全球铜矿步入短缺常态化阶段 智利国家统计局数据显示，因矿山运营中断及矿石品位下降，9月铜产量为456663吨，环比回升7.79%，但同比仍下 降4.5%。受8月Codelco最大矿场坍塌事故影响，尽管产量有所恢复，但仍低于去年同期。秘鲁能矿部数据显示，8月 铜产量同比减少1.6%，至24.27万吨。国际铜研究组织预计，2025年全球铜矿短缺约15万吨，2026年缺口将扩大至30 万吨，全球铜矿供需格局步入短缺常态化的阶段。 2025年，中国进口铜精矿现货加工费（TC）长期深陷-40美元／干吨以下的负值区间。相关数据显示，10月31日，进 口铜精矿指数报-42.15美元／干吨，同比大幅下滑53.24美元／干吨。尽管2026年铜精矿长单加工费谈判仍在胶着 中，但市场普遍预期最终结果将显著低于2025年21.25美元／干吨和2.125美分／磅的基准价，并可能指向零水平，个 别谈判存在出现负值的可能。 相关数据显示，10月中国电解铜产量为109.21万吨，环比下降2.94万吨，降幅2.62%，同比增长9.63%。产量环比下降 主要受集中检修压制供给、原料供应区域分化的影响。11月，计划检修的冶炼厂减少至5家，涉及粗炼 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3, the company produced 103,000 gold equivalent ounces at an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $2,359 per ounce, with a full-year production of 327,000 gold equivalent ounces expected to finish within the guidance range of 410,000-480,000 ounces [8][9] - The net income attributable to shareholders was $65.4 million, or $0.31 per diluted share, while adjusted net income was $68.4 million, or $0.32 per diluted share [9][10] - Free cash flow before changes in working capital was $72 million, indicating strong margins despite ongoing investments [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Marigold produced 36,000 ounces of gold at an AISC of $1,840 per ounce, with expectations for a strong Q4 [11] - CC&V produced 30,000 ounces of gold at an AISC of $1,756 per ounce, generating nearly $115 million in asset-level free cash flow since acquisition [13] - Seabee produced 9,000 ounces at an AISC of $3,003 per ounce, with expectations for incremental improvement in Q4 [14] - Puna produced 2.4 million ounces of silver at an AISC of $1,354 per ounce, continuing solid performance [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average realized gold price was above $3,500 per ounce for the quarter [9] - The company ended the quarter with $409 million in cash and total liquidity exceeding $900 million, ensuring capacity to fund growth initiatives [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on advancing organic development projects and is optimistic about the potential of Hod Maden, which is considered one of the most compelling undeveloped copper-gold projects in the sector [5][16] - The company is committed to a restart at Çöpler and is in close communication with government authorities for approvals [7][28] - The strategy remains focused on building core jurisdictions and seeking value-accretive opportunities through M&A [44] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects a stronger Q4, primarily driven by Marigold and CC&V, despite challenges faced in Q3 [20] - The company is making good progress on key projects and is well-positioned for a strong close to the year [17] - There is a noted increase in public support for the reopening of Çöpler, which may aid in regulatory discussions [28] Other Important Information - The Cripple Creek and Victor technical report is expected to be published soon, providing insights into mineral reserves and expansion potential [5] - The company has spent $44 million on Hod Maden this year and remains on track for full-year growth capital guidance of $60-$100 million [5][16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for Q4 and production spillover from Marigold - Management confirmed that Q4 strength is expected from Marigold and discussed strategies for handling fines encountered at Red Dot [20][21] Question: Clarification on lower grades at Seabee - Management explained that lower grades were due to increased material from the gap hanging wall, which was lower than expected [24] Question: Update on Çöpler and community support - Management detailed ongoing discussions with regulators and noted increased public support for reopening, which may help but is not the primary driver for regulatory approval [28] Question: Guidance and spending at Hod Maden - Management indicated that spending at Hod Maden is on track to meet guidance and emphasized the importance of the upcoming technical report for project approval [35][42] Question: Strategy for growth and M&A - Management reiterated a consistent strategy focused on organic growth and selective M&A opportunities, emphasizing the importance of due diligence [44]

Core Viewpoint - Entrée Resources Ltd. has filed its interim financial results for Q3 2025, highlighting ongoing developments and challenges related to its joint venture with Oyu Tolgoi in Mongolia, particularly concerning the transfer of mining licenses and state interests in the area [1][5][10]. Q3 2025 Highlights - The Oyu Tolgoi project continues to ramp up production, with Rio Tinto reporting record quarterly production, aiming to become the world's fourth largest copper mine by 2030 [6][10]. - The company has engaged with the Mongolian government to resolve issues regarding the state’s interest in the mining licenses, which includes a 34% economic benefit derived from the project [5][18]. Joint Venture and License Transfer - The Entrée/Oyu Tolgoi joint venture agreement requires the transfer of mining licenses from Entrée LLC to OTLLC to maximize operational efficiencies and