VLCC正规市场景气度
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中远海能(600026):25Q3归母净利同比+4%至8.5 亿 推进船队优化与扩容 VLCC 弹性有望释放、中期景气向好
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 14:29
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a strategic acquisition aimed at optimizing resource allocation and enhancing synergy in the LPG business [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first three quarters was 17.11 billion RMB, down 2.5% year-on-year; Q3 revenue was 5.47 billion RMB, also down 2.5% year-on-year and 7.2% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 2.72 billion RMB, a decrease of 21.2% year-on-year; Q3 net profit was 850 million RMB, up 4.4% year-on-year but down 26.5% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Non-recurring gains and losses in Q3 amounted to approximately 140 million RMB, primarily from the disposal of a VLCC tanker [1]. Business Segments - **Domestic Oil Transportation**: Q3 revenue was 1.36 billion RMB, down 7.1% year-on-year; gross profit margin was 26.5%, with gross profit of 360 million RMB, down 15.1% year-on-year [2]. - **LNG Transportation**: Q3 revenue was 620 million RMB, down 3.7% year-on-year; gross profit margin was 51.2%, with gross profit of 320 million RMB, up 2.7% year-on-year [2]. - **Foreign Oil Transportation**: Q3 revenue was 3.31 billion RMB, down 1.7% year-on-year; gross profit margin was 14.9%, with gross profit of 490 million RMB, down 19.3% year-on-year [2]. Market Trends - VLCC rates have seen an unexpected increase since September, driven by active Atlantic export cargoes and OPEC+ production increases [3]. - The average TCE index for VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, and clean product tankers in June-August was 32,000, 43,000, 35,000, and 21,000 USD/day, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +30%, +4%, -11%, and -20% [3]. - The market outlook for VLCC is positive due to sustained demand from production increases and sanctions affecting supply chains [4]. Investment Outlook - The company expects net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 5.04 billion RMB, 6.26 billion RMB, and 7.13 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of approximately 15, 12, and 10 [4].