Company Announcement - trivago N.V. will release its financial results for Q2 2025 on August 5, 2025, after market close [1] - A webcast by trivago's management is scheduled for August 6, 2025, at 2:15 PM CEST / 8:15 AM EDT [1] Company Overview - trivago N.V. is a leading global hotel search and price comparison platform, recognized as one of the most prominent travel brands [3] - The company aims to assist travelers in finding the best accommodations and booking with confidence, saving time and money [3] - trivago provides access to over 5.0 million hotels and various types of accommodations in more than 190 countries [3]

Travelzoo, the club for travel enthusiasts, will host a conference call to discuss the Company's financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025. Travelzoo will issue a press release reporting its results before the market opens on July 23, 2025.HOW: A live webcast of Travelzoo's Q2 2025 earnings conference call can be accessed at http://ir.travelzoo.com/events-presentations. The webcast will be archived within 2 hours of the end of the call and will be available through the same link. ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry**: Online Travel Agencies (OTAs) in China - **Key Players**: TCOM (Trip.com Group Ltd) and TCEL (Tongcheng Travel Holdings) Core Insights 1. **Market Competition**: - The entrance of JD into the OTA market is not expected to significantly impact leading OTAs due to their supply chain advantages. [2] - Current competition has led to a suspension of inventory sharing with JD, but no major changes in take rates or subsidies have occurred. [2] - The market has absorbed initial fears regarding competition, with TCOM and Tongcheng stocks recovering. [2] 2. **Travel Demand Trends**: - Domestic travel demand has remained resilient despite a general decline in consumer sentiment in China, with notable fluctuations during holiday periods. [3] - A decline in travel demand was observed starting in June, leading to a weak start to the summer holiday season. [3] 3. **Earnings Expectations for 2Q25**: - TCOM and Tongcheng are expected to report earnings in line with guidance, with TCOM's revenue forecasted to grow 14% YoY to RMB 14.6 billion. [4][10] - Tongcheng's revenue is expected to grow 9.5% YoY, with adjusted net profit projected at RMB 748 million. [10] 4. **Financial Adjustments**: - TCOM's adjusted net profit is expected to decline by 9% YoY due to a high base from last year's equity affiliate income. [10] - Tongcheng's full-year transportation revenue forecast has been reduced due to weaker demand, but EPS forecasts remain unchanged due to cost control measures. [4] 5. **Macroeconomic Context**: - China's 2Q25 nominal GDP growth was only 3.9% YoY, marking the first time it fell below 4% post-COVID. [8] - Retail sales growth slowed unexpectedly to 4.8% YoY in June, down from 6.4% in May. [8] - The hotel sector is experiencing weak RevPAR, particularly in business travel, with July's recovery falling short of expectations. [8] Additional Important Points 1. **Revenue Forecasts**: - TCOM's revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly reduced, with a 12% decrease in non-GAAP net profit estimates due to the sale of MakeMyTrip shares. [15] - Tongcheng's revenue forecasts have been adjusted downwards by 4% for 2025, 6% for 2026, and 9% for 2027, reflecting weaker ticket and hotel revenue expectations. [11] 2. **Price Target Adjustments**: - Morgan Stanley has cut the price target for Tongcheng from HK$28 to HK$27, while maintaining a bull case of HK$36 and a bear case of HK$16. [13] 3. **Operational Metrics**: - TCOM's operating profit margin is expected to remain flat QoQ, while Tongcheng's gross margin is projected to be around 65.7% for the upcoming years. [10][21] 4. **Future Outlook**: - Analysts recommend focusing on domestic demand outlook for 3Q25, as the current economic environment poses challenges for growth. [4] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call records, providing insights into the current state and future outlook of the OTA industry in China, particularly focusing on TCOM and Tongcheng.

Summary of Key Points from J.P. Morgan's Research on China's "Un-loneliness" Economy Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **"un-loneliness" economy** in China, driven by the rise of single-person households and changing demographics, particularly among young adults and the elderly [1][4][5]. Core Insights 1. **Increase in Solo Living**: - As of 2020, 8.9% of the Chinese population lived alone, a significant increase from 4.4% in 2010. Single-person households now account for 25% of all households in China [4][12][17]. 2. **Emerging Demand for Social Connection**: - Survey data indicates that 21% and 24% of people in China experience collective and relational loneliness, respectively, highlighting a growing demand for services that foster social connections [4][22]. 3. **Sector Opportunities**: - **Sports and Live Entertainment**: The need for community is driving growth in sports participation, with amateur leagues and events gaining popularity. Anta Sports is identified as a top pick in this sector [4][56]. - **Solo Travel**: The rise in solo living is boosting solo travel, particularly among women, with Trip.com highlighted as a key player [4][66]. - **Social Media**: Platforms like Tencent, Kuaishou, and Bilibili are well-positioned to benefit from the increasing need for social interaction [4][66][78]. - **Romance Narrative Games**: The growth of otome games reflects a shift in how intimate connections are formed, with Netease identified as a key player in this market [4][86][92]. 4. **Demographic Shifts**: - Family sizes in China are shrinking, with one and two-person households becoming the most common types. The average family size decreased from 4.41 in 1982 to 2.62 in 2020 [6][8]. 5. **Impact of Marriage Trends**: - The number of marriages in China has fallen by over 50% from its peak in 2013, contributing to the rise of single-person households. The average age of first marriage has also increased significantly [81][82]. Additional Insights - **Health Implications of Loneliness**: Loneliness is linked to poor health outcomes and is recognized as a public health concern by the WHO [34]. - **Community through Sports**: The sports industry contributed 1.15% to China's GDP in 2023, with a notable increase in participation in running and winter sports [35][43]. - **Cultural Events in Macau**: Macau is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for live entertainment, hosting over 2,000 large-scale performances in 2023 [63][64]. Conclusion - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in various sectors as a response to the increasing prevalence of single-person households and the associated demand for social connection. Companies in social media, travel, entertainment, and sports are identified as key beneficiaries of this trend [5][56][66].

