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铅锌日评:沪铅或有反弹,沪锌区间整理-20250609
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 03:44
祁玉蓉(F03100031, Z0021060),联系电话:010-8229 5006 2025/6/9 单位 今值 变动 近期趋势 SMM1#铅锭平均价格 元/吨 0.00% 16,500.00 期货主力合约收盘价 元/吨 16,780.00 0.51% 沪铅基差 元/吨 -280.00 -85.00 升贴水-上海 元/吨 - -15.00 升贴水-LME 0-3 美元/吨 -26.98 -3.90 升贴水-LME 3-15 美元/吨 -64.60 -2.20 沪铅近月-沪铅连一 元/吨 -45.00 -30.00 沪铅连一-沪铅连二 元/吨 5.00 5.00 沪铅连二-沪铅连三 元/吨 10.00 -10.00 期货活跃合约成交量 手 30,853.00 -0.20% 期货活跃合约持仓量 手 49,975.00 -1.01% 成交持仓比 / 0.62 0.82% LME库存 吨 0.00% 281,275.00 沪铅仓单库存 吨 41,799.00 0.24% LME3个月铅期货收盘价(电子盘) 美元/吨 1,974.00 -0.35% 沪伦铅价比值 / 8.50 0.87% SMM1#锌锭平均价格 元 ...
铅锌产业链周度报告-20250606
Zhong Hang Qi Huo· 2025-06-06 10:17
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The zinc price's box - style oscillation pattern awaits a breakthrough, while the lead price is expected to remain volatile. Attention should be focused on the price trend of waste batteries [4][64]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Report Abstract - The US ADP employment increase in a certain month was 1.37 million, lower than the expected 1.5 million and the previous value of 2.625 million, reaching the lowest level in years. The market focused on this data [4]. - China's manufacturing PMI in a certain month was 49.5%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, but still below the critical point. It was the first time to fall below the critical point in a certain period [4]. - The European Central Bank mentioned continued small - scale interest rate cuts, and countries would increase investment in national defense and infrastructure, providing support on a broader macro - level [4]. - The China Zinc Raw Material Joint Negotiation (Coordination) Group announced the guidance price range for imported zinc concentrate procurement fees in the third quarter of 2025 [4]. - The supply of zinc raw materials remained loose, and the zinc ingot output might have a large - scale increase. The domestic zinc ingot social inventory decreased slightly, and the low inventory supported the zinc price [4]. - The supply of recycled lead was unstable, and the inventory of lead ingots in the national market increased. The consumption of waste batteries was weak, and the lead price was expected to remain volatile [4]. 3.2 Multi - and Short - Focus 3.2.1 Multi - and Short - Factors Analysis (Zinc) - Bullish factors: The output of domestic and foreign zinc mines may accelerate in June, and the zinc ingot output ratio may have a large - scale increase, and the social inventory has decreased [7]. - Bearish factors: The consumption end is weak [7]. 3.2.2 Multi - and Short - Factors Analysis (Lead) - Bullish factors: The supply of recycled lead is still unstable [10]. - Bearish factors: The operating rate of primary lead enterprises is high, the price of waste batteries is running weakly, and the off - season consumption has not improved significantly [10]. 3.3 Data Analysis 3.3.1 Zinc - Related Data - In April, China's zinc ore concentrate imports were 494,662.21 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 37.64% and a year - on - year increase of 72.63%. The supply from major countries increased, and Australia became the top supplier [12]. - In June, the average domestic zinc concentrate TC increased by 150 yuan/metal ton to 3,650 yuan/metal ton, and the average imported ore TC increased by 10 dollars/dry ton to 55 dollars/dry ton. The China Zinc Raw Material Joint Negotiation (Coordination) Group released the guidance price range for imported zinc concentrate procurement fees [15]. - The price of zinc concentrate slightly increased. The price of 50% zinc concentrate in Hechi was 17,930 yuan/ton, up 90 yuan/ton from the previous week; in Chenzhou, it was 17,700 yuan/ton, up 70 yuan/ton from the previous week [20]. - In April, China's refined zinc output was 576,000 tons, down 39,000 tons from March, with a year - on - year slight increase of 0.3%. From January to April, the cumulative output was 2.333 million tons, and the year - on - year decline narrowed to 2.9%. Due to the increase in zinc ore processing fees, the smelter's production profit was repaired [23]. - In April, refined zinc imports were 28,200 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 2.4% and a year - on - year decrease of 38.66%. From January to April, the cumulative imports were 129,200 tons, with a year - on - year decrease of 9.44% [26]. - Policies such as the new energy vehicle countryside campaign and urban renewal were introduced, which may have an impact on the consumption of zinc in related industries [30]. - As of June 5, the LME zinc inventory was 137,150 tons, down 1.44% from the previous week. The SHFE zinc inventory decreased by 4% to 42,310 tons in the week of May 30. As of June 5, the zinc ingot inventory in the national main markets was 58,300 tons, down 900 tons from June 3 [33]. 