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Prediction: This Stock Will Be the Biggest Quantum Computing Winner of 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-07 22:05
Core Viewpoint - IBM is positioned to become a leading player in quantum computing by 2026, leveraging its advancements and financial stability in a rapidly evolving industry [2][12]. Group 1: IBM's Quantum Computing Strategy - IBM has been focusing on quantum computing since it first provided public access to a quantum computer via the cloud in 2016, and it launched its first commercially viable quantum computer, IBM Q System One, in 2019 [5]. - The company announced the IBM Quantum Nighthawk, a 120-qubit computer capable of running circuits with 30% more complexity while maintaining low error rates [5]. - IBM aims to achieve quantum advantage by the end of 2026 and plans to deliver the first fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029, addressing long-standing challenges in the quantum industry [6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first nine months of 2025, IBM reported nearly $48 billion in revenue, reflecting a 6% growth year-over-year, and a net income of nearly $5 billion, which is a 61% increase from the previous year [7][8]. - Despite the slower growth compared to start-ups, IBM's profitability and stability differentiate it from many competitors in the quantum space [7][14]. - IBM's stock has increased nearly 35% over the past year, indicating positive market sentiment [8]. Group 3: Market Position and Comparisons - IBM's market capitalization stands at $288 billion, with a P/E ratio of 36 and a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio just above 4, making it comparatively attractive against start-ups with triple-digit P/S ratios [9][10]. - In contrast to Alphabet, which has a market cap of $3.8 trillion and a P/S ratio of 10, IBM's smaller size may allow for more agile growth in the quantum computing sector [10][11]. - While IBM may not match the rapid growth potential of start-ups, its financial strength and ongoing innovation in quantum computing position it favorably for future success [12][14].
Where Will Quantum Computing Stock Be in 1 Year?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-07 20:20
Core Insights - Quantum Computing Inc. (QCI) has transitioned from the over-the-counter market to Nasdaq, with its stock price fluctuating significantly from an opening price of $6.60 to a low of $0.42 before recovering to around $12 [1][2] - The company specializes in photonic quantum chips, which theoretically offer advantages over traditional quantum computing methods but currently face manufacturing and performance challenges [10][11] Industry Overview - Quantum computers utilize qubits to process data more efficiently than classical computers, but they are still larger, more expensive, and less reliable, limiting their use to niche applications [4][5] - Major players in the quantum computing market include IBM and IonQ, each employing different technologies to process data, with varying operational costs and complexities [8][9] Company Performance - QCI generated $484,000 in revenue in the first nine months of 2025, primarily from professional service contracts and its cloud-based quantum-as-a-service platform [12] - Analysts project QCI's revenue for the full year to be $777,000, with a significant net loss of nearly $24 million, resulting in a high price-to-sales ratio of 3,481 times [13] Future Prospects - QCI plans to build a second fabrication facility within three years, aiming to improve manufacturing processes and increase production capacity [14] - Revenue is expected to grow by 169% to $2.1 million in 2026, although net losses are projected to widen to $40.5 million [15] Competitive Landscape - QCI faces significant competition from established players and smaller photonics companies, which may hinder its ability to achieve mass production and profitability [16][17] - The stock is anticipated to experience volatility, with potential for sideways trading or declines unless significant technological advancements or contracts are secured [18]
Why I Wouldn't Touch D-Wave Quantum Stock With a 10-Foot Pole
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-07 15:32
Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum has experienced significant stock price volatility, rising nearly 5,000% from a low of around $0.40 in early 2023 to a current price of $26.95, despite concerns about the company's long-term viability [1][6] - The company reported revenue of $22 million for the first three quarters of 2025, representing over 200% growth compared to the same period in 2024, indicating rapid revenue growth [2] - Despite positive revenue growth, D-Wave's business model is considered fragile, with a lack of significant customer commitments to quantum computing technology [4][7] Company Overview - D-Wave is positioned as a first mover in the quantum computing space, having sold its first quantum computer in 2011 for approximately $10 million [5] - The company's market capitalization is currently $9 billion, with a gross margin of 82.82% [6][7] - D-Wave's revenue in 2024 was only $8.8 million, which is less than its initial sale 13 years prior, highlighting inconsistent revenue growth despite ongoing technological development [7] Competitive Landscape - D-Wave faces competition from major players in the quantum computing industry, including Alphabet, Intel, and Microsoft, which may challenge its market position [8] - The company’s remaining performance obligations (RPOs) decreased from $4 million in Q3 2024 to $2.9 million in Q3 2025, indicating potential challenges in securing future revenue [9] - D-Wave's bookings for 2025 are down 7% compared to the same period in 2024, suggesting uncertainty in future growth prospects [10] Management and Investor Sentiment - Insider trading activity, particularly CEO Alan Baratz selling $43 million of his shares, raises concerns about management's confidence in the company's future [11] - The overall sentiment towards investing in D-Wave is cautious, with doubts about its competitive edge and long-term trajectory [11]
