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How to trade the 'everything rally'
CNBC Television· 2025-11-12 18:36
Market Performance & Sector Rotation - Healthcare sector is up 45%, materials are up 3%, and financials are up 25% this week [1] - 27 out of 30 new S&P 52-week highs are non-technology companies, indicating a shift in market momentum [1] - Momentum is turning towards quality assets, initially seen in the dollar, crypto, and gold [2][3] - A catch-up trade is occurring, with investors seeking growth opportunities in sectors like pharma and biotech due to tech being overbought [5] - The catch-up trade is expected to benefit small caps and the equal-weighted S&P, potentially narrowing the performance gap [6] Macroeconomic Factors & Risks - Potential government reopen may release delayed data, which could impact market sentiment and Fed policy [6][7] - Private labor data might indicate upcoming challenges, potentially influencing the Fed's decisions in December [7] - Volatility is expected to persist until the Fed's decision, with major events like Nvidia's report and the Fed decision on December 10th on the horizon [8][9] Healthcare Sector Analysis - Healthcare was unloved for most of the year, making it an attractive opportunity for investors seeking growth [5] - Rotation into healthcare is occurring, but the sector may contain landmines depending on specific investments [11] - Government spending cuts and insurance companies increasing margins could impact the healthcare sector [13] - Biotech is benefiting from lower rates, and healthcare is seen as a place to put money due to years of underperformance [14][15] - Some healthcare stocks have underperformed significantly, making new 12-month highs relatively easier to achieve [16] End-of-Year Outlook - The market is experiencing a chase for performance, with opportunities existing in areas beyond mega-cap tech [4][19] - The current rally is expected to continue until the end of the year, driven by the recognition of opportunities in other market areas [19] - The market is pausing in terms of upside, with volatility remaining a key factor until the Fed's decision [8]
Seasonal strength still in store? Here's what investors should know
CNBC Television· 2025-11-06 18:02
Market Trends & Earnings Performance - Biotech sector's XBI is up approximately 20% year-to-date, while IBB is up around 19%, influenced by interest rate dynamics [1] - Q3 earnings for LG increased by 17% year-over-year, demonstrating strong earnings performance [5] - Aggregate earnings growth rate has reached almost 11%, surpassing the initial projection of 8% at the beginning of the quarter [2] - The market is expected to end the year with an approximate 7% to 8% growth rate in earnings [6] Investment & Valuation - The market is undergoing a correction, with earnings remaining intact and anticipation of future rate cuts and the OBB stimulus [9] - Robinhood's stock is down 9%, despite strong earnings, potentially due to momentum unwinding and investor exhaustion, with the stock up 246% for the year [10][12] - Prediction markets alone generated hundreds of millions for Robinhood [11] - Dash experienced strong food delivery earnings, with EPS up 44%, revenue up 27%, and total orders up 25% [15] Risk Management & Market Correction - The market is working off extreme conditions related to overvaluation and extreme bullishness [13][14] - Managing risk is crucial, especially when dealing with momentum stocks that may reverse [14][16][17][18][19] - Government shutdown's prolonged duration will negatively impact the market [9]
X @Michaël van de Poppe
Michaël van de Poppe· 2025-11-02 22:04
I repeat it again, but the markets that we're currently witnessing is the same type of market as Q4 2019.It's building up momentum with #Altcoins, as a lot of projects continue to deliver fundamental updates.Unfortunately, price doesn't pick up yet, but once it will, it will go fast. ...
X @Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph· 2025-11-02 19:00
Market Dynamics - Crypto Quant CEO 指出 ETF 和 MicroStrategy 推动了需求 [1] - 如果 ETF 和 MicroStrategy 恢复购买,市场动能可能会回归 [1]
X @Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph· 2025-10-28 13:15
Market Trend - The report questions whether Bitcoin (BTC) will regain its upward trend [1]
X @Watcher.Guru
Watcher.Guru· 2025-10-17 15:21
JUST IN: Billionaire Bill Gross says gold has become a 'momentum' and 'meme' asset. https://t.co/kPdTi71RzN ...
Gold Price Could Go a 'Lot Higher,' Says BlackRock's Hambro
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-14 07:29
Gold Market Analysis - Gold companies are currently experiencing fantastic profit margins, potentially indicating over-earning [1] - Gold's purchasing power has been preserved for some items but not for all, such as Manhattan property [3][4] - Momentum is a crucial factor in the gold market, with speculators potentially causing volatility [5] - The trend suggests a potential repricing of paper currency relative to real assets, which could drive gold prices higher [6] Company Performance & Valuation - Underlying gold companies are earning enormous margins at current gold prices [10] - Gold equities may be cheap, despite significant gains this year, as the market starts to recognize their value [10] - Long-term gold price assumptions used in models (e.g., $2200-2400) represent a significant discount to current spot prices and the futures curve [11] - Sell-side analysts are upgrading long-term gold price forecasts, but these remain discounted compared to spot and forward curves [12] - Current equity pricing reflects expectations of a massive retracement from today's gold prices [12] External Factors & Market Sentiment - The over-printing of paper currency since the 1950s and growing social vitality contribute to a long-term trend supporting real assets [16] - Events like the Trump tariff threat can initially cause volatility, but subsequent comments may calm the market [14]
Tylenol: Kenvue's Sobering Reality
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-23 14:43
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of momentum in navigating the technology landscape, particularly in the context of past market events such as the dot com bubble, the credit default crisis of 2008, and the recent AI boom [1] Group 1 - The author has over two decades of experience in the market, specifically focusing on the technology, media, and telecommunications (TMT) sectors [1] - The article highlights the author's specialization in risk mitigation strategies during significant market downturns [1] - The current focus is on leveraging momentum as a key strategy for investment decisions [1]
X @Ansem
Ansem 🧸💸· 2025-09-15 02:04
game in crypto for smaller ports is just figuring out what the budding meta is, you can either be smart enough to detemine it on your own fundamentally and wait, or be smart enough to just tail momentum when the coin starts runningnew ones happen every few months ...