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Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp Costco Expectations Ahead Of Q4 Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-09-25 08:20
Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corporation is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings results on September 25, with analysts expecting earnings of $5.81 per share, an increase from $5.29 per share in the same period last year [1] - The projected quarterly revenue for Costco is $86.06 billion, up from $79.7 billion a year earlier, indicating a strong growth trajectory [1] - Costco has consistently exceeded analyst revenue estimates, achieving this in two consecutive quarters and five out of the last ten quarters [1] Stock Performance - Shares of Costco increased by 0.2%, closing at $945.27 on Wednesday [2] - The latest analyst ratings for Costco can be accessed on the Analyst Stock Ratings page, allowing for sorting by various criteria [2] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman maintains an Outperform rating with a price target of $1,100 [4] - JP Morgan analyst Christopher Horvers has an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $1,115 to $1,160 [4] - Evercore ISI Group analyst Greg Melich maintains an Outperform rating but reduced the price target from $1,075 to $1,060 [4] - Morgan Stanley analyst Simeon Gutman has an Overweight rating and increased the price target from $1,150 to $1,225 [4] - Loop Capital analyst Laura Champine maintains a Buy rating and slightly reduced the price target from $1,115 to $1,110 [4]
Costco is getting a traffic boost from opening early for executive members
Business Insider· 2025-09-24 15:06
Core Insights - Costco's decision to extend shopping hours for executive members is proving to be beneficial, as foot traffic data indicates an increase in shopper visits and frequency [1][3] - The adjustment has led to a shift in foot traffic patterns, with more shoppers visiting during the 9 a.m. hour, suggesting a positive reception of the new schedule [2][3] - Shorter shopping trips are being reported, with visits decreasing from an hour to 30-45 minutes, which is expected to drive additional visits and enhance overall shopping experience [4] Financial Impact - Costco's fiscal year ended on August 31, and the upcoming fourth-quarter results will provide insights into the financial effects of the extended hours, with analysts anticipating a positive contribution to sales growth [3][14] - The extended hours are expected to be "accretive" to the company's already strong sales performance this year [3] Customer Behavior - The extended hours have resulted in a more balanced flow of foot traffic, improving the shopping experience for all customers, regardless of membership tier [3] - There is a noted increase in younger consumers, particularly millennials and Gen Z, who are starting families, contributing to a slight decrease in average income among Costco's customer base [12] Membership Dynamics - The potential for new shoppers to become long-term members is significant, especially with the upgrade from Gold Star to Executive membership, which doubles fee revenue from those members [13] - The upcoming earnings call may provide further insights into the growth of Costco's membership tiers [14] Operational Strategies - Costco is testing various strategies to manage increasing store traffic, with extended hours being one of the most visible initiatives [5] - A new "scan and go" approach is being trialed, allowing store workers to scan items in customers' carts to streamline the checkout process [6]
Costco's Supply Chain Strength Could Be Its Secret Weapon Against Tariff Pressures
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-23 16:00
Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corp. demonstrated steady sales growth in August, reflecting strong consumer demand across various categories [1] - The company reported a 6.9% year-over-year increase in consolidated comparable sales, with notable growth in U.S. (6.7%), Canada (9.4%), and international markets (5.3%), alongside an 18.3% surge in e-commerce [1][2] Sales Performance - Traffic trends remained robust, with worldwide visits up approximately 4% and U.S. traffic increasing by 4.3%, indicating continued strength in food, sundries, and nonfood items [2] - The sales growth was slightly impacted by gasoline price deflation, which trimmed about 60 basis points from reported sales [4] Analyst Ratings and Forecasts - Raymond James reaffirmed an Outperform rating for Costco ahead of its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings release, citing the company's scale, supply-chain efficiency, and loyal membership base as advantages in managing tariff and inflation risks [3][5] - Analysts adjusted the fourth-quarter EPS estimate to $5.83 from $5.90, while maintaining the fiscal year 2026 EPS forecast at $20.20 [3][4] Valuation and Market Position - Costco's stock trades at approximately 52 times forward earnings, significantly above its three-year median multiple of 38, with a price forecast set at $1,070 based on an EPS estimate of $21.80 for fiscal year 2027 [5][6] - The company's consistent market share gains and durable earnings growth support its premium valuation in the market [6]
BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) is a Top-Ranked Growth Stock: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-09-10 14:46
Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors to enhance their stock market engagement and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to help investors select stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market in the short term [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - Stocks are rated from A to F based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, with A being the highest score [3] - The Style Scores are categorized into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score [3][4][5][6] Value Score - The Value Score identifies attractive stocks using financial ratios such as P/E, PEG, and Price/Sales, focusing on undervalued stocks [3] Growth Score - The Growth Score evaluates stocks based on projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow to identify sustainable growth opportunities [4] Momentum Score - The Momentum Score helps investors capitalize on price trends, utilizing metrics like weekly price changes and monthly earnings estimate shifts [5] VGM Score - The VGM Score combines all three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive indicator for selecting stocks with strong value, growth, and momentum [6] Zacks Rank Integration - The Zacks Rank uses earnings estimate revisions to simplify portfolio building, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks historically yielding an average annual return of +23.75% since 1988 [7][8] - To maximize returns, investors should focus on stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B [9] BJ's Wholesale Club Analysis - BJ's Wholesale Club has become a preferred shopping destination, focusing on simplifying product assortments and enhancing digital capabilities [11] - The company is rated 3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of A and a Growth Style Score of B, indicating a projected year-over-year earnings growth of 6.7% for the current fiscal year [12] - BJ's earnings estimates have been revised upward, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.32 per share and an average earnings surprise of +16.4% [12][13]
