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Billionaire Bill Ackman May Be the Next Warren Buffett -- 2 AI Stocks Make Up 39% of His Portfolio (Hint: One Just Partnered With Nvidia)
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-30 08:25
Core Insights - Bill Ackman aims to create a "modern Berkshire Hathaway" with Howard Hughes Holdings, drawing inspiration from Warren Buffett's successful investment strategy [2][3] - Ackman's hedge fund, Pershing Square, has outperformed the S&P 500 by 24 points over the last decade, indicating a strong investment track record [3] Company Summaries Alphabet - Alphabet constitutes 19% of Ackman's portfolio and is the largest ad tech company globally, with search advertising accounting for half of its revenue [4][8] - The company has adapted to generative AI by enhancing Google Search with AI features, leading to increased commercial queries, particularly among younger users [5][8] - Google Cloud revenue has accelerated due to demand for AI services, with the development of custom AI chips (TPUs) and the Gemini family of large language models [6][7] - Analysts expect Alphabet's earnings to grow at 16% annually over the next three years, making its current valuation of 32 times earnings reasonable [8][9] Uber - Uber represents 20% of Ackman's portfolio and operates the largest ride-sharing and one of the largest delivery platforms, benefiting from its expansion into grocery and retail [10] - The company estimates that autonomous vehicles could push the U.S. ride-sharing market to $1 trillion, with partnerships with 20 companies, including Alphabet's Waymo for robotaxi services [11][12] - Uber's collaboration with Nvidia aims to advance autonomous driving, targeting 100,000 robotaxis by 2027 and collecting extensive data for development [12][13] - Wall Street anticipates Uber's earnings to increase at 31% annually over the next three years, making its current valuation of 11 times earnings appear attractive [14]
Taboola.com (NasdaqGS:TBLA) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-11-18 17:22
Summary of Taboola.com Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Taboola.com (NasdaqGS:TBLA) - **Industry**: Performance Advertising - **Core Business**: Taboola operates as a performance advertising platform, focusing on placing ads outside of traditional search and social media environments, leveraging data from a wide range of publishers and users. Key Points and Arguments Business Model and Revenue Generation - Taboola generates over 90% of its revenue from cost-per-click advertising, meaning revenue is only earned when a consumer clicks on an ad [7][8] - The company has long-term exclusive agreements with approximately 11,000 publishers, which allows it to gather first-party data and effectively target ads [2][6] - The average traffic acquisition cost (TAC) is about 65% of revenue, with the remaining 35% representing XTAC (gross profit), which is the primary measure of the company's revenue growth [7][9] New Platform: Realize - In February 2025, Taboola launched a new advertising platform called Realize, transitioning from a native advertising model to a more comprehensive performance advertising model [10][12] - Realize allows for various ad formats, including display and vertical video, and includes new features like Predictive Audiences to enhance advertiser success [11][12] - The transition to Realize was a significant investment, aimed at improving advertiser performance and increasing ad spend [12][14] Growth and Market Position - Taboola is optimistic about returning to double-digit growth, driven by new platform features, a focus on ideal customer profiles, and increased marketing spend [16][18] - The company estimates a $10 billion opportunity in performance budgets currently going to other ad tech players, which it aims to capture [26][27] - Taboola's unique data and technology position it favorably against traditional demand-side platforms (DSPs) [26][28] Market Stability and Competition - The advertising market is currently stable, with performance advertising showing resilience amid economic uncertainties [19][20] - Taboola's competitive strategy includes maintaining long-term publisher relationships and expanding into new ad formats [28][29] Taboola News Product - Taboola News, akin to Apple News for Android devices, is a growing segment that provides unique supply opportunities and is expanding its global footprint [40][41] - The product is expected to grow faster than the overall business, with potential for more touchpoints and device partnerships [42] Future Opportunities and Challenges - The transition from native to performance advertising is seen as a significant growth opportunity, with the potential to tap into a $50 billion market [70][71] - The company is focused on enhancing its product features to compete with industry leaders like Facebook and Google [45][46] - There is a need to reposition the brand in the minds of advertisers to gain trust for broader ad campaigns beyond native advertising [74][75] Impact of AI and LLMs - Taboola is leveraging generative AI tools to enhance productivity and improve advertiser onboarding processes [66][68] - The company has low exposure to search traffic, with only about 5% of US traffic coming from search, which mitigates risks associated with the rise of LLMs in search [59][61] Additional Important Insights - Taboola is cautious about entering the long tail of the internet due to quality concerns and focuses on mid-tail and premium supply [39][40] - The company is exploring innovative products like Deeper Dive, which enhances user engagement on publisher sites through AI-driven interactions [47][51] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting Taboola's strategic direction, market positioning, and growth opportunities in the performance advertising landscape.
