Vi e w p o i n t | 19 Jan 2026 23:28:49 ET │ 54 pages China Technology & Communications 2026 Outlook: Embrace AI Opportunities in Computing, Networking, Edges and Agents CITI'S TAKE We are positive to HK/China tech despite three years of outperformance (vs. MSCI China) but are aware of high expectations and macro/sector risks ahead. Valuation had re-rated exiting 2025; we prefer H shares to A shares among tech and communication names. In 2026, we continue to embrace AI opportunities across computing, networ ...

Core Insights - Earnings estimates for CommScope Holding Company, Inc. (COMM) for 2025 and 2026 have increased significantly, with a rise of 371.4% to $1.65 and 80% to $1.80, indicating strong growth expectations for the company [1][7]. Portfolio Restructuring - CommScope is benefiting from stringent cost-cutting measures and a focus on core operations, actively pruning non-core businesses while emphasizing inorganic growth to enhance its portfolio and technological innovation [2]. - The company has divested its Home Networks business to Vantiva SA, allowing both CommScope and Home Networks to focus on innovation and market strategies, with dedicated R&D for the Home Networks unit [3]. - CommScope has acquired Casa Systems' Cable Business assets, strengthening its market position in Access Network Solutions and enhancing its product offerings in virtual CMTS and PON, aligning with its strategy to expand technological capabilities [4]. Network Convergence - CommScope is dedicated to developing solutions that support wireline and wireless network convergence, which is essential for the success of 5G technology [8]. - The enhanced product offerings enable CommScope to provide comprehensive solutions that cater to the growing demand for high-speed, reliable network connectivity, aiming to improve customer satisfaction and loyalty [9]. Market Performance - Over the past year, CommScope's stock has surged 241.7%, outperforming the industry growth of 127.7% and competitors like Bandwidth Inc. and Anterix Inc., which have seen declines [10]. - Despite the positive performance, CommScope faces fierce competition from larger rivals and regional players, which may impact its market position [13]. Long-Term Growth Prospects - The company's focus on portfolio restructuring and network convergence is expected to support long-term growth prospects, particularly in deploying fiber networks for global service providers [15].

Core Insights - India is advancing towards a significant initiative in autonomous vehicles while also addressing the growing demand for electric vehicles (EVs) [1][4] - The government is developing the Connected Commercial Vehicle (CCV) protocol to enhance communication between vehicles and infrastructure [1][2] Group 1: Autonomous Vehicles and V2X Connectivity - The CCV protocol aims to bridge the gap between smart vehicles capable of vehicle-to-everything (V2X) connectivity and non-responsive infrastructure [2] - Discussions involving the Union road transport ministry, NHAI, NITI Aayog, and industry representatives are underway to refine this plan [3] - The focus is on V2X platforms that facilitate communication between vehicles and infrastructure without relying on cellular networks [13] Group 2: Electric Vehicle Infrastructure - The plan includes creating regulatory and technical frameworks for seamless connectivity between electric vehicles and advanced highway infrastructure [8] - India is preparing for large-scale long-haul electric mobility, emphasizing interoperability protocols for electric vehicles and charging infrastructure [9][16] - The government aims to install over 72,000 additional public EV charging stations by FY28 under the ₹10,900-crore PM E-Drive scheme [20] Group 3: Market Growth and Investment Opportunities - India's EV market is projected to be worth approximately $55 billion in 2025, with expectations to double by 2029 [18] - The rise in EV adoption is evident, with over 2 million EVs sold in 2025, marking an increase from 1.9 million in 2024 [17] - The initiative to upgrade road transport infrastructure is expected to create investment opportunities for local companies in various sectors, including automotive suppliers and communication infrastructure providers [21][22]

Market Overview - The U.S. equity markets have experienced a downtrend, marked by a four-day losing streak due to concerns over economic health and high valuations of AI firms [1] - Job additions in November were better than expected at 64,000, surpassing the forecast of 45,000, yet the unemployment rate rose to a four-year high of 4.6%, raising doubts about the economy's state [1] Oil Market Impact - Crude oil prices in the U.S. have fallen to their lowest levels since 2021, influenced by a looming surplus in the market, adding to investor concerns [2] Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to consider momentum stocks as a strategy to navigate current market volatility, with examples including Dillard's, Inc. (DDS), Sanmina Corporation (SANM), and CommScope Holding Company, Inc. (COMM) [2] - Momentum investing is characterized by the principle of "buying high and selling higher," capitalizing on established trends [3] Momentum Stock Screening - A screening strategy has been developed to identify momentum anomaly stocks, focusing on the top 50 stocks with the best percentage price change over the last 52 weeks [5] - From these, the bottom 10 performers over the past week are selected to identify those experiencing short-term pullbacks [6] - Stocks with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and a Momentum Style Score of B or better are prioritized, indicating a higher probability of success [7] Selected Stocks - Dillard's, Inc. has seen a price increase of 49.1% over the past year but has declined by 11.4% in the past week, holding a Momentum Score of B [10] - Sanmina Corporation's stock has jumped 82.4% in the past year but fell by 15.6% in the past week, also with a Momentum Score of B [12] - CommScope has surged 189.9% over the past year but lost 11.8% in the past week, maintaining a Momentum Score of B [14]

