Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The market has reached new highs, but several growth stocks remain down 20% or more from their all-time highs, presenting attractive investment opportunities. Group 1: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) - AMD is down 35% from its high but is gaining traction in the AI inference market, which is expected to surpass AI training in size over time [3][5] - The company reported a 57% increase in data center revenue last quarter, contributing to a total revenue growth of 36% [5] - AMD's strategy does not require it to surpass Nvidia in the GPU market; a modest share can drive significant growth from its smaller base [5] Group 2: GitLab - GitLab's stock is down 65% from its high, yet it plays a crucial role in secure software development with its DevSecOps platform [6][8] - The company experienced a 27% year-over-year revenue growth last quarter, with a dollar-based net retention rate of 122% [7] - Concerns about AI reducing the number of coders are unfounded, as AI has led to increased software development and coder numbers [8] Group 3: e.l.f. Beauty - e.l.f. Beauty's stock is down 40% from its high, with a recent revenue growth slowdown to 4% in fiscal Q4 [9] - The $1 billion acquisition of Hailey Bieber's Rhode brand, which has $212 million in annual sales, could significantly accelerate growth [10] - e.l.f. has opportunities for market share expansion in mass-market cosmetics and potential growth in skincare and other categories [11] Group 4: Dutch Bros - Dutch Bros is down 21% from its high and is in the early stages of a multi-year growth story, targeting 2,029 shops by 2029 [12][14] - The company reported a 4.7% increase in same-store sales last quarter, with company-owned comps climbing 6.9% [13] - Dutch Bros is exploring mobile ordering and food items to enhance sales, recognizing the importance of food offerings in driving revenue [13] Group 5: Cava Group - Cava Group's stock is down 43% from its high, but it has achieved four consecutive quarters of double-digit same-store sales growth, including 10.8% last quarter [15] - The company is expanding rapidly, adding 15 new restaurants last quarter and planning to open 64 to 68 new locations this year [17] - Cava's expansion strategy, particularly its recent push into the Midwest, positions it for significant growth ahead [17]

Group 1: Walt Disney (DIS) - Disney has been a leading name in family entertainment for a century, but its stock has struggled due to a slow transition to streaming [4] - The company is now on better footing, with profitable and growing streaming services, expecting double-digit operating income growth in the entertainment segment and 18% growth in sports for the current fiscal year [5][6] - Adjusted earnings per share increased by 32% year over year to $3.22, and operating income in entertainment rose 79% to $2.96 billion [6] - Disney's direct-to-consumer segment turned a $91 million loss into a $629 million profit, and the company is preparing to launch its ESPN streaming app [7] - The theme park business remains strong, with plans to add a new park in Dubai, indicating potential for stock price growth [8] Group 2: e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) - e.l.f. Beauty is becoming the preferred mass cosmetics brand in the U.S., reporting growth despite a challenging macroeconomic environment [10] - The company appeals to younger consumers through eco-conscious branding, diversity campaigns, and low prices, gaining market share while competitors decline [11][13] - e.l.f. holds the No. 1 spot in color cosmetics unit share, with a 23% increase in fiscal 2025, and a 24% year-over-year increase in dollar share [13] - The company is investing in skincare and expanding its retail presence, including the acquisition of the Rhode brand [14] - Despite a 37% decline in stock over the past year, it is now seen as a buying opportunity at 28 times forward one-year earnings [15] Group 3: Dutch Bros (BROS) - Dutch Bros is an emerging player in the drive-thru coffee market, with 1,012 locations across 18 states and plans to reach 2,029 shops by 2029 [16] - The company reported a 29% year-over-year revenue growth last quarter, with same-shop sales growth of 4.7% in Q1 [17] - Dutch Bros offers a diverse menu beyond coffee, including lemonades and energy drinks, and is testing food options to enhance sales [18] - The company is profitable, with net income rising to $22.5 million last quarter, indicating effective growth strategy execution [19] - The stock has increased over 50% in the past year, trading at a price-to-sales multiple of 5.5, suggesting a promising investment opportunity as it expands [20]

