Core Viewpoint - The report from Guolian Minsheng indicates that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is expected to see significant revenue and profit growth in the coming years, driven by improved market activity and strong performance in various segments [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, HKEX achieved total revenue and other income of HKD 218.5 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 37% [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was HKD 134.2 billion, up 45% year-on-year [2][3]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue and other income of HKD 77.8 billion, a 45% increase year-on-year and an 8% increase quarter-on-quarter [2]. Segment Performance - Trading and trading system usage fees reached HKD 78.31 billion, up 57% year-on-year, due to record high average daily trading (ADT) in the cash and derivatives markets [4]. - Clearing and settlement fees amounted to HKD 52.73 billion, a 66% increase year-on-year, driven by record high average daily trading volumes in the Stock Connect program [4]. - Listing fees were HKD 12.68 billion, reflecting a 17% year-on-year increase, supported by strong capital raising activities in the Hong Kong market [4]. - Investment income netted HKD 38.93 billion, a 4% increase year-on-year, although the annualized investment return rate decreased to 4.67% [4]. Market Activity - The cash market showed significant improvement, with the average daily trading volume reaching HKD 2,564 billion for the first nine months of 2025, a 126% increase year-on-year [5]. - The Northbound ADT was HKD 2,064 billion, up 67% year-on-year, while the Southbound ADT reached HKD 1,259 billion, a 229% increase [5]. - The ETP market also performed well, with an ADT of HKD 378 billion, reflecting a 145% year-on-year increase [5]. - In the IPO market, HKEX saw 69 new listings raising HKD 1,883 billion, a 239% increase year-on-year, with a strong pipeline of 297 applications pending as of Q3 2025 [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company expects continued improvement in trading activity in the Hong Kong stock market, projecting total revenue and net profit growth for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) in the coming years [1] Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, the company reported total revenue and other income of HKD 218.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 134.2 billion, up 45% [2][3] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue and other income of HKD 77.8 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 45% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8%, with net profit of HKD 49.0 billion, up 56% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter [2] Segment Performance - The company reported significant growth across all business segments for the first nine months of 2025: - Trading and trading system usage fees reached HKD 78.31 billion, up 57% year-on-year, driven by record average daily trading (ADT) in the cash and derivatives markets [4] - Clearing and settlement fees totaled HKD 52.73 billion, a 66% increase year-on-year, due to record high average daily trading volumes in the Stock Connect program [4] - Listing fees amounted to HKD 12.68 billion, up 17% year-on-year, supported by strong capital raising activities in the Hong Kong stock market [4] - Net investment income was HKD 38.93 billion, a 4% increase year-on-year, with a decline in annualized investment yield for the company's funds [4] Market Outlook - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing improved trading activity, which is expected to sustain the company's annual performance growth: - The cash market ADT reached HKD 2,564 billion for the first nine months of 2025, a 126% year-on-year increase, with northbound ADT at HKD 2,064 billion, up 67%, and southbound ADT at HKD 1,259 billion, up 229% [5] - The Exchange-Traded Products (ETP) market also showed positive trends, with ADT reaching HKD 378 billion, a 145% year-on-year increase [5] - The IPO market remained robust, with 69 companies listed on the main board, raising HKD 1,883 billion, a 239% increase year-on-year, and a strong pipeline of 297 IPO applications pending as of the end of Q3 2025 [5]

Group 1: Market Overview - The performance of the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices over the past year shows significant fluctuations, with a notable increase in the last few months [1] - The top five industries by yesterday's performance include non-ferrous metals, electronics, communications, basic chemicals, and automobiles, with gains ranging from 1.784% to 3.051% [1][2] Group 2: Fund Management Insights - In October 2025, the performance of industry rotation-type fund advisory products was relatively strong, with stock-type advisory products outperforming mixed equity funds [5] - The average returns for different types of fund advisory products in October were 0.31% for pure bond, 0.41% for fixed income+, 0.01% for mixed equity, and -0.90% for stock-type products [5][6] - Fund advisory products showed a shift in asset allocation, with an increase in exposure to non-bank financials and non-ferrous metals, while reducing exposure to the pharmaceutical and biological sectors [7] Group 3: Banking Sector Analysis - The banking sector is characterized by a low interest rate environment and a focus on stable high-dividend assets, highlighting the scarcity of such investments [12] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying high-dividend, defensive stocks while also considering the growth potential and long-term value of banks [12][16] - Recommendations include a three-tiered approach: large state-owned banks for core holdings, banks with strong wealth management capabilities for core configurations, and high-growth regional banks for flexible allocations [16] Group 4: Non-Bank Financials - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching HKD 218.