3.3.2 Lead - Related Data - This week, the lead futures and spot prices rebounded after hitting the bottom. The basis was 55 yuan/ton, and the premium range narrowed. The price difference between 1 lead and recycled refined lead was 110 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan/ton from the previous week [38]. - The weekly price of 60% lead concentrate in Kunming decreased by 257 yuan/ton, and in Baoji, it decreased by 251 yuan/ton. As of May 30, the lead concentrate processing fees in different regions changed, with some decreasing and some increasing [42]. - In April 2025, the lead concentrate imports were 111,046 physical tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 4.3% and a year - on - year increase of 22.1%. As of 2025, the cumulative lead concentrate imports were about 448,700 physical tons, with a year - on - year increase of 41%. In April, the refined lead imports were 4,734 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 65% [46]. - In April 2025, China's lead output was 664,000 tons, with a year - on - year decrease of 1%. Both primary lead and recycled lead production decreased in April, but some enterprises resumed production in May [48]. - The operating rate of primary lead increased by 5.98 percentage points to 66.26%. The operating rate of recycled lead enterprises increased by 10.94 percentage points to 62.91%, and the operating rate of lead batteries increased by 1.99 percentage points to 74.34% [51][53][57]. - Last week, the LME lead inventory decreased after a large - scale increase, and the SHFE lead inventory decreased by 3.98% to 46,500 tons in the week of May 30. As of June 5, the national main market lead ingot social inventory was 50,800 tons, up 3,900 tons from June 3 [61]. 3.4 Market Outlook - The zinc price's box - style oscillation pattern awaits a breakthrough; the lead price is expected to remain volatile, and attention should be paid to the price trend of waste batteries [64].
中色股份:有价金属回收实现新发展,绿色低碳展现更大作为
Core Viewpoint - The company has completed the construction of a resource comprehensive utilization project that enhances its green and low-carbon transformation while achieving comprehensive recovery of valuable metals such as silver, indium, lead, and zinc [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The resource comprehensive utilization project utilizes a "hot acid leaching - low pollution iron removal - three-stage antimony salt purification" wet zinc smelting process, with an annual production capacity of 210,000 tons of zinc products and 400,000 tons of sulfuric acid [1]. - The project generates approximately 225,000 tons of leaching residue (wet basis) annually, which necessitated the establishment of a harmless treatment system for leaching residue to comply with industry standards [1]. Group 2: Environmental and Economic Impact - The project significantly reduces industrial hazardous waste emissions, reflecting the company's commitment to accelerating its green transformation [2]. - The company's total investment in energy conservation and environmental protection is projected to increase from 88 million to 541 million yuan from 2022 to 2024, indicating a strong focus on high-quality environmental initiatives [2]. Group 3: Compliance and Sustainability Efforts - In response to increasingly stringent environmental policies, the company is enhancing its environmental management system, promoting green mining, and ensuring compliance with pollution discharge standards [2]. - The company has seen a significant reduction in greenhouse gas emissions over the past three years, with total emissions of 778,100 tons, 745,300 tons, and 722,600 tons of CO2 equivalent, respectively, demonstrating a substantial downward trend [2]. Group 4: Corporate Responsibility - The company is committed to fulfilling its ESG responsibilities by balancing economic growth with environmental sustainability, focusing on efficient resource utilization and ecosystem restoration [3].
整理:每日期货市场要闻速递(5月28日)
news flash· 2025-05-27 23:44
6. 一财记者走访多家供应商发现,随着中国汽车市场打起"价格战",上游企业利润空间持续压缩至 10%,账期也长达120天。业内人士认为"价格战"可能导致供应商陷入亏损和汽车质量安全问题。 7. 上期所公告,自2025年5月29日(星期四)收盘结算时起,氧化铝期货合约的涨跌停板幅度从7%上调 至9%,套保交易保证金比例从8%上调至10%,投机交易保证金比例从9%上调至11%;白银期货合约的 涨跌停板幅度从11%上调至12%,套保交易保证金比例从12%上调至13%,投机交易保证金比例从13% 上调至14%。 8. 阿拉丁(ALD)调研了解,贵州某中型氧化铝企业近日开始复产,暂未形成满产,阶段运行产能60 万吨左右,以满足长单交付为主,后续企业重点关注近期氧化铝价格走势再定满产节奏 9. 国际铝业协会(IAI)数据显示,2025年4月全球氧化铝产量为1240.7万吨,日均产量为41.36万吨;中 国2025年4月氧化铝预估产量为738.4万吨。 金十数据整理:每日期货市场要闻速递(5月28日) 1. 上期能源公告,自2025年5月29日(星期四)收盘结算时起,集运指数(欧线)期货合约的涨跌停板 幅度从16%上调至1 ...
