Core Insights - Deposit account rates are declining, but competitive returns on certificates of deposit (CDs) can still be locked in, with the best CDs offering rates above 4% [1] Group 1: Current CD Rates - The best short-term CDs (six to 12 months) currently offer rates around 4% to 4.5% APY, with Marcus by Goldman Sachs offering the highest rate of 4% APY on its 1-year CD [2] - Historical trends show that CD rates were significantly higher in the early 2000s but fell to around 1% APY for one-year CDs by 2009 due to economic slowdowns and Federal Reserve rate cuts [2] - The average rates on 6-month CDs fell to about 0.1% APY and 5-year CDs to 0.8% APY by 2013, reflecting the impact of the Fed's near-zero interest rate policy [3] Group 2: Economic Influences on CD Rates - Between 2015 and 2018, the Fed's gradual rate increases led to a slight improvement in CD rates, marking the end of nearly a decade of ultra-low rates [4] - The COVID-19 pandemic prompted emergency rate cuts by the Fed, resulting in new record lows for CD rates [4] - Following the pandemic, the Fed raised rates 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023 to combat inflation, leading to higher APYs on savings products, including CDs [5] Group 3: Future Trends and Considerations - As of September 2024, the Fed began cutting the federal funds rate, resulting in a steady decline in CD rates from their peak, although they remain high by historical standards [6] - Traditionally, longer-term CDs offered higher interest rates, but currently, the highest average CD rate is for a 12-month term, indicating a flattening or inversion of the yield curve [6][7] - When choosing a CD, factors such as goals, type of financial institution, account terms, and inflation should be considered to ensure the best fit for individual needs [8]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 Index is projected to achieve another year of double-digit gains, following a 23.3% increase in 2024 and 24.2% in 2023, with a 17.7% gain as of December 29, 2025 [1] - Various factors such as post-election optimism, tariff shocks, persistent inflation, and a weakening job market have influenced market dynamics, but the Federal Reserve's rate cuts and easing trade tensions have positioned Wall Street favorably for 2026 [2] Financial Sector Performance - The Financial Services sector has appreciated 14.5% in 2025, with the S&P 500 Banks Industry Group Index gaining 31.6% due to favorable interest rates and improved market conditions [2][8] - Major banks like Citigroup, BNY Mellon, and Northern Trust have seen their stock prices rise over 35% as a result of improved fundamentals and cost control measures [3][8] Catalysts for Bank Stocks in 2026 - Favorable interest rates, increasing credit demand, and robust capital market activities are expected to contribute to a strong year for banks in 2026 [5] - The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times in 2025, currently ranging from 3.50% to 3.75%, with indications of a potential further cut in 2026, which is anticipated to boost loan demand [6] Interest Margin and Income - A risk-on market sentiment could lead to rising long-term bond yields and declining short-term yields, positively impacting banks' net interest margins (NIM) [7] - The combination of rising loan demand and regulatory changes is expected to enhance net interest income (NII) for banks [7] Mergers and Acquisitions Outlook - The capital markets are expected to strengthen, with a rebound in mergers and acquisitions (M&As) anticipated in 2026, focusing on de-conglomeration and buy-and-build strategies [9] - Banks with advisory services are likely to benefit from increased fee income as financing conditions improve [9] Individual Bank Performance - Citigroup has shown significant improvement in its business transformation, with a projected revenue exceeding $84 billion in 2025 and a year-over-year NII growth of 5.5% [10][11] - BNY Mellon, as a leading global custodian, is expected to see a 12% year-over-year increase in NII, supported by lower interest rates and stable funding costs [16][17] - Northern Trust is focusing on organic growth and expects to see a rebound in loan activity, with a projected ROE of 14.8% in Q3 2025, indicating progress towards profitability [21][24][25]

Deposit account rates are on the decline — but the good news is you can lock in a competitive return on a certificate of deposit (CD) today and preserve your earning power. In fact, the best CDs still pay rates above 4%. Read on for a snapshot of CD rates today and where to find the best offers. Where are the best CD rates today? CDs today typically offer rates significantly higher than traditional savings accounts. Currently, the best short-term CDs (six to 12 months) generally offer rates around 4% to ...

That's Chris McGrady, head of US Bank Research over at KBW. Chris, we spoke a little bit about the broadening out trade with our panel just this past few moments or so. I wonder the financials are a big part of that story.Is there a macro backdrop that makes sure that the banks are in a healthy place in 2026. >> Well, thanks for for having me back, Dom. Happy holidays.Um, healthy capital markets are are really an underpinning of what's driven a lot of the strength in 2025. Uh your prior guest talked about c ...

Deposit account rates are on the decline. The good news: You can lock in a competitive return on a certificate of deposit (CD) today and preserve your earning power. In fact, the best CDs still pay rates above 4%. Read on for a snapshot of CD rates today and where to find the best offers. Where are the best CD rates today? CDs today typically offer rates significantly higher than traditional savings accounts. Currently, the best short-term CDs (six to 12 months) generally offer rates around 4% to 4.5% AP ...

March 10-year T-notes (ZNH6) today are up by +9 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is down -3.7 bp to 4.116%. Mar T-notes climbed to a 1.5-week high today, and the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 1.5-week low of 4.10%.Overseas stock markets are mixed today. The Euro Stoxx 50 is up +0.57%. China’s Shanghai Composite closed up +0.16%. Japan’s Nikkei Stock 225 fell to a 3-week low and closed down -1.03%.The markets are discounting a 27% chance that the FOMC will cut the fed funds target range by 25 bp at the next ...

Lot of catch up on the data front today. Got some more right now with Rick Santelli. Hi again Rick. >> Hi Carl.Business inventories. [music] This September number expecting that number to increase by onetenth of a percent comes in up 210. Up 210.Now it's interesting. This is the third reading of up 2/10 in this data series. It equals where we were in June and Feb to find a higher number.You're going to January which was the high water mark of the year. Up 4/10. We do see rather sticky behavior on the long e ...

CBC team coverage uh this morning involves Steve Leeman as well as Rick Santelli. Rick Santelli, let's go to you. You're standing by at the CME.Let's get straight to the numbers. But Mike Santelli, [music] by the way, is out the NY. But Rick, get the numbers, please.>> Yes. October and November for the big job job jobs report. The only thing is it's not Friday.Here we go. November's number comes in at 64,000. 64,000 on non-farm.And if we look at average hourly earnings, they are up onetenth up onetenth of a ...

CBC team coverage uh this morning involves Steve Leeman as well as Rick Santelli. Rick Santelli, let's go to you. You're standing by at the CME.Let's get straight to the numbers. But Mike Santelli, by the way, is out the NY. But Rick, get the numbers, please.>> Yes. October and November for the big job job jobs report. The only thing is it's not Friday.Here we go. November's number comes in at 64,000. 64,000 on non-farm.And if we look at average hourly earnings, they are up onetenth up onetenth of a percent ...

Tuesday was not just the day before the Federal Reserve announced its latest rate cut. It was also the day that the leader of U.S. bank stocks dropped like a rock. JPMorgan (JPM) fell by 4.66% on the day, after the CEO of its Consumer & Community Banking unit startled traders by explaining that its expenses are likely to rise next year. The culprits: inflation and competition. The result? A lot of lost market cap. More News from Barchart One has to wonder if the concerns about the broader economy and ...