Core Insights - The Zacks Style Scores are complementary indicators that help investors select stocks with the best chances of outperforming the market over the next 30 days [2] - Stocks are rated based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, with scores ranging from A to F, where A indicates the highest potential for outperformance [3] Value Score - The Value Style Score identifies attractive and discounted stocks using ratios such as P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow [3] Growth Score - The Growth Style Score focuses on a company's financial strength and future outlook, analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] Momentum Score - The Momentum Style Score helps investors capitalize on price trends by evaluating one-week price changes and monthly earnings estimate changes [5] VGM Score - The VGM Score combines all three Style Scores, serving as an important indicator alongside the Zacks Rank to identify stocks with attractive value, growth forecasts, and promising momentum [6] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary stock-rating model that uses earnings estimate revisions to simplify portfolio building, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks achieving an average annual return of +23.62% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [7][8] Stock to Watch: Expedia Group, Inc. - Expedia is a leading online travel company with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of A, indicating solid performance potential [11] - The company has a Value Style Score of A, supported by a forward P/E ratio of 12.57, making it attractive to value investors [12] - For fiscal 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Expedia's earnings has increased by $0.04 to $14.61 per share, with an average earnings surprise of +5.5% [12]

Company Overview - Tripadvisor is an online travel company operating through three segments: Brand Tripadvisor, Viator, and TheFork, connecting travelers with partners through content and marketplaces for various travel categories [1] - Tripadvisor.com is the largest travel guidance platform globally, with 300 million monthly unique visitors, over a billion reviews, and $900 million in revenue [4] - Viator is a rapidly growing booking platform for tours, expected to generate over $900 million in revenue this year [4] - TheFork is the largest online restaurant reservation marketplace in Europe, projected to generate over $200 million in revenue this year [4] Valuation and Market Position - Tripadvisor trades at a significant discount, around seven times EBITDA, compared to low to mid-teens for peers and higher historical multiples for itself [4] - The decline in Tripadvisor's core business revenue by 7.95% from 2023 to 2024 is a contributing factor to its current valuation [5] - Despite the decline, Viator and TheFork are growing, with Viator matching Tripadvisor's revenue and TheFork achieving high single-digit growth [5] Activist Involvement - Starboard Value has acquired a 9.01% stake in Tripadvisor and plans to engage with management regarding value creation opportunities [2][3][6] - Starboard's investment strategy may include maintaining the status quo if revenue growth resumes, focusing on operational efficiency, or exploring strategic sales of segments like TheFork [7] - TheFork could be valued at approximately $1 billion based on a five-times revenue multiple, representing about 40% of Tripadvisor's total enterprise value [7] Governance and Shareholder Sentiment - Tripadvisor's governance issues, including controlled ownership and weak shareholder protections, have historically impacted its valuation [5] - Recent shareholder discontent was evident at the annual meeting, with three directors receiving significant withhold votes, although a proxy fight is not anticipated [9] - Starboard's engagement may lead to improved board representation and a partnership approach rather than a confrontational stance [9]