Costco Wholesale (COST) 2025 Update / Briefing Transcript
2025-09-04 21:02
Costco Wholesale (COST) 2025 Update Summary Industry and Company Overview - The call pertains to Costco Wholesale, a leading retail company, focusing on its sales results for August 2025 and providing forward-looking statements regarding its performance and market conditions [1][2]. Core Points and Arguments - **Sales Performance**: - Net sales for August 2025 reached $21.56 billion, marking an increase of 8.7% from $19.83 billion in August 2024 [2]. - Comparable sales growth was reported as follows: - US: 6.1% - Canada: 6.8% - Other International: 6.7% - Total Company: 6.3% - E-commerce: 18.4% [2][3]. - **Comparable Sales Excluding Gas and FX**: - US: 6.7% - Canada: 9.4% - Other International: 5.3% - Total Company: 6.9% - E-commerce: 18.3% [3]. - **Traffic Growth**: - Comparable traffic increased by 4% globally and 4.3% in the US [3]. - **Impact of Foreign Currencies**: - The US dollar's fluctuations affected sales: - Canada: -1.2% - Other International: +1.7% - Total Company: +0.1% [4]. - **Gas Price Deflation**: - Gas price deflation negatively impacted total reported comparable sales by approximately -0.6%, with the average worldwide selling price per gallon down by about -5.2% year-over-year [4]. - **Average Transaction Value**: - The average transaction value increased by 2.2% worldwide, and by 2.7% when excluding gas deflation and foreign exchange impacts [4]. Regional and Merchandising Highlights - **Regional Performance**: - Strongest comparable sales in the US were observed in the Midwest, Southeast, and Northwest regions. - Internationally, Australia, Taiwan, and the UK showed the best results [5]. - **Cannibalization Impact**: - The negative impact of cannibalization on total company sales was approximately -60 basis points [5]. - **Merchandising Categories**: - Food and sundries showed positive mid-single-digit growth. - Fresh foods increased by mid to high single digits, with strong performance in meat and produce. - Non-foods experienced high single-digit growth, particularly in jewelry, majors, and garden categories. - Ancillary business sales rose by low single digits, with optical, pharmacy, and hearing aids being top performers. - Gas sales declined by mid-single digits due to price changes [6][7]. Future Outlook - The September reporting period will cover five weeks from September 1 to October 5, 2025. - Q4 and total year FY 2025 earnings will be released on September 25, 2025, with a conference call scheduled for 2 PM PT [8]. Additional Information - The call will remain available until 4 PM Pacific Time on September 11, 2025 [9].
BJ's Wholesale Club Analysts Slash Their Forecasts After Q2 Results
Benzinga· 2025-08-25 19:08
Core Insights - BJ's Wholesale Club reported second-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.14, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $1.09, while quarterly sales of $5.38 billion (+3.4% year over year) fell short of the expected $5.48 billion [1] - The company raised its fiscal year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.20–$4.35 from the previous range of $4.10–$4.30, which is slightly below the Street estimate of $4.31 [2] - Comparable club sales for fiscal year 2025, excluding gasoline sales, are projected to increase by 2.0% to 3.5% year-over-year [3] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - UBS analyst Mark Carden maintained a Buy rating on BJ's Wholesale and lowered the price target from $135 to $125 [5] - DA Davidson analyst Michael Baker also maintained a Buy rating, reducing the price target from $140 to $123 [5] - Morgan Stanley analyst Simeon Gutman kept an Equal-Weight rating and cut the price target from $125 to $115 [5] - JP Morgan analyst Christopher Horvers maintained a Neutral rating and lowered the price target from $113 to $110 [5] - Citigroup analyst Paul Lejuez maintained a Buy rating and reduced the price target from $120 to $115 [5] - Evercore ISI Group analyst Greg Melich maintained an In-Line rating and lowered the price target from $117 to $110 [5]
BJ's Wholesale Club Pulls Back to Trend: It's Time for an Entry
MarketBeat· 2025-08-25 17:07
Core Viewpoint - BJ's Wholesale Club is experiencing short-term challenges but is positioned for long-term growth, with a current trading price that reflects deep value levels [2][10]. Financial Performance - Revenue grew by 3.3%, slightly below larger competitor Walmart, with comparable sales (comps) increasing by 2.3% excluding fuel [6][8]. - Digital sales surged by 34%, significantly contributing to margin strength [7]. - Operating income rose by 6.3%, net income by 3.9%, and adjusted EPS by 4.6%, all outpacing top-line growth [8]. Market Position and Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have shifted sentiment from Hold to Moderate Buy, with a consensus price target of $113.18, indicating an 18.43% upside potential from the current price of $95.57 [4][10]. - The stock has been on an upward trend since 2020, gaining traction during the COVID-19 pandemic [3]. Growth Strategy and Guidance - The company reaffirmed its revenue growth targets and increased adjusted EPS guidance by six cents at the midpoint, aligning with consensus figures [9]. - BJ's Wholesale Club is accelerating store count growth and market penetration, setting the stage for future growth as consumer headwinds ease [2]. Shareholder Value - The company has a low leverage ratio with long-term debt less than 0.2 times equity, allowing for significant share repurchases [11]. - A buyback program of up to $950 million is in place, expected to reduce share count by about 1% on average per quarter [12].