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-18 17:20
Teresa Ribera, the European Union’s competition chief, said regulators are examining a “serious” offer from Google to fix alleged antitrust violations linked to its ad tech business that sparked a fine of nearly €3 billion ($3.5 billion). https://t.co/NqlRuaQ2lW ...
Google offers to change search results amid $3.4 billion EU penalty threat — Here's what we know
MINT· 2025-11-14 07:54
Core Viewpoint - Google has proposed changes to its ad tech products and search results in an attempt to resolve a $3.4 billion penalty threat from the European Union, while still planning to appeal the EU's decision from September 2025 [1][3][7] Group 1: Proposed Changes - Google plans to provide publishers with options to set different minimum prices for bidders on its Ad Manager platform [2] - The company aims to enhance interoperability across its ad tech services to offer more flexibility to publishers and advertisers [2] Group 2: Ongoing Disputes - Despite the proposed changes, Google maintains its disagreement with the EU's September decision and intends to appeal [3] - The EU antitrust regulator has accused Google of abusing its market dominance by favoring its own ad exchanges [3] Group 3: Potential Penalties - Google faces the risk of penalties or fines in the coming months due to alleged antitrust violations [4] - The company is seeking a balanced solution to close the EU investigations while acknowledging the risks involved [4] Group 4: Industry Reactions - A spokesperson expressed concerns that changes to Search may prioritize the interests of a few intermediaries over European businesses [5] - EU competition chief Teresa Ribera suggested that a true level playing field would require Google to divest parts of its ad tech arm [6] Group 5: Financial Impact - Alphabet's stock closed 2.84% lower at $278.57 following the news, but saw a slight recovery in after-hours trading at $279.40 [7]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-14 06:28
Google has offered to tweak its ad tech products to settle a EU order after a near-€3 billion antitrust penalty, stopping short of a partial breakup watchdogs favor https://t.co/hwTa6a6dlE ...
TTD Stock Post Q3 Earnings: Should Investors Hold or Fold?
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 16:16
Core Insights - The Trade Desk (TTD) stock has decreased by 15.6% over the past month, closing at $43.26, significantly lower than its 52-week high of $141.53 and closer to its 52-week low of $41.77 [1] - Revenues for Q3 2025 increased by 18% year over year to $739 million, surpassing consensus estimates by 3% and exceeding the company's own expectations of at least $717 million [1][9] - Adjusted EBITDA rose to $371 million from $257 million year over year, with adjusted EPS at 45 cents, exceeding estimates and up from 41 cents in the previous year [2] Revenue Growth Drivers - Connected TV (CTV) is identified as the fastest-growing segment in the digital ad market, with management expecting decision-based CTV buying to become the default model in the future [3] - The company's AI-powered platform, Kokai, is utilized by 85% of clients and has shown significant performance improvements compared to previous models, enhancing its competitive edge [4] - Initiatives like OpenPath and OpenAds are designed to connect advertisers directly with publishers, improving transparency and efficiency in the supply chain [5] Market Opportunities - Approximately 60% of TTD's total addressable market is outside the United States, with international business currently accounting for about 13% of total revenues, indicating potential for long-term growth [6] - The company has a strong cash position of $1.4 billion with no debt, providing a buffer against macroeconomic volatility [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - TTD repurchased $310 million worth of stock in Q3 and has approved a new buyback plan of $500 million [8] - The stock is currently trading at a premium valuation, with a price/book multiple of 8.13X compared to the industry average of 7.69X [16] Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment is intensifying, with major players like Meta, Apple, Google, and Amazon dominating the ad tech space, which could pressure TTD's market position [13] - Smaller competitors like Magnite and PubMatic are also expanding their presence in CTV and retail media, increasing competition for ad dollars [14] Cost and Profitability Challenges - Total operating costs surged by 17% year over year to $457 million, driven by investments in platform capabilities, which may compress margins if revenue growth slows [15] - Macro volatility poses a significant concern for TTD, as worsening conditions could lead to reduced programmatic demand and pressure on revenue growth [12] Conclusion - Given the solid fundamentals and near-term headwinds, TTD is currently rated as a hold, suggesting that existing investors may retain their positions while new investors should wait for a more favorable entry point [18]