minimize delays in development work [9][12]. - A partial final arbitration award in December 2024 ruled in favor of Entrée, dismissing counterclaims from OTLLC and Turquoise Hill Resources [8]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported an operating loss of $0.6 million, a decrease from $0.7 million in Q3 2024, attributed to lower legal costs [10]. - The cash balance as of September 30, 2025, was $4.9 million, with a working capital balance also at $4.9 million [10]. Exploration and Development - The company has initiated a 2025 in-fill diamond drilling program at the Hugo North Extension deposit, with significant drilling completed by the end of Q3 2025 [5][10]. - An updated resource model for Hugo North is expected in H1 2026, with ongoing regional exploration programs [5][10]. State Interest and Oversight - The Mongolian Parliament established a Temporary Oversight Committee to investigate the protection of Mongolia's interests in the Oyu Tolgoi project, with Entrée supporting the committee's activities [19][20]. - The government has also formed a working group to negotiate the state’s interest in the licenses, with Entrée actively participating in these discussions [20][21].

Core Insights - Erdene Resource Development Corp. achieved a significant milestone with the first gold pour at the Bayan Khundii Gold Mine on September 14, 2025, and expects to reach nameplate production capacity by the end of 2025 [3][10] - The company is actively exploring opportunities to expand resources at Bayan Khundii and has planned 9,300 meters of drilling in the coming months [3][10] - An updated independent mineral resource estimate for the Zuun Mod Molybdenum-Copper project was announced, confirming it as one of Asia's largest undeveloped projects [3][10] - The company entered an option agreement to acquire up to 80% interest in the Tereg Uul Copper-Gold prospect, located near the Oyu Tolgoi deposit [3][10] Q3 2025 Highlights - First gold production at Bayan Khundii occurred on September 14, with expectations to achieve full production capacity by year-end 2025 [10] - During the quarter, the company sold 342 ounces of gold at an average price of US$3,805 per ounce and 96 ounces of silver at US$44 per ounce [10] - The Bayan Khundii mine is designed to process 650,000 tonnes of ore annually, producing approximately 85,000 ounces of gold [10] - The company mined 2.1 million tonnes of material, including 133 thousand tonnes of ore with an average grade of 2.30 g/t Au and 1.27 g/t Ag as of September 30 [10] - Community development initiatives have been implemented, with about 35% of site personnel being local residents [10] Financial Performance - The company recorded a net loss of CAD 2,748,830 for Q3 2025, compared to a net loss of CAD 1,687,580 in Q3 2024 [10][11] - Exploration and evaluation expenses increased to CAD 579,333, primarily due to costs associated with the Tereg Uul property and new project evaluations [10] - Corporate and administrative expenses rose to CAD 864,892, attributed to increased stock-based compensation and higher professional fees related to share consolidation [10] Resource Estimates - The updated mineral resource estimate for Zuun Mod showed a 22% increase in Measured and Indicated molybdenum resources to 333 million pounds and a 90% increase in Inferred molybdenum resources to 300 million pounds [10] - Copper resources also saw a 16% increase in Measured and Indicated resources to 384 million pounds and a 75% increase in Inferred resources to 350 million pounds [10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company produced 103,000 gold equivalent ounces at an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $2,359 per ounce, with a full-year production target of 410,000-480,000 gold equivalent ounces, expected to finish in the lower half of that range [8][9] - The net income attributable to shareholders was $65.4 million, or $0.31 per diluted share, while adjusted net income was $68.4 million, or $0.32 per diluted share [10] - Free cash flow before changes in working capital was $72 million, indicating strong margins despite ongoing investments in growth initiatives [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Marigold produced 36,000 ounces of gold at an AISC of $1,840 per ounce, with expectations for a strong Q4, although slightly below initial expectations [12] - CC&V produced 30,000 ounces of gold at an AISC of $1,756 per ounce, generating nearly $115 million in asset-level free cash flow since acquisition [14] - Seabee faced challenges with production of 9,000 ounces at an AISC of $3,003 per ounce, attributed to lower-than-expected grades and a focus on underground development [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average realized gold price was above $3,500 per ounce for the quarter, contributing to the financial performance [10] - The company ended the quarter with $409 million in cash and total liquidity exceeding $900 million, ensuring capacity to fund growth initiatives [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on advancing organic