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摩根大通:比特币走势类似黄金,未来一年或上探17万美元
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-12-05 03:52
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that JPMorgan predicts Bitcoin may rise by 84% in the next 6 to 12 months, suggesting its trading pattern will resemble that of gold [1] - JPMorgan's model indicates that the theoretical price of Bitcoin is close to $170,000, showing significant upside potential [1] - As of the report, Bitcoin's trading price is $92,374.5, down approximately 36% from its peak of over $126,000 earlier this year [1] Group 2 - Concerns are rising regarding Strategy's potential sale of Bitcoin, as the company is known for its early bets on Bitcoin [1] - Strategy's CEO Phong Le indicated that if the market net asset value (mNAV) falls below 1, the company may sell its Bitcoin holdings [2] - The current mNAV is around 1.1, and the company has raised $1.4 billion in cash reserves, which may reduce the likelihood of forced Bitcoin sales [3] Group 3 - MSCI will decide in January whether to exclude companies with 50% or more of their assets in digital assets from its indices, raising concerns about Strategy's inclusion [4] - If MSCI implements this rule, it could lead to approximately $2.8 billion in outflows from Strategy's stock [4] - Conversely, a positive decision from MSCI could lead to a strong rebound for both Strategy and Bitcoin, potentially returning to levels seen before October 10 [4]