Costco Wholesale (COST) is set to report its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Sept. 25 after the market closes. Many investors are focused on whether the company can uphold its membership model’s strength, manage margin pressures in the current retail environment, and continue pushing forward in e-commerce — all while navigating tariffs, supply-chain volatility, and changing consumer habits. Meanwhile, Costco’s August sales report posted on Sept. 4 was met positively by investors, triggering a multi ...

Core Insights - The article highlights two top-tier growth stocks, Costco Wholesale and Amazon.com, as potential long-term investment opportunities due to their effective business strategies and market positions. Group 1: Costco Wholesale - Costco has maintained growth since its founding in 1983 by offering a curated selection of quality products at bargain prices, a strategy expected to continue for decades [3][4] - The company operates over 900 stores globally and achieved sales of $270 billion in its most recent fiscal year ending August 31 [4] - Costco's focused buying power allows it to stock around 4,000 items, significantly fewer than competitors, enabling it to secure substantial discounts from suppliers [5] - The company provides higher pay and benefits to its employees compared to many competitors, which enhances employee morale and retention [5] - Costco's membership renewal rates consistently exceed 90%, indicating high customer satisfaction and loyalty, even after membership fee increases [6] - The company's strategy benefits employees, customers, and shareholders, with expectations for continued growth in purchasing power and stock price [7] Group 2: Amazon.com - Amazon employs a successful business model focused on offering a vast selection of goods, low prices, and convenient delivery options, positioning it as a leader in online retail [8][9] - The global retail e-commerce market is projected to exceed $12.3 trillion by 2030, providing significant growth opportunities for Amazon [9] - Amazon Web Services (AWS) is a leading provider of cloud infrastructure services, with sales of $116 billion and operating profits of $43 billion over the last 12 months, growing at 18% [10][11] - The company's partnership with AI pioneer Anthropic is expected to drive further growth in its cloud computing operations [11] - Amazon is also a major player in the digital advertising market, leveraging its AI capabilities to deliver targeted ads, with the digital ad market projected to exceed $1.2 trillion in the next five years [12]

Membership Growth - BJ's Wholesale Club has experienced a 55% increase in memberships since going public, reaching a new milestone of 8 million members, with 90% of those members renewing their subscriptions [1][2]. Sales Performance - Comparable store sales decreased by 0.3% when including fuel costs due to declining fuel prices, but increased by 2.3% when excluding fuel, attributed to strong store traffic [2]. Consumer Behavior - The CEO noted that consumers are showing resilience despite ongoing tariffs and inflation, but there are signs of consumer frustration and a search for value [2][3]. - Consumers are increasingly using coupons and seeking deals, with 42% redirecting spending towards cheaper merchants, indicating a shift in purchasing behavior [4]. Economic Impact - The "Minimalist" consumer category is emerging, characterized by increased home dining and reduced discretionary spending [5]. - Tariffs are impacting consumer behavior by increasing costs, leading to a greater focus on essentials and a reduction in discretionary spending [6].

Core Insights - Costco's stock is considered expensive, trading at 55.8 times trailing earnings and 59.6 times free cash flow, yet it has delivered a total return of 2,320% over the last 15 years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 663% gain [1][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - Costco has a consistent history of growing cash profits while effectively utilizing new capital over time [4] - The company generates substantial free cash flow, which can be used for dividends, share buybacks, acquisitions, or increasing cash reserves, indicating strong real cash profits [6] - Costco's return on invested capital (ROIC) is nearly double that of Walmart and Target, and even surpasses Amazon's ROIC, showcasing its effective profit utilization [7] Group 2: Business Efficiency - The combination of higher ROIC and growing cash flows creates a self-reinforcing cycle of continuous business improvements, benefiting shareholders [8]

Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corporation is experiencing significant growth in its e-commerce segment, which is becoming a key growth driver alongside its traditional brick-and-mortar operations [1] E-commerce Performance - In Q3 of fiscal 2025, e-commerce comparable sales increased by 15.7%, surpassing the overall comparable sales growth of 8% [2][9] - Site traffic rose by 20%, and average order value increased by 3%, indicating higher customer engagement and spending [2] Strategic Initiatives - The introduction of a Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) option through Affirm is aimed at enhancing conversions for high-ticket items like appliances and electronics [3] - Costco Logistics deliveries saw a 31% year-over-year increase, reflecting improved fulfillment capabilities, especially for bulky items [3][9] - Personalization efforts, including tailored product recommendations and targeted promotions, are yielding positive results [4] Market Positioning - Although e-commerce currently represents a small portion of total sales, its rapid growth suggests it could become a more significant contributor to Costco's business model [5] - Comparatively, Walmart reported a 22% year-over-year increase in global e-commerce sales, while Sprouts Farmers Market achieved 28% growth in e-commerce sales [6][7] Financial Performance - Costco's stock has performed well, with a 15.5% increase over the past year, outpacing the industry growth of 5.6% [8] - The forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio for Costco is 50.11, higher than the industry average of 32.13 [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year growth of 8.1% in sales and 12% in earnings per share for the current financial year [11]

