Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in Fortive's earnings due to lower revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Fortive is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.60 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 35.5% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $1.01 billion, down 35.1% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 33.75% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - Fortive currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Fortive met the expected earnings of $0.85 per share, resulting in no surprise [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - Fortive does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors before making decisions [17].

Market Overview - Pre-market futures show positive movement with the Dow up +0.12%, S&P 500 +0.09%, Nasdaq +0.16%, and Russell 2000 leading at +0.52% [1] Bond Market - Bond yields remain stable with the 10-year yield at +4.44%, a slight increase of 3 basis points from last Friday, while the 2-year yield is at +3.88% and the 30-year yield at +5.00% [2] Housing Market - Housing Starts for June are reported at 1.32 million, slightly above projections, but still historically low compared to multi-year highs of 500K more in April 2022 [3] - Building Permits increased to 1.397 million from 1.394 million in May, but remain low compared to nearly 2 million in January 2022, prior to interest rate hikes [4] Company Earnings - 3M reported Q2 earnings of $2.16 per share, exceeding expectations of $2.01, with revenues of $6.2 billion, raising full-year 2025 earnings guidance to $7.75-8.00 per share [5] - American Express surpassed Q2 expectations with earnings of $4.08 per share and revenues of $17.9 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of +9% [6] - Charles Schwab's Q2 report showed earnings of $1.14 per share and revenues of $5.85 billion, both exceeding consensus estimates, with shares up +5% in pre-market trading [7] Economic Indicators - A preliminary print on Consumer Sentiment for July is expected to improve to 61.8 from 60.7, aligning with a healthier economic outlook as fears of tariffs impacting the economy have lessened [8]

Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors to enhance their stock market strategies and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to help investors identify stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market in the short term [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - The Style Scores categorize stocks into four main types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] - Value Score identifies undervalued stocks using financial ratios [3] - Growth Score emphasizes a company's financial health and future growth potential [4] - Momentum Score tracks price trends to capitalize on upward or downward movements [5] - VGM Score combines all three styles to highlight stocks with the best overall characteristics [6] Zacks Rank and Style Scores Interaction - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that uses earnings estimate revisions to guide investment decisions [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically achieved an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - To optimize returns, investors should focus on stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B [10] Company Spotlight: Teledyne Technologies - Teledyne Technologies, based in Thousand Oaks, California, operates in various sectors including aerospace, defense, and environmental monitoring [12] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and has a VGM Score of B [12] - Teledyne is projected to experience year-over-year earnings growth of 8.8% for the current fiscal year, with a recent increase in earnings estimates [13] - The company has an average earnings surprise of 2.7%, making it a potential candidate for growth investors [13]

Group 1: Honeywell International - Honeywell has been added to UBS analyst Amit Mehrotra's list of "top picks" alongside Johnson Controls and 3M, indicating strong potential for outperformance [1] - The company raised the midpoint of its full-year guidance following excellent first-quarter results, with an organic sales growth outlook of 2% to 5% [2][4] - Honeywell's aerospace business is benefiting from increased aircraft production and growth in flight departures, with notable double-digit growth in Building Solutions [3] - Long-term potential exists from the planned breakup into three divisions, allowing for a more focused investment proposition and capital raising opportunities [6][7] Group 2: Johnson Controls - Johnson Controls reported a 7% organic sales growth in its fiscal second-quarter 2025, raising its full-year earnings guidance to $3.60 [9] - The company achieved a 5% order growth, increasing its backlog to $14 billion, driven by digital technology deployment [10] - Long-term growth catalysts include the adoption of the OpenBlue suite, which optimizes building efficiency and supports net-zero emissions goals [12] - The company's HVAC systems present growth opportunities in data centers, aligning with the AI/data center spending boom [13] Group 3: 3M - 3M's new CEO, Bill Brown, is implementing improvements after a period of underperformance, particularly in addressing legal issues and restructuring [14][15] - The company is tracking toward the low end of its guidance for full-year organic sales growth of 2% to 3%, but operational improvements have increased its operating margin to 23.5% [16] - If the tariff environment improves, 3M could benefit from enhanced earnings due to improved end markets and reduced cost headwinds [17]