Compared to Estimates, BJ's (BJ) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 14:31
Group 1 - BJ's Wholesale Club reported $5.38 billion in revenue for the quarter ended July 2025, a year-over-year increase of 3.4% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $1.14, compared to $1.09 a year ago, with an EPS surprise of +3.64% [1] - The reported revenue was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.46 billion, resulting in a surprise of -1.51% [1] Group 2 - Comparable club sales, excluding gasoline sales, were 2.3%, below the 3.3% average estimate from seven analysts [4] - Net sales revenue was $5.26 billion, compared to the $5.35 billion average estimate, representing a year-over-year change of +3.2% [4] - Membership fee income was $123.33 million, slightly below the estimated $123.44 million, but showed a +9% change compared to the year-ago quarter [4] Group 3 - BJ's shares returned +2.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.1% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market [3]
BJ’s Wholesale Club (BJ) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-22 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for Q2 were approximately $5.3 billion, growing 3.2% year over year [20] - Total comparable club sales, including gas, decreased 0.3% year over year, while merchandise comp sales, excluding gas, increased by 2.3% year over year [21] - Adjusted EBITDA grew approximately 8% year over year to $303.9 million, reflecting strong top-line growth and increased merchandise margins [25] - Adjusted earnings per share for Q2 were $1.14, an increase of 4.6% year over year [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The perishables grocery and sundries division saw a comp growth of 3% year over year, driven by strength in comp units [21] - The general merchandise and services division experienced a comp decrease of 2.2%, with discretionary categories like recreation and lawn and garden facing double-digit declines [7][21] - Digital sales grew 34% year over year and 56% on a two-year stack, with over 90% of digital sales fulfilled by clubs [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The membership base reached 8 million, representing a 55% growth since the IPO seven years ago [5][10] - Higher tier membership penetration improved by 50 basis points to an all-time high of 41% [11][49] - Comp gallons in the gas business were flat year over year, significantly outperforming the industry, which declined low single digits [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing member loyalty, improving the shopping experience, and expanding its footprint [10][15] - Investments in the Fresh 2.0 initiative are driving share gains across consumables, particularly in perishables [12][85] - The company plans to open eight more clubs in the second half of the fiscal year, with a pipeline of 25 to 30 new clubs over the next two years [15][28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumer sentiment has turned cautious due to macroeconomic uncertainties, but total spending increased on a per member basis [8][56] - The company remains confident in its ability to navigate the current environment, citing record high membership metrics and ongoing share gains [18][29] - Management acknowledged the potential impact of tariffs and inflation on consumer spending patterns but believes the business model remains relevant [15][68] Other Important Information - Membership fee income grew 9% to approximately $123.3 million, benefiting from strong acquisition and retention [23] - Inventory levels decreased by about 2% year over year, with in-stock levels improving by approximately 50 basis points [26][27] - The company is maintaining a disciplined capital allocation strategy, focusing on investments that support long-term growth [28][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: How did the second quarter play out, and what are the expectations for the back half? - Management noted that the quarter strengthened as weather improved, with May being weak but June and July showing better performance [37][40] Question: What is the profile of new members and expectations for membership fee income? - The company is pleased with membership growth, reaching 8 million members, and high renewal rates contribute to membership fee income growth [46][49] Question: What insights can be shared about changes in consumer behavior during the quarter? - Management observed a resilient consumer but noted increased caution across all income levels, with a higher propensity to seek value [56][58] Question: How is the general merchandise outlook for the back half of the year? - The general merchandise team is managing through headwinds and preparing for the back half, with a focus on maintaining inventory prudence [90][91] Question: Is the company taking a more cautious approach to inventory ordering in the back half? - Management confirmed a cautious approach to discretionary categories due to potential price increases from tariffs, while still being aggressive in gaining market share [96][100]
BJ's Wholesale Gears Up For Q2 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts
Benzinga· 2025-08-22 05:01
Let's have a look at how Benzinga's most-accurate analysts have rated the company in the recent period. Considering buying BJ stock? Here's what analysts think: BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. BJ will release earnings results for the second quarter, before the opening bell on Friday, Aug. 22. Analysts expect the Marlborough, Massachusetts-based company to report quarterly earnings at $1.09 per share, versus $1.09 per share in the year-ago period. BJ's Wholesale projects to report quarterly revenue of $5. ...