下游淡季 预计短期铅价重心或有下移
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-27 08:41
Price Overview - On May 27, the spot price of lead ingots in Shanghai was quoted at 16,625.00 CNY/ton, which is a discount of 200.00 CNY/ton compared to the futures main price of 16,825.00 CNY/ton [1] - The closing price for the main Shanghai lead futures contract on May 27 was 16,825.00 CNY/ton, with a slight decline of 0.09%, reaching a high of 16,850.00 CNY/ton and a low of 16,745.00 CNY/ton during the day [2] Market Dynamics - A lead-zinc smelting plant in a southern region of China underwent temporary maintenance this week, leading to reduced production in the precious metals workshop, with the specific recovery time yet to be determined [2] - As of May 23, the inventory of Shanghai lead futures recorded 48,428.00 tons, a decrease of 7,044.00 tons compared to the previous trading day [2] Supply and Demand Analysis - According to New Lake Futures research, primary lead smelters are maintaining stable production levels, while the treatment charge (TC) for lead ore is on a downward trend [3] - The recycling sector has seen continuous low operating rates for recycled lead smelters due to ongoing losses, but profits are expected to recover as the price of waste batteries declines [3] - The traditional consumption season for lead-acid batteries is currently slow, with dealers holding high inventory levels, leading battery manufacturers to adjust production based on sales [3] - As of this week, domestic social inventory stands at 4.34 tons, with a reduction of 0.69 million tons, indicating a preference for warehouse stock among downstream players [3] - Last week, LME lead inventory saw a significant delivery of 50,000 tons, reaching a nearly 10-year high [3] - Overall, the combination of the off-peak season and weakened support from waste battery prices suggests a potential downward shift in lead prices in the short term [3]
铅锌日评:原料不足引发炼厂减产,铅价下方支撑较强,沪锌区间整理-20250523
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-05-23 02:50
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The raw material shortage has led to production cuts at lead smelters, providing strong support for the downside of lead prices. The lead price is expected to trade in a wide range in the short term, with subsequent focus on macro uncertainties [1]. - The fundamentals of Shanghai zinc are weak, and it is expected to trade in a wide range in the short term. In the medium to long term, the TC has room to rise, and the center of the zinc price may shift downwards. A strategy of shorting on rebounds is recommended, with subsequent focus on macro - sentiment disturbances [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Lead Market - **Price and Market Indicators**: On May 23, 2025, the average price of SMM1 lead ingots was 16,625 yuan/ton, down 0.60% from the previous day. The closing price of the futures main contract was 16,685 yuan/ton, down 1.27%. The trading volume of the futures active contract increased by 106.00% to 42,980 lots, and the open interest increased by 170.23% to 45,301 lots. The LME inventory was 295,825 tons, and the Shanghai lead warehouse receipt inventory was 39,327 tons, down 4.30% [1]. - **Fundamentals**: The operation of primary lead smelters was stable with a slight increase. For secondary lead, the price of waste lead - acid batteries rose continuously, and recyclers had limited supplies. Some smelters cut or stopped production due to cost inversion, and the operating rate declined significantly. The demand was in the off - season, with weak downstream procurement [1]. - **Inventory**: As of May 22, the total inventory of SMM lead ingots in five locations was 5.03 million tons, a decrease of 0.57 million tons from May 15 and 0.88 million tons from May 19 [1]. 3.2 Zinc Market - **Price and Market Indicators**: On May 23, 2025, the average price of SMM1 zinc ingots was 22,580 yuan/ton, down 0.48% from the previous day. The closing price of the futures main contract was 22,455 yuan/ton, down 0.55%. The trading volume of the futures active contract decreased by 16.49% to 82,262 lots, and the open interest decreased by 11.19% to 59,658 lots. The LME inventory was 156,225 tons, and the Shanghai zinc warehouse receipt inventory was 1,400 tons [1]. - **Fundamentals**: Zinc smelters had sufficient raw material stocks, and the zinc concentrate processing fee continued to rise. The production of smelters increased, but the terminal demand had not improved, and downstream enterprises were bearish on the future zinc price and had weak procurement enthusiasm. Different downstream sectors had different performances [1]. - **Inventory**: As of May 22, the total inventory of SMM zinc ingots in seven locations was 8.04 million tons, a decrease of 0.59 million tons from May 15 and 0.34 million tons from May 19 [1]. 3.3 Other Information - The Port Pirie multi - metal smelter in Australia, owned by Nyrstar, has the capacity to produce up to 5,000 tons of antimony metal or antimony trioxide per year but needs additional processing steps and government funding. The Australian smelting industry is facing challenges from high domestic electricity costs and over - capacity in China [1]. - Canadian mining company Foran Mining plans to raise 350 million Canadian dollars through non - brokered private placement for the construction and exploration of the McIlvenna Bay copper - zinc project. The project is expected to start commercial production in mid - 2026 [1].
