Core Insights - Serious consumer-level mortgage delinquency rates have increased from 0.89% in Q2 2023 to 1.27% in Q2 2025, indicating a rising trend despite historically low levels [1] - The analysis by TransUnion highlights a direct correlation between payment-to-income (PTI) ratios and mortgage delinquency, suggesting that higher PTI ratios can signal increased risk of delinquency [1][3] Group 1: Mortgage Delinquency Trends - Mortgage delinquency rates have risen gradually, with 60+ days past due (DPD) rates increasing from 0.89% in Q2 2023 to 1.14% in Q2 2024 and further to 1.27% in Q2 2025 [1] - The study focused on nearly 57 million mortgage consumers who were current on their loans, providing a relevant sample for assessing emerging risk factors [2] Group 2: Payment-to-Income Ratios - A strong link was found between changes in PTI for non-mortgage products, such as credit cards, and subsequent increases in mortgage delinquency rates in the following year [3] - As PTI ratios for credit cards increased from 2.18 in March 2023 to 2.33 in December 2023, the 60+ DPD mortgage delinquency rates also rose from 0.42% to 0.63% in the same period [4] Group 3: Implications for Lenders - Mortgage lenders are encouraged to implement a proactive schedule for collecting consumers' cross-wallet credit data to gain early insights into emerging risks of mortgage delinquency [5] - Utilizing trended credit data can help lenders identify shifts in key attributes such as aggregate excess payment and debt-to-income ratios, allowing for timely interventions [6][7]

Core Insights - Consumer credit performance shows early signs of stabilization in Q2 2025, particularly among mortgage holders, while younger Canadians without mortgages continue to face financial pressures [1][2] - Total consumer debt reached $2.58 trillion, a 3.1% year-over-year increase, with average non-mortgage debt per consumer at $22,147 [3][20] - The delinquency rate for non-mortgage holders is nearly double that of mortgage holders, indicating a growing financial divide [2][10] Consumer Debt and Delinquency Trends - Approximately 1.4 million Canadians missed a credit payment in Q2 2025, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous quarter but an increase of 118,000 from a year ago [1] - The average non-mortgage debt for consumers under 36 years old rose to $14,304, with a delinquency rate of 2.35%, reflecting a 19.7% year-over-year increase [10][20] - Delinquency rates in Ontario and Alberta are notably high, with Ontario's non-mortgage delinquency rate at 1.75% and Alberta's at 1.98% [5][6] Regional Analysis - Ontario has the highest delinquency levels for non-mortgage products, with significant increases in urban areas like Toronto and Hamilton [5] - Alberta's delinquency rates have also risen, influenced by economic challenges and a recent population surge [6] - Mortgage delinquency rates in Ontario and British Columbia remain elevated, with Ontario at 0.27% and British Columbia at 0.19% [7] Credit Demand and Spending Behavior - New credit trades decreased by 4.5% year-over-year, with only super-prime consumers seeing growth, indicating tighter lending criteria [12] - Average credit card spending per consumer was over $2,100 in June, a 0.4% decrease from June 2024, suggesting declining consumer spending on credit cards [3] - Auto loan originations increased by 2.9% year-over-year, primarily among low-risk consumers, with average loan amounts climbing to $35,586 [15][16] First-Time Homebuyer Activity - First-time homebuyer activity increased by 1.8% year-over-year, but major markets like Ontario and British Columbia saw lower numbers compared to 2024 [14] - The average loan amount for first-time homebuyers rose by 4% from Q2 2024, now close to $430K, intensifying affordability pressures [14]

