2025 [1][2][4] Industry Outlook - Despite initial bearish forecasts, the U.S. automotive sector has shown unexpected resilience, prompting Barclays to upgrade its rating from "negative" to "neutral" [3] - S&P Global revised its U.S. light vehicle sales estimates upward by approximately 2%, projecting 16.1 million vehicles for 2025 and 15.3 million for 2026, indicating a slight recovery in demand [4] Economic Factors - Consumer spending remains relatively stable, contributing to a more optimistic economic outlook, with analysts noting that tariffs have not had as devastating an impact as feared [5] - However, headwinds persist, including slowing disposable income growth and consumer pessimism, which could affect future sales [4][5] Earnings Expectations - Major automakers are expected to report double-digit declines in adjusted earnings per share for Q3 but remain profitable on an adjusted basis, with production levels exceeding expectations [6] Tariff Impact - Tariffs have cost automakers billions this year, but deregulation and corporate gains under previous administration policies are expected to help mitigate these costs [7] - The automotive industry is navigating a complex landscape of tariffs and economic pressures, with some analysts expressing cautious optimism [10][11] Supplier Concerns - The automotive supplier industry is under significant pressure, with concerns about the ability of smaller suppliers to absorb additional cost increases [14][19] - Recent bankruptcies in the supplier sector, such as First Brands Group, have raised alarms about the health of the private credit market [16][17] Consumer Behavior - There are indications of a K-shaped economic recovery, where wealthier consumers are faring better than lower-income households, which may impact vehicle sales [22][25] - Delinquency rates for subprime auto loans have reached record highs, indicating stress among lower-income consumers, while higher-income borrowers remain stable [26] Future Considerations - The potential for tariffs to be passed on to consumers remains a critical question for 2026, with uncertainty about how consumers will react to increased vehicle prices [27]

Signage is displayed outside a Fifth Third Bancorp branch in Louisville, Kentucky, U.S., on Thursday, July 12, 2018. Fifth Third Bancorp is scheduled to release earnings figures on July 19. JPMorgan Chase & Co., Fifth Third Bancorp and Barclays Plc are among banks bracing for potentially hundreds of millions of dollars in combined losses from loans tied to subprime auto lender Tricolor Holdings, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Fifth Third said in a regulatory filing Tuesday that it face ...