development projects, including Hod Maden, Buffalo Valley, and others, with a strong emphasis on project updates and technical reports [5][18] - The company aims to showcase the potential of key assets like Cripple Creek and Hod Maden, with upcoming technical reports expected to highlight their upside potential [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in a stronger Q4, primarily driven by Marigold and CC&V, while addressing challenges with ore blending at Marigold [22] - Discussions with regulatory bodies regarding the restart of Çöpler are ongoing, with increased public support for reopening noted [30] Other Important Information - The company has spent $44 million on advancing Hod Maden this year and remains on track for full-year growth capital guidance of $60-$100 million [5][18] - The technical report for Cripple Creek and Victor is expected to be published soon, providing insights into mineral reserves and potential expansions [5] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for Q4 performance - Management confirmed that Q4 strength is expected to come primarily from Marigold and CC&V, with adjustments being made to handle ore blending challenges [22][23] Question: Clarification on Seabee's lower grades - Management explained that lower grades were due to an increased proportion of material from the gap hanging wall, which came in at lower grades than expected [26] Question: Update on Çöpler's regulatory discussions - Management indicated ongoing discussions with regulators, focusing on technical aspects for approval, with increased public support for reopening noted [30] Question: Guidance for Hod Maden and potential carryover into 2026 - Management reassured that spending at Hod Maden is on track, with expectations to meet the midpoint of the guidance range [36][37] Question: Strategy regarding M&A and growth opportunities - Management reiterated a consistent strategy focused on organic growth and selective M&A opportunities that fit within established criteria [46][47]

Core Insights - Ero Copper Corp. reported record copper production of 16,664 tonnes in Q3 2025, with a blended C1 cash cost of $2.00 per pound, driven by increased output at Tucumã and stable production at Caraíba [2][3] - The company achieved a net income of $36.0 million for the quarter, translating to $0.35 per diluted share, while adjusted net income was $27.9 million, or $0.27 per diluted share [10][11] - Ero Copper is maintaining its full-year production and capital expenditure guidance, with expectations for Q4 2025 to be the strongest production quarter of the year [12][13] Production Highlights - Caraíba Operations produced 9,085 tonnes of copper in concentrate at an average C1 cash cost of $2.32 per pound, while Tucumã produced 7,579 tonnes at a lower cost of $1.62 per pound, marking a 19% quarter-on-quarter increase [2][8] - Gold production totaled 9,073 ounces, a 17% increase from the previous quarter, with C1 cash costs of $1,086 per ounce and All-in Sustaining Cost (AISC) of $2,425 per ounce [2][8] Financial Performance - Revenues for Q3 2025 reached $177.1 million, up from $163.5 million in Q2 2025, with gross profit of $57.4 million [10] - Adjusted EBITDA was reported at $77.1 million, reflecting operational efficiency despite higher operating expenses at Tucumã [10][27] - Available liquidity at quarter-end was $111.3 million, including $66.3 million in cash and cash equivalents [10] Operational Developments - The company launched a value-creation initiative at Xavantina, leading to an initial sales agreement for gold concentrates, with expected sales of 10,000 to 15,000 tonnes in Q4 2025 [2][3] - Ero Copper completed a 17,000-meter Phase 2 drill program at the Furnas Copper-Gold Project, which was finished ahead of schedule, and has commenced Phase 3 drilling [3][12] Guidance and Future Outlook - The company reaffirmed its consolidated copper production guidance for 2025, expecting production at the low end of the 67,500 to 80,000-tonne range, with improved performance anticipated in Q4 [12][13] - Cost guidance for the Tucumã Operation has been increased due to higher-than-expected maintenance and freight costs, now projected at $1.35 to $1.55 per pound [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - As the end of 2025 approaches, investors are encouraged to position themselves for potential gains in 2026, with copper being highlighted as a particularly attractive investment opportunity [1] Industry Summary - The copper market is identified as intriguing for future investment as 2026 approaches [1]

And we are back when halftime with Josh Brown's best stocks in the market. Josh, what are you focused on today. >> So, um, one of the things that I think is, uh, relentlessly fascinating about the markets is how easily price can change your mind.And so, when we saw gold earlier in October making uh, the gold stocks making all-time highs along with the price of gold, everyone said, "All right, this looks overdone or I missed it or I'll buy it on the dip." Well, the dip is here. New pneumont mining is now in ...

