以基本面为基础，专注于趋势交易 还在信"AI是泡沫"？ 三家海外巨头刚甩来的财报，直接把这论调抽成了筛子。 Snowflake 、 MongoDB 、 CrowdStrike 的 FY26Q3 成绩单新鲜出炉，营收、 EPS 双双 炸穿预期。 以下文章来源于格隆汇交易学苑 ，作者格隆汇小编 格隆汇交易学苑 . AI 业务更狠，从" PPT 概念"焊死在"赚钱实景"里。 前阵子有人喊 " AI 只烧钱不造血"，现在看，数据处理、平台适配、安全防护三条赛道，全跑 成了"印钞机"。 别猜泡沫了，真相是： AI 应用早起飞，关键是抓对赛道 。 01 数据基础设施AI化： AI落地的"地基工程" AI 要赚钱，先得把数据"伺候"好。 这是行业铁律，就像盖楼先打地基，少了这步，再牛的 AI 也是空中楼阁。 Snowflake 这季度的表现，把"地基刚需"焊得明明白白。 总营收 12.1 亿美元，同比暴涨 29% ；核心产品营收 11.6 亿美元，增速丝毫不差。 双双踩碎市场预期，最狠的是 AI 业务——年化收入破 1 亿美元，比原计划早了整整一个季 度。 这不是 "实验室胜利"，是客户真金白银堆出来的。 福布斯 2000 ...

We came across a bullish thesis on Confluent, Inc. on Compounding Your Wealth’s Substack by Sergey. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on CFLT. Confluent, Inc.'s share was trading at $21.87 as of December 1st. CFLT’s forward P/E was 45.45 according to Yahoo Finance. Photo by Luke Chesser on Unsplash Confluent (CFLT) delivered a strong Q3 2025 performance with $298.5 million in revenue, up 19.3% year over year and ahead of estimates, driven by robust subscription growth and operational ...

Core Insights - NetApp Inc. reported fiscal second-quarter results that exceeded analyst expectations, driven by increased adoption of AI workloads and cloud storage services [1][2] - The company's shares fell over 2% despite the positive earnings report [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings for the quarter ended October 24, 2025, were $2.05 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.89 [1] - Revenue increased by 3% year over year to $1.71 billion, slightly above the estimated $1.69 billion [1] Segment Performance - All-flash array revenue grew by 9% to $1.0 billion [2] - Public cloud revenue reached $171 million, with first-party and marketplace storage services experiencing a growth of 32% [2] - The company achieved a record Q2 adjusted operating margin of 31.1% [2] Future Guidance - For fiscal 2026, NetApp projected adjusted EPS between $7.75 and $8.05, with a midpoint of $7.90, which is above the $7.75 consensus [2] - Revenue guidance for fiscal 2026 is set between $6.63 billion and $6.88 billion, aligning with market expectations [2]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues for Q3 2025 reached $13 million, an increase of 81% year-over-year and 48% sequentially, marking one of the strongest quarters in the company's history [7][15] - Non-IFRS gross margins for Q3 2025 were 56%, down from 74% in Q3 2024, reflecting increased investments and a higher share of large-scale projects with AI customers [16][17] - Operating expenses in Q3 2025 were $7.4 million, compared to $4.1 million in Q3 2024, driven by planned investments in R&D and sales [17] - Net profit for Q3 2025 was $0.1 million, down from $4.2 million in Q3 2024, with the previous year's profit influenced by one-time financial income [18][19] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $1.2 million, compared to $1.4 million in Q3 2024 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company saw a 26% increase in paying customers and a 17% increase in average revenue per customer during the quarter [7] - The product suite is evolving from a single product proxy business into a diversified multi-product data infrastructure platform, with significant growth in datasets and website unblockers [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - There is significant traction from major global e-commerce platforms in Asia, with repeat and expanding orders [8] - The AI market is experiencing volatility, but demand is broadening and growing sharply, positioning AI as a core long-term growth engine for the company [8][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company prioritizes long-term relationships and market share capture over short-term margins and profitability [3] - Strategic investments are being made to expand capacity and enhance infrastructure, which is expected to improve margins over time [9][10] - The company aims to shift towards higher value products, which will improve unit economics and margins as the product mix evolves [10][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to expand both gross and operating margins as the product mix continues to shift and infrastructure becomes more efficient [11] - For Q4 2025, the company expects revenues of approximately $12 million, representing a significant 62% year-over-year growth [13][20] - The company is positioned to serve the increasing reliance on high-quality, real-time public web data, with a vision to become a foundational data infrastructure company in the AI sector [14] Other Important Information - The company's shareholders' equity increased to $31.1 million as of September 30, 2025, up from $26.4 million at the end of 2024 [19] - Cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2025, were approximately $24.6 million, supporting strategic