Core Insights - Goldman Sachs (GS) reaffirmed its leading position in announced and completed mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in Q1 2025, highlighting its strength in investment banking despite sector challenges [1][9] - The firm is strategically exiting non-core consumer banking to focus on high-margin investment banking and trading operations [1][9] Company Developments - Goldman Sachs received a proposal from Apple to end their consumer banking partnership, potentially concluding before the contract expiration in 2030 [2] - In 2024, Goldman transferred its GM credit card business to Barclays and sold its home-improvement lending platform, GreenSky, alongside divesting its Personal Financial Management unit in 2023 [2] Market Conditions - Anticipated resurgence in M&A for 2025 has been delayed due to market volatility from tariff proposals and persistent inflation, with recovery expectations pushed to the second half of 2025 [3] - Despite stabilizing interest rates and strong corporate cash positions, companies are adopting a cautious approach to deal activity amid economic uncertainty [3] Financial Performance - Goldman Sachs' investment banking revenues fell 8% year-over-year in Q1 2025, but a growing backlog of advisory work suggests a potential rebound when market conditions improve [4][9] - GS shares have increased by 5.7% year-to-date, compared to the industry's growth of 8.9% [7] Competitor Analysis - JPMorgan (JPM) remains a strong competitor, with its investment banking fees growing 12% year-over-year to $2.18 billion in Q1 2025, driven by advisory fees and debt underwriting income [5] - Morgan Stanley (MS) has seen an 8% increase in investment banking revenues in Q1 2025, while diversifying into more stable revenue sources [6] Valuation and Estimates - Goldman Sachs trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.78X, below the industry average of 13.61X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GS's earnings implies year-over-year growth of 9.6% for 2025 and 13.1% for 2026, with estimates remaining unchanged over the past 30 days [13]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a modest impact on corporate earnings and cash flows from the budget reconciliation bill, estimating a boost of around 5% for the S&P 500 in the next year [1][2]. Core Insights - The budget reconciliation bill is expected to have only a modest effect on the US fiscal balance and corporate earnings, with potential earnings boosts diminishing in subsequent years [1][2]. - The ECB is anticipated to cut rates by 25 basis points, with growth forecasts remaining unchanged at 0.9% for this year and a slight decline for next year [11]. - The report highlights the potential for renewed interest in European equities due to the Section 899 provision of the reconciliation bill, which may create uncertainty for US investments [2][5]. Fiscal Policy Focus - The budget reconciliation bill is projected to have limited effects on migration and economic activity, particularly for high-earning households [5]. - Fiscal policy in China is expected to support growth, with an estimated boost of 1.1 percentage points to real GDP growth this year [6]. ECB Projections - The ECB's growth forecast for this year is expected to remain at 0.9%, with a slight decline in next year's forecast [11]. - Inflation projections are likely to be downgraded, with headline and core inflation expected to decline to 1.7% and 1.8% respectively for next year [11]. US Jobs Report - The report estimates a below-consensus increase of 110,000 in nonfarm payrolls for May, with an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.2% [16]. - Average hourly earnings are forecasted to increase by 0.3% month-over-month [16]. Steel and Aluminum Tariffs - The doubling of US steel and aluminum tariffs to 50% is expected to negatively impact US steel demand from the manufacturing sector [16]. - There is a potential risk of tariffs being imposed on copper imports, which is currently underpriced in the market [16].

3 June 2025 | 9:27AM EDT US Monthly Inflation Monitor: May 2025: The Tariff Boost Remains Small for Now but Should Rise From Here (Rindels) Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC n Recent inflation trends: n Factors influencing core goods prices: Jan Hatzius +1(212)902-0394 | Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Alec Phillips +1(202)637-3746 | Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC David Mericle +1(212)357-2619 | david.mericle@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ronnie Walker +1(917)343-4543 | ronnie.walker@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Manuel Abecasis ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a real GDP growth forecast for China of 4.6% in 2025, revised from 4.0% due to changes in US tariffs and economic conditions [3][4]. Core Insights - There has been no significant shift from external to domestic demand in China's economy, with exports remaining strong despite higher US tariffs [3][8]. - Retail sales growth has improved, largely driven by a government-subsidized consumer goods trade-in program, with some categories seeing sales growth exceeding 20% year-on-year [11][8]. - The property sector has shown signs of weakness, with new property starts down approximately 75% from peak levels and property sales dropping by about 50% [16][21]. - The labor market is currently very weak, with employment sub-indices indicating significant slack, particularly in construction and small businesses [17][21]. - The Chinese Yuan (CNY) is expected to begin a multi-year strengthening path against the USD, as it is considered significantly undervalued [22][23]. Summary by Sections Economic Overview - The US effective tariff rate on Chinese goods is projected to remain around 40% for the remainder of the year, impacting growth forecasts [3][7]. - Despite higher tariffs, export volume increased by 13% year-on-year in April, indicating resilience in the export sector [3][8]. Retail Sector - Retail sales growth improved to 4.7% year-on-year in January-April 2025, compared to 3.5% in the same period of 2024, primarily due to the trade-in program [9][11]. Property Market - The property market has weakened, with new property starts and sales significantly declining, indicating a destocking process to clear excess inventory [16][21]. Labor Market - Employment indices from various PMIs show that the labor market is extremely weak, particularly in construction and small businesses, with many indices below the 5th percentile of historical performance [17][21]. Currency Outlook - The CNY is expected to strengthen against the USD, supported by undervaluation and competitive manufacturing factors, with a revised 12-month forecast of 7.00 for USDCNY [22][23][28].