Core Insights - American consumers are showing steady and disciplined credit behavior, with signs of stabilization and measured growth across key lending categories despite a complex economic landscape [1][3] - The Q2 2025 Credit Industry Insights Report from TransUnion indicates a rebound in credit card and unsecured personal loan originations, with controlled balance growth and declining delinquencies [1][2] Credit Card Market - Bankcard originations increased by 4.5% YoY in Q1 2025, with outstanding balances also rising by 4.5% YoY in Q2 2025, which is lower than the growth rates observed in the previous three years [2][16] - The consumer-level 90+ days past due (DPD) delinquency rate decreased by 9 basis points YoY to 2.17%, indicating improved credit health [2][16] - Total charge-off balances remained steady at just under $17 billion, with the number of accounts charged off declining by 9% YoY to 4.7 million [6][8] Unsecured Personal Loans - Unsecured personal loan originations rose sharply by 18% YoY in Q1 2025, totaling 5.4 million accounts, with stable delinquency rates [7][17] - Total unsecured loan balances reached $257 billion in Q2 2025, marking a 4% YoY increase, driven primarily by super prime and prime plus segments [17][20] - The 60+ DPD delinquency rate slightly declined to 3.37%, reflecting improved management of credit by consumers [18][20] Mortgage Market - Mortgage originations increased by 5.1% YoY in Q1 2025, primarily due to a rebound in refinance activity, with rate-and-term refinances up 44% YoY [25][27] - The consumer-level 60+ DPD delinquency rate rose to 1.27%, with FHA loans accounting for 35% of these delinquencies [25][27] - Total balances of all mortgage loans reached $12.6 trillion, up from $12.3 trillion in Q2 2024 [27] Auto Loan Market - Auto loan originations grew by 5.9% YoY to 6.4 million in Q1 2025, supported by rising new vehicle inventory levels [33][31] - The percentage of consumers 60+ DPD rose to 1.31%, exceeding 2009 levels, although the pace of growth has begun to decelerate [33][34] - Average monthly payments for new auto loans increased to $758, while used auto loans averaged $531 [31][33]

Group 1 - TransUnion's Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.115 per share for the second quarter of 2025 [1] - The dividend will be payable on September 8, 2025, to shareholders of record on August 22, 2025 [1] Group 2 - TransUnion operates as a global information and insights company with over 13,000 associates in more than 30 countries [2] - The company focuses on providing a reliable representation of individuals in the marketplace through actionable consumer insights [2] - TransUnion has expanded its services beyond core credit into marketing, fraud, risk, and advanced analytics through acquisitions and technology investments [2] - The company's mission, termed Information for Good®, aims to create economic opportunities and empower millions globally [2]

Canada generated $69.3 million in revenues for the company in the last quarter, constituting 4.51% of the total. This represented a surprise of -0.14% compared to the $69.4 million projected by Wall Street analysts. Comparatively, in the previous quarter, Canada accounted for $63 million (4.37%), and in the year-ago quarter, it contributed $69.2 million (4.84%) to the total revenue. Have you assessed how the international operations of Equifax (EFX) performed in the quarter ended June 2025? For this credit ...

Core Insights - The recent share price corrections and valuation compression of Fair Isaac Corporation (NYSE: FICO) are driven more by sentiment shifts rather than financials or fundamentals [1] Financial Analysis - The focus on Fair Isaac Corporation's financials and fundamentals is not the primary driver of its recent stock performance [1] Market Trends - There has been a notable sentiment shift affecting the valuation of Fair Isaac Corporation, indicating broader market trends influencing investor behavior [1]

