Group 1 - Netflix is expected to announce Q2 2025 earnings on July 17, 2025, with revenues projected at approximately $11 billion, a 15% increase year-over-year, and earnings projected at $7.06 per share, up from $4.88 last year [2] - The revenue growth is attributed to recent price hikes and increasing advertising revenue, with the standard HD plan price raised by $2.50 to $18 per month and the Premium plan increased to $25 per month [2] - Netflix's advertising technology enhancements, including the launch of an in-house ad tech platform in the U.S. in April, are expected to improve ad capabilities and pricing realizations [2] Group 2 - Content costs for Netflix are anticipated to rise this year, as the company expands into live sports, which may lead to higher production and licensing expenses [3] - Netflix's current market capitalization stands at $551 billion, with total revenue over the last twelve months at $40 billion, operating profits at $11 billion, and net income at $9.3 billion [4] Group 3 - Historical data shows that Netflix has had 19 earnings data points in the past five years, with 42% resulting in positive one-day returns, which increases to 64% over the past three years [5] - The median of the positive one-day returns is 11%, while the median of the negative returns is -6.9% [5] Group 4 - A strategy to examine the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings can be beneficial, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns exhibit high correlation [6]

Company Overview - The TJX Companies, which includes T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods, has experienced significant growth, gaining market share from traditional department stores as consumers increasingly seek value-focused shopping experiences [2] - The company reported a market capitalization of approximately $150 billion, with $56 billion in revenue, $6.5 billion in operating income, and $4.9 billion in net earnings over the last twelve months [2] Earnings Expectations - TJX is set to announce its fiscal first-quarter earnings on May 21, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of 91 cents per share on revenue of $13 billion, reflecting a 2% decrease in earnings year-over-year and a 4% increase in sales compared to the previous year's figures [1] - Historically, TJX stock has risen 70% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day increase of 3.8% and a maximum observed rise of 7% [1][6] Market Trends - The ongoing inflation, high interest rates, and uncertain economic outlook have further propelled the company's growth as consumers prioritize value [2] - The company has indicated that imports from China represent only a minor segment of its supply chain, potentially mitigating specific trade-related risks [2]

Group 1 - Lowe's is expected to report fiscal first-quarter earnings on May 21, 2025, with anticipated earnings of $2.89 per share and revenue of $21.03 billion, reflecting a 6% decrease in earnings and a 2% decline in sales year-over-year [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $130 billion, with reported revenue of $84 billion, operating profit of $10 billion, and net income of $7 billion over the last twelve months [2] - Approximately 70% of Lowe's sales come from do-it-yourself (DIY) customers, whose demand has weakened, impacting the company's performance [2] Group 2 - Historical data indicates that Lowe's stock has risen 55% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day gain of 1.7% and a maximum increase of 10% [1][5] - Over the past five years, there have been 20 earnings data points for Lowe's, with 11 positive and 9 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 55% of the time [5] - The correlation between short-term (1D) and medium-term (5D) returns post-earnings can provide a less risky trading strategy, especially if a strong correlation exists [3][4]