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Core Viewpoint - Mortgage rates are expected to experience a slow and uneven decline rather than a significant drop following the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, according to economists and housing forecasters Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to implement a quarter-point rate cut at its December 9-10 meeting, with futures markets indicating a nearly 90% probability, which would adjust the federal funds rate to approximately 3.5%–3.75% [2] - Fed Chair Jerome Powell's guidance will significantly influence the direction of mortgage rates, with expectations of cautious messaging regarding future rate cuts beyond the immediate meeting [4] Group 2: Current Mortgage Rates - The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has decreased to around 6.2%, down from approximately 6.7% a year ago, reflecting a trend of falling rates since late July due to expectations of a Fed rate cut [3] - Mortgage rates typically respond to investor expectations and the 10-year Treasury yield rather than the Fed's short-term rate, suggesting that the recent decline may have already been factored into current rates [5] Group 3: Future Projections - Major forecasters, including Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research group, predict that 30-year mortgage rates will end 2025 at about 6.3% and only decrease to around 5.9% by the end of 2026, indicating a prolonged period of elevated rates [7] - Bank of America’s Aditya Bhave suggests that a mortgage rate closer to 5% is necessary to stimulate home sales, which are currently stagnant near post-2008 lows, implying that any immediate post-meeting rate drops will be minimal [8]

Mortgage Rates - The average rate on the benchmark 30-year fixed mortgage decreased to 6.21% from 6.22% last week, down from 6.72% a year ago [1][3] - The average rate on a 15-year fixed mortgage fell to 5.47% from 5.54% last week [3] Market Trends - Mortgage rates have remained within a narrow 10-basis point range over the last two months, with a decrease of half a percent compared to last year [3] - Purchase applications are 10% above the same time last year, indicating increased buyer activity [3] Economic Context - The Federal Reserve recently lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.5% to 3.75%, which indirectly influences mortgage rates [4] - The 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.12% as of Thursday afternoon, which closely tracks mortgage rates [4] Buyer Conditions - Homebuyers are in a more favorable position now than a year ago, with mortgage rates easing into the low-6% range and inventory levels well above last year's [6] - Renters have also seen improved affordability, with rents falling for the 28th consecutive month in November [6]

Group 1 - The average long-term mortgage rate increased to 6.22% from 6.19% last week, compared to 6.6% a year ago [1] - The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose to 5.54% from 5.44% last week, while it was 5.84% a year ago [1] Group 2 - Mortgage rates are influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, bond market investors' expectations for the economy, and inflation [2] - Mortgage rates generally follow the trajectory of the 10-year Treasury yield, which is used by lenders to price home loans [2]

Mortgage rates in the US ticked lower this week https://t.co/B7Fye9VuHI ...

Core Insights - Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey indicates that the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) is at 6.21% as of December 18, 2025, showing a slight decrease from the previous week when it was 6.22% [1][5] - The current 30-year FRM is down by half a percent compared to the same time last year, when it averaged 6.72% [1][5] - Purchase applications have increased by 10% compared to the same period last year, reflecting a positive trend in the housing market [1] Mortgage Rate Details - The 15-year FRM averaged 5.47% as of December 18, 2025, down from 5.54% the previous week and lower than the 5.92% average a year ago [5] - The PMMS focuses on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers with excellent credit who put 20% down [2]

Group 1: UWM and TWO Merger - United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) has entered into a definitive merger agreement to acquire Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) in an all-stock transaction valued at $1.3 billion in equity [5] - This acquisition will enhance UWM's servicing book from $216 billion to $422 billion, moving it from a 18 ranking to 8 in the industry [9] - The merger is part of a broader trend of consolidation in the mortgage industry, with UWM aiming to strengthen its position in both origination and servicing [10][11] Group 2: Industry Trends and Insights - The mortgage industry is experiencing a multi-dimensional restructuring focused on technology-enabled scale and lifecycle monetization, which is essential for resilience across economic cycles [10] - Recent legislative changes, specifically credit trigger legislation, will restrict third-party marketing to borrowers, allowing only originators and servicers to contact them [12] - Major players like UWM and Rocket are strategically acquiring servicing capabilities to maintain direct contact with borrowers, especially during refinancing opportunities [13][14] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Economic Indicators - The capital markets are currently in a wait-and-see mode, with interest rates remaining stable and mortgage bonds trading mixed [17] - Recent economic reports showed lower-than-expected inflation rates, with the November CPI indicating a core increase of 2.6% year-over-year [18] - Upcoming economic data releases, including jobless claims and manufacturing reports, are anticipated to influence market sentiment and investor behavior [18]

Americans who are thinking of selling their homes may decide to stay put when they look at today’s interest rates, especially if they’re currently locked in at a low rate. The Trump administration appears to be hoping to change that. William Pulte, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), recently posted on X that the agency is “actively evaluating” portable mortgages. His statement came shortly after Trump said that he was considering introducing 50-year mortgages for borrowers. Must Read ...

AI Automation, U/W, CRM, Agency CEO Pay Cap; UAD 3.6 Update; Economic Jitters Lender and Broker Services, Products, and SoftwareWarehouse lending got a major upgrade in 2025. OptiFunder has transformed the industry with the first fully connected warehouse ecosystem that brings originators and warehouse lenders together. Its WMS and Greyhound platforms automate everything, from funding requests to paydowns, so no more delays or endless spreadsheets. Originators get smart AI-driven warehouse allocation and a ...

Core Viewpoint - UWM Holdings Corporation is set to acquire Two Harbors Investment Corp in an all-stock transaction valued at $1.3 billion, aimed at enhancing profitability and operational efficiency for both companies [1][2]. Transaction Overview - The merger will be executed at a fixed exchange ratio of 2.3328 shares of UWMC Class A Common Stock for each share of TWO common stock, equating to a value of $11.94 per share for TWO [10]. - Upon completion, UWM shareholders will own approximately 87% of the combined entity, while TWO shareholders will hold about 13% [10]. Strategic Benefits - The acquisition is expected to nearly double UWM's mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio to approximately $400 billion, significantly increasing recurring revenues [3]. - UWM anticipates annual cost and revenue synergies of around $150 million, contributing to earnings growth [3]. - The combined company will rank as the 8th largest servicer nationwide, enhancing its market position [9]. Operational Enhancements - UWM will gain expanded servicing expertise and scale, facilitating the in-house servicing transition [3]. - The merger will leverage TWO's capital markets expertise alongside UWM's operational scale to improve financing and hedging efficiencies [9]. Leadership and Governance - The transaction has received unanimous approval from the Boards of Directors of both companies and is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026, pending stockholder and regulatory approvals [11]. - The Board of the combined company will expand to eleven directors, including one designated by TWO [10]. Market Context - The merger reflects a growing trend in the mortgage industry where scale is increasingly critical for success [5]. - Both companies share a commitment to innovation and modernization in financial services, aiming to empower mortgage brokers and consumers [6].