Core Insights - TransUnion reported revenue of $1.14 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 9.5% and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.7% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period was $1.08, up from $0.99 a year ago, representing a surprise of 9.09% over the consensus estimate [1] Revenue Performance - U.S. Markets revenue reached $890.4 million, surpassing the average estimate of $853.91 million by analysts, with a year-over-year change of 10% [4] - Consumer Interactive revenue in U.S. Markets was $146.9 million, exceeding the estimate of $140.66 million [4] - International revenue totaled $252.9 million, above the average estimate of $248.04 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.4% [4] - Total gross revenue was reported at $1.14 billion, compared to the average estimate of $1.1 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of 9.4% [4] Segment Performance - Financial Services revenue in U.S. Markets was $419.9 million, exceeding the estimate of $392.61 million, with a year-over-year increase of 17.1% [4] - Emerging Verticals revenue in U.S. Markets was $323.6 million, slightly above the estimate of $321.7 million, showing a year-over-year change of 4.9% [4] - International revenue from Canada was $42.3 million, surpassing the estimate of $39.93 million, with a year-over-year change of 9% [4] - International revenue from the UK was $67.2 million, exceeding the estimate of $65 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 18.7% [4] - International revenue from Asia Pacific was $24.5 million, below the estimate of $26.66 million, showing a year-over-year decline of 6.5% [4] - International revenue from Africa was $18.2 million, above the estimate of $17.03 million, with a year-over-year increase of 15.2% [4] Stock Performance - TransUnion shares have returned 6.9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's return of 5.7% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating potential for outperformance in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, TransUnion exceeded all key financial guidance metrics, achieving 9% organic revenue growth on a constant currency basis, surpassing the 3% to 5% guidance [6][39] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 8%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 35.7%, ahead of the 34.8% to 35.3% guidance [40] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $1.08, a 9% increase and above the high end of guidance [40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. Market segment revenue grew by 10%, with Financial Services up 17% and 11% excluding mortgage [41] - Consumer lending growth accelerated to 18%, with auto growing 19% and mortgage revenue increasing by 29% despite flat inquiry volumes [42][43] - Emerging verticals grew by 5%, with double-digit growth in insurance and mid-single-digit growth in tech, retail, and e-commerce [44] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market segment delivered 10% growth, with robust activity from FinTech lenders and healthy consumer demand for debt consolidation products [7][9] - International revenue grew by 6% on an organic constant currency basis, with India’s growth accelerating to 8% [10][46] - Canada and Africa each grew double digits, while Asia Pacific declined by 8% due to lapping one-time consulting revenue [47][48] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its 2025 strategic priorities, particularly in the fast-growing Trusted Call Solutions business [5][60] - TransUnion aims to enhance its product offerings and customer experience through innovation and technology modernization [19][23] - The strategy includes deeper penetration of core verticals, scaling existing solutions, and broadening the product portfolio [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the U.S. lending environment remains stable but muted, with consumer lending showing signs of recovery [14][88] - The company raised its full-year revenue and adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance based on strong first-half results and continued business momentum [13][50] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth opportunities in India, anticipating a return to high teens organic growth by Q4 [106] Other Important Information - The leverage ratio declined to 2.8 times, with plans to deleverage to 2.5 times before the anticipated Mexico acquisition [11][49] - The company has repurchased $47 million in shares year-to-date, aligning with its balanced approach to capital deployment [12][49] - One-time charges related to the transformation program totaled $29 million in Q2, with a total of $315 million incurred to date [41] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the outperformance in lending types? - Management indicated that a combination of customer mix and new technology/product innovation is driving the outperformance, particularly in consumer lending and FinTech [66][67] Question: What is the momentum for alternative data bureaus? - The momentum is attributed to re-platforming and innovation at Factor Trust, leading to increased business wins and a robust pipeline [72][74] Question: How is the Mexico acquisition performing? - The asset is performing well and is on plan, with the company targeting to close the acquisition by year-end [75][77] Question: What are the initial learnings from the CI freemium rollout? - The rollout is progressing well, with expectations for mid-single-digit growth in the Consumer Interactive business as new offerings are optimized [81][82] Question: How is the consumer lending environment evolving? - The environment is stable but showing improvement, with consumer lending recovering and card activity becoming more