[Music] Hello and welcome to Asking for a Trend. I'm Josh Lipton and for the next half hour, we are breaking down the trends of today that'll move stocks tomorrow. There's a lot to keep track of, so we're focusing on what you need to know to get ahead of the curve here.Some of the trends we're going to be diving into. It was a rough ride on Wall Street today. Stocks taking a tumble as investors cautiously watch earnings, the trade war, and traders began buying up bonds and selling stocks.the end of the sess ...

Luxury fashion giant LVMH Moët Hennessy ( OTCPK:LVMUY ) ( OTCPK:LVMHF ) might have had a poor start to 2025, but the second half of the year is proving to be positive for the stock. Since I last checked inManika is a macroeconomist with over 20 years of experience in industries including investment management, stock broking, investment banking. She also runs the profile Long Term Tips [LTT], which focuses on the generational opportunity in the green economy. Her investing group, Green Growth Giants , takes ...

Core Insights - LVMH reported Q3 2025 revenue of €18.28bn ($21.15bn), marking a 1% organic increase from Q3 2024, following a 4% decline in the previous quarter [1] - For the first nine months of 2025, LVMH generated €58.1bn in revenue, a 4% decrease compared to €60.75bn in the same period of 2024 [1] Revenue Performance - The company experienced noticeable improvement in Asia (excluding Japan) over the nine-month period, while Europe and the US remained stable year-over-year [2] - Japan's performance weakened due to reduced tourist activity linked to a stronger yen [2] - European revenue in Q3 was affected by reduced tourist spending and currency movements [2] Segment Analysis - Organic revenue growth in Q3 by segment: - Wines and spirits: 1% increase - Perfumes and cosmetics: 2% increase - Watches and jewellery: 2% increase - Selective retailing: 7% increase - Fashion and leather goods: 2% decline [3] - The wines and spirits division saw slight organic growth, supported by champagne and Provence rosé wines, while cognac sales were impacted by US-China trade tensions [3] Year-to-Date Performance - Fashion and leather goods revenue fell 6% organically over the first nine months but showed sequential improvement in Q3 [4] - Perfumes and cosmetics remained stable, supported by new product launches from Dior and Guerlain [4] - Watches and jewellery recorded 1% organic growth driven by Tiffany & Co and Bvlgari [5] - Selective retailing posted 3% organic growth, aided by gains at Sephora and recovery at DFS in Macao and Hong Kong [5] Strategic Outlook - LVMH demonstrated resilience and maintained innovative momentum despite geopolitical and economic disruptions [5] - The company remains committed to enhancing brand desirability through authenticity, quality, retail excellence, and an agile organization [5]

Market Entry - Galeries Lafayette 将进入印度市场 [1] - 印度奢侈品行业蓬勃发展 [1]

Economic and Market Overview - European stocks are expected to open flat to slightly lower as investors assess risks domestically and internationally [1] - U.S. government shutdown enters its third week, with Senate failing to advance funding measures [2] - U.S. Trade Representative and Treasury Secretary criticize China's export curbs on rare earths, labeling it as economic coercion [3] - President Trump emphasizes the trade war with China, framing tariffs as part of national defense strategy [4] - Asian markets are mostly higher, driven by expectations of continued monetary easing from the Federal Reserve [5] Commodity and Financial Markets - Gold prices reached a new peak at $4,241.99 per ounce, while oil prices rebounded from five-month lows [6] - U.S. stocks fluctuated but ended mostly higher, supported by positive comments on artificial intelligence and strong quarterly results from major financial institutions [7] - The Dow slightly decreased, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite saw gains of 0.4% and 0.7% respectively [8] - European stocks ended mixed, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 gaining 0.6%, while the German DAX and U.K.'s FTSE 100 saw slight declines [8]

French billionaire Bernard Arnault’s net worth rose by more than $19 billion on Wednesday as shares of his luxury goods conglomerate LVMH surged more than 14%.Read more: https://t.co/3mSYpWqCNX https://t.co/tq9I09Plka ...