范冰冰重回公众视野，不是以演员明星的身份，而是因其创立的美妆品牌Fan Beauty Diary过去一年取得的惊人成绩。 一份由中国美妆网发布的2024年度中国美妆品牌TOP100榜单显示，范冰冰创立的品牌Fan Beauty Diary以14.5亿元营收位列榜单第35名。 14.5亿元营收，35名的成绩，虽然与第一名珀莱雅相差悬殊，后者主品牌珀莱雅全年营收85.81亿元，也不及毛戈平、花西子等网红品牌，但与 其他知名品牌不到10亿或不超过14.5亿元年营收相比，一个成立7年时间的品牌已属行业黑马。 将时间线拉长，过去四年，Fan Beauty Diar增长颇为稳定。2021年，Fan Beauty Diary全年GMV突破3亿元，2022年增长至8.5亿元，2023年全 年，Fan Beauty DiaryGMV超11亿元。2024年，品牌总营收14.5亿元。 今年618，Fan Beauty Diary再次刷新品牌销售记录。公开报道显示，今年618预售首日，Fan Beauty Diary新品"VC大桔美白面膜"在李佳琦直播 间卖爆了，短短10秒钟卖了10万盒。一盒售价198元，10万盒便是1980万元。 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the investment strategy of a boutique family office fund led by Amrita, focusing on sustainable, growth-driven companies that aim to maximize shareholder equity [1] - Amrita has a background in high-growth supply-chain start-ups and has experience working with venture capital firms, which has contributed to her ability to maximize returns for clients [1] - The newsletter "The Pragmatic Optimist," co-founded by Amrita, emphasizes democratizing financial literacy and simplifying complex macroeconomic concepts for better understanding [1] Group 2 - The article mentions a previous "hold" rating on e.l.f. Beauty (ELF), indicating that the management faces several challenges in the short term [1]

2025年6月，国内主打成分的专业功效护肤品牌hfp（全称HomeFacialPro），正式官宣全新果酸代言人 刘涛，并携手发布"温柔，亦有力量"主题广告片，以温柔而坚定之姿，演绎温和高效的果酸嫩肤力量。 在化妆品行业同质化竞争的背景下，hfp针对油性皮肤人群油脂分泌过度、黑头闭口频生、皮肤暗黄粗 糙等护肤痛点，锚定果酸成分，打造兼具高效嫩肤和温和修护二大功效的果酸精粹水。它主打3代果酸 复配，分段作用于肌肤不同层，深入疏通毛孔堵塞的同时，高效改善黑头闭口痘痘等难题。 不仅如此，hfp果酸精粹水创新性添加二裂酵母及积雪草提取物等二大王牌修护成分，以90%修护精粹 替水打底，同时打造安心用酸三防体系（即防辣脸、防拔干、防薄皮），保障用户用酸无顾虑，体验温 和高效的果酸嫩肤。 极致的配方打磨和优质的产品体验，让hfp果酸精粹水广受消费者青睐，根据品牌方披露的数据，目前 该产品已累计售出超过400万瓶，更获得刘涛、何超莲、黄圣依、伊能静、温峥嵘等圈内知名演员的喜 爱。 随着对果酸成分应用的探索加深，hfp果酸系列已完善多品类多元化矩阵搭建，从基础护肤的水乳洁面 到面膜、高阶精华，身体护理等，成熟完善且好评无数的产品 ...

Company Performance - e.l.f. Beauty's stock increased by 1.16% to $130.98, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.83% [1] - Over the last month, e.l.f. Beauty's shares rose by 10.44%, while the Consumer Staples sector experienced a loss of 0.61% and the S&P 500 gained 4.99% [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show an EPS of $0.85, reflecting a 22.73% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $350.96 million, indicating an 8.16% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Projections - Zacks Consensus Estimates project full-year earnings of $3.66 per share and revenue of $1.65 billion, representing increases of 7.96% and 25.39% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions suggest optimism regarding e.l.f. Beauty's business and profitability [3] Valuation Metrics - e.l.f. Beauty is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 35.37, which is higher than the industry average Forward P/E of 22.8 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 2.28, compared to the average PEG ratio of 1.32 for cosmetics stocks [6] Industry Context - The Cosmetics industry is part of the Consumer Staples sector, holding a Zacks Industry Rank of 63, placing it in the top 26% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Both Michael Burry, the famed investor behind "The Big Short," and Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. EL have strategically reduced their exposure to China – and Burry doubled his bet on the global beauty giant. Burry Shorts China, Buys EL According to its most recent SEC filing, Burry's hedge fund Scion Asset Management doubled its stake in Estee Lauder in the first quarter of 2025. The firm purchased an additional 100,000 shares in the world’s second-largest cosmetics company, bringing its total holdings to 200 ...