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 37% [18] - The trading and settlement fees, which are directly linked to ADT, saw substantial growth, indicating a robust performance in the trading sector [19] - The outlook for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange remains positive, with expectations of continued growth driven by the return of quality assets and sustained inflows from southbound capital [18][19] Group 5: Retail Sector Insights - The baby products retailer reported steady growth in its main business, with revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching CNY 2.725 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.4% [23] - The company is expanding its store network and enhancing its product offerings through partnerships, which are expected to drive future growth [25] - The jewelry retailer experienced a decline in revenue but improved profitability due to adjustments in product and channel strategies, focusing on enhancing operational quality [28][29] Group 6: Supermarket Sector - The supermarket chain faced significant revenue decline in the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue of CNY 42.434 billion, down 22.2% year-on-year [32] - The company is undergoing a transformation towards quality retail, with ongoing supply chain reforms and store optimization efforts [32][34] - Despite short-term challenges, the long-term outlook remains optimistic as the company aims to improve operational efficiency and adapt to changing consumer habits [32][34]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has achieved the highest new stock financing amount globally in the first three quarters of 2025, totaling HKD 188.3 billion, which is more than three times that of the same period last year [1] - The significant growth in new stock financing is attributed to the continuous expansion of the listing reserve, highlighting Hong Kong's strategic value as a core hub for capturing growth opportunities amid global economic uncertainties [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong stock market has optimized its listing system, creating differentiated listing rules and efficient approval mechanisms that facilitate the listing of technology companies, thereby strengthening the institutional foundation for quality asset aggregation [2] - Special listing chapters have been established to break traditional profit threshold limitations, providing a "green channel" for technology companies, which includes innovative evaluation systems that replace single profit assessment standards [2] Group 2: Capital Flow and Connectivity - The Hong Kong stock market serves as a financial hub connecting domestic and international capital, creating a diversified funding supply system that continuously injects liquidity into the market [3] - The Stock Connect mechanism exemplifies this dual-channel role, allowing foreign investors to invest in A-shares through the Northbound Stock Connect while domestic investors can allocate global assets through the Southbound Stock Connect [3] Group 3: Value Creation Ecosystem - The Hong Kong stock market is not just a financing platform but also a value creation ecosystem that empowers companies for sustainable growth, supported by top global investment banks and long-term funds [3] - Professional institutions adhere to international governance and service standards, helping companies gain global capital trust and linking them to global resources to enhance international competitiveness [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) is experiencing a technical rebound opportunity after a period of significant price adjustment, with multiple indicators showing it has entered an oversold zone [1] - Morgan Stanley reported that HKEX's net profit for the third quarter was HKD 4.9 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% and a quarter-on-quarter rise of 10%, exceeding their estimates by 3% [1] - The divergence between the stock price performance and the fundamental drivers, such as trading volume, creates conditions for a strong price increase in the coming months, leading to a maintained "overweight" rating with a target price of HKD 530 [1] Group 2 - Technical indicators for HKEX show clear signs of overselling, with the stock price operating below multiple moving averages, indicating continued pressure on short-term trends [4] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 39, suggesting a weakening of downward momentum, while key support and resistance levels are identified at HKD 411 and HKD 433, respectively [4] - Recent market data indicates that bearish derivative products related to HKEX have performed well, with UBS's bear certificate recording a 23% increase and Morgan Stanley's bear certificate rising by 18% [5] Group 3 - For investors optimistic about a technical rebound, HSBC's call option (29458) with a strike price of HKD 500 offers approximately 8.3 times leverage, making it the highest leveraged bullish product in the market [11] - Conversely, for those who believe the adjustment trend is not yet over, options such as Bank of China’s put option (18983) and UBS's put option (18808), both with a strike price of HKD 368.48, provide leverage of around 12 times [11] - In the context of structured products, various options with different strike prices and leverage ratios are available, with a focus on selecting products that align with individual risk tolerance and market outlook [10][11]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.639 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 42.57%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 58.69% to 107 million yuan [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.922 billion yuan, an increase of 11.57% year-on-year, but recorded a net loss of 74 million yuan compared to a profit of 304 million yuan in Q3 2024 [1] - The company maintained high growth in pig production, with a 63.6% year-on-year increase in the number of market pigs sold, aiming to meet the annual target of 4 million pigs [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 5.639 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase compared to the previous year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 107 million yuan, showing a substantial decline of 58.69% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company faced