Investment Rating - The report suggests that India will likely outperform a global bear market while underperforming in a bull market, indicating a positive long-term investment outlook for India despite global uncertainties [1][3]. Core Insights - Strong macroeconomic fundamentals are highlighted, including improving terms of trade, declining primary deficit, and falling inflation volatility, which are expected to support mid- to high-teens earnings growth annually over the next three to five years [6]. - Technical indicators are favorable, with orderly declines in the market and persistent retail buying, suggesting a structural nature to the current market dynamics [6]. - Key catalysts for India include dovish actions from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), potential stimulus through GST rate cuts, and a trade deal with the US, while global factors such as US policy and growth rates remain crucial [6]. Summary by Sections Macro Stability - The report emphasizes strong macro stability with a reliable source of domestic risk capital and a dovish RBI, which are expected to support economic growth [6][35]. Corporate Fundamentals - Earnings growth is projected to be robust, with estimates suggesting a compound annual growth rate of 16% through fiscal year 2028, driven by increased private investment and macro stability [94][96]. Valuations - The current price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 3.8 implies a 10-year annual return of 9.6%, indicating improved long-term return prospects [77][78]. Portfolio Strategy - The recommended portfolio strategy favors domestic cyclicals over defensives and external-facing sectors, with an overweight position in financials, consumer discretionary, and industrials [6][100]. Economic Forecasts - GDP growth is forecasted at 6.3% for fiscal year 2025, with a gradual decline in the repo rate expected to support economic activity [94]. Index Target - The base case target for the BSE Sensex is set at 82,000 by December 2025, reflecting a modest upside potential of 2% from current levels [95][96]. Sentiment Indicators - The proprietary sentiment indicator remains in the buy zone, suggesting positive market sentiment despite global uncertainties [6][91]. Institutional Flows - Institutional flows are currently off highs, indicating potential shifts in market dynamics that could impact equity returns in the near term [88]. Risk Factors - While the report identifies several risks, it emphasizes that the overall outlook for India remains positive, supported by strong fundamentals and favorable technicals [6].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Chinese exports showed a year-over-year growth of 10.1% in real terms for Q1 2025, while nominal exports grew by 5.6% due to lower export prices across all categories [7] - The report anticipates a significant slowdown in export volume growth in the coming months if tariffs are maintained, projecting a decline of 5% in total goods export volume for 2025 [7][50] - Chinese nominal imports fell by 7.2% year-over-year in Q1 2025, primarily due to decreasing import volumes [25] - The current account surplus is expected to decrease to 1.6% of GDP in 2025 from 2.2% in 2024, driven by a narrower goods trade surplus and a widening services trade deficit [7][55] Summary by Sections Exports - Chinese exports remained solid in Q1 2025, with a 10.1% year-over-year growth in real terms, while nominal exports grew by 5.6% [7] - The decline in export prices was broad-based, affecting all categories, with the most significant increases in real terms for stone/glass/metals and transportation equipment [7][21] - Exports to Africa saw the highest year-over-year increase in Q1 [18] - New export orders under both NBS and Caixin manufacturing PMIs fell sharply in April amid higher US tariffs [23] Imports - Nominal imports decreased by 7.2% year-over-year in Q1 2025, with the weakest growth in stone/glass/metals due to lower gold imports [25] - Mechanical machinery and electric equipment saw the strongest import growth, while import prices for stone/glass/metals increased the most [25][39] - Imports fell for all regions except Japan, Korea & Taiwan, and ASEAN [33] Current Account and Balance of Payments - The report projects