investments [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the large project for Dataset delivery? - Management clarified that it is not a project but a demand for a product combining a scraper and dataset, with high customer satisfaction and retention [22][25] Question: Do you see once R&D customers have developed their models that usage is higher or lower? - Management indicated that during the education stage, data needs are high, but in the production stage, usage becomes more predictable and sustainable [26][27] Question: What is the pipeline to sell this new Dataset delivery solution to other customers? - Management confirmed that there are already other customers leveraging this product, and there are additional prospects in the pipeline [30] Question: How should we think about the gross margin recovering as revenue scales? - Management noted that if all solutions were in-house, gross margins could be around 70%, and improvements are expected as demand stabilizes and infrastructure efficiency increases [31][33]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues for Q3 2025 reached $13 million, an increase of 81% year-over-year and 48% sequentially, marking one of the strongest quarters in the company's history [7][15] - Non-IFRS gross margins for Q3 2025 were 56%, down from 74% in Q3 2024, reflecting increased investments and a higher share of large-scale projects with AI customers [16][17] - Operating expenses in Q3 2025 were $7.4 million, compared to $4.1 million in Q3 2024, driven by planned investments in R&D and sales [17] - Net profit for Q3 2025 was $0.1 million, down from $4.2 million in Q3 2024, with the previous year's profit influenced by one-time financial income [18][19] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $1.2 million, compared to $1.4 million in Q3 2024 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company saw a 26% increase in paying customers and a 17% increase in average revenue per customer during the quarter [7] - The product suite is evolving from a single product proxy business into a diversified multi-product data infrastructure platform, with significant contributions from datasets and website unblockers [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is experiencing strong traction with major global e-commerce platforms in Asia, which are placing repeat and expanding orders [8] - Demand from leading AI labs is expected to grow sharply, indicating a broadening market for the company's services [8][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company prioritizes long-term relationships and market share capture over short-term margins, with a focus on AI-driven growth [3] - Strategic investments are being made to expand capacity and enhance infrastructure, which is expected to improve margins in the long term [9][10] - The company aims to shift towards higher value products, which will improve unit economics and margins over time [10][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's position within the AI market, anticipating smoother revenue patterns as models transition from research to production [11] - For Q4 2025, the company expects revenues of approximately $12 million, representing a 62% year-over-year growth [13][20] - The company aims to end 2025 with around $41 million in revenues, up almost 30% year-over-year [13] Other Important Information - The company's shareholders' equity increased to $31.1 million as of September 30, 2025, up from $26.4 million at the end of 2024 [19] - Cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2025, were approximately $24.6 million, supporting ongoing strategic investments [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the large project for Dataset delivery? - Management clarified that it is not a project but a demand for a product combining a scraper and dataset, with significant revenue contribution [22][23] Question: Do you see once R&D customers have developed their models that usage is higher or lower? - Management indicated that during the education stage, customers need a large amount of data quickly, while in production, usage may be more predictable but spread over time [26][27] Question: What is the pipeline to sell this new Dataset delivery solution to other customers? - Management confirmed that there are already other customers leveraging this product, and there are additional prospects in the pipeline [30] Question: How should we think about the gross margin recovering as revenue scales? - Management noted that if all solutions were in-house, gross margins could be around 70%, and they are working to reduce reliance on third-party vendors [31][32] Question: When will and how do you think about the unit economics improving? - Management expects improvements in unit pricing as demand stabilizes and