Core Insights - CommScope Holdings Company, Inc. (COMM) shares have increased by 251.5% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the Communication Infrastructure industry's growth of 83.6% and the S&P 500 [1][9] Group 1: Growth Drivers - The Access Network Solutions (ANS) segment experienced a 77% year-over-year increase in net sales in Q3, driven by the ongoing DOCSIS upgrade cycle and the deployment of DOCSIS 4.0 products [3] - The RUCKUS segment is benefiting from strong demand for WiFi 7 products and subscription services, with large private ventures deploying COMM's T670 outdoor Wi-Fi access points [4] - The Connectivity and Cable Solutions segment recorded a 51% year-over-year growth and is a major cash flow generator, with plans to divest this segment to Amphenol Corporation for $10.5 billion [6] Group 2: Innovation and Collaboration - CommScope's RUCKUS network introduced the RUCKUS MDU suite, featuring AI-assisted network management and Wi-Fi 7 access points, enhancing reliability and performance [11] - The company is collaborating with Nokia to streamline fiber-to-the-home deployments in the Asia-Pacific region, reinforcing its competitive edge [11] Group 3: Financial Metrics and Estimates - Earnings estimates for 2025 have risen by 27.13% to $1.64, while estimates for 2026 have increased by 33.95% to $2.17, indicating growing investor confidence [12] - The company's shares trade at a price/sales ratio of 0.69, lower than the industry average of 0.99 but above its historical mean of 0.25 [14] Group 4: Market Position - CommScope's extensive and differentiated portfolio, along with its focus on innovation, supports a strong position in the communication infrastructure industry [15] - Continued portfolio expansion and healthy demand across various end markets are key factors driving growth [15]

Core Insights - CommScope Holding Company, Inc. (COMM) is set to report Q3 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, with revenue and earnings estimates at $1.42 billion and $0.37 per share respectively [1][7] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have decreased by 0.77% and 1.22% respectively, indicating softer growth expectations [1][7] - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, averaging 98.3% over the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of 83.33% in the last reported quarter [2][3] Earnings Performance - CommScope's earnings surprise history shows consistent outperformance against estimates, with the most recent quarter reflecting an 83.33% surprise [2][3] - The company currently has an Earnings Surprise Prediction (ESP) of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a neutral outlook for the upcoming earnings report [4] Factors Influencing Results - CommScope achieved record downstream speeds of 16.25 Gbps in a DOCSIS 4.0 network, which is expected to positively impact upcoming earnings [5][8] - A partnership with Comcast for DOCSIS 4.0 network upgrades is anticipated to enhance performance in the ANS and Ruckus segments [8][9] - The divestiture of the Connectivity and Cable Solutions Segment to Amphenol Corporation is expected to improve liquidity and drive innovation in the remaining segments [9][10] Sales Projections - Projected net sales for the Connectivity and Cable Solutions segment are $966.66 million, while Ruckus and ANS segments are expected to generate $178.22 million and $291.10 million respectively [10] Market Performance - Over the past year, CommScope's stock has increased by 139.4%, outperforming the industry growth of 81.7% and competitors like Corning (90.2% increase) and Harmonic (29% decline) [11] Valuation Metrics - CommScope's shares are trading at a price/sales ratio of 0.6, which is lower than the industry average of 0.9 but higher than its historical mean of 0.26, indicating a relatively cheaper valuation [12] Investment Considerations - The company is experiencing strong demand in the ANS segment due to the rise of high data-intensive applications, driving the transition from DOCSIS 3.1 to DOCSIS 4.0 [15] - Demand in the CCS segment is also robust, supported by growth in cloud and data center projects, including GenAI initiatives [16] - Competition remains intense from industry leaders like Corning, Cisco, and Amphenol, particularly in communication infrastructure [16] Strategic Outlook - CommScope's broad customer base and diverse portfolio are expected to support growth in the coming quarters, despite challenges from geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic factors [17][19] - The strategic divestiture and focus on innovation are seen as positive factors for long-term growth potential [19]

Core Insights - CommScope Holding Company, Inc. (COMM) is experiencing strong net sales growth due to its diverse portfolio offerings and strategic partnerships [1][3][7] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, CommScope reported $90.9 million in research and development expenses, an increase from $72.6 million in the same quarter last year, indicating a focus on innovation [1] - The company's shares have increased by 153% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 86.1% [6] - Earnings estimates for 2025 have decreased by 0.77% to $1.29 per share, while estimates for 2026 have fallen by 1.22% to $1.62 [9][7] Group 2: Product and Innovation - The company launched the SYSTIMAX Constellation edge-based power and connectivity platform, which supports 10G or higher speed networks with reduced costs and space requirements [2] - CommScope is focusing on high-growth opportunities in fiber optic connectivity, including FTTX, Wi-Fi 7, DOCSIS 4.0, and GPON [1] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships - CommScope has partnered with Nokia to enhance fiber deployment in the Asia Pacific region and is collaborating with Comcast to roll out DOCSIS 4.0 amplifiers [3] - These partnerships are expected to drive innovation and improve commercial prospects for the company [3] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - CommScope faces competition from Corning Incorporated and Harmonic Inc. in the communication infrastructure market, with Harmonic gaining traction through the adoption of DOCSIS 4.0 [4][5] - Corning's broad portfolio in communication infrastructure, including fiber broadband and AI data centers, positions it well for long-term growth [5] Group 5: Valuation Metrics - CommScope's shares currently trade at a price/sales ratio of 0.6, which is lower than the industry average of 0.9, indicating potential undervaluation [8]