Quantum Computing Turned $1,000 Into Nearly $6,000 While Losing $27 on Every Dollar of Revenue
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-07 14:23
Core Insights - Quantum Computing Inc. (NASDAQ: QUBT) has experienced a significant stock price increase of 494% over the past year, despite generating only $546,000 in revenue, indicating a speculative investment environment rather than one based on solid fundamentals [3][8]. Financial Performance - The company has a market capitalization of $2.88 billion, resulting in an extraordinarily high price-to-sales ratio of 5,270x, suggesting that the stock is overvalued relative to its revenue [6][8]. - Cumulative losses since 2019 amount to approximately $186 million, with total revenue under $2 million, highlighting a lack of sustainable business operations [6][8]. - The operating margin is reported at negative 2,709%, meaning the company loses $27 for every $1 earned [6][8]. Market Dynamics - The recent stock rally was primarily driven by speculation in the quantum computing sector and a surge in retail trading volume, which peaked at 71 million shares in a single day [7][8]. - Earnings performance has been volatile, with quarterly earnings swinging from an 844% miss to a 117% beat, indicating unpredictability in financial results [7][8]. Investment Context - An initial investment of $1,000 in QUBT would have grown to nearly $6,000 over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which gained 43% during the same period [5][9]. - The stock is characterized as a speculation vehicle rather than a business with predictable cash flows, emphasizing the high-risk nature of investing in QUBT [10].
Should You Buy Rigetti Computing Stock After Its 2,750% Gain Since 2024? Wall Street Has a Surprising Answer.
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-07 08:55
Core Viewpoint - Rigetti Computing has experienced a significant increase in stock price, rising 2,750% since January 2024, indicating strong market interest and potential undervaluation by analysts [1][2] Company Overview - Rigetti Computing specializes in superconducting quantum computing, utilizing superconducting circuits cooled to near absolute zero to create qubits, which are essential for quantum systems [4][5] - The company has a competitive advantage through vertical integration, controlling much of its supply chain, including the manufacturing of quantum processing units (QPUs) and the development of the necessary hardware and software for cloud-based quantum services [6] Competitive Advantages - Rigetti has developed the first multichip QPU, which consists of multiple small quantum chips linked together, providing an edge in building large-scale fault-tolerant quantum systems [7] - The unique properties of qubits, such as superposition and entanglement, allow quantum computers to tackle complex problems beyond the capabilities of classical computers [5] Market Potential and Challenges - Rigetti anticipates that its quantum computers will eventually address challenges in various fields, including finance, materials science, climate simulation, and logistics optimization [8] - However, widespread adoption of quantum computers is projected to be one or two decades away due to the current inability to construct fault-tolerant systems on a large scale [8][10] Current Valuation and Analyst Sentiment - Rigetti's current market capitalization is approximately $9 billion, with a share price of $28, reflecting a price-to-sales ratio of 1,080, which is considered excessively high compared to industry standards [11][12] - Despite the high valuation, analysts maintain a median target price of $40 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 42% from the current price, indicating optimism about future growth [2][12]
Here Are My Top 3 Quantum Computing Stocks to Buy in December
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-06 18:15
Core Insights - Quantum computing technology is still years away from being relevant, but it remains a significant area of interest for investors [1] - Investors are focusing on the wrong quantum computing stocks, with safer bets being larger companies like Alphabet, Microsoft, and Nvidia [1][8] Company Analysis - Alphabet and Microsoft have established cash flows that allow them to take a more measured approach to quantum computing, making them better investment choices compared to pure-play companies [2] - Both companies are not subject to the same hype risks as pure-play companies, as they only announce significant milestones in their quantum computing advancements [4][5] - Alphabet's recent achievement of running the first verifiable algorithm on its quantum computer demonstrates its competitive edge over traditional computing [5] - Microsoft has developed a custom quantum computing chip, Majorana 1, which could provide a significant advantage in scaling and solving enterprise-level problems [7] Industry Position - Nvidia, while not directly competing in quantum computing, is positioning itself to benefit from the technology through its NVQlink, which integrates quantum computing units with existing infrastructure [9][10] - The hybrid quantum computing approach enabled by Nvidia's technology allows it to maintain relevance in the evolving landscape while focusing on its core GPU business [12] - All three companies—Alphabet, Microsoft, and Nvidia—are funding their quantum computing initiatives through cash flows from unrelated businesses, ensuring proper financial backing for their aspirations in this sector [13]
