Core Viewpoint - Lowe's reported strong second-quarter results, exceeding earnings expectations and demonstrating resilience in a challenging operating environment for the home improvement sector [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were $4.33, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.36% and increasing by 5.4% compared to the same quarter in 2024 [1]. - Total revenues reached $23.96 billion, slightly above estimates and up from $23.59 billion in the previous year, with comparable sales increasing by 1.1% [6]. Market Response - Following the positive earnings surprise, Lowe's shares rose approximately 1% in early trading [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on service offerings and operational efficiency, supported by its Total Home strategy and AI-powered shopping assistant [5]. - Partnerships with Apple and NVIDIA are enhancing customer experience and operational capabilities, including the use of advanced technology for kitchen design visualization and AI integration [7]. Acquisitions - Lowe's completed the acquisition of Artisan Design Group, which is expected to enhance its reach to professional customers in the design and installation sectors [8]. - An agreement to acquire Foundation Building Materials (FBM) for $8.8 billion is anticipated to improve offerings to Pro customers and is expected to close in Q4 2025 [10]. Industry Context - The home improvement sector is facing challenges due to high mortgage rates and rising home prices, which have dampened demand [2]. - Despite these challenges, the acquisition of FBM positions Lowe's to capitalize on long-term spending in a fragmented $50 billion market, with an estimated 18 million new homes needed in the U.S. by 2033 [9]. Risks and Challenges - The housing downturn may delay a sustained recovery for home improvement companies, with ongoing inflation and potential cost increases from tariffs impacting Lowe's operations [11][12]. - Rising selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) costs and high debt levels are testing the company's financial flexibility [12].

Core Viewpoint - The Dow Jones Industrial Average is reaching new record highs, driven by rate cut optimism, sector rotation, and strong corporate earnings, particularly in sectors like industrials, retail, financials, and real estate [1][3][5]. Sector Performance - The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) has increased by 2.1% over the past week, outperforming the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series (QQQ), which gained 1.2% and 0.7% respectively [2]. - Investors are moving away from high-growth tech and AI sectors towards undervalued sectors, contributing to the Dow's rally [3]. Key Company Contributions - Home Depot (HD) and UnitedHealth (UNH) have significantly contributed to the Dow's performance, with Home Depot showing strong guidance despite an earnings miss, and UnitedHealth rising after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $1.6 billion stake [4]. Interest Rate Expectations - The Dow is benefiting from increasing market expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, with futures indicating two 25-basis point reductions, which would favor cyclical sectors [5][6]. Investment Characteristics - The Dow Jones index is composed of less risky, value-oriented stocks, providing stability and potential for higher returns with lower volatility compared to growth stocks [7]. - The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) has $39.2 billion in assets under management, holding 30 stocks with a maximum 10% share per security, and is diversified across several sectors [9].

Market Overview - The Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 are experiencing selling pressure, while the Dow is slightly positive, up 10 points (+0.02%) [1] Earnings Reports - Target (TGT) reported Q2 earnings of $2.05 per share on revenues of $25.21 billion, missing expectations by 4 cents, with revenues up 1.2% year-over-year [2] - Target announced the replacement of CEO Brian Cornell with Michael Fiddelke, effective February next year, leading to a pre-market drop of over 10% in TGT shares, compounding a year-to-date decline of 22% [3] - TJX Companies (TJX) reported earnings of $1.10 per share, beating expectations by 8.9%, with revenues of $14.4 billion exceeding consensus by 2.33%, resulting in a 4% increase in shares [4] - Lowe's (LOW) reported Q2 earnings of $4.33 per share, beating estimates by 10 cents, with revenues of $23.96 billion, a slight miss of 0.01%, and shares up 2.8% in pre-market trading [5] - Estee Lauder (EL) posted earnings of $0.09 per share, a one-penny beat, with revenues of $3.41 billion, a modest beat of 0.27%, but shares fell 5% due to disappointing outlook [6] Economic Events - The World Economic Symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, begins today, featuring speeches from Fed officials, including Chris Waller and Raphael Bostic [7] - Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to deliver a speech on Friday, with analysts anticipating a neutral outlook on interest rates, currently at 4.25-4.50% [8]

The Home Depot Inc. HD reported weak earnings for the second quarter on Tuesday. The company posted second-quarter fiscal 2025 sales of $45.277 billion, up 4.9% from $43.175 billion a year earlier, but slightly below Wall Street's estimate of $45.356 billion. Net earnings were $4.6 billion, or $4.58 per diluted share, compared with $4.6 billion, or $4.60 per share, in the prior year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share were $4.68, just above last year's $4.67 but short of the $4.71 consensus estimate. "Our ...