a decline in China's goods trade surplus to 3.7% of GDP in 2025 from 4.0% in 2024 [7] - The broad balance of payments (BBOP) is expected to remain unchanged at 0.4% of GDP in 2025, with significant net FDI outflows [8][57] - The current account balance is projected to narrow, reflecting a combination of a smaller goods trade surplus and a wider services trade deficit [55]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues for Q4 were $666 million, up 28% year-over-year, and adjusted earnings per share were $1.96, up 54% compared to the same quarter last year [6] - For the fiscal year 2025, total revenues reached $2.4 billion, marking a 25% increase from the previous year, the highest annual revenue in the firm's history [6][10] - Adjusted compensation expenses for Q4 were $410 million, compared to $320 million in the same period last year, maintaining an adjusted compensation expense ratio of 61.5% [14][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Corporate Finance revenues were $413 million for the quarter, a 44% increase year-over-year, with 147 transactions closed, up from 121 in the same period last year [12] - Financial Restructuring revenues were $165 million for the quarter, a 6% increase year-over-year, with 38 transactions closed compared to 35 in the same quarter last year [13] - Financial and Valuation Advisory revenues were $89 million for the quarter, a 15% increase from the same period last year, with 1,224 fee events during the quarter [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that the average size of transactions and average transaction fees in Corporate Finance continued to grow, indicating a strengthening brand perception and quality of senior hires [7][8] - The capital markets business, now rebranded as Capital Solutions, had a record year, enhancing the platform with diversified, high-growth, and less volatile revenues [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company executed three acquisitions in fiscal year 2025, expanding its industry, geographic, and product reach, which remains a key component of its growth strategy [7] - The management emphasized the importance of maintaining a diversified business model to navigate volatile market conditions effectively [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the continued elevated levels of restructuring activity, bolstered by recent market events [30] - The company acknowledged the challenges in forecasting due to current market volatility but noted that pitch level activity and deal processes were proceeding at a normal rate [23][24] Other Important Information - The Board approved a 5.3% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.60 per share, to be paid in June [20] - The company ended the fiscal year with approximately $1.2 billion in unrestricted cash and equivalents, with a significant portion earmarked for accrued bonuses [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: How have revenues been tracking quarter to date amidst volatility? - Management indicated it is too early to provide meaningful indications but noted that pitch level activity and deal processes are moving at a normal rate [23] Question: What is the outlook for restructuring in light of recent events? - Management expects restructuring to remain at elevated levels, with confidence in continued activity [30] Question: How does the outlook differ between middle market and large scale M&A? - Management confirmed that mid-cap volumes are generally more resilient than large-cap volumes, a trend observed in previous cycles [44] Question: What is the state of the bolt-on acquisition pipeline for fiscal year 2026? - Management stated that discussions around acquisition opportunities remain active and are crucial to the strategic direction of the company [46] Question: How is the Capital Solutions business performing? - Management noted that the Capital Solutions Group continues to grow significantly, driven by various market trends [51] Question: What is the capacity for restructuring in a more stressed macro environment? - Management indicated that there is substantial capacity to handle a larger restructuring environment, with revenue per managing director currently lower than during previous economic downturns [55]