DoubleVerify(DV) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-07 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 2025 grew 11% year-over-year to $189 million, within guidance range [4][25] - Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 35%, exceeding expectations and demonstrating scalability [4][30] - Total advertiser revenue grew 10%, driven by increased volumes, while media transactions measured increased 12% year-over-year [26][28] - Adjusted EBITDA was approximately $66 million, reflecting strong profitability and cash generation [30][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Activation revenue grew 10% year-over-year, with ABS accounting for 54% of activation revenue and growing 12% [27][28] - Non-ABS activation revenue grew 8%, driven by demand for social activation solutions [28] - Measurement revenue grew 9% year-over-year, with social measurement accounting for 48% of total measurement revenue [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Social activation is growing at 20%, with strong early adoption of DV Authentic Advantage and Meta Pre-Bid solutions [9][10] - CTV measurement volumes grew 30% year-over-year, reflecting increased advertiser demand for transparency [17] - Supply-side revenue grew 27% in Q3, driven by growth on existing platforms and new partnerships [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to grow social, streaming TV, and AI verification solutions from under 30% of total revenue to approximately 50% [19][35] - Focus on innovation through AI and automation to enhance product offerings and operational efficiency [6][23] - Strategic partnerships with global leaders and expansion into new markets are key to driving future growth [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted softer retail budgets impacting growth but highlighted strong performance in other core verticals [4][25] - The company expects continued double-digit revenue growth and strong profitability for the full year 2025 [30][34] - Future growth will be driven by the adoption of new solutions in social, CTV, and AI [39][52] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 3.3 million shares for $50 million in Q3, with $90 million remaining for additional repurchases [31][32] - Capital expenditures increased to approximately $12 million in Q3, reflecting investments in new solutions [30][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth drivers for next year - Management indicated a base case scenario of 10% growth for 2026, driven by new solutions in social, CTV, and AI [38][39] Question: Softness in retail - The softness is broad-based across the retail vertical, impacting a large share of top spenders [44] Question: Impact of competitors leaving the market - The departure of less scaled competitors creates a more advantageous position for the company to invest and grow [49][50] Question: Client base and SMBs in CTV - The company sees opportunities in attracting SMBs into the CTV space, leveraging existing platforms for growth [56] Question: Scaling of Meta Pre-Bid and DV Authentic Advantage - Both products are expected to scale significantly, with strong early adoption and positive initial results [58][59]
The Trade Desk(TTD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-06 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $739 million, representing an 18% year-over-year growth, and a 22% growth when excluding political spend from the previous year [39] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was approximately $317 million, or about 43% of revenue [39] - Adjusted net income for Q3 was $221 million, or $0.45 per diluted share [41] - Free cash flow for Q3 was $155 million, with a strong cash and liquidity position of about $1.4 billion in cash and short-term investments at the end of the quarter [42] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CTV (Connected TV) continues to be the largest and fastest-growing channel, representing around 50% of the business in Q3 [39] - Mobile accounted for a low 30% share, display for a low double-digit share, and audio for around 5% [39] - The company is seeing strong growth in retail media and significant adoption across various verticals [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America represented 87% of the business, while international markets accounted for about 13% [40] - Growth in international markets, particularly EMEA and APAC, is outpacing growth in North America [40] - Strong growth was noted in verticals such as medical health, automotive, and technology [40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leading the open internet and enhancing operational efficiency through new leadership and structural changes [31][63] - Investments are being made in AI and product innovations to drive growth and improve client performance [38][39] - The company aims to capture a larger share of the $1 trillion advertising TAM as more dollars shift to programmatic [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management describes the current macro environment as a "tale of two cities," with some brands facing pressure from tariffs and inflation, while others are experiencing strong momentum [72] - The company is optimistic about the potential of the open internet and believes that independent DSPs will capture the majority of open internet spend [28] - The focus remains on building a more accountable and metrics-driven culture to support long-term growth [66] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased nearly $2 billion through its share repurchase program since the first authorization in 2023 [42] - New product features and upgrades are expected to significantly contribute to growth in the coming years [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Amazon as a competitor and the evolving competitive environment - Management acknowledges Amazon and Google as significant players but emphasizes that their focus is primarily on owned and operated inventory, while The Trade Desk focuses on decisioned, data-driven buying across the open internet [49][51] Question: Areas for impact in the next couple of years - The CFO highlights the importance of disciplined resource allocation and a metrics-driven approach to drive growth and ROI [54][55] Question: Broader advertising and macro environment trends for 2026 - Management notes strong momentum across the business but acknowledges pressures in certain sectors due to external factors like tariffs and inflation [72]
