中国稀土所属申万行业为：有色金属-小金属-稀土。所属概念板块包括：国资改革、稀土永磁、融资融 券、基金重仓、大盘等。 截至12月19日，中国稀土股东户数22.90万，较上期减少3.74%；人均流通股4634股，较上期增加 3.89%。2025年1月-9月，中国稀土实现营业收入24.94亿元，同比增长27.73%；归母净利润1.92亿元，同 比增长194.67%。 分红方面，中国稀土A股上市后累计派现3.46亿元。近三年，累计派现1.24亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，中国稀土十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流 通股东，持股2906.94万股，相比上期增加946.69万股。南方中证500ETF（510500）位居第五大流通股 东，持股1079.60万股，相比上期减少27.03万股。嘉实中证稀土产业ETF（516150）位居第六大流通股 东，持股799.75万股，为新进股东。南方中证申万有色金属ETF发起联接A（004432）位居第八大流通 股东，持股603.53万股，为新进股东。 1月12日，中国稀土盘中上涨2.40%，截至11:17，报53.29元/股，成交19.58亿元，换手率 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [1]. Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced an 8.56% increase in the week from January 5 to January 9, outperforming the overall market [14]. - The optimism in the market is driven by expectations of two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026, alongside a slowdown in the U.S. labor market [29]. - The report highlights the volatility expected in the gold and silver markets due to BCOM rebalancing from January 9 to January 15 [51]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.82%, with the non-ferrous metals sector ranking fourth among 31 sectors [14]. - All sub-sectors within non-ferrous metals saw gains, with small metals up 11.67%, new materials up 9.02%, industrial metals up 8.52%, precious metals up 7.28%, and energy metals up 6.30% [14]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Prices increased, with LME copper at $12,998 per ton (up 4.1%) and SHFE copper at ¥101,410 per ton (up 3.23%). Supply disruptions and macro bullish sentiment support the price [33]. - **Aluminum**: LME aluminum reached $3,136 per ton (up 3.81%) and SHFE aluminum at ¥24,330 per ton (up 6.13%). The copper-aluminum price ratio supports upward price trends [37]. - **Zinc**: LME zinc prices rose to $3,154 per ton (up 0.85%) and SHFE zinc at ¥23,970 per ton (up 2.99%). Inventory levels increased [41]. - **Tin**: LME tin prices surged to $45,560 per ton (up 13.19%) and SHFE tin at ¥352,540 per ton (up 9.17%). Market sentiment is driven by macro expectations and funding emotions [46]. Precious Metals - **Gold**: COMEX gold closed at $4,518.40 per ounce (up 4.07%) and SHFE gold at ¥1,006.48 per gram (up 2.96%). The labor market data indicates a slowdown, maintaining expectations for interest rate cuts [50]. - **Silver**: The report notes a significant drop in London silver leasing rates, indicating a shift in market dynamics and potential for increased volatility [51].

证券研究报告 小金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 01 月 12 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 陈婉妤 SAC：S1350524110006 chenwanyu@huayuanstock.com 项祈瑞 SAC：S1350524040002 xiangqirui@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——小金属双周报（2025/12/29-2026/1/9） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 稀土：供需双弱格局，氧化镨钕震荡上行。近两周，氧化镨钕上涨 5.31%至 62.45 万元/吨，氧化镝上涨 8.27%至 144 万元/吨，氧化铽上涨 3.41%至 622.5 万元/吨。 供给端，政策面以及供应面偏紧支撑，氧化物供应紧张。需求端，下 ...