infrastructure becomes more efficient [36][37]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues for Q3 2025 reached $13 million, an increase of 81% year-over-year and 48% sequentially, marking one of the strongest quarters in the company's history [6][14] - Non-IFRS gross margins for Q3 2025 were 56%, down from 74% in Q3 2024, reflecting increased investments and a higher share of large-scale projects with AI customers [15][16] - Net profit for Q3 2025 was $0.1 million, a significant decrease from $4.2 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to a high financial income in the previous year [17][18] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $1.2 million, slightly down from $1.4 million in Q3 2024 [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company saw a 26% increase in paying customers and a 17% increase in average revenue per customer during the quarter [6] - The product suite is evolving from a single product proxy business into a diversified multi-product data infrastructure platform, with significant growth in AI-centric products [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong growth was noted in the AI vertical, offsetting declines in other segments, with one large-scale AI customer contributing approximately $3.5 million in revenue [15] - The company is experiencing significant traction with major global e-commerce platforms in Asia, which are placing repeat and expanding orders [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company prioritizes long-term relationships and market share capture over short-term margins and profitability, with a focus on AI-driven growth [3] - Strategic investments are being made to expand capacity and enhance infrastructure, which are expected to drive long-term growth despite short-term margin pressures [8][10] - The company aims to shift towards higher value products, which will improve unit economics and margins over time [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growing demand for AI services and the company's positioning within the data industry, anticipating a revenue of approximately $12 million for Q4 2025, representing a 62% year-over-year growth [12][19] - The volatility in demand from leading labs is expected to stabilize as models transition from research to production [10] Other Important Information - The company's cash position as of September 30, 2025, was approximately $24.6 million, supporting ongoing strategic investments [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the large project for Dataset delivery? - Management clarified that the demand is for a combination of a scraper and a dataset, with high customer satisfaction and retention [22][25] Question: Do you see usage being higher or lower once R&D customers have developed their models? - Management indicated that while initial data needs are high during the education stage, usage may become more predictable in the production stage [26][27] Question: What is the pipeline to sell this new Dataset delivery solution to other customers? - Management confirmed that there are already other customers leveraging this product, with additional prospects in the pipeline [30] Question: How should we think about the gross margin recovering as revenue scales? - Management projected that gross margins could improve significantly if third-party vendor reliance decreases, with a potential gross margin of around 70% if all solutions were in-house [31][33] Question: When will unit economics improve? - Management noted that as demand stabilizes and infrastructure efficiency increases, unit prices may rise, benefiting overall margins [36][37]

Core Viewpoint - The merger between Zhongke Shuguang and Haiguang Information is a significant event in China's technology industry expected to occur by 2025 [1] Group 1: Merger Details - Zhongke Shuguang will be absorbed by Haiguang Information through a share swap, resulting in the indirect control of Shuguang Data Innovation (Beijing) Co., Ltd. being transferred from Zhongke Shuguang to Haiguang Information [1] - As of November 11, 2025, Shuguang Data Innovation is the only company in Beijing with a market capitalization exceeding 10 billion yuan listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1] Group 2: Impact on Shuguang Data Innovation - Shuguang Data Innovation has stated that the merger constitutes an indirect acquisition, requiring Haiguang Information to fulfill a comprehensive tender offer obligation [1] - The tender offer is legally mandated and does not aim to terminate the listing status of Shuguang Data Innovation, ensuring that the company's independent operational status remains unaffected post-merger [1]

