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Why Vietnam Had to Make a Trade Deal With Trump
Bloomberg Originals· 2025-07-11 08:00
Trade Relations & Economic Impact - Vietnam's economy is heavily reliant on exports, representing approximately 90% of its GDP [4][8] - The US is Vietnam's largest export market, leading to a significant trade surplus and making it a target for potential tariffs [1] - Potential tariffs from the US, such as a proposed 46% tariff, could profoundly impact Vietnam's economy and manufacturing sector [2][10] - Vietnam experienced substantial foreign investment, exceeding $600 billion since 1988, contributing to export growth [7] Geopolitical Strategy & Manufacturing - Vietnam has become a major player in the global supply chain, manufacturing goods for various American companies and global brands [3][4] - The "China Plus One" strategy led companies to relocate some production to Vietnam to avoid tariffs on Chinese goods, benefiting Vietnam during US-China trade tensions [8][9] - Vietnam employs a "bamboo diplomacy" strategy to navigate complex relationships between the US and China, balancing economic and geopolitical considerations [15][16] - Vietnam's government is proactively engaging with the US to mitigate trade imbalances, including purchasing US products [12] Historical Context & Economic Development - Post-war Vietnam was one of the world's poorest countries, but economic reforms and policies to attract foreign investment have driven significant growth [5][6] - Vietnam's strategy of offering tax incentives, infrastructure development, and an open attitude to global manufacturers has been successful in attracting foreign investment [6]
Jeans brand Levi's is up 8% on strong earnings — despite a profit hit from tariffs
Business Insider· 2025-07-11 06:06
Core Insights - Levi Strauss reported a 6% increase in net revenues for the latest quarter, totaling $1.4 billion, with Europe showing a particularly strong performance at a 14% increase in net sales compared to the previous year [2][3] - The company is navigating the impact of tariffs, estimating a profit hit of $25 to $30 million for the remainder of the year due to these tariffs [3] - CEO Michelle Gass highlighted that 60% of the company's business is international, with minimal exposure to China, which positions the company competitively in relation to tariffs [4][3] Financial Performance - The company achieved net revenues of $1.4 billion, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase [2] - European sales were a bright spot, increasing by 14% compared to the previous year [2] Strategic Initiatives - Levi's sold its Dockers brand and launched the third phase of its collaboration with Beyoncé, while also expanding its tops and outerwear lines [3] - The company has manufacturers in 28 countries, with 20 supplying products to the U.S., allowing for flexibility in response to tariff changes [8] Pricing Strategy - The company believes it has pricing power due to the health of the brand, indicating that any pricing changes will be carefully considered and executed [9]
Levi Strauss CEO Michelle Gass goes one-on-one with Jim Cramer
CNBC Television· 2025-07-10 23:47
Financial Performance - Levi Strauss reported a phenomenal quarter with 9% organic sales growth, exceeding estimates [1][3] - The company's earnings beat expectations by $0.13 [1] - Management raised the full-year forecast despite tariff impacts [2] - The company is aiming to become a $10 billion stronger, more profitable entity [5] Strategic Initiatives - Levi Strauss is pivoting to become DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) first and a head-to-toe lifestyle retailer rooted in denim [4] - The company is focusing and rationalizing SKUs (Stock Keeping Units), which are down in the mid-teens [7][8] - Driving for more commonality in assortment globally, increasing from single digits to approximately 30%, creating supply chain efficiencies [8] Market Performance - International business is up 10%, with women's outperforming with double-digit growth [5] - Tops business, a key part of lifestyle expansion, is up 16% [6] - European numbers show incredible organic growth of 14% to 15% [9] Tariff Impact & Mitigation - The company has assumed tariffs of 30% from China and 10% from the rest of the world in its guidance [19] - The net impact of tariffs is estimated to be around 20 basis points, or a couple of pennies on EPS [19] - Mitigation strategies include leveraging long-standing vendor relationships, increasing volume, modest surgical pricing, and full-price selling [19][20] Brand & Marketing - Focuses on social media, music, and sports to drive relevancy with younger consumers [13] - Collaborations with brands like Nike and designers like Sakai are driving brand heat [15][16]
Small-Cap Russell 2000 Leads Another Up-Day in the Market
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 23:10
