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乐鑫科技(688018):25Q3营收创同期新高,毛利率持续提升
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 05:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a record high revenue in Q3 2025, with a year-over-year growth of 31.0% for the first three quarters, totaling 1.91 billion yuan [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 reached 48.0%, an increase of 5.8 percentage points year-over-year, driven by the growth in cloud services [2]. - The diversification of the customer base is improving, with the top five customers accounting for only 22.6% of revenue, indicating a more balanced distribution [3]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 670 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 23.5% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 3.1% [1]. - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 120 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 16.1% but a quarter-over-quarter decline of 31.1% [1]. - The company expects to achieve revenues of 2.64 billion, 3.45 billion, and 4.47 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 31.4%, 30.8%, and 29.7% [4]. Customer and Market Dynamics - Revenue from chips and modules accounted for 38.7% and 60.6% respectively, with domestic and international revenue shares at 70.0% and 30.0% [3]. - The company is actively enhancing its developer community, with the number of ESP32 projects on GitHub increasing from 101,000 in H1 2025 to 115,000 in Q3 2025 [3]. Profitability Metrics - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 17.5%, showing a year-over-year decrease of 0.9 percentage points [2]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit, projecting 555 million yuan in 2025, which represents a year-over-year growth of 63.5% [4].