Core Insights - Lowe's is making an $8.8 billion acquisition of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) to enhance its professional contractor business [2][3] - The acquisition aligns with Lowe's Total Home strategy and aims to capture a share of the $250 billion total addressable market for professional spending [3] - FBM operates over 370 locations in the U.S. and Canada, serving 40,000 professional contractor customers with a focus on building products [3] Industry Context - The acquisition follows Home Depot's recent purchase of GMS to expand its Pro customer base, indicating a competitive landscape focused on professional contractors [4] - Both Lowe's and Home Depot are increasingly relying on professional customers for sales growth as consumer spending declines in the building materials sector [4][5] - Pro builders are seen as more valuable due to their higher spending per project and lower sensitivity to consumer sentiment, as evidenced by Home Depot's Q2 performance [6] Market Potential - The addressable pro market in the U.S. is estimated to be worth over $450 billion annually, presenting significant growth opportunities for companies like Lowe's and Home Depot [7]

Group 1: Retail Earnings - Lowe's shares are indicated higher by 3% in premarket trading after beating earnings expectations, meeting revenue forecasts, and raising future sales guidance [3] - Target shares are down 9% in premarket despite beating revenue and earnings forecasts, as overall sales and traffic fell [4] - TJX Companies shares are indicated higher by nearly 4% after raising full-year earnings per share guidance following a stronger-than-expected quarter [5] Group 2: Market Trends - Technology stocks experienced declines, with Nvidia down 3.5% and Palantir down 9%, leading to a 1.5% drop in the Nasdaq Composite [2] - Home Depot's stock rose 3% following a solid earnings report, contrasting with Target's significant drop [6][4] - Market volatility remains low with the VIX under 16, and S&P 500 profits have been strong and better than expected [10] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The annual economic conference in Jackson Hole is underway, with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech anticipated on Friday [8] - The probability of a quarter-point rate cut at the September Fed meeting is currently at 83% according to the CME Fed Watch Tool [8] - Home Depot indicated modest price increases are likely, a shift from previous statements about tariffs not impacting pricing [7] Group 4: Company-Specific Developments - Lowe's announced an $8.8 billion acquisition of Foundation Building Materials to attract more home building and home improvement professionals [3] - Intel shares have risen 27% this month following discussions of U.S. government investment and a $2 billion investment from Softbank [9] - The Trump administration is considering taking a stake in Intel, with similar discussions for Micron and Taiwan Semiconductor [9]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, the company reported sales of $24 billion, with comparable sales increasing by 1.1% [7][26] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share reached $4.33, marking a 5.6% increase compared to the previous year [7][25] - Adjusted gross margin improved to 33.8%, up 37 basis points from the prior year [26] - Inventory at the end of Q2 was $16.3 billion, down $499 million year-over-year [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Positive comparable sales were reported in nine out of fourteen merchandise divisions, particularly in pro and online segments [12] - Strong performance was noted in seasonal categories, especially in lawn and garden, tools, and building products [12][14] - The flooring category showed strength across carpet, tile, and adhesives, with the introduction of Dal Tile expected to enhance offerings [65] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The macro environment remains supportive for homeowners, with strong balance sheets and low unemployment contributing to a positive outlook for the home improvement industry [10] - Analysts estimate approximately $50 billion in deferred project demand due to delayed discretionary projects over recent years [10] - The need for an estimated 18 million new homes by 2033 indicates a healthy pipeline for home improvement and new construction [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The acquisition of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) is seen as a transformational move to enhance the company's pro offerings and diversify revenue streams [5][6] - The company aims to leverage FBM's capabilities to serve larger professional customers within a $250 billion total addressable market [5][42] - The strategy focuses on integrating acquisitions to create a comprehensive interior solutions platform for large pro customers [41] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate the uncertain environment while providing value to customers [28] - The outlook for the home improvement market remains flat, with expectations for gradual improvements in the underlying business [29][77] - Management highlighted the importance of continuous improvement initiatives and the positive sentiment among professional customers regarding their job prospects [21][64] Other Important Information - The company generated $3.7 billion in free cash flow during Q2, with $1.3 billion allocated for the acquisition of ADG [28] - The acquisition of FBM is expected to close in 2025, with a purchase price of $8.8 billion [44] - The company plans to maintain its investment-grade credit ratings while focusing on growth and shareholder returns [45] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you expand on Foundation's year-to-date performance in 2025? - Management refrained from providing specific details until after the transaction closes but expressed excitement about FBM's historical performance [50] Question: What percentage of the 33,000 SKUs will be net new to Lowe's offering? - Management indicated it is too early to provide specifics but sees significant opportunities for complementary products [51] Question: Can you provide insights from the pro sentiment survey? - Pros reported stable backlogs and confidence in job prospects, although labor costs are rising [63][64] Question: What is happening in the flooring category? - Strength was noted in both DIY and pro segments, with the introduction of Dal Tile expected to enhance offerings [65] Question: Can you provide customer numbers or makeup for FBM? - FBM has about 40,000 customers, with a balanced mix of residential and commercial clients [72] Question: How much of the guidance for the back half is due to pricing? - Management indicated that pricing strategies are dynamic and will continue to be competitive [78] Question: Is there a secondary investment cycle emerging in the core Lowe's supply chain? - Management acknowledged the need for continuous investment in the platform but does not foresee another large acquisition soon [86]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported sales of $24 billion for the quarter, with comparable sales increasing by 1.1% [6][24] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share reached $4.33, marking a 5.6% increase compared to the previous year [6][23] - Adjusted gross margin improved to 33.8%, up 37 basis points from last year [25] - Inventory at the end of Q2 was $16.3 billion, down $499 million year-over-year [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Positive comparable sales were delivered in nine of the fourteen merchandise divisions, with notable growth in pro and online sales [11][12] - The lawn and garden category saw strong performance, driven by live goods and seasonal offers [12] - Building products, including plumbing repair and drywall, also experienced positive comps, reflecting ongoing momentum in repair and maintenance projects [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The macro environment remains supportive for homeowners, with strong balance sheets, wage growth, and low unemployment [9] - Analysts estimate approximately $50 billion in deferred project demand due to delayed discretionary projects over the past few years [9] - The need for an estimated 18 million new homes by 2033 indicates a healthy pipeline for home improvement and new construction [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The acquisition of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) is seen as a transformational move to enhance the company's pro offerings and capture a larger share of the $250 billion total addressable market [5][39] - The company aims to integrate FBM's capabilities to improve job site delivery and expand product offerings for pro customers [37][39] - The strategy focuses on leveraging acquisitions to strengthen the pro distribution platform and enhance overall growth potential [38][89] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term outlook for the home improvement industry, driven by aging housing stock and pent-up demand [9][10] - The company anticipates a flat home improvement market for the remainder of the year, with expectations for gradual improvements in underlying business performance [28][72] - Management highlighted the importance of continuous improvement initiatives to navigate the uncertain environment and deliver value to customers [27][60] Other Important Information - The company generated $3.7 billion in free cash flow during the quarter and paid $645 million in dividends [27] - The acquisition of ADG was completed in June, and it is expected to complement the FBM acquisition by offering a comprehensive interior solutions platform [10][41] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you expand on Foundation's year-to-date performance in 2025? - Management refrained from providing specific details until after the transaction closes but expressed excitement about FBM's historical performance [46] Question: What percentage of the 33,000 SKUs will be net new to Lowe's? - Management indicated it is too early to provide specifics but sees significant opportunities for complementary products [47] Question: Can you elaborate on the pro sentiment survey results? - Pros reported stable backlogs and confidence in job prospects, although labor costs are rising [58][60] Question: What is the customer makeup of FBM? - FBM serves about 40,000 customers with a balanced mix of 45% residential and 55% commercial, minimizing concentration risk [68] Question: How does the company plan to leverage the acquisitions? - The combination of FBM and ADG is expected to create differentiation and allow the company to capture a larger share of the pro market [95]