Group 1: Company Developments - Hunan Oubiao has been restricted from high consumption activities due to a contract dispute with Changsha Jincang Trading Co., Ltd, marking the eighth restriction this year [2] - Beijing Plant Doctor Cosmetics Co., Ltd has received approval for its IPO on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, aiming to raise approximately 998 million yuan [3][4] - Sa Sa International announced plans to close all 18 offline beauty stores in mainland China by June 30, 2025, due to increasing operational pressures and a significant decline in sales [5] Group 2: Market Trends - Yingtong Holdings has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, becoming the first publicly traded Chinese perfume company, with a market capitalization of approximately 2.72 billion HKD [6] - The trend of herbal ingredients in beauty products is gaining traction, with 76% of consumers preferring natural herbal products, driven by the "pure beauty" and "precise skincare" trends [9] - Korean cosmetics exports have surpassed those of the United States for the first time, reaching 3.606 billion USD in the first four months of the year, with a year-on-year growth of 20.3% [12] Group 3: Innovations and Leadership Changes - Byredo's founder and creative director Ben Gorham will step down, transitioning brand management to Puig Group, which acquired Byredo in 2022 [7] - Firmenich has launched a new fragrance design tool, ChériScentz, which utilizes neuroscience algorithms to enhance the fragrance creation process [10] - Estée Lauder has appointed Sara Staniford as the new vice president and general manager for its major makeup brands in the UK and Ireland, tasked with expanding market share [11]

今天分享的是：2025年中国美容行业的白皮书 防脱经济因年轻群体的"脱发焦虑"持续升温。2021年中国脱发人群超2.5亿，平均年龄30.1岁，比上一代提前20年。618购物节期 间，防脱产品需求增长33.1%，其中防脱洗发水是入门首选，2020年销售额达15.4亿元；米诺地尔等外用药增长迅猛，某品牌年 销售额从2018年的1100万元飙升至2021年的1.16亿元；植发作为"终极解决方案"，2020年市场规模达134亿元，但渗透率仅 0.2%，未来增长空间巨大。 纯净美容（Clean Beauty） 虽属小众但潜力显著。87%的消费者关注香水是否含天然成分，64%在意过敏原，海外品牌如澳大利 亚ONE SEED已将有机成分占比提升至80%。本土品牌则结合中医智慧，佰草集、东边野兽等以"草本配方"主打敏感肌市场，契 合了消费者对"天然安全"的追求。政策红利也在释放，2021年起进口普通化妆品免除动物测试，为更多国际纯净品牌进入中国 扫清障碍。 报告共计：43页 后疫情时代中国美容市场：消费趋势迭代与新赛道崛起 随着2023年初疫情防控政策的调整，中国美容市场迎来了新的发展机遇。经历了特殊时期的消费习惯重塑，从护 ...

2025年进入下半场，似乎仍有不少美妆品牌的日子不好过。就连近期颇具热度的红人美妆也面临着冰火两重天局面。 一面是被规模集团巨额收购、入局者不断等，另一面则是有品牌传来负债、清算的消息。 据cosmeticsbusiness6月30日报道显示，创立仅3年的生活方式美容品牌Cosmoss遭遇清算困境，其提交的账目显示，负债近300万英镑(约合人民币2953.32 万元)。 图源：cosmeticsbusiness 另据英国政府官网GOV.UK日前(6月25日)发布的公告显示，有关清算的特别决议于6月18日宣告结束。 成立仅3年就遭清算，这个红人美妆品牌遭遇了什么困境？红人美妆品牌的未来之路该如何走？ 成立仅3年，负债3000万遭清算 聚焦本次Cosmoss被清算事件，在2025年6月，Cosmoss正式进入清算程序，系自愿委任清算人清算，由破产事务处理机构AABRS Limited清盘。 值得注意的是，在距今不到两个月的时间里，有外媒猜测，Kate Moss的品牌Cosmoss是否陷入困境，如今来看，答案也已确定。 回溯过往公告及文件，据英国政府官网GOV.UK显示，Cosmoss在2021年6月进行了1次资本 ...