Core Insights - LVMH identified the U.S. as a strong market for luxury goods, with brands like Tiffany and BVLGARI gaining momentum despite a focus on value among consumers [2][4] - The company's U.S. revenue increased by 3% year-over-year in the third quarter, contrasting with negative sales in Europe and Asia [3][4] - Wealthy Americans, particularly the top 5%, are driving luxury spending due to significant gains from the stock market and rising incomes [5][8] Group 1: U.S. Market Performance - LVMH's brands performed well in the U.S. market, contributing positively to overall sales amid weaker performance in other regions [2][4] - The U.S. economy is increasingly reliant on affluent consumers, which is beneficial for luxury brands [3][5] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Research indicates that wealthy Americans are spending more freely, significantly impacting the luxury goods market [5][8] - The top 5% of earners are experiencing income growth at a faster rate than middle and low-income households, further supporting luxury spending [5] Group 3: Market Trends - Despite a general trend towards value-seeking among consumers, luxury brands like LVMH are seeing increased sales, highlighting a divergence in consumer behavior based on income levels [2][8] - LVMH's CFO noted a rebound in consumption linked to recent political events, suggesting external factors can influence luxury spending patterns [9]

Core Insights - LVMH's organic sales returned to growth with a 1% increase in the third quarter, signaling a potential recovery in the luxury market [1] - LVMH's stock surged by 12.2% to 597.90 euros, resulting in a market capitalization exceeding 300 billion euros [2] - Analysts view LVMH's performance as a positive turning point, addressing structural issues while managing costs [3] Sales and Market Performance - The luxury sector saw a collective rise in stock prices, with notable gains from Salvatore Ferragamo (up 7.8%), Moncler (up 7.8%), Prada (up 7.7%), Hermès International (up 7.4%), Compagnie Financière Richemont (up 6.3%), and Kering (up 4.8%) [4] - The overall investor sentiment improved, although one day of positive performance does not guarantee a sector-wide recovery [4] Consumer Trends and Regional Insights - LVMH's fashion and luxury goods division benefited from improved local spending in China (growing mid-single to high-single digits), as well as from American, Southeast Asian, and Middle Eastern consumers [5] - The turnaround at Tiffany is showing positive results, alongside improvements in traffic and basket size at Sephora [5] Leadership and Creative Direction - LVMH is experiencing a shift in creative leadership, with new appointments at key brands such as Dior, Fendi, and Loewe [5]

Core Insights - The U.S. remains a strong market for luxury goods, with brands like Tiffany and BVLGARI gaining momentum despite a general focus on value among consumers [2][4] - LVMH reported a 3% year-over-year increase in U.S. revenue for the third quarter, contrasting with negative sales in Europe and Asia [3][4] - Wealthy Americans, particularly the top 5%, are driving luxury spending due to significant gains from the stock market, which has outpaced income growth for these households [5][6] Group 1: Market Performance - LVMH identified the U.S. as a source of strength for various product lines, including fashion, leather goods, watches, jewelry, and beauty products [4] - The positive performance in the U.S. has positively impacted the stock prices of LVMH and other European luxury brands like Hermès and Kering [4] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Research indicates that affluent Americans are increasingly spending more freely, contributing significantly to the economy [7] - Despite a trend towards value-seeking among consumers, luxury brands like LVMH have seen sales bolstered by wealthy Americans [7] Group 3: Economic Context - The economy is becoming more reliant on affluent consumers, who are benefiting from stock market investments, which may support luxury sectors such as travel and wealth management [3] - Wealthier Americans' paychecks are growing at the fastest rate in nearly three years, outpacing income growth for middle and low-income households [6]

Core Insights - LVMH has shown signs of recovery in the luxury sector, with a 1% year-on-year organic growth in the third quarter, marking a turnaround after two consecutive quarters of decline [3][6] - Telsey Advisory upgraded LVMH's rating to "Outperform" and raised the price target from $575 to $585, reflecting positive market sentiment [1][6] - The company's stock surged by 13% following the positive earnings report, significantly boosting Bernard Arnault's fortune by over $19 billion in just 24 hours [2][3] Financial Performance - LVMH reported third-quarter revenue of 18.3 billion euros ($21.3 billion), slightly lower than the previous year's 19.1 billion euros but exceeding analysts' expectations [3] - The current stock price of LVMUY is $138.83, reflecting an increase of 2.08% or $2.83, with a market capitalization of approximately $346.29 billion [4] - Over the past year, LVMUY's stock reached a high of $159.97 and a low of $101.80, indicating volatility in the luxury market [5] Market Impact - LVMH's unexpected positive performance has lifted the European luxury sector into positive territory, with shares trading 12.6% higher [4][6] - The luxury sector is showing signs of recovery, with LVMH's performance serving as a key indicator for the market's future direction [5]