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Tariffs Hit Brazil: Can MELI Maintain Momentum in its Biggest Market?
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 17:11
Core Insights - MercadoLibre (MELI) is heavily reliant on Brazil, which accounts for over 50% of its revenues, with strong growth in both commerce and fintech sectors [1][4] - The company plans a significant investment of 34 billion reais ($5.8 billion) in Brazil for 2025, marking a 48% increase from the previous year [4][9] - Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly President Trump's 50% tariff on Brazilian imports, have raised concerns about potential impacts on MercadoLibre's operations and consumer spending in Brazil [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, MercadoLibre reported net revenues of $3.08 billion from Brazil, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues from Brazil is projected at $14.3 billion [3] - The second-quarter 2025 earnings estimate stands at $12.01 per share, indicating a 14.60% year-over-year growth [15] Competitive Landscape - MercadoLibre faces increasing competition in Brazil from Amazon and Sea Limited's Shopee, both of which are expanding their market presence [5][6] - Amazon offers over 100 million products and has established a robust logistics network in Brazil [5] - Shopee is leveraging aggressive pricing and mobile-first strategies to capture market share in Brazil [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - MELI shares have increased by 41.7% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Internet-Commerce industry and the Retail-Wholesale sector [7] - The stock is currently trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 3.91X, compared to the industry's 2.17X, indicating a higher valuation [11]
Are Amazon's Subscription Services Delivering Bigger Returns in 2025?
ZACKS· 2025-07-08 16:51
Core Insights - Amazon's subscription services are enhancing customer engagement and loyalty, with Prime memberships being a significant driver of value [1][4][11] Revenue Performance - The subscription services segment generated $11.7 billion in revenues in Q1, reflecting a 9.3% year-over-year increase and contributing 7.5% to total revenues [2] - Projected subscription services revenues for 2025 are approximately $49 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 10.9% [2] Operational Enhancements - Amazon is improving its fulfillment network and regional delivery systems, achieving record delivery speeds for Prime members in Q1 2025 [3] - The company is committed to enhancing the value proposition for subscribers by maintaining low prices, improving delivery speed, and expanding product variety [4] Strategic Initiatives - Prime Day 2025, scheduled for July 8-11, is a key strategy for driving engagement and spending, featuring exclusive deals for Prime members [4][11] - The rollout of Alexa+ for free to Prime members aims to create a more interactive and engaging subscription ecosystem [5] Competitive Landscape - Amazon faces increasing competition from Walmart and Apple in the subscription services market [6][11] - Walmart's Walmart+ offers benefits like free shipping and same-day grocery delivery, while Apple's Services business bundles various digital services, contributing to over one billion paid subscribers [7][8] Stock Performance and Valuation - Amazon's shares have gained 0.8% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Internet – Commerce industry and the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector [9] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 3.25X, compared to the industry's 2.17X, indicating a lower valuation score [13]
Can Amazon's Logistics Expansion Further Boost Online Stores' Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-06-26 15:55
Core Insights - Amazon is enhancing its delivery and logistics operations to improve customer experience and support e-commerce sales [1] - The company is investing over $4 billion to expand its delivery network, aiming to triple its size by 2026 [2] - Amazon's Online Stores segment generated $57.4 billion in revenues in Q1 2025, reflecting a 5% year-over-year increase [4] Delivery and Logistics Expansion - Amazon plans to expand Same-Day and Next-Day Delivery to tens of millions of U.S. customers in over 4,000 smaller cities and rural areas by the end of 2025 [2] - As of June 2025, the number of items delivered the same or next day in the U.S. increased by more than 30% year over year [3] - The expansion of the delivery network is expected to further increase the volume of ultra-fast deliveries [3] Financial Performance - The Online Stores segment accounted for 36.9% of Amazon's total quarterly revenues in Q1 2025 [4] - The revenue estimate for Online Stores in 2025 is projected at $263.8 billion, indicating a 6.8% growth year over year [4] Competitive Landscape - Amazon faces significant competition in the e-commerce logistics space from companies like Target and Walmart [5][6] - Target's acquisition of Shipt for same-day delivery poses a serious threat to Amazon's market position [5] - Walmart is enhancing its e-commerce capabilities and delivery services, which strengthens its competitive edge [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Amazon's shares have declined by 3.3% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Internet-Commerce industry and the Retail-Wholesale sector [7] - The stock is currently trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 3.10X, compared to the industry's 2.01X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 2025 earnings is $1.31 per share, indicating a 6.5% year-over-year growth [13]
E-Commerce Booms in Latin America: Can MercadoLibre Win the Market?
ZACKS· 2025-06-23 17:16
Core Insights - MercadoLibre (MELI) is capitalizing on the growing Internet adoption in Latin America, enhancing its position as a leading online shopping platform in the region [1][9] - The company is experiencing significant growth potential, with physical stores still accounting for approximately 85% of retail spending, while MELI holds less than 5% market share [2] - Unique active buyers increased by 25% year-over-year, contributing to strong GMV growth of 30% in Brazil, 23% in Mexico, and 126% in Argentina [2] Growth Strategies - MELI is investing in user experience and infrastructure improvements, such as repeat purchase options and category-based navigation, which led to a 65% year-over-year growth in the supermarket category [3] - Logistics enhancements have resulted in fulfillment penetration exceeding 60% in Brazil, reducing per-order costs and enabling initiatives like free shipping [3] Financial Performance - In the first quarter, commerce revenues reached $3.3 billion, reflecting a 32.3% year-over-year increase and accounting for 55.6% of total revenues [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MELI's second-quarter commerce revenues is projected at $3.7 billion [4] Competitive Landscape - MercadoLibre faces increasing competition from global players like Amazon and Alibaba, which are expanding their operations in Latin America [5][6] - These competitors are targeting MELI's core markets, potentially impacting its pricing power and customer retention [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - MELI shares have increased by 43% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Internet – Commerce industry and the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector [7] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 3.96X, compared to the industry's 2.01X [11] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 earnings is $12.01 per share, indicating a 14.60% year-over-year growth [13] - The consensus for 2025 earnings is $47.75 per share, reflecting a 26.69% year-over-year growth [13]
MercadoLibre Trades at a Premium: Should You Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-04-23 15:40
MercadoLibre’s (MELI) valuation may be a concern for some investors. The stock is trading at a premium compared to the broader Zacks Internet – Commerce industry. As of the latest data, MELI’s forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio hovers around 3.9, above the industry’s 2.08, reflecting investors' high growth expectations.With MELI stock trading at a premium, investors may be wondering how to approach it. While the company faces short-term pressures, such as macroeconomic uncertainties and increased competitio ...