Economic Overview - The U.S. trade deficit increased to $162 billion in March from $147.8 billion the previous month, significantly exceeding the estimate of -$145 billion, marking a 65% increase since October [10] - Imports rose by 5.0% to $343 billion, driven by a 27.5% increase in consumer goods, while exports increased by 1.2% to $181 billion, led by industrial supplies, autos, and food [10] - The decline in consumer confidence continued, with the Conference Board's measure dropping to 86 in April from 93.9, marking the fifth consecutive month of declines [11] Company Responses to Tariffs - Amazon faced backlash from the White House for allegedly planning to list tariff costs on products, which it denied, stating that such a consideration was never made for its main site [4][8] - Honeywell reported earnings that exceeded expectations and raised its full-year profit forecast, while acknowledging the unpredictable impact of tariffs [13] - Coca-Cola's performance reassured analysts, contrasting with many peers in the consumer staples sector [14] Market Sentiment and Predictions - Pantheon Macro economist Oliver Allen revised Q1 GDP growth expectations down to -1% due to the impact of tariffs and trade dynamics [10] - Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi indicated that consumer sentiment is nearing recession levels, with a significant drop in the index over the past three months [12] - Morgan Stanley strategist Mike Wilson emphasized the need for tariff relief and other catalysts for sustained market growth, advocating for quality stocks with resilient earnings profiles [18] Notable Partnerships and Developments - Hims & Hers Health announced a partnership with Novo Nordisk to sell the weight loss therapy Wegovy, marking a significant development for the company amid shareholder scrutiny [17] - JetBlue is evaluating measures to boost profitability in light of macroeconomic uncertainty, including capacity reductions and cost savings [16] Earnings Guidance Adjustments - General Motors pulled its 2025 outlook and halted its share buyback program due to the impact of tariffs on its original guidance [14][15] - UPS management indicated that full-year expectations would remain if market conditions stabilize, highlighting the uncertainty stemming from recent updates from the White House and Beijing [15]

Core Viewpoint - 3M Co. exceeded Wall Street expectations for first-quarter profit due to cost-cutting measures, resulting in a 7% increase in its share price, despite warnings of potential earnings impacts from trade tensions in 2025 [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported an adjusted profit of $1.88 per share, surpassing the average analyst estimate of $1.77 [12]. - Total net sales reached $5.78 billion, exceeding expectations of $5.75 billion, with a 2.5% growth in the safety and industrial segment [12]. - The adjusted operating income margin was 23.5%, an increase of 220 basis points compared to previous figures [2]. Trade and Tariff Impacts - 3M anticipates a potential tariff-related impact of 20 to 40 cents per share on its 2025 adjusted profit forecast, which is estimated to be between $7.60 and $7.90 [5]. - The company expects an annualized impact of $850 million from tariffs, with $675 million attributed to U.S. and China tariffs [6]. - China accounted for approximately 10% of 3M's global revenue as of March [5]. Strategic Responses - CEO Bill Brown outlined a restructuring plan focused on reducing spending and reallocating funds from legal liabilities [1]. - The company plans to leverage its logistics network to mitigate tariff costs by shipping products from Europe to China and adjusting U.S. supply accordingly [9].

Group 1: Honeywell International - Honeywell plans to split into three publicly traded businesses, which may outperform as individual entities based on successful examples from peers [2][7] - The focus is on Honeywell Aerospace and Honeywell Automation, with management citing peers like GE Aerospace, RTX, and TransDigm, all of which have undergone significant corporate changes [3][5] - Honeywell Aerospace will gain flexibility for acquisitions to enhance its portfolio, while Honeywell Automation will focus on industrial and building automation, competing with companies like Emerson Electric and Rockwell Automation [4][5] Group 2: Hexcel Corporation - Hexcel specializes in advanced graphite composites, which are increasingly used in the aerospace industry, providing long-term growth prospects due to rising airplane production and composite content [9][10] - Despite recent challenges from Boeing and Airbus falling behind production schedules, Hexcel's valuation has declined, allowing investors to buy at 19 times its estimated 2025 free cash flow, which is favorable given its growth potential [11][12]