Well, let's get into the neutral argument. I think that's what separates you from a lot of people. So, you've got it in the mid twos, Governor, and you think we should get there quickly. Can you just build out why you believe that's the case and why we should get there so fast.>> Sure. So, look, you know, I discussed a number of forces which have kicked in over the course of this year and which are, I think, in stark contrast to where they were last year. So, I've argued that neutral was higher in the past ...

Now that we've heard from the president of the UN, let's start on the next big focus for the market and that will be the Fed chair's speech this afternoon that follows the Fed's quarterpoint rate cut just last week. Joining us this morning, chief economics correspondent of the Wall Street Journal, Nick Timos is with us. Nick, good to have you.Welcome back. Thanks for having me, Carl. We always sort of have I don't know when pal speaks expressor kind of low expectations.His remarks might not get to monetary ...

The Chicago Fed introducing new labor market indicators this morning that com combine private sector data with official labor statistics for a real time view of hiring layoffs uh and other job information. And join us now Chicago Fed President Austin Goulby. We How you doing, Mr.. President. It's good good to have you on. We got some new data.I'm excited. And you know why I like it. because, you know, say what you will about, you know, the big kurfuffle with the the BLS firing and all that stuff.It did high ...

So what did you make of the quarterpoint cut and also some of the commentary from J Pal uh just talking about the dispersion the summary of economic projections and also our Steve Leeman asked a great question are we on a path for cuts and JP pal came back and said well we're more data dependent something he obviously has said in previous meetings >> well the meeting turned out to be what most of us expected to have happen the 25 basis point cut >> I think what was would have been more problematic was we di ...

In support of our goals and in light of the shift in the balance of risks today, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower our policy interest rate by a quarter percentage point. We also decided to continue to reduce our securities holdings. While the unemployment rate remains low, it has edged up.Job gains have slowed and downside risks to employment have risen. At the same time, inflation has risen recently and remains somewhat elevated. ...

Joining me now are Michael Gapen, chief US economist at Morgan Stanley Anastasia Amaroso, chief investment strategist for private wealth at Partners Group. Thank you both very much for being here. Uh Michael, let's start with you because we were just discussing with Steve that there's uh you know expected to be some dissent over the quarter point cut.Uh, do you think that's more emblematic of the macro uncertainty that's out there or just the the fireworks and the politization and all the various headlines ...

Tomorrow, a Federal Reserve committee will meet to talk over a possible interest rate cut. But the big question is, will Lisa Cook join her fellow Fed governors for that meeting. For now, Cook remains on the board after a federal judge blocked President Trump's dismissal.And tonight, the Senate is expected to confirm Trump's latest appointment to the Fed board, Steven Myron. If the vote goes as expected, Myron will join the board in time for this week's meeting. He will not be replacing Cook though, in case ...

8 September 2025 | 4:25PM EDT Global Views: Still Softening 1. The August employment report confirms that the US labor market has softened materially. Nonfarm payroll growth slowed to just 22k, although our broader estimate of underlying trend job growth—which is based on moving averages of both the establishment and household survey—edged up to 41k because of stronger household employment. We are penciling in an upward revision to the August payroll estimate next month, as seen in 12 of the past 15 Septemb ...

Okay, this may come as a small surprise to many of you. Donald Trump's economy is apparently struggling. Today's weak job numbers report shows only 22,000 jobs were added in August.That's well below the expected 75,000 jobs. The unemployment rate also ticked up to 4.3%, the highest it's been in nearly four years. Now, none of this is good news for the president, who was already facing pretty steep backlash for his economic policies.Quinnipic's latest poll shows 57% of Americans don't approve of Trump's hand ...

Well, let's stay on the market, bring in unlimited CEO and CIO Bob Elliot, the gold bug I mentioned before, but let's start with the Fed and what's going on there. You think Powell's caving. >> Well, I I think basically when you look at the change in his statement at Jackson Hole versus where he was just a few weeks before in the presser, it seems like there was a pretty material shift in the positioning uh particularly getting to a a focus on the labor market.I don't know how many times in the last presser ...