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Yield Curve Steepened: PDO Is Better Positioned Than PTY
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-05 21:33
Join for a 100% Risk-Free trial and see if our proven method can help you too. You do not need to pay for the costly lessons from the market itself.Sensor Unlimited is an economist by training with a PhD, with a focus on financial economics. She is a quantitative modeler and for the past decade she has been covering the mortgage market, commercial market, and the banking industry. She writes about asset allocation and ETFs, particularly those related to the overall market, bonds, banking and financial secto ...
Monday's Final Takeaways: Narrative Shifts in Housing & Metals
Youtube· 2025-12-29 22:05
[Music] Welcome back to Market on Close. I'm Sam Bardis alongside Alex Coffeeoffe. So just some final thoughts on today's session, Alex.I mean really the conversation right now has been centered around the 2026 outlook as most of our guests have been talking about over the last 90 minutes or so. The guests I've been speaking to really believe that the beginning of 2026 is likely going to be really an extension of the end of 2025. And what they mean by that is the drivers which are really propelling this mar ...
Daily Spotlight: Upward Slope for Yield Curve
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-26 12:26
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日本投资组合资金流动投资者指南-An Investor‘s Guide to Japanese Portfolio Flows
2025-12-24 12:59
19 December 2025 | 12:31PM EST Economics Research GLOBAL MARKETS ANALYST An Investor's Guide to Japanese Portfolio Flows Goldman Sachs Global Markets Analyst An Investor's Guide to Japanese Portfolio Flows Japanese portfolio flows can have an outsized impact on market dynamics due to Japan's exceptionally large, positive net international investment position (NIIP) and the historically high domestic participation in the JGB market. For that reason, investors have long had an eye on the official statistics, ...
U.S. Economy Shows Strength: Consumer Spending Defies Cooling Expectations
Youtube· 2025-12-23 16:01
Right. Uh now it's time to get uh a look at the big picture. Let's welcome in our next guest.That's going to be Colin Martin, head of fixed income research and strategy at the Schwab Center for Financial Research. Colin, I wanted to get your take here on just the data in general here today. We got a little pop there in yields uh post that GDP.What was your takeaway. >> Yeah, it was a really strong report, you know, across the board. We we got the the highest quarterly gain annualized in two years.And and I ...
Best CD rates today, December 23, 2025: Lock in up to 4% APY today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-23 11:00
Core Insights - Deposit account rates are declining, but competitive returns on certificates of deposit (CDs) can still be locked in, with the best CDs offering rates above 4% [1] Group 1: Current CD Rates - The best short-term CDs (six to 12 months) currently offer rates around 4% to 4.5% APY, with the highest rate at 4.1% APY from Sallie Mae Bank for a 15-month CD and LendingClub Bank for an 8-month CD [2] - CDs generally provide higher rates than traditional savings accounts, making them an attractive option for savers [2] Group 2: Historical Context - CD rates were relatively high in the early 2000s but began to decline due to economic slowdowns and Federal Reserve rate cuts, with average one-year CDs at around 1% APY by 2009 [3] - The trend of falling CD rates continued into the 2010s, with average rates dropping to about 0.1% APY for 6-month CDs by 2013 due to the Fed's near-zero interest rate policy [4] - A slight recovery in CD rates occurred between 2015 and 2018 as the Fed gradually increased rates, but the COVID-19 pandemic led to emergency rate cuts, causing new record lows [5] Group 3: Recent Developments - Following the pandemic, inflation prompted the Fed to hike rates 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023, resulting in higher APYs on savings products, including CDs [6] - As of September 2024, the Fed has started cutting the federal funds rate, leading to a gradual decrease in CD rates from their peak, although they remain high by historical standards [7] Group 4: Understanding CD Rates - Traditionally, longer-term CDs offer higher interest rates, but current trends show the highest average CD rate is for a 12-month term, indicating a flattening or inversion of the yield curve [8] - Factors to consider when choosing a CD include goals for locking away funds, type of financial institution, account terms, and inflation considerations [9]
'I don't think there's any hurry,' says former Dallas Fed President Fisher on rate decision
Youtube· 2025-12-22 22:04
Two of the most anticipated questions of 2026 are who will be the next Fed chairman and how many times will they cut rates. For some clues, let's welcome in Richard Fischer. He's the former Dallas Fed president, now a senior adviser at Jeffre.It's good to see you. Welcome back. >> Thank you and happy holidays to you and everybody at CNBC.>> Uh we appreciate you. Thank you. All right.Would you cut rates in 26 if you had the vote. >> Depends on what the numbers show. Uh we got some rather dodgy inflation numb ...
'SIGNIFICANT LABOR PROBLEM': Expert reveals US concerns
Youtube· 2025-12-19 07:00
exactly what Rick Reer lives and breathes. He's Black Rockck's global allocation team head. He also has a side job as the global fixed income chief, too.He You're busy, man. I got to tell you, every day. >> What was your first reaction when you saw the CPI number.>> It's pretty good. I mean, you know, listen, have we solved inflation. No, we haven't solved inflation.We're closer to target. You know, it's also that number was a little funky today because we didn't get October. So, it was it was a little mess ...
PennyMac Mortgage: We Are Loading The Bonds And Considering The Preferred Stock
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-17 10:16
Core Insights - The focus is on closed-end funds and the opportunities for directional and arbitrage trading created by market price deviations [1][2] - The yield curve has begun to normalize, with long-term yields surpassing short-term yields, indicating potential investment strategies [2] Group 1: Trading Strategies - The company emphasizes the importance of timing in trading closed-end funds and offers early access to discussions for members [1] - Denislav Iliev, an experienced trader, leads a team that identifies mispriced investments in fixed-income and closed-end funds using straightforward financial logic [2] Group 2: Service Features - The service provided includes frequent picks for mispriced preferred stocks and baby bonds, weekly reviews of over 1200 equities, IPO previews, and hedging strategies [2] - An actively managed portfolio and a chat feature for discussions are also part of the service offerings [2]
Tariff Related Inflation Is Key Unknown, Rosenberg Says
Youtube· 2025-12-16 14:31
Do you think that this really changes the needle in any way. Well, Lisa, you stole my opening line. I was going to do a little hat tip to our friend and colleague, Jonathan Ferro.He always says the first reaction is not always the right reaction. And you said that at the top of the hour there at the top of the segment. You know, the headline was what the markets were reacting to, the little bit higher than expected unemployment rate.I think you guys in the earlier segment decomposed that pretty well the lab ...