相关研究 行 业 及 产 业 2026 年 01 月 11 日 证券分析师 郭中伟 A0230524120004 guozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 金属板块景气持续，看好春季行情 看好 ——金属&新材料行业周报 20250105-20260109 本期投资提示： 有色金属 点 评 证 券 研 究 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 报 告 - ⚫ 一周行情回顾：据 iFind，环比上周 1）上证指数上涨 3.82%，深证成指上涨 4.40%，沪深 300 上涨 2.79%，有色金属（申 万）指数上涨 8.56%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 5.77 个百分点。2）分子板块看，环比上周，贵金属上 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to surge, with a net inflow of 17.5 billion yuan on January 9, ranking third among 31 first-level industries in the Shenwan classification [1][8] - The popular ETF, Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876), saw its price rise over 3.5% during the day, closing up 3.24%, reaching a new historical high [1][8] - The ETF's trading volume exceeded its listing high, indicating a potential buying signal for investors [1][8] Fund Inflows and Performance - Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF experienced a net subscription of 57.6 million units, with a total net inflow of 194 million yuan over the past five days, and 279 million yuan over the last ten days [1][8] - The trading volume for the ETF reached 88.1 million yuan, showing a slight increase compared to previous periods [1][8] Market Trends and Analysis - The U.S. non-farm payroll report released on January 9 indicates potential for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could lead to a super cycle for industrial metals like copper and aluminum [2][8] - Recent price increases in various minor metals, particularly tungsten, are attributed to supply constraints and rising global demand for strategic resources [2][8] - Analysts predict that under conditions of loose liquidity and frequent supply disruptions, prices for copper, aluminum, gold, and battery metals are likely to continue rising through 2026 [2][8] Sector Highlights - Leading stocks in the non-ferrous metal sector, such as Yunnan Zinc Industry and Xiamen Tungsten Industry, have shown significant gains, with some stocks reaching their daily limit [3][10] - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF covers a wide range of industries, including precious metals, strategic metals, and industrial metals, allowing for better exposure to the sector's performance [4][8]

周五（1月9日），A股震荡拉升，沪指高开高走突破4100点豪取16连阳，深成指涨超1%。沪深两市成 交额3.12万亿元，较上一个交易日放量3224亿元，时隔73个交易日后再度站上3万亿大关，历史第五次 突破3万亿元。市场热点快速轮动，全市场超3900只个股上涨，连续2日超百股涨停。 盘面上，热门主线题材——军工、航空继续走强，航天电子、中国卫通6天4板续创新高，军工ETF华宝 （512810）盘中一度暴涨超5.5%，场内连续4日刷新历史纪录，周线斩获七连阳；场内热门通用航空 ETF华宝（159231）再涨2.75%同样连创新高，资金单日净申购2100万份。 AI应用强势爆发，易点天下20CM涨停创新高，"AI双子星"双双拉升，科创人工智能ETF（589520）场 内猛涨3.77%逼近历史新高，创业板人工智能ETF（159363）场内收涨2.75%续创历史新高！此外，聚焦 数据技术、数据安全领域的大数据ETF华宝（516700）场内暴涨4%日线炸裂11连阳！ 有色金属等顺周期资产继续狂飙，资金连续猛攻！板块热门ETF——有色ETF华宝（159876）场内价格 收涨3.24%再创历史新高，全天获资金净申购5760 ...

市场情绪持续回暖。沪指此番收涨后，已录得16连阳，创造新纪录。当日，人工智能应用题材爆发，影 视、短剧、游戏等板块领涨。商业航天、人形机器人、小金属概念股涨幅居前。 （来源：千龙网） 昨天（9日），A股三大股指集体飘红，沪指站上4100点，再创十年新高。截至收盘，沪指涨0.92%，收 于4120.43点；深指涨1.15%，创业板涨0.77%。当日全市场成交额再度大幅放量突破3万亿元。 2026年开市以来，市场表现红火，不仅实现开门红，沪指还创造日线最长连阳纪录。以沪指为例，开年 第一周，该指数累计上涨151点，涨幅为3.8%。 展望全年，国内机构普遍认为，自2024年9月以来的行情有望延续。外资机构也表示看好人民币资产。 华尔街投行高盛近日报告表示，海外"长钱"正在积极布局中国资产，对中国股市的配置兴趣显著升温。 成交额体现着市场成交规模和活跃度，昨天，A股全市场成交额达到31523亿元。这是A股历史上第六次 成交额突破3万亿元大关。此前五次分别在2024年10月8日、2025年8月25日、2025年8月27日、2025年8 月28日、2025年9月18日。 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market continues its strong upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index successfully surpassing the 4100-point mark, reaching its highest level since July 2015 [2] - A-share daily trading volume exceeded 3 trillion yuan for the sixth time in history, signaling strong bullish sentiment in the market [2][3] Index Performance - Major indices closed in the green, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.92% to 4120.43 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.15% to 14120.15 points, and the ChiNext Index increasing by 0.77% to 3327.81 points [3] - Since the beginning of 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index has accumulated a rise of 3.82%, while the Shenzhen Component Index has increased by 4.40% [3] Margin Trading - The margin trading balance in A-shares has surpassed 2.6 trillion yuan, reaching a historical high of 26206.09 billion yuan, indicating a strong enthusiasm for leveraged funds [4] - On January 8, the margin trading transaction volume was 3126.04 billion yuan, accounting for 11.05% of the