optimistic [88][90] Question: What is the outlook for India? - India is expected to achieve a 10% growth rate for the full year, with high teens growth anticipated in Q4 due to improved lending conditions [106][108]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - TransUnion exceeded all key financial guidance metrics for the sixth consecutive quarter, achieving high single-digit organic revenue growth of 9% on an organic constant currency basis, surpassing the 3% to 5% guidance [5][35] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 8%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 35.7%, exceeding the guidance of 34.8% to 35.3% [36] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose to $1.08, a 9% increase and above the high end of guidance [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. Market segment revenue grew by 10%, with Financial Services up 17% and 11% growth excluding mortgage [38] - Consumer lending and auto segments experienced double-digit growth, while card and banking grew in mid-single digits [6][38] - Emerging verticals grew by 5%, with insurance showing double-digit growth driven by recovery in marketing and consumer shopping activity [8][40] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market segment delivered 10% growth, with robust activity from FinTech lenders and a 29% increase in mortgage revenue despite flat inquiries [6][39] - International revenue grew by 6% on an organic constant currency basis, with India showing an acceleration to 8% growth [8][42] - Canada and Africa also reported double-digit growth, while Asia Pacific declined by 8% due to lapping one-time consulting revenue [44] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on execution and value creation, with an emphasis on product innovation and expanding its suite of solutions [57] - TransUnion aims to deepen penetration in core verticals, scale existing solutions, and broaden its product portfolio, particularly in Trusted Call Solutions [33][32] - The company is positioned to capitalize on significant growth opportunities in India, targeting over 20% annual growth in the medium term [15][109] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the U.S. lending environment remains stable but muted, with consumer lending showing signs of recovery [12][82] - The company raised its full-year revenue and adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance, reflecting strong first-half results and continued business momentum [11][57] - Concerns about inflation and interest rates were acknowledged, but management remains optimistic about the resilience of consumers and lenders [12][13] Other Important Information - The leverage ratio declined to 2.8 times, with plans to deleverage to 2.5 times before the anticipated acquisition in Mexico [9][46] - The company has repurchased $47 million in shares year-to-date, aligning with its balanced approach to capital deployment [10][46] - One-time charges related to the transformation program totaled $29 million in the quarter, with a total of $315 million incurred to date [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the outperformance across lending types? - Management indicated that a combination of customer mix and new technology/product innovation is driving the outperformance, particularly in consumer lending and FinTech [61][62] Question: What is the momentum for alternative data bureaus? - The momentum is attributed to re-platforming and innovation at Factor Trust, leading to increased business wins and a robust pipeline [67][70] Question: How is the Mexico acquisition performing? - The asset is performing well and is on plan, with the acquisition expected to close by the end of the year after clearing regulatory hurdles [72] Question: What are the initial learnings from the CI freemium rollout? - The rollout is progressing well, with expectations for mid-single-digit growth in the Consumer Interactive business as new offerings are integrated [74][78] Question: How is the consumer lending environment evolving? - The environment is stable but showing improvement, with consumer lending recovering and card activity becoming more optimistic [80][82] Question: What is the outlook for the mortgage market? - The mortgage market is at a bottom, with inquiries flat but revenue increasing due to pricing and pre-qualification traction [97][99] Question: What is the growth outlook for India? - India is expected to achieve a 10% growth rate for the full year, with potential for high teens growth in the fourth quarter as lending volumes recover [104][109]

Financial Performance & Guidance - Second quarter revenue reached $1.14 billion, a 10% increase[43] - Organic constant currency revenue grew by 9%, or approximately 6.5% excluding mortgage impacts[10, 44] - Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $407 million, up 8%[43] - The company is raising full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $4.432 billion - $4.472 billion, representing a 6% to 7% increase[13, 62] - Full-year Adjusted EBITDA is guided to $1.580 billion - $1.610 billion, a 5% to 7% increase[67] - Adjusted Diluted EPS for the full year is expected to be $4.03 to $4.14, a 3% to 6% increase[67] Segment Performance - U S Markets revenue increased by 10% to $890 million, with Financial Services growing by 17%[10, 45] - International revenue grew by 6%, with India accelerating to 8% growth[10] Strategic Initiatives - Trusted Call Solutions (TCS) revenue is expected to scale from approximately $50 million in 2022 to an expected $150 million in 2025[27] - The company is targeting approximately $250 million in revenue for Trusted Call Solutions by 2028[42] - The company repurchased $47 million in shares year-to-date through mid-July[10, 57]