a net loss of 74 million yuan, contrasting sharply with the profit of 304 million yuan in Q3 2024 [1] Production and Efficiency Metrics - The company reported a total of 2.9342 million pigs sold in the first three quarters of 2025, with market pigs, piglets, and breeding pigs sold at 2.8802 million, 50,500, and 4,500 respectively [1] - By the end of Q3 2025, the company's biological assets amounted to 682 million yuan, representing a 12.5% increase from the end of June [1] - The company's pig breeding efficiency improved, with the PSY (Pigs Sold per Year) rising to approximately 29, while the feed-to-meat ratio slightly decreased to 2.57 [1] Market Conditions - In H1 2025, the pig farming industry was profitable due to low raw material costs and declining breeding costs [2] - However, starting in late September, pig prices began to decline, leading to losses in Q3 2025 [2] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 7.5 billion, 9 billion, and 10.65 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 175 million, 311 million, and 242 million yuan [2]

格隆汇11月6日｜欧盟委员会对德意志交易所与纳斯达克可能存在的勾结行为展开反垄断调查后，纳斯 达克盘前股价下跌1.7%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America reports that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) achieved a net profit of HKD 13.4 billion in the first nine months of this year, representing a year-on-year increase of 45%, surpassing the bank's expectation of 39% [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, HKEX recorded a net profit of HKD 4.9 billion, which is a 56% year-on-year increase and marks a historical high [1] - The bank has raised its profit forecasts for HKEX for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 3% due to expected increases in fee income [1] Target Price and Rating - Bank of America maintains its target price for HKEX at HKD 520 and reiterates a "Buy" rating [1] Growth Projections - The bank anticipates a revenue growth rate of 8% for the years 2026 to 2027, which is lower than the projected 28% growth for the fiscal year 2025 [1] - The bank notes that increasing market trading volume from the current level of 150% is likely to be challenging, suggesting that overall market capitalization must rise to drive revenue growth for HKEX [1] Growth Drivers - The primary growth driver for HKEX is expected to come from derivative products, including the expansion of weekly stock options [1] - Recently, HKEX has begun to cover more stocks and introduced zero-day options to attract new investment interest [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America reports that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388) achieved a net profit of 13.4 billion HKD in the first nine months of the year, representing a 45% year-on-year increase, surpassing the bank's expectation of 39% [1] Financial Performance - The net profit for the third quarter reached 4.9 billion HKD, marking a 56% year-on-year growth and setting a historical record [1] - The bank has raised its profit forecasts for Hong Kong Exchanges for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 3% due to anticipated increases in fee income [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for Hong Kong Exchanges remains unchanged at 520 HKD, with a reiterated "Buy" rating [1] Growth Projections - Expected line growth for 2026 to 2027 is projected at 8%, which is lower than the 28% forecast for the fiscal year 2025 [1] - The bank notes that further increasing market trading volume from the current level of 150% is challenging, indicating that unless overall market capitalization rises, trading volume alone will not be sufficient to drive revenue for Hong Kong Exchanges [1] Growth Drivers - The primary growth driver is anticipated to come from derivatives, including the expansion of the current weekly stock options [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges has recently begun to cover more stocks and zero-day options to attract new investment interest [1]

Market Overview - The total market capitalization of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reached HKD 48.1 trillion by the end of October 2025, a 37% increase from HKD 35.2 trillion in the same period last year [1] - The average daily trading amount in October 2025 was HKD 274.9 billion, up 8% from HKD 255 billion in October 2024 [1] - The average daily trading amount for the first ten months of 2025 was HKD 258.2 billion, a significant increase of 102% compared to HKD 127.8 billion in the same period last year [1] Derivative Products Market - The average daily trading volume of futures and options for the first ten months of 2025 was 1,696,752 contracts, a 7% increase from 1,582,570 contracts in the same period last year [2] - The average daily trading volume of stock index futures was 568,701 contracts during the first ten months of 2025 [2] Stock Options and Futures - The average daily trading volume of stock index options was 115,461 contracts for the first ten months of 2025 [3] - The average daily trading volume of stock options increased by 22% to 896,891 contracts compared to 733,117 contracts in the same period last year [3] - The average daily trading volume of stock futures was 8,538 contracts for the first ten months of 2025 [4] Currency Futures - The average daily trading volume of Renminbi currency futures increased by 20% to 107,126 contracts compared to 89,600 contracts in the same period last year [4] Historical Records - On October 2, 2025, the weekly stock options trading volume reached a historical high of 312,545 contracts [4] - On October 27, 2025, the trading volume of Hang Seng Tech Index futures options hit a historical high of 64,982 contracts [5] IPO and Fundraising - There were 81 new listings in the first ten months of 2025, a 50% increase from 54 new listings in the same period last year [1] - The total amount raised through initial public offerings (IPOs) in the first ten months of 2025 was HKD 216 billion, a 209% increase from HKD 70 billion in the same period last year [1] - The total fundraising amount for the first ten months of 2025 reached HKD 507 billion, up 228% from HKD 154.8 billion in the same period last year [1]