CPI is lower than expected.All inflation data is lower than expected.Initiate a new all-time high for #Bitcoin in the next 30 days already. ...

All right, we got to start off with this. Uh, the president threatening to completely terminate negotiations with Canada in a social media post. We'll have to see what he says today. More than likely, he'll we'll get more commentary from him today.Is that a big deal for the markets. Again, Canada is one of our top trade partners. >> Well, it's not a positive for sure, but this is the negotiations that the Trump administration has been ongoing for a while now.So, I suspect that things will calm down eventual ...

Group 1 - The president's threat to terminate negotiations with Canada could impact markets, as Canada is a key trade partner [1] - Earnings are a primary driver of equity markets, with reported earnings up 13% and revenues up 8%, indicating margin expansion [2] - Despite strong earnings reports, some companies, including Verdiff and IBM, experienced stock price declines due to market reactions [3][4] Group 2 - Verdiff's fundamentals show total revenues up 28%, operating margins beating expectations by 200 basis points, and orders up 60%, indicating strong performance [5] - The stock price drop following positive earnings is viewed as a buying opportunity, reflecting the volatility of earnings season [4][6] - Expectations for the upcoming CPI report suggest that any market volatility may be a buying opportunity, with potential interest rate cuts already anticipated [6]

Welcome back. It's a pretty good Thursday on the Street of Dreams. You got stocks up across the board.The S&P's up threequarters of 1%. NASDAQ up 1% and today really just continuing a rally for the ages. The S&P 500 is basically doubled off its intraday low exactly 5 years ago.The Nasdaq 100 though says, "Hold my beer, it's up 128% in just 60 months." This market along with crypto and maybe even gold have hopefully made a lot of people like you very rich. The fear is that at some point stocks stop going up ...

U.S. stocks dumps as Wall Street digests chaotic earnings wave.$IBM ⬇️ 6%, $TSLA ⬇️ 4%.With CPI data coming this week, are you going to long or short on #BitgetStockFutures today? https://t.co/ZwDLEFPZsO ...

We've seen the ten year. Good morning. Seeing the technique push through, then through that 4% level, we're at 3.9%, 7% right now.Shutdowns can be good for treasuries. What are we expecting to see. What are you watching for next when it comes to Treasury markets.Yeah, absolutely. So what you've seen over the past few months is the rally in Treasuries has largely been because you've priced in more Fed easing. I think also it's very true that the US government bond market has returned as the safe haven of cho ...

Earnings Season and Market Performance - Earnings season has shown resilience, with companies like Ally demonstrating strong performance despite a weakening labor market [2][12] - Big tech companies are expected to play a significant role in market performance, with Apple recently receiving a buy upgrade and reaching a record high [3][4] - The upcoming CPI data is crucial for understanding economic conditions, particularly for Social Security cost of living adjustments [5][4] Labor Market Insights - The labor market is experiencing a "low fire, low hire" environment, with stable unemployment rates and limited mass layoffs [9][10] - Small and medium-sized firms are facing more job market declines compared to larger firms, indicating a K-shaped economic slowdown [11][12] - Despite concerns, the overall impact on the aggregate economy has not yet been significant [12] Regional Banks and Credit Concerns - Recent stress among regional lenders is viewed as contained, with limited exposure to companies facing bankruptcy [14][15] - Unlike the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, current losses among regional banks are manageable, and investor fear has not been sustained [16][18] - The S&P 500 remains close to all-time highs despite credit jitters and economic uncertainties [19][20] Investment Strategies and Market Outlook - Financials and industrials are highlighted as sectors with potential for earnings catch-up, as they have not experienced the same valuation increases as big tech [27][28] - Infrastructure investments are seen as favorable in moderate to high inflation environments, encompassing traditional projects as well as AI-related developments [29] - Private credit opportunities are being explored, particularly those with lower economic sensitivity and closer to investment-grade assets [29][30]

Post Crypto nuke fallout.Trump vs China trade war.ZEC pumping.And CPI!You could say, it's going to be a big week. https://t.co/2RuW0MiAew ...

Monetary Policy & Economic Data - The Fed is closely monitoring private sector data to compensate for potential government data delays, but acknowledges it may not be fully representative [4][5] - The Fed considers the labor market weakness as a key factor in policy decisions, with concerns about negative job growth [6][7] - The Fed acknowledges the importance of CPI data for assessing inflation, especially regarding colleagues' concerns [10][11] - The Fed views tariff effects as one-off events and focuses more on the labor market when setting policy [12][14] Labor Market Assessment - The labor market is considered weak, with negative job growth and a lack of hiring plans reported anecdotally [6][7][8] - There is no evidence of a tight labor market, with no wage increases or rising vacancies [15][16] Inflation & Tariffs - Tariff effects are seen as one-time price increases, not causing persistent inflation, consistent with central bank's long-standing view [12][13] - Businesses are passing tariffs through to higher-income consumers but not to lower-income consumers [18][19] - There's an estimated 40% pass-through of tariffs to prices, showing a correlation between tariff size and price changes [19] Future Policy Direction - The Fed is leaning towards cutting rates but cautiously, considering the divergence between a weak labor market and strong GDP growth (close to 4%) [20][22] - The Fed prefers a gradual approach to rate cuts (quarter point) to allow for adjustments based on incoming data [23] Private Credit Market - The Fed does not view the private credit market as a significant systemic risk due to the substantial equity positions involved [24][25]

inflation reading today. It is the biggest month-on-month and year-on-year increase for CPI since January. CNBC senior economics reporter Steve Leeman joins us this morning with some new ways of looking through these numbers.Hey, Steve. Hey, Carl. Yeah, welcome to our new augmented realities uh set here.Talk about this firm inflation number that the Fed is expected to look through because of the gathering concern about the labor market, but this spike in jobless claims may be partly seasonal as we'll come b ...