As D-Wave Launches a New Government Unit, Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold the Quantum Computing Stock Here?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-06 15:00
Core Insights - Quantum computing is anticipated to drive significant technological advancements, with Bank of America analysts suggesting it could be humanity's most significant breakthrough since fire [1] Company Overview - D-Wave Quantum is recognized as a leading pure-play quantum computing company and is the first commercial provider of quantum computers [2] - The company has established a dedicated business unit to promote the adoption of its quantum technologies within U.S. government agencies [2][3] Leadership and Strategy - The new division is led by Jack Sears Jr., an experienced executive in government and public sectors, focusing on government initiatives [3] - The growing federal interest in quantum capabilities positions D-Wave to capitalize on opportunities as agencies seek advanced technological solutions [3] Stock Performance - Following recent announcements, D-Wave's stock surged approximately 5% on December 2, followed by an additional 11.5% the next day, and a total increase of 14.6% by December 4 [4] - Year-to-date, the stock has risen 224%, prompting discussions among investors about the sustainability of this momentum [4] Market Position - D-Wave Quantum, headquartered in Palo Alto, has a market capitalization exceeding $10 billion and offers a range of products including Advantage quantum systems and the Leap platform [5] - The stock has experienced remarkable growth, with an 860% increase over the past 52 weeks and a 77% rise in the last three months [6] - Recently, the stock advanced 20% in just five trading days, driven by government partnerships and strong quarterly performance [6] Valuation Metrics - Currently, D-Wave's stock trades at a high valuation of 395.54 times sales, indicating a significant premium investors are willing to pay for its leadership in quantum technologies and growth potential [7]
D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Jumps 19% as Firm Ramps Up Govt Deals
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-06 12:54
Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) has seen a significant increase in share prices, growing by 19.1% week-on-week, driven by investor optimism regarding its new business unit focused on government contracts [1][3] - The stock experienced a rally for three consecutive days following the announcement of the new subsidiary, but faced profit-taking that led to a decline of 6.02% on Friday [2] - The intra-week high for D-Wave Quantum was recorded at 27.4%, indicating strong market interest [3] Company Developments - The newly formed subsidiary will be led by Jack Sears Jr., who has extensive experience in government and public sector business [3] - Jack Sears Jr. will also join the executive team of D-Wave Quantum as the vice president for US government solutions [3] - CEO Alan Baratz emphasized the increasing need for quantum technologies to address complex national challenges, highlighting the strategic importance of the new business unit [4] Market Context - The formation of the subsidiary is part of a broader trend where the U.S. government seeks advanced problem-solving resources to tackle national security, defense, and infrastructure issues [4]
Quantum Computing Stock: Still Too Much Hype, Staying Sidelined (NASDAQ:QUBT)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-06 11:55
Core Insights - Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) is identified as a significant player in the quantum stock market, experiencing notable volatility throughout the year, indicating both risks and opportunities for investors [1]. Company Overview - QUBT is categorized as a pure-play quantum company, suggesting a focused investment in quantum computing technology [1]. Market Context - The current market environment for quantum stocks is characterized by substantial fluctuations, which may present both challenges and long-term investment opportunities [1].
D-Wave Extends (QBTS) Gains, Soars 14% on Govt Deal Targets
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-05 18:31
Group 1 - D-Wave Quantum Inc. has seen a significant stock price increase of 27% in the first four trading days of the month, with a 14.55% jump on Thursday, closing at $28.73 [1][2] - The recent rally is attributed to the formation of a new business unit focused on promoting quantum computing products and services for the US government, led by Jack Sears Jr. [2][4] - CEO Alan Baratz emphasized the growing need for quantum technologies to address complex national challenges, highlighting the importance of this new business unit in developing applications for national security and defense [3][4] Group 2 - The establishment of the government-focused business unit aims to facilitate rapid development of quantum applications to tackle infrastructure challenges [4]