Market Performance - The small-cap Russell 2000 has outperformed major indexes recently, leading for the 4th session in the last 5, with a gain of +0.48% [1] - The Dow increased by +192 points (+0.43%), the S&P 500 rose by +17 points (+0.27%), and the Nasdaq was up by +19 points (+0.09%) [1] - Over the past month, the Russell 2000 has gained +5%, while other major indexes have hovered around +4% [2] Company Earnings - Levi Strauss & Co. reported fiscal Q2 earnings of 22 cents per share, exceeding the estimated 14 cents, with revenues of $1.4 billion surpassing the projected $1.37 billion [4] - The gross margins for Levi Strauss hit a record +62.6% for the quarter, with Americas' comps up +5%, net revenues in Europe up +14%, and Asia flat [4] - Direct-to-Consumer sales increased by +11% in the quarter, contributing to a +7% jump in stock price following the earnings report [4] Economic Outlook - No significant economic reports or earnings reports are expected on the following Friday, with attention turning to the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and Q2 earnings from major banks [5] - Major banks are anticipated to perform well, with assets under management at record highs and strong investment banking performance [6] - The CPI Inflation Rate was reported at a 12-month low of +2.3%, with core inflation at +2.8%, close to the Fed's optimal target of +2.0% [6]
Levi Strauss & (LEVI) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-10 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 9% increase in organic net revenue for Q2, marking the third consecutive quarter of high single-digit growth [7][33] - Gross margin reached a record 62.6%, expanding 140 basis points year-over-year, driven by lower product costs and a favorable channel mix [36][38] - Adjusted diluted EPS increased by 37% year-over-year to $0.22 [38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales grew by 10%, with 13 consecutive quarters of positive comparable sales growth [7][22] - The wholesale business also saw growth, up 7%, with notable performance in Europe [7][33] - Women's business grew by 13%, while men's business increased by 6% [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Americas net revenues were up 9%, with operating margins increasing to 20.5% [39] - Europe experienced a 15% increase in net revenues, with a 17.2% operating margin [40] - Asia's net revenues were flat due to strategic actions taken to improve structural economics, but DTC grew double digits in several markets [41] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning to a DTC-first model, with over half of its business now coming from owned and operated channels [9][11] - A focus on becoming a full head-to-toe apparel lifestyle brand is evident, with significant growth in lifestyle categories [9][10] - The company is narrowing its focus by divesting from non-core brands like Dockers, allowing for a more concentrated effort on the Levi's brand [10][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating a challenging global operating environment, citing strong brand equity and consumer connection [11][30] - The company raised its full-year guidance for organic net revenue growth to 4.5% to 5.5% [45] - Despite uncertainties around tariffs, the company believes it is well-positioned to manage potential impacts [44][50] Other Important Information - The company opened 16 net new stores in Q2, expanding its global store network [24] - The loyalty program has nearly 40 million members, contributing to increased consumer engagement and higher average unit retail (AUR) [25] - The company expects to return at least $100 million from the net proceeds of the Dockers sale to shareholders through share repurchases [42] Q&A Session Summary Question: Drivers of demand strength and market share gains - Management noted broad-based growth across all business segments and maintained a top market share position globally and in the U.S. [53][56] Question: Clarification on organic wholesale revenues - Management indicated a prudent approach to wholesale, expecting it to remain flat to slightly positive for the year, with growth driven by digital channels and premium customers [66][70] Question: Marketing initiatives and price increases - The company is investing in brand marketing and has exciting campaigns planned for the fall, with room for further AUR growth across categories [75][80] Question: Margin profile of DTC business - DTC margins have improved significantly, with a focus on revenue per square foot and cost management contributing to this positive trend [95][99] Question: Tariff assumptions and pricing strategy - The company has factored in additional tariffs into its guidance and is implementing strategies to mitigate their impact [103][44]
Levi Strauss & (LEVI) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-10 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 9% organic net revenue growth in Q2, marking the third consecutive quarter of high single-digit growth [9][35] - Gross margin reached a record 62.6%, expanding 140 basis points year-over-year, driven by lower product costs and a favorable channel mix [38] - Adjusted diluted EPS increased by 37% to $0.22 compared to the prior year [40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales grew by 10%, with 13 consecutive quarters of positive comparable sales growth [9][32] - The wholesale business also saw growth, up 7%, marking its third consecutive quarter of growth [32][35] - Women's business grew by 13%, while men's business increased by 