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Tree.com (TREE) Shows Fast-paced Momentum But Is Still a Bargain Stock
ZACKS· 2025-04-01 13:50
Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher," contrasting with traditional strategies of "buying low and selling high" [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Strategy - Momentum investing can be risky as stocks may lose momentum if future growth does not justify high valuations [1] - Identifying the right entry point for fast-moving stocks is challenging, and traditional momentum parameters may not always be reliable [1] Group 2: Bargain Stocks with Momentum - Investing in bargain stocks that have recently shown price momentum may be a safer strategy [2] - The Zacks Momentum Style Score is useful for identifying strong momentum stocks, while the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen helps find attractively priced fast-moving stocks [2] Group 3: Tree.com (TREE) Analysis - Tree.com (TREE) has shown significant price momentum with a four-week price change of 31.8% [3] - Over the past 12 weeks, TREE's stock gained 26.1%, indicating its ability to deliver positive returns over a longer timeframe [4] - TREE has a beta of 1.9, suggesting it moves 90% higher than the market in either direction, indicating fast-paced momentum [4] Group 4: Valuation and Earnings Estimates - TREE has a Momentum Score of A, indicating a favorable time to invest [5] - The stock has a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to upward revisions in earnings estimates, which attract more investors [6] - TREE is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.75, meaning investors pay 75 cents for each dollar of sales, indicating a reasonable valuation [6] Group 5: Additional Investment Opportunities - Besides TREE, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen [7] - Zacks offers over 45 Premium Screens to help identify potential winning stock picks based on various investing styles [8]
Better Home & Finance pany(BETR) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-19 17:27
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, the company achieved a 19% year-over-year increase in funded loan volume, totaling $3.6 billion, and a 50% increase in revenue, reaching $108 million [10][11] - The adjusted EBITDA loss was reduced by 26% year-over-year, amounting to $121 million [10] - For Q4 2024, funded loan volume was $936 million, a 77% year-over-year increase, while revenue was $25 million, up from $18 million in Q4 2023 [12][49] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Funded loan volume growth in Q4 was driven by home equity products and refinance loans, with purchase loan volume increasing by 25% and refinance loan volume surging by 611% year-over-year [14] - Home equity loan volume increased by 416% in Q4 2024 compared to the previous year [14] - The company reported that 81% of funded loan volume in Q4 was generated through the direct-to-consumer (D2C) channel, with 62% being purchase loans [50] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The overall mortgage market saw improvements in Q4 2024, but 30-year fixed mortgage rates remained high, impacting mortgage demand [16] - The company outperformed the market, with a reported 619% increase in HELOC originations compared to a 10% industry-wide increase [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage AI and technology to enhance the home ownership experience, focusing on growth, efficiency improvements, and diversification of distribution channels [9][10] - The partnership with NEO Home Loans is expected to enhance local loan officer capabilities and improve conversion rates [33][45] - The company is committed to reducing expenses and improving operational efficiency to achieve profitability in the medium term [16][47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the growth potential in 2025, despite macroeconomic headwinds and the wind down of the Ally business [51][53] - The company anticipates a 10% to 15% decrease in funded loan volume in Q1 2025 due to seasonal slowness and the exit from non-core businesses [51] - Management highlighted the importance of AI in driving down operational costs and improving customer experience [18][30] Other Important Information - The company has implemented significant cost-saving measures, including reducing loan origination expenses by 28% and marketing expenses by 27% in Q4 [17] - The AI-driven assistant, Betsy, has significantly increased customer interactions, growing from 5,000 in June 2024 to over 115,000 by February 2025 [19][20] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the underwriting and AI technology adjust for high property insurance costs? - Management explained that their technology integrates multiple data sources to provide instant homeowners insurance quotes, significantly reducing the need for manual processing [58] Question: How does profitability impact risk-taking? - Management clarified that their marketplace model does not involve holding loans on the balance sheet, thus minimizing risk while focusing on efficiency and cost reduction [62][68] Question: Can you walk through the savings opportunities from Tinman's AI application? - Management detailed that AI has reduced costs associated with loan officer tasks and improved customer service efficiency, leading to significant savings per funded loan [78] Question: How are gain on sale margins trending in Q1? - Management reported that gain on sale margins are trending higher, particularly with the NEO partnership, which is expected to enhance overall profitability [85][88] Question: Can you contextualize contribution profit per loan? - Management indicated that contribution margins have been improving, and they are focused on reducing costs in the mortgage business to drive profitability [98][100]
Earnings Estimates Rising for Tree.com (TREE): Will It Gain?