Core Insights - The article discusses the author's long-term investment strategy and experience, particularly focusing on The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE: HD) after a three-year hiatus in coverage [1]. Company Overview - The author has been managing their own portfolio since 1998, aiming to match the S&P 500 return over the long term with lower volatility and higher income [1]. - The author prefers to hold positions for the long term unless there is a compelling reason to sell, indicating a focus on intrinsic value [1]. Investment Strategy - The investment approach is to seek opportunities without regard to asset class, market cap, sector, or yield, emphasizing the importance of buying when prices are low relative to intrinsic value [1].

Q2 2025 Financial Performance - Lowe's reported positive comparable sales growth of +1.1%[1] and a gross margin of 33.8%[1], which is an increase of +34 basis points compared to the previous year[1] - Adjusted operating margin reached 14.7%[2], up +23 basis points year-over-year[2], with diluted EPS at $4.27[2], a +2.4% increase[2], and adjusted diluted EPS at $4.33[2], a +5.6% increase[2] - The company returned $645 million to shareholders through dividends[2] Sales Trends - Comparable transactions decreased by -1.0%[3], while the comparable average ticket increased by +0.3% to $104.60[3] - Online sales growth experienced a decline of -6.4%[3] - Monthly comparable sales performance varied, with May at -1.8%[3], June at +2.9%[3], and July at +7.5%[3] - Comparable sales by ticket size showed growth in the >$500 range at +3.6%[3], a decrease in the $100-$500 range at -1.4%[3], and a decrease in the <$100 range at -0.1%[3] - Positive comparable sales were achieved in 9 out of 14 product categories[5], including Building Materials, Lawn & Garden, and Appliances[5] Strategic Initiatives - Lowe's closed on the acquisition of Artisan Design Group (ADG)[6] - Pro penetration has increased from approximately 19% in 2019 to approximately 30% in 2025[23] - Lowe's announced the acquisition of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) on August 20, 2025[12] Foundation Building Materials (FBM) Acquisition - FBM has approximately $6.5 billion in pro forma 2024 revenue and $635 million in adjusted EBITDA[27] - The purchase price of $8.8 billion reflects a multiple of 13.4x adjusted EBITDA[50]