skillz(SKLZ) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-06 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 GAAP revenue was $27 million, representing a 9% increase quarter over quarter and an 11% increase year over year [6][15] - Adjusted EBITDA loss was $12 million, a 3% decrease quarter over quarter and a 15% increase year over year [6][16] - Paying MAU reached 155,000, up 6% quarter over quarter and 28% year over year [6][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The launch of "Solitaire Skills" as an owned and operated title is showing early promise and serves as a testing ground for new features [8] - Aarki's ad tech business experienced accelerating revenue growth, supported by new AI-driven product launches [8][10] - R&D expenses increased by 15% year over year to $5 million, while sales and marketing expenses decreased by 10% year over year to $17 million [15][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The competition platform showed stability, contributing to the overall revenue growth despite a typically softer seasonal period [6][10] - Aarki's net revenue increased by more than 100% year over year, indicating strong growth in the ad tech market [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing player and developer engagement, operational efficiency, and a path to profitability [9][10] - The Fair Play initiative aims to protect players and maintain fair competition, with ongoing litigation against competitors for alleged bot usage [10][11] - The company is exploring growth opportunities beyond gaming into e-commerce and interactive entertainment [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the progress across both Skillz and Aarki, highlighting the potential for long-term growth [12][13] - The company is committed to achieving compliance with New York Stock Exchange listing standards and expects to file necessary reports by December 17, 2025 [4][16] Other Important Information - The company is working to complete its financial statements for previous quarters and is under scrutiny for compliance with listing standards [3][4] - The balance sheet remains healthy with $213 million in cash and $129.7 million in total debt principal outstanding [16] Q&A Session Summary - The Q&A session was concluded without any specific questions being recorded, indicating a focus on the presentation rather than audience inquiries [17]
Criteo S.A.(CRTO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $470 million, with contribution ex-TAC increasing to $288 million, reflecting a year-over-year tailwind from foreign currencies of $6 million [20][24] - Adjusted EBITDA was $105 million, up 28% year-over-year, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 36%, up 500 basis points year-over-year [22][24] - Free cash flow was $67 million in Q3, up 74% year-over-year, demonstrating consistent upward momentum in adjusted EPS and free cash flow per share [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In performance media, revenue was $403 million, with contribution ex-TAC at $222 million, up 5% at constant currency [20][21] - Retail media revenue was $67 million, with contribution ex-TAC growing 11% at constant currency to $66 million, up 34% on a two-year stack [22] - Media spend in retail media grew 26% year-over-year, with over 4,100 brands participating [13][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Media spend growth was observed in Asia-Pac and EMEA, while trends in the U.S. were softer but improving [21] - Travel was the fastest-growing vertical, up 24%, while fashion saw an 11% decline [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is evolving into a diversified, multi-channel platform, with about 85% of media spend now outside of desktop display [6][11] - Focus on agentic AI as a major shift in the industry, with plans to integrate AI-driven capabilities into shopping experiences [7][9] - The company announced plans to re-domicile to Luxembourg and replace its current ADS structure with a direct listing on Nasdaq, aimed at enhancing capital management flexibility [17][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's strategy and ability to capture shifts in commerce and advertising, anticipating sustained growth and long-term value for shareholders [18][31] - The company expects contribution ex-TAC to grow 3%-4% year-over-year at constant currency for 2025, with adjusted EBITDA margin projected at approximately 34% [27][28] Other Important Information - The company is investing in organic growth, value-enhancing acquisitions, and returning capital to shareholders, with $11 million allocated to share repurchases in Q3 [25][26] - The company is focused on building a strong operational fitness to enable greater scale and efficiency, including driving productivity gains through AI-powered tools [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Client response to agentic products and CTV growth opportunities - Management highlighted threefold opportunities in agentic products, including internal tools for audience creation and partnerships with AI platforms [34][35] - Investments in CTV are focused on supply-side integrations and demand-side tactics to enhance performance [38][39] Question: Partnership with AI platforms and its impact on e-commerce - Management sees monetization strategies for AI platforms leaning towards native advertising solutions, with a focus on improving product-oriented responses [42][43] Question: Retail media trends and new client ramp-up - Management noted that most Q3 activity was related to existing clients, with new wins starting to ramp up, including the DoorDash partnership [60][61] Question: Adjusted EBITDA beat and re-domicile implications - The beat in adjusted EBITDA was attributed to top-line growth and operational leverage, with no material costs expected from the re-domicile [64][66] Question: Investments required for AI products and retail media headwinds - Management indicated that investments for AI products are within normal scaling, with a slower ramp-up of new clients expected in retail media [70][72]