total A-share trading volume [4] Sector Focus - The commercial aerospace sector has seen significant growth, with companies like Galaxy Electronics and China First Heavy Industries achieving consecutive gains [6] - The AI application sector is also thriving, with companies like Yidian Tianxia reaching historical highs and benefiting from recent positive developments in AI technology [6] - The humanoid robot concept has shown strong performance, particularly with Fenglong Co., which has experienced an 11-day consecutive rise due to a major acquisition by UBTECH Robotics [6] Commodity Prices - The non-ferrous metals sector is performing well, with small metal concepts rising sharply, as evidenced by the price increases of tungsten products [7] Institutional Insights - Despite major indices reaching new highs, approximately 90% of individual stocks have not yet surpassed their highest closing prices from September 2024 to the end of 2025, indicating a concentrated market rally [8] - Various sectors, including non-ferrous metals, military industry, and AI computing, have seen stocks break previous highs, while technology growth and consumer sectors remain below their peaks [8]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a 16-day consecutive rise and breaking through the 4100-point mark, reaching a new high in over 10 years [5][6] - The trading volume exceeded 3.1 trillion yuan, marking a near four-month high, indicating strong market activity [5][6] - Major indices showed positive performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.92% to 4120.43 points, and other indices such as the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index also recording gains [5] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace and AI application sectors remained active, with notable stocks like Galaxy Electronics showing strong performance [6] - The small metals sector performed well, with companies like Jiangxi Tungsten and Yunnan Zinc reaching new highs, driven by rising prices of precious metals and supply constraints in cobalt and nickel [6] - The CPI and PPI data released were better than market expectations, with CPI rising by 0.8%, the highest since March 2023, indicating potential inflationary pressures [7] Bond Market - The government bond futures market saw a decline across the board, with the 30-year main contract dropping by 0.07% [11] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 340 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, maintaining liquidity in the market [11] - Short-term pressures in the bond market are expected to persist, influenced by macroeconomic data and stock market performance [11] Commodity Market - The commodity market showed mixed results, with precious metals leading gains, particularly palladium which rose by 6.01% [11] - Multi-crystalline silicon prices continued to decline, with a drop of 8.11%, reflecting a loose supply-demand balance despite production cuts [11] - The overall commodity index is expected to maintain a bullish outlook, driven by ongoing investment and market dynamics [15] Investment Themes - Key investment themes include precious metals, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, AI applications, and consumer sectors, driven by policy support and market dynamics [13][15] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring global pricing trends and domestic policy changes that could impact these sectors [15]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector experienced significant inflows, with a net capital inflow of 17.5 billion yuan on January 9, ranking third among 31 Shenwan first-level industries [1] - The popular ETF, Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876), saw its price rise over 3.5% during the day, closing up 3.24%, reaching a new historical high [1] - The ETF recorded a net subscription of 57.6 million units, with a total net inflow of 279 million yuan over the past 10 days [1] Group 2 - Several small metal varieties have seen significant price increases, particularly tungsten, driven by supply constraints and growing demand for strategic resources [2] - Analysts predict a "super cycle" for industrial metals like copper and aluminum, supported by loose liquidity and strong structural demand [2][3] - The Huabao Non-ferrous ETF covers a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing for better exposure to the entire sector's performance [4]