Group 1 - American Trust Investment Services, Inc. (ATIS) is acting as the exclusive placement agent for Fly-E Group Inc. in its follow-on public offering [1][5] - The offering includes 28,595,553 shares of common stock and 57,191,106 warrants, with a public offering price of $0.2428 per share, aiming for gross proceeds of approximately $6.94 million [2] - Fly-E Group Inc. specializes in electric vehicles, focusing on smart electric motorcycles, e-bikes, scooters, and related accessories, and operates over 30 retail stores in the U.S. [3] Group 2 - The net proceeds from the offering will be allocated for inventory purchases, vehicle production, and general corporate purposes [4] - ATIS emphasizes its commitment to supporting high-growth companies like Fly-E, aiming to enhance their market leadership in sustainable mobility [5] - ATIS is recognized for providing tailored capital markets solutions and has a strong track record in guiding businesses through complex financial transactions [6]

Company Overview - Colliers has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire a controlling interest in Astris Infrastructure, LLC, enhancing its capabilities in infrastructure and energy transition [1] - Astris Finance has a strong presence with 65 professionals across nine offices globally, providing strategic and transaction advisory services in various sectors [2] - The acquisition is expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, subject to customary closing conditions [1] Strategic Importance - The partnership will significantly expand Colliers' investment banking capabilities, allowing better service to institutional clients and capitalizing on the growing demand for infrastructure [3] - Astris Finance has ranked among the top three financial advisors in the IJ Global Renewables League Tables, indicating its strong market position [2] - The collaboration aims to broaden advisory capabilities and unlock new opportunities for clients worldwide [3] Financial Metrics - Astris Finance has advised on over 400 transactions totaling more than $60 billion in investment [2] - Colliers manages over $25 billion in energy transition and infrastructure assets [3] - Astris Finance is currently working on a pipeline of 50+ M&A and financing deals representing an aggregate investment of more than $15 billion [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Stifel achieved record net revenues of $4.97 billion in 2024, the highest in the firm's history [14] - Non-GAAP earnings totaled $756 million, equating to $6.81 per share, reflecting a 46% increase from the previous year [15] - The return on tangible common equity was 22.7% on a non-GAAP basis, and the share price rose by 56.4% in 2024 [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global Wealth Management revenue reached $3.3 billion, up from $3 billion in 2023, with asset management revenue increasing by 18% [24] - The Institutional Group generated $1.6 billion in revenue, a 30% increase from 2023, with investment banking revenue at $973 million, including a 24% rise in advisory revenue [29] - Stifel Bancorp closed the year with over $31 billion in assets, maintaining a conservative risk profile while expanding support for wealth and investment banking platforms [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. economy grew by 2.8% in 2024, despite inflation remaining above the Fed's target, ending the year at 2.8% [17] - The S&P 500 rose by 23.3% in 2024, while the NASDAQ increased by 28.6%, driven by gains in mega-cap tech and AI stocks [19] - In 2025, trade war headlines raised stagflation concerns, with the ten-year treasury yield hovering around 4.4% [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for long-term goals of $10 billion in revenue and $1 trillion in client assets, viewing these as milestones rather than endpoints [16] - Stifel is focusing on enhancing its AI capabilities to improve client service and operational efficiency, with a three-tier strategy for AI implementation [34][35] - The "One Stifel" initiative aims to unify client experiences across all business lines, emphasizing investment in training and leadership development [32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the U.S. economy and the health of the markets, despite recent volatility [21] - The company acknowledges the shifting global trade landscape and aims to remain agile and disciplined in response to these changes [23] - Management highlighted the importance of technology in reshaping the industry and enhancing client service [23] Other Important Information - Stifel's annualized dividend increased by 10% from $1.68 to $1.84 per share, reflecting strong financial performance [15] - The firm was recognized for its advisor satisfaction, ranking number one in the J.D. Power study for the second consecutive year [26] Q&A Session Summary - There were no questions raised during the Q&A session [40]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the oil industry but indicates a potential pause in production increases and marginally lower prices in the second half of 2025, suggesting a cautious outlook [5][3]. Core Insights - OPEC+ plans to increase oil production by an additional 411 thousand barrels per day (kb/d) in July, which