6% [35] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Americas net revenues were up 9%, with operating margins increasing to 20.5% [41] - Europe experienced a 15% increase in net revenues, with a 17.2% operating margin [42] - Asia's net revenues were flat, but DTC grew double digits, indicating strong performance in specific markets like Japan and Turkey [44] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning to a DTC-first model, with over half of its business now coming from owned and operated channels [10][12] - Strategic focus has shifted towards the Levi's brand, with the sale of Dockers and exiting the Denizen and footwear businesses [11][30] - The company aims to become a $10 billion company, emphasizing growth in lifestyle categories beyond denim [12][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating a challenging global operating environment, citing strong brand equity and consumer connection [12][54] - The company raised its full-year guidance for organic net revenue growth to 4.5% to 5.5% [48] - Management highlighted the importance of brand marketing and collaborations, such as with Nike and Beyoncé, to maintain cultural relevance [14][82] Other Important Information - The company generated free cash flow of $146 million and declared an 8% increase in dividends to $0.14 per share [45] - Inventory levels increased by 15%, primarily to support holiday sales and mitigate tariff impacts [46] Q&A Session Summary Question: Drivers of demand strength and market share gains - Management noted broad-based growth across DTC and wholesale, with strong performance in both men's and women's categories [58][64] Question: Gross margin inflection and structural changes - Management highlighted that higher DTC sales, focus on women's products, and exiting less profitable lines contributed to improved gross margins [65][68] Question: Organic wholesale revenues and growth expectations - Management indicated a prudent approach to wholesale growth, expecting it to remain flat to slightly positive for the year [73][75] Question: Marketing initiatives and AUR growth - Management discussed ongoing marketing efforts, including collaborations and campaigns, which are expected to drive brand strength and AUR growth [82][84] Question: DTC margin profile and SG&A rate - Management confirmed that DTC growth is no longer a drag on EBIT margins, with significant improvements in revenue per square foot and cost management [99][100]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-10 20:22
Levi raised its revenue outlook, with the maker of 501 jeans expecting sales growth to outweigh the impact of Donald Trump’s tariffs https://t.co/ZbRQJrAxry ...
Levi Strauss raises sales guidance, says it will absorb some tariff costs for now
CNBC· 2025-07-10 20:22
Core Viewpoint - Levi Strauss has raised its full-year guidance for adjusted earnings and revenue, despite facing challenges from higher tariffs due to evolving trade policies under President Trump [1][3][8]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net income of $67 million, or 17 cents per share, for the three-month period ending June 1, compared to $18 million, or 4 cents per share, a year earlier [7]. - Adjusted earnings per share were 22 cents, exceeding the expected 13 cents [9]. - Revenue reached $1.45 billion, up approximately 6% from $1.36 billion a year prior, and also surpassed the expected $1.37 billion [7][9]. Guidance and Tariff Impact - Levi's now expects full-year adjusted earnings to be between $1.25 to $1.30 per share, an increase from the previous forecast of $1.20 to $1.25 [3]. - The company anticipates tariffs will impact its business by $25 million to $30 million for the remainder of the year, translating to a 2 to 3 cents reduction in earnings per share [5]. - Full-year revenue guidance has been raised, now expecting sales to rise between 1% and 2%, compared to previous guidance of a decline of 1% to 2% [8]. Market Response - Following the earnings report, Levi's shares rose approximately 8% in extended trading [6].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-10 19:25
Nike is replacing the CEO of its Converse subsidiary as it looks to reverse a lengthy sales slump for the struggling sneaker brand https://t.co/HwNS0kFzRb ...
Canada Goose (GOOS) Upgraded to Strong Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 17:01
Core Viewpoint - Canada Goose (GOOS) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][2]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [3][5]. - Institutional investors utilize earnings estimates to determine the fair value of stocks, leading to buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [3]. Canada Goose's Earnings Outlook - The upgrade for Canada Goose reflects an improvement in its underlying business, with rising earnings estimates expected to drive the stock price higher [4]. - For the fiscal year ending March 2026, Canada Goose is projected to earn $0.88 per share, unchanged from the previous year, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 1.7% over the past three months [7]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [6]. - Canada Goose's upgrade to Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for near-term price appreciation [9].