Core Insights - IREN Ltd. has secured a significant five-year contract worth $9.7 billion with Microsoft to provide advanced AI cloud infrastructure, marking a strategic shift towards hyperscale AI workloads [1][4] - The company will supply Microsoft with large-scale AI compute capacity utilizing NVIDIA's latest GPUs at its Texas campus, which includes new liquid-cooled data-center capacity [2] - IREN has also entered a $5.8 billion hardware procurement agreement with Dell Technologies to support the Microsoft contract [3] Financial Impact - The Microsoft deal is expected to enhance IREN's revenue, with projections of over $500 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) once the full deployment of 23,000 GPUs is operational by early 2026 [5] - Prior to this contract, IREN had already secured multi-year AI cloud contracts covering around 11,000 GPUs, generating an estimated $225 million in ARR expected by late 2025 [5] Market Reaction - Following the announcement, IREN's stock surged over 20%, indicating strong market confidence in the company's new direction and its role as a credible hyperscale infrastructure provider [4][8] - Analysts have described the partnership with Microsoft as a "game-changing" moment for IREN, elevating its status in the industry [4][8] Operational Considerations - The success of the Microsoft contract is contingent on IREN's ability to meet strict deployment milestones and manage infrastructure delivery effectively [6] - The $5.8 billion hardware investment introduces capital intensity and potential execution risks, which could impact the project's overall economics [6][7] Customer Concentration - IREN's increasing reliance on Microsoft as a major client may pose concentration risks, and any delays in GPU supply chains or regulatory changes in Texas could affect project viability [7]

Core Insights - Investors often overlook that a company can report strong results yet see its stock decline due to overly high expectations [1][2] - The recent market downturn for high-performing stocks indicates that the market may have overextended itself following a strong rally [2] Company-Specific Analysis - GE Vernova, an energy company crucial for AI data centers, reported strong order growth and a positive outlook, yet its stock fell significantly after a nearly 80% year-to-date increase, as expectations were already high [3] - Vertiv, another data infrastructure provider, experienced a sharp stock reversal despite a 60% increase in organic orders, as investors anticipated even stronger results [4][5] - In contrast, Intuitive Surgical's stock surged 14% after exceeding expectations with stronger-than-expected procedure growth, indicating that unexpected positive news can lead to significant stock rallies [6] - Capital One demonstrated resilience with a positive quarterly report, showing a decline in credit issues, which contributed to its stock rally [7] Market Trends - Speculative stocks are facing ongoing challenges, with companies that have not turned a profit issuing new shares and insiders cashing out [7][8] - There is skepticism about the recovery of speculative stocks to their previous highs, prompting advice to reduce holdings in underperforming companies [8]

Core Insights - Galaxy Digital Inc. reported a net income of $505 million for Q3 2025, with diluted earnings per share at $1.01, and adjusted EBITDA of $629 million, driven by the Digital Assets division [1][2] - The company experienced a 140% increase in digital asset volumes from Q2, contributing significantly to the profit increase [2] - Total platform assets reached $17 billion, with $8.8 billion in assets under management and $6.6 billion under stake, alongside $1.9 billion in cash and stablecoins [3] Financial Performance - The Global Markets segment achieved a record adjusted gross profit of $295 million, supported by strong spot and derivatives trading, including a $9 billion Bitcoin sale of approximately 80,000 BTC [2] - The asset management and infrastructure solutions departments generated $23 million in adjusted gross profit, attributed to over $2 billion in net inflows into alternatives and ETFs [5] - New digital asset mandates from treasury clients added $4.5 billion in assets, leading to annual recurring fee revenue exceeding $40 million [6] Strategic Developments - Galaxy's Helios Data Center in West Texas is progressing towards operational readiness in 2026, fully leased to CoreWeave for up to 800 MW of capacity, aligning with the company's long-term growth strategy [4] - The recent launch of the GalaxyOne platform in October provides individual US investors access to high-yield cash, cryptocurrency, and equity trading [6] Market Reaction - Following the Q3 report, Galaxy Digital's shares increased by more than 6% within 24 hours, with a trading volume of 16,874,909 shares, reflecting strong market performance in 2025 with an 82.55% year-to-date increase [7]