Core Insights - Ctrip Group has released its 2024 Sustainable Development Report, highlighting its commitment to carbon neutrality by 2050 and significant increases in carbon emissions for 2024 [2][3][5] Group 1: Carbon Emissions and Sustainability Goals - The total greenhouse gas emissions for Ctrip Group in 2024 are reported at approximately 248,978 tons of CO2 equivalent, a dramatic increase from 8,656 tons in 2023, marking a 29-fold rise [3][4] - Ctrip's carbon neutrality plan is based on a 2024 benchmark year, with a focus on improving energy efficiency and transitioning to renewable energy sources [2] - The increase in emissions is attributed to the adoption of new accounting standards and a significant rise in business activities, particularly in cross-border and inbound travel [5] Group 2: Social Responsibility and Community Impact - Ctrip has established 34 "Ctrip Vacation Farms" across the country, creating over 40,000 jobs, with 80% of employees being local villagers, resulting in an average annual income increase of over 40,000 yuan [7] - The initiative has also facilitated nearly 40 million yuan in agricultural sales and integrated intangible cultural heritage elements into farm activities, generating over 3 million yuan in related income [7] Group 3: Travel Safety and Governance - The "Global Travel SOS Platform" by Ctrip has reached 440 million travelers, handling over 22,000 assistance requests with a success rate of 98% [8] - Ctrip has implemented a three-tier sustainable development management structure, with oversight from the board and inclusion of sustainability performance in executive annual performance metrics, achieving an MSCI rating of A and a Wind ESG rating of BBB [10] Group 4: Compliance and Contractual Issues - Ctrip has faced criticism regarding contract fairness, particularly concerning the mandatory activation of the "Price Adjustment Assistant" for hotel partners, which has led to complaints about unauthorized price changes [11][12] - The company’s actions may violate the Price Law of the People's Republic of China and the Promotion of Private Economy Law, raising concerns about compliance and the autonomy of hotel operators [14][15]

Core Insights - Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) was identified as a good investment opportunity based on a previous analysis conducted last year [1] - The analyst has extensive experience across various industries including airlines, oil, retail, mining, fintech, and ecommerce, which contributes to a comprehensive understanding of business dynamics [1] - The analyst's background includes navigating multiple crises, providing a robust foundation for evaluating investment opportunities [1] Company Analysis - The comparative analysis with peers revealed insights into the competitive landscape of Booking Holdings Inc. [1] - The company operates in a complex environment influenced by macroeconomic, monetary, and political factors [1] Industry Context - The analyst emphasizes the importance of continuous learning and adaptation in the investment landscape, particularly in relation to new ideas, technology, and business models [1] - The experience gained from various economic crises enhances the ability to assess potential risks and opportunities within the industry [1]

Core Insights - Tripadvisor's stock surged 8% following the announcement of activist investor Starboard Value acquiring a stake exceeding 9% in the company, which led to a further 7% increase in after-hours trading [2][3] - Despite the stock's recent performance, Tripadvisor has faced significant challenges, including a 15% decline in shares over the past year and ongoing strategic considerations since early 2024 [3][9] - Tripadvisor's financial fundamentals reveal concerning metrics, including a price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio of 61.3, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 20.9, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 41.1 compared to the benchmark's 26.9 [4][9] Financial Performance - Revenue growth has stalled, with only a 1.4% increase over the past 12 months and a mere 0.8% year-over-year growth in the most recent quarter, raising concerns about future growth sustainability [5][9] - Tripadvisor's operating margin is at 6.5%, free cash flow margin at 5.8%, and net margin at 2.9%, all significantly below the S&P 500 averages [5][9] Financial Health - The company has $1.3 billion in debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 68.9%, which is considerably higher than the S&P 500 average of 19.4% [7] - However, Tripadvisor maintains a strong cash position of $1.2 billion, representing 42% of total assets, providing a safety net against its elevated debt levels [7] Market Resilience - Historically, Tripadvisor has underperformed during market downturns, with a 60.5% decline during the 2022 selloff and a 53.9% drop during the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating limited resilience in volatile conditions [8][9] - The stock currently trades around $15, less than a quarter of its 2021 peak, highlighting ongoing challenges in recovering from past performance [8] Investment Outlook - Tripadvisor's growth momentum is diminishing, profitability remains weak, and the current valuation appears disconnected from its fundamental performance, making it an undesirable investment for long-term investors [9][10]

Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors to enhance their stock market strategies and confidence in investing [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to help investors identify stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market within a 30-day timeframe [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - The Style Scores categorize stocks into four main types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] - Value Score identifies undervalued stocks using financial ratios [3] - Growth Score assesses a company's future growth potential based on earnings and sales [4] - Momentum Score evaluates stocks based on price trends and earnings outlook [5] - VGM Score combines all three styles to highlight stocks with the best overall characteristics [6] Zacks Rank and Style Scores Interaction - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that uses earnings estimate revisions to assist in stock selection [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically outperformed the S&P 500, achieving an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988 [8] - Investors are encouraged to select stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B for optimal investment potential [9] - The direction of earnings estimate revisions is crucial in stock selection, as downward trends can indicate potential price declines [10] Company Spotlight: TripAdvisor (TRIP) - TripAdvisor, Inc. is a leading online travel research company, facilitating user reviews and bookings for hotels and attractions [11] - Currently rated 3 (Hold) with a VGM Score of A, indicating a solid position in the market [11] - TripAdvisor has a Momentum Style Score of B, with shares increasing by 3.8% over the past month [12] - Recent upward revisions in earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 have led to a consensus estimate increase of $0.11 to $1.47 per share, alongside an average earnings surprise of 59.8% [12]