Core Insights - Midnight Sun Mining Corp. has reported significant assay results from its 2025 drilling campaign at the Kazhiba Main target, with a notable intercept of 7.39% copper over 14.86 meters, including 16.9% over 4 meters [2][4] - The company is advancing towards a maiden resource estimate, expected to be completed in Q4 2025, following a comprehensive drilling program [3][4] Drilling Results - The 2025 drilling campaign at Kazhiba Main has completed 163 holes totaling 5,243 meters, with ongoing diamond drilling expected to continue through November 2025 [3][4] - The initial results from the diamond drilling include high-grade intervals, with previous 2024 RC drilling returning notable grades such as 10.69% copper over 21.0 meters [6][7] Due Diligence and Verification - A due diligence diamond drilling program was initiated to address previous sampling issues, confirming that reported voids were likely misidentified due to technical issues during drilling [7][8] - The company is redrilling 41 holes to obtain a complete soil profile and verify mineralization, with early observations suggesting significant copper intercepts [7][8] Expansion Potential - The Kazhiba East RC drilling program has commenced, targeting three Partial Ionic Leach soil sample copper anomalies, with plans for a total of 100 RC drill holes [5][6] - The geological profile of Kazhiba East is similar to Kazhiba Main, indicating potential for additional near-surface oxide resources [5][6] Company Strategy and Goals - Midnight Sun's President & CEO emphasized the systematic approach towards defining the Kazhiba resource, highlighting the high-grade, near-surface opportunity [4][17] - The company aims to establish a solid understanding of the mineralized footprint to support future resource development in the Zambia-Congo Copperbelt [17]

Performance Overview - The Massif Capital Real Assets Strategy achieved a return of 36.1% net of fees in Q3 2025, with year-to-date returns reaching 41.5% net of fees [2] - The strategy has been operational for 27 quarters, marking its best quarter to date and resulting in an annualized net-of-fees return of 14.6% since inception [2] Alpha and Risk Assessment - The company focuses on generating uncorrelated, risk-adjusted returns, referred to as Alpha, which is challenging to measure due to the complexities of risk [4][5] - Jensen's Alpha is utilized to evaluate performance, indicating whether returns exceed expectations based on market risk exposure [5][6] - The benchmark used for performance evaluation is the MSCI ACWI Ex US, which covers a broad range of global equity opportunities outside the US [8][9] Comparative Performance - The Massif Capital Real Assets Strategy outperformed various comparable funds and major indices, with a year-to-date alpha of 14.9% compared to peers [10][12] - The strategy's YTD return of 41.5% significantly exceeds the S&P 500 Index (13.7%) and NASDAQ Index (17.3%), showcasing strong performance in risk-adjusted terms with a Sortino Ratio of 1.5 [13] Individual Stock Performance - In the gold sector, core positions in G-Mining Ventures and Equinox Gold returned a portfolio-level return of 17.1% as of Q3 2025 [14] - G-Mining Ventures outperformed the sector with a return of 183%, while Equinox Gold lagged behind the market despite a long-term positive outlook [17][19] - The copper sector saw significant gains, with positions in NGEX and Midnight Sun delivering returns of 392% and 268% from cost basis, respectively [21] Critical Metals and Infrastructure - The portfolio includes critical metals such as lithium and uranium, with lithium positions performing well, while uranium investments face challenges due to geopolitical factors [24][49] - The company is exploring opportunities in infrastructure and industrials, aiming to capitalize on increasing electricity costs and innovative technologies [51][52] Market Outlook - The company anticipates that oil and natural gas investments may lead in Q4 2025, driven by potential supply constraints in Europe and favorable dividend yields from current positions [33][35] - Concerns regarding LNG supply availability and winter weather patterns could impact natural gas prices, with a focus on the interplay between European demand and Asian supply [40][42][45]