aligns with market expectations [2] - The total production increase from OPEC+ members will reach 1.37 million barrels per day (Mb/d) out of the intended 2.5 Mb/d over 18 months, achieving the production level initially targeted for early 2026 [5] - The market is expected to experience a surplus of 0.3 Mb/d in the third quarter of 2025 and 0.7 Mb/d in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to the additional production [3] Summary by Sections OPEC+ Production Plans - OPEC+ members are set to add 411 kb/d in July, which was higher than the previously forecasted 138 kb/d [2] - The group has already implemented 1.37 Mb/d of the planned 2.5 Mb/d increase, indicating a significant ramp-up in production [5] Market Dynamics - The anticipated surplus in oil supply is projected to be 0.3 Mb/d in Q3 2025 and 0.7 Mb/d in Q4 2025, which could lead to downward pressure on prices if production increases continue [3] - The report suggests that demand will peak between March and August, with a decline expected in September, further influencing price dynamics [5] Price Forecast - The base case scenario anticipates a pause in production increases and a slight decrease in oil prices to approximately $62 per barrel in the second half of 2025 [5]

Core Insights - BioSig Technologies, Inc. has appointed Sean Roosen as Strategic Advisor to its wholly owned subsidiary, Streamex Exchange Corporation, following its acquisition in May 2025 [1] - Sean Roosen is a prominent figure in the mining industry with over 30 years of experience, having founded and led multiple successful resource ventures [2][3] - Streamex aims to revolutionize commodity markets through real-world asset tokenization, enhancing liquidity and accessibility in the financial sector [6][8] Company Overview - BioSig Technologies, Inc. is a medical device technology company known for its PURE EP™ Platform, which aids electrophysiologists in treating cardiovascular arrhythmias [9] - Streamex focuses on tokenizing real-world assets in the commodities space, developing infrastructure for primary issuance and exchange [6][8] Leadership and Expertise - Sean Roosen has a notable track record, including founding Osisko Development Corp. and leading Osisko Mining Corporation, which developed the Canadian Malartic mine [2][3] - The advisory board of Streamex includes other industry leaders, such as Frank Giustra, who has founded companies with significant market capitalizations [7] Strategic Vision - The company believes in the future of finance being driven by tokenization and decentralized markets, aiming to bridge traditional finance with the digital economy [8] - Roosen expressed enthusiasm about joining Streamex, highlighting the potential of bringing the resource sector into the digital age through tokenized assets [5]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a dovish outlook for G10 policy rates through 2026, suggesting a significant decline in rates, particularly in the US, where 10-year Treasury yields are expected to reach 4.00% by the end of 2025 and just above 3.00% by the end of 2026 [6][27]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the US dollar is expected to weaken significantly, with the DXY forecasted to fall an additional 9% over the next 12 months to 91, driven by a convergence in US rates and growth to peers, alongside increased FX hedging flows [6][69]. - The report outlines a bearish outlook for global growth, particularly in the US, where real GDP growth is projected to decline from 2.5% in 2024 to 1.0% in both 2025 and 2026, influenced by tariffs and immigration restrictions [15][23]. - Inflation is expected to moderate globally, with core PCE in the US forecasted to reach 4.5% before declining, while the euro area is projected to undershoot the ECB's inflation target due to sluggish growth [23][34]. Interest Rate Strategy - In the US, Treasury yields are expected to range trade through 3Q25 before declining, with a forecast of 10-year yields at 4.00% by the end of 2025 and a larger decline in 2026 as the Fed is anticipated to cut rates by 175 basis points [3][27]. - The euro area is projected to see the 10-year Bund yield fall to 2.40% by 4Q25 and 2.20% by 4Q26, influenced by more ECB easing than currently priced in [3][35]. - In the UK, 10-year gilt yields are expected to end 2025 at 4.35% and 2026 at 3.80%, with the Bank Rate projected to decline further due to a slowdown in economic activity [41][43]. Currency & Foreign Exchange - The report forecasts continued weakness in the USD, with significant declines against safe-haven currencies such as EUR, JPY, and CHF, as the DXY is expected to fall to 91 by mid-2026 [8][69]. - Specific currency pairs are projected to move as follows: EUR/USD to rise to 1.25, GBP/USD to 1.45, and AUD/USD to 0.69 by mid-2026, reflecting various economic factors [8][69]. Inflation-Linked Bonds - In the US, breakevens are expected to remain elevated until 3Q25 due to tariff-induced inflation, with a tightening forecast around 2Q26 as inflationary pressures begin to cool [9]. Sovereign Supply Outlook - The report anticipates a decrease in net coupon bond supply across the G7, amounting to US$2.72 trillion in 2025, down 5% year-over-year, influenced by fiscal policy uncertainties [53][62].