Core Concept - The article discusses the concept of "wide moat" companies, which possess enduring competitive advantages that protect them from competitors, leading to strong long-term profitability [1][4]. Group 1: Characteristics of Wide Moat Companies - Wide moat companies benefit from strong brand recognition, network effects, high switching costs, regulatory barriers, and economies of scale, creating significant obstacles for competitors [3]. - These companies typically enjoy robust pricing power and consistent profit margins, allowing them to reinvest in operations and strengthen their competitive position [3]. Group 2: Investment Appeal - Investing in wide moat businesses is attractive due to their potential for reliable, long-term returns, especially during economic slowdowns and market volatility [4]. - Such firms generally generate consistent cash flows and create shareholder value through dividends and stock appreciation, making them appealing for long-term wealth building [5]. Group 3: Company Examples - **Intuit Inc.**: Established a powerful economic moat through brand loyalty and high switching costs, with products like QuickBooks and TurboTax targeting a large market of small and medium businesses [7][8]. The shift to cloud-based subscription services enhances its competitive edge [9]. - **Nestle S.A.**: As the largest food and beverage company, it leverages a strong brand portfolio and global distribution networks, benefiting from operational excellence and R&D capabilities [11][12]. Its consistent cash flows and commitment to sustainability make it attractive for long-term investors [13]. - **Costco Wholesale Corporation**: Utilizes a cost leadership strategy through a membership model and efficient supply chain management, resulting in strong customer loyalty and consistent revenue growth [14][15]. Its digital initiatives and expansion plans further contribute to its robust performance [17]. - **Visa Inc.**: Holds a dominant position in digital payments, benefiting from a vast payment network and network effects that enhance its service value [18]. The company’s strategic acquisitions and technological innovations position it for continued growth in the evolving payments landscape [19][20].

If you invested $10,000 in warehouse-style retailer Costco Wholesale (COST -0.70%) in 1990, you'd have over $400,000 today. Simply put, Costco stock was a life-changing investment for some investors thanks to its incredibly consistent performance. As stellar as returns have been for Costco, one current risk unsettles some investors: It currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation of nearly 60. That's its highest valuation in over 30 years even though its growth prospects have cooled considerably ...

Group 1 - Costco's shares fell by 3.9% after reporting May comparable sales that were slightly below estimates [1][4] - In May, Costco's comparable sales increased by 4.3%, or 6% when adjusted for fuel prices and foreign exchange, which was lower than the growth rate of 5.8% for the first 39 weeks of the fiscal year [4] - Overall revenue for the four-week period ending June 1 rose by 6.8%, but this was just below the expected adjusted comparable-sales growth of 6.2% [4][5] Group 2 - Wells Fargo noted that despite the slight miss in sales, Costco continues to perform well but has a high valuation, maintaining an equal weight rating with a price target of $1,000 [5] - Costco's current price-to-earnings ratio is 57, indicating high expectations are already factored into the stock price [7] - The market's reaction to a moderation in growth rates suggests that any further disappointing numbers could lead to additional declines in the stock price [6][7]

Core Insights - Costco is testing a new checkout technology called "Scan & Go" to enhance the checkout experience for its members, addressing a significant concern among customers [1][10] - CEO Ron Vachris reported positive early results from the tests, indicating strong member adoption and satisfaction [2][7] - The company aims to improve the member experience further by exploring additional technology pilots for faster checkout processes [7][10] Checkout Technology - The "Scan & Go" technology allows customers to scan items as they shop and pay through an app, similar to offerings from competitors like Sam's Club and BJ's Wholesale [4][5] - Traditional checkout lanes and some self-checkout options are still available at all Costco locations [3][11] - The technology has reportedly been successful in expediting transactions and reducing wait times for customers [1][9] Competitive Landscape - Competitors such as Sam's Club and BJ's Wholesale have implemented similar technologies, with Sam's Club offering a "Scan & Go" option and BJ's providing "ExpressPay" for quicker checkouts [4][5] - The competitive pressure from these retailers highlights the importance of Costco's initiative to adopt new technologies to retain and attract members [2][4]

The leading membership warehouse retailer reported impressive numbers in its most recent earnings report, highlighting the company's robust customer base at a time when consumers are pulling back at many other stores. The stock's long-term performance is legendary. Costco's shares have risen by over 600% in the past decade alone. The company was a favorite of the late Charlie Munger, who, alongside Warren Buffett, helped run Berkshire Hathaway for decades. Costco Wholesale's share price has risen 600% over ...