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中远海能(600026):25Q2归母净利同比-16%至11.6亿 持续推进船队优化;旺季在即、正规VLCC供需催化向上
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 00:29
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with a slight recovery in Q2, indicating challenges in the oil transportation sector but potential for improvement in the upcoming quarters [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - Revenue for H1 2025 was 11.64 billion yuan, down 2.5% year-on-year; Q2 revenue was 5.89 billion yuan, down 1.1% year-on-year but up 2.4% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 was 1.87 billion yuan, down 29.2% year-on-year; Q2 net profit was 1.16 billion yuan, down 16.4% year-on-year but up 64.2% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Non-recurring gains in Q2 amounted to 96 million yuan, primarily from the disposal of an old VLCC [1]. Business Segments - **Domestic Oil Transportation**: Q2 revenue was 1.37 billion yuan, down 6.3% year-on-year; gross margin was 24.0%, slightly up year-on-year [1][2]. - **LNG Transportation**: Q2 revenue was 630 million yuan, up 56.5% year-on-year; gross margin was 49.9%, down year-on-year [2]. - **Foreign Oil Transportation**: Q2 revenue was 3.73 billion yuan, down 5.4% year-on-year; gross margin was 20.2%, down year-on-year [2]. Market Dynamics - The oil transportation market is experiencing price fluctuations, with VLCC rates supported by OPEC's production increase and tightening sanctions on non-compliant trade [3]. - The supply side is constrained by limited new ship deliveries and the retirement of older vessels, while demand is expected to rise due to increased production from non-OPEC regions [3]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company maintains a positive outlook for the VLCC market, projecting net profits of 5.29 billion, 6.33 billion, and 7.08 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 9, 8, and 7 [4]. - The current price suggests a dividend yield of approximately 5.4% for 2025, assuming a 50% payout ratio [4].