ZACKS· 2025-03-18 17:21
Core Viewpoint - Investors are encouraged to consider Tree.com (TREE) due to solid improvements in earnings estimates and positive short-term price momentum [1][2] Earnings Estimates - Analysts are increasingly optimistic about Tree.com's earnings prospects, leading to higher estimates that are expected to reflect positively in the stock price [2] - The current quarter's earnings estimate is projected at $0.74 per share, indicating a year-over-year increase of +5.71% [4] - Over the past 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tree.com has surged by 435.29%, with three estimates moving higher and no negative revisions [4] - For the full year, the earnings estimate stands at $3.92 per share, representing a year-over-year change of +22.88% [5] - The consensus estimate for the current year has increased by 111.29%, with three estimates moving higher against one negative revision [5] Zacks Rank - Tree.com has achieved a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates [3][6] - The Zacks Rank system has a proven track record, with Zacks 1 Ranked stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 2008 [3] Investment Outlook - The strong estimate revisions have led to a 7.8% increase in Tree.com's stock over the past four weeks, suggesting potential for further upside [7] - Investors may consider adding Tree.com to their portfolios based on the positive earnings outlook and Zacks Rank [7]
Rocket Companies to buy real estate firm Redfin in $1.75B deal
Fox Business· 2025-03-10 15:16
Rocket Companies said on Monday it would acquire real estate listing platform Redfin in an all-stock deal valued at $1.75 billion, seeking to boost its lending business. Rocket's $12.50 per share offer equates to a near 115% premium to Redfin's Friday close. Redfin's shares rose about 74%, while Rocket's fell about 12% before the bell.Founded in 2004, Redfin operates a home search platform with more than 1 million for-sale and rental listings and a tech-powered brokerage of more than 2,200 agents. US PENDIN ...
Guild pany(GHLD) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-07 00:49
Guild Holdings Company (NYSE:GHLD) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call March 6, 2025 5:00 AM ET Company Participants Terry Schmidt – Chief Executive Officer David Neylan – President and Chief Operating Officer Amber Kramer – Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Derek Sommers – Jefferies Rick Shane – JPMorgan Jake Katsikas – BTIG Operator Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Guild Holdings Company fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, all parti ...
Velocity Financial(VEL) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-07 00:49
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Velocity Financial, Inc. reported a 64% increase in originations for 2024, leading to a 37% increase in net revenue [8][9] - The Q4 pretax return on equity (ROE) was 26.8%, with core earnings of $0.60 per share for Q4 and $2.03 per share for the full year [13][14] - The total loan portfolio reached $5.1 billion, marking a 6.4% increase from Q3 and over 24% year-over-year growth [22][23] - The non-performing loan (NPL) rate was stable at 10.7%, consistent with the previous quarter [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total loan production for Q4 was $563.5 million, an 18.2% increase from Q3 [19] - The weighted average coupon on the total portfolio was 9.53%, a 16 basis points increase from Q3 [23] - The net interest margin (NIM) for Q4 was 3.70%, reflecting a 10 basis points increase quarter-over-quarter [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced strong demand from borrowers, particularly in larger, more liquid metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) [10] - The securitization market showed significant improvement post-presidential election, leading to tighter spreads and increased investor participation [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to continue capturing market share by lending to both residential and commercial real estate investors, addressing unmet needs in the market [7] - The strategy includes retaining earnings and building book value, with an adjusted book value estimated at $18.73 per share [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued growth for 2025, citing strong borrower demand and a favorable capital market environment [34] - The company remains less sensitive to interest rate fluctuations compared to other mortgage segments, focusing on delivering capital to underserved borrowers [12] Other Important Information - The company reported $96 million in liquidity at the end of Q4, with a maximum line capacity of $785 million [31][32] - Non-performing loan resolution gains for Q4 were $5.6 million, with a total of $10.2 million for the year [27][28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Production expectations for 2025 - Management indicated that the current run rate is a good forecast for the year, with potential for upward growth due to increasing demand [39] Question: Average loan balance increase - The increase in average loan balance is attributed to a higher commercial component rather than entering new markets [41][43] Question: Capital needs for growth - Current retained earnings and ATM issuance are sufficient for growth, but additional capital may be needed if growth accelerates significantly [45] Question: Borrower mindset amidst rate volatility - Borrowers focus on property management and acquisition rather than interest rates, valuing certainty of execution [55] Question: NPL resolutions process - Most NPL resolutions involve borrowers paying current or refinancing, with only a small percentage leading to foreclosure [66] Question: CMBS market response to volatility - The company has not seen significant volatility in its securitizations, which are more comparable to non-QM RMBS executions [73] Question: Visibility into NPL resolution pipeline - NPL resolutions are unpredictable and can vary significantly, but historical trends suggest a durable source of returns [75] Question: Composition of the portfolio - The portfolio is nearly evenly split between one to four rental properties and small commercial assets, with a focus on liquid and easily sellable REO [80]
UWM (UWMC) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-26 19:39
UWM Holdings Corporation (NYSE:UWMC) Q4 2024 Results Conference Call February 26, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company Participants Blake Kolo - Chief Business Officer & Head, Investor Relations Mathew Ishbia - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Andrew Hubacker - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Terry Ma - Barclays Eric Hagen - BTIG Derek Sommers - Jefferies Bose George - KBW Brad Capuzzi - Piper Sandler Doug Harter - UBS Jeff Adelson - Morgan Stanley Mikhail Goberman - Citizens Regina Good morning. ...