Company Overview - Houlihan Lokey has 35 locations worldwide and 2,702 global employees, including 339 managing directors as of March 31, 2025[11] - The firm reported $2.4 billion in revenue for the last twelve months (LTM) ended March 31, 2025[11] - The company's culture emphasizes client-centricity, an entrepreneurial spirit, collaboration, a solution-oriented approach, and data-informed decision-making[8] Financial Performance - The company experienced strong revenue growth with a five-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 16%[19] - Adjusted pre-tax income grew at a CAGR of 17% over the same five-year period[19] - For the fiscal year 2025, the adjusted pre-tax margin was 25.9%[113] Business Segments - Corporate Finance generated $1.527 billion in revenue, representing 64% of the total revenue for the LTM ended March 31, 2025[71] - Financial Restructuring contributed $544 million, accounting for 23% of the total revenue for the LTM ended March 31, 2025[71] - Financial and Valuation Advisory brought in $318 million, which is 13% of the total revenue for the LTM ended March 31, 2025[71] Market Position - Houlihan Lokey is ranked as the No 1 Global M&A Advisor[79] - The firm is also recognized as a Top Global Restructuring Firm[90] - Houlihan Lokey is the No 1 Global M&A Fairness Opinion Advisor over the past 25 years[95]

2025年，黄金的涨幅竟然超越了比特币。 从技术面来看，黄金短期内可能会经历一些调整。例如，某些图表形态显示可能出现回调，甚至有较大幅度的回落风险。但众多分析指出这并不意味着黄金 牛市结束，相反，这只是上涨过程中的"中场休息"。 多家机构依然坚定看好黄金的未来表现。比如高盛就重申了对黄金的看涨立场，预测到2025年底，金价可能达到每盎司3700美元，而到了2026年中期，甚至 有望冲击4000美元的历史新高。 一连串的"突飞猛进"之下，无论涨跌都成为了大家的焦点。黄金的波动背后是什么因素？还能再创高点吗？普通人如何操作？谁是黄金的推手？ 搜狐号财经黄金专题活动现已完结，看看@听风解局、@金市大鲤、@郑重看股、@3分天下、@九月金银、@分析师张尧浠、@锐眼财经、@金投网、@闫 瑞祥、@期货小褚怎么看待后市走向。 | 搜狐号 三分 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄金狂飙是什么讯号? | | | | | 投向预言家 ▶ | 搜狐号财经 | | | | 上海民日 | | | | | 《中国手握2.5万吨黄金?布局全 | 听风解信 | 球金融新秩序,撼动美元霸权》 | | | ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook for the industry, with a projected GDP growth rate of 4.2% for China in 2025, reflecting a slowdown due to tariff impacts [2][3]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that China's growth is expected to soften significantly in the second and third quarters of 2025, with persistent deflationary pressures [3][4]. - It highlights the reactive nature of current policy measures, including faster government bond issuance and modest monetary easing, aimed at supporting the economy amid tariff uncertainties [9][16]. - The report suggests that while tariffs are currently high, there is potential for de-escalation in trade tensions between the US and China, which could alleviate some economic pressures [17][21]. Summary by Sections Economic Growth - Real GDP growth is forecasted to decline to 4.2% in 2025, with a notable softening in growth expected during Q2 and Q3 [2][4]. - The GDP deflator indicates a prolonged period of deflation, with expectations of deflationary pressures lasting until at least 2026 [5][6]. Policy Measures - The report outlines a series of policy measures aimed at stimulating the economy, including a supplementary fiscal package of RMB 1-1.5 trillion and enhanced support for infrastructure and technology investments [9][16]. - Specific measures include unemployment insurance rebates for exporters and a relending facility to support service consumption [16]. Tariff Impact - The report discusses the significant impact of tariffs on China's exports, noting that the current trade-weighted tariff on Chinese goods is projected to decrease to 34% with exemptions, while headline reciprocal tariffs remain at 60% [20][22]. - It highlights the low elasticity of certain Chinese exports to tariff changes, indicating that many products are highly reliant on the Chinese market [28][30]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies worthwhile investment areas, including manufacturing upgrades, urban infrastructure renewal, and basic scientific research, as sectors that may benefit from policy support [12][16]. - It also notes that the technology sector is expected to see increased capital expenditure, driven by AI adoption and government support [89][91]. Social Dynamics - The report points to evolving social dynamics that may trigger further policy pivots, particularly in response to changing consumer sentiment and economic conditions [13][16]. - It emphasizes the need for social welfare reforms to address low consumption rates and high household savings, which have been a barrier to economic growth [71][75].

2025年4月17日，由申万宏源证券担任主承销商的"大唐国际发电股份有限公司 2025年度第三期中期票据"成功发行，本期债券发行规模24亿元，期限5+N年，票面利 率2.14%，创发行人同期限中期票据最低票面利率！ 免责 声 明 本内容最终解释权归申万宏源证券有限公司所有。 大唐国际发电股份有限公司是我国五大电力央企之一中国大唐集团有限公司下属核 心子公司，发电业务分布于全国多个省、市、自治区，拥有较强的市场竞争力。本期中 期票据的成功发行有利于发行人获取发展所需的中长期资金，提高了发行人运营效益， 有利于发行人可持续发展。 本期中期票据达到了发行人较满意的发行结果，进一步夯实了我司与发行人的合作 关系。未来，公司将持续深耕债券业务，继续发挥公司优势，积极服务实体经济，推动 经济高质量发展。 ...

SEATTLE, May 06, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Weave.AI today announced the appointment of Chuck Cory to its Board of Directors. A veteran of the technology and investment banking sectors, Cory brings over three decades of experience advising some of the world's most iconic technology companies in his role as Chairman, Technology Investment Banking at Morgan Stanley. In addition to joining the Board, Mr. Cory is also an angel investor in Weave.AI. During his tenure at Morgan Stanley Cory led more than 300 transa ...

1 These are based on BOP definitions; the goods trade surplus would be 4.8% of GDP in 2025 (vs. 5.2% in 2024) based on the Customs definition. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Andrew Tilton +852-2978-1802 | andrew.tilton@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Hui Shan +852-2978-6634 | hui.shan@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) ...