Core Insights - CommScope Holdings Company, Inc. (COMM) has experienced a year-to-date stock increase of 192.2%, outperforming the Communication Infrastructure industry's growth of 95.3% and the S&P 500 [1][8] - The company has also surpassed competitors such as Corning Incorporated (80.2% increase) and Ubiquiti Inc (106.1% increase) [2] Company Performance - CommScope's diverse and differentiated portfolio positions it strongly within the communication infrastructure industry, with solid customer growth across various segments [3] - The Connectivity and Cable Solutions segment is benefiting from robust cloud and data center growth, while the Ruckus segment is seeing increased demand for WiFi solutions [3] - Revenue growth in the Access Networks Solution segment is driven by high demand for DOCSIS 4.0 products and increased license sales [3] Customer Base and Partnerships - Major enterprises such as Charter Communications, Comcast, and Cox Communications rely on CommScope's products to enhance their network infrastructure [4] - The company has a global salesforce and a wide network of channel partners, enabling it to serve customers across 100 countries efficiently [4] Product Innovations - CommScope has launched its evolved SYSTIMAX Constellation, an edge-based power and connectivity platform designed to meet the needs of hyperconnected enterprises [5] - The company has partnered with Nokia to expedite fiber-to-the-home deployment in the Asia Pacific region, combining technologies to enhance service delivery [5] Competitive Landscape - CommScope faces significant competition in its markets, particularly from Amphenol Corporation and Corning in the CCS segment, and Ubiquiti in the RUCKUS segment [6][8] Challenges - The company is contending with intense competition and U.S.-China trade tensions, which may affect margin stability [8][9] - Tariffs on communication equipment from China and fluctuating raw material prices are additional concerns impacting profitability [9] Financial Estimates - There is a downward trend in earnings estimate revisions for CommScope, with 2025 estimates declining by 0.77% to $1.29 and 2026 estimates decreasing by 1.22% to $1.62 [10] Valuation Metrics - From a valuation perspective, CommScope appears relatively cheaper compared to the industry, with a price/sales ratio of 0.57, lower than the industry average of 0.86 but above its historical mean of 0.25 [11] Growth Drivers - The company is experiencing healthy traction in several segments, particularly in the data center vertical, supported by a broad customer base and a strong focus on innovation [13] - Strategic collaborations with industry leaders are also contributing to growth [13]

Group 1: Strategic Collaboration - Qorvo Inc. has formed a strategic collaboration with SIAE MICROELETTRONICA to integrate Qorvo's Beamformer Integrated Circuit technology into SIAE's phased array platform for a compact Ka-band antenna solution [1][8] - The new solution is designed for platforms with limited space and aims to provide secure satellite links with high throughput [1][8] Group 2: Market Growth and Trends - The global satellite communication market is projected to grow from $98.68 billion in 2024 to $260.65 billion in 2034, with a compound annual growth rate of 10.2% [2] - Qorvo is expanding its portfolio to capitalize on the emerging trends in satellite communication systems, which are becoming critical for global connectivity [2] Group 3: Technological Advancements - Qorvo's expertise in millimeter wave and microwave IC technologies, combined with SIAE's system design, will lead to advanced satcom solutions applicable in defense, aerospace, and NewSpace sectors [3] - The transition from 4G LTE to 5G technology in emerging markets is expected to benefit Qorvo, as the demand for advanced smartphones and active electronic scanning systems grows [4]

Group 1 - Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) is collaborating with the University of Palermo to implement AI-powered video security and access control solutions for its large-scale operations, which include approximately 45,000 students and 1,700 staff across 16 departments [1] - The AI-native security solutions from Motorola include fixed video security, access control systems, body-worn cameras, and an AI-powered Avigilon video management solution that centralizes video and data management [2] - The Sao Paolo subway is also partnering with Motorola to enhance its security systems, equipping it with over 3,000 P25 land mobile radio communication systems to improve communication clarity and operational efficiency for around three million daily passengers [3] Group 2 - Motorola anticipates strong demand for its video security and land mobile radio products, which is expected to drive long-term growth, supported by recent customer wins in the public safety sector [4] - The company is experiencing momentum in deploying its VB400 body-worn cameras globally, enhancing the security of police officers [4] - The comprehensive portfolio of CommScope allows it to maintain a dominant position in the communication infrastructure industry, focusing on solutions that support network convergence essential for 5G technology [8]