直击股东大会|豫光金铅:铅产品一直处于供不应求状态 不主动预测黄金涨幅
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-17 15:30
Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes that stable or rising product prices are beneficial for its operations, and it does not engage in speculative predictions about price levels [1][8]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 39.345 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.40% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 808 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 38.88% compared to the previous year [2]. - Revenue from lead products reached 8.506 billion yuan, up 9.19% year-on-year; copper products generated 10.869 billion yuan, an increase of 11.56%; gold products saw revenue of 8.126 billion yuan, up 52.92%; and silver products brought in 10.012 billion yuan, a 29.16% increase [2]. Production and Capacity - In 2024, the company produced 555,600 tons of lead, 164,900 tons of cathode copper, 15.13 tons of gold, and 1,566.24 tons of silver, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 0.31%, 7.53%, 29.11%, and 2.25% [2]. - For 2025, the company plans to produce 702,000 tons of lead, 15 tons of gold, 1,700 tons of silver, and 155,000 tons of cathode copper [3][4]. Industry Outlook - The company asserts that there is no "oversupply" issue in the lead market, as domestic refined lead production is projected to decline by 6.7% in 2024 [6]. - Despite challenges from lithium batteries, the lead industry has seen production growth, with annual output exceeding 5 million tons in 2024 [7]. - The company maintains a strong market position, with over 70% of its production sold through long-term contracts [7]. Strategic Focus - The company aims to enhance production efficiency and deepen innovation, focusing on high-purity metals and high-value alloys [4]. - The company does not plan to make speculative predictions about gold prices, as it believes such actions could significantly impact finances [8]. - Currently, the company has no immediate plans for overseas expansion, prioritizing its core business and technological advancements [8].
豫光金铅: 河南豫光金铅股份有限公司2024年年度股东大会决议公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-16 11:15
证券代码:600531 证券简称:豫光金铅 公告编号:2025-034 债券代码:110096 债券简称:豫光转债 河南豫光金铅股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: ? 本次会议是否有否决议案:无 一、 会议召开和出席情况 (一)股东大会召开的时间:2025 年 5 月 16 日 (二)股东大会召开的地点:河南豫光金铅股份有限公司 510 会议室(河南省济源 市荆梁南街 1 号) (三)出席会议的普通股股东和恢复表决权的优先股股东及其持有股份情况: 份总数的比例(%) 35.6370 (四)表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定,大会主持情况等。 本次会议采用现场投票与网络投票相结合的方式召开及表决。会议由公司董 事会召集,董事长赵金刚先生主持。会议的召集和召开程序符合《公司法》《公 司章程》的规定。 (五)公司董事、监事和董事会秘书的出席情况 二、 议案审议情况 (一)非累积投票议案 审议结果:通过 表决情况: 表决情况: | 股东类型 | 同意 | | 反对 | | 弃权 | ...
豫光金铅关键工序自动化率达70% 铅冶炼迈入智能化时代
Group 1 - The company Henan Yuguang Gold Lead Co., Ltd. is driving the intelligent development of the lead smelting industry through smart transformation, achieving a 70% automation rate in key processes and over 50% of frontline workers holding college degrees, forming a dual-driven model of "equipment intelligence + personnel knowledge" [1] - The introduction of intelligent equipment in the smelting plant is reconstructing traditional production processes, with the "slag blocking machine" significantly reducing the time and labor required for hazardous operations, enhancing safety and efficiency [1] - The ongoing construction of an intelligent slag-removal robot project is expected to reduce labor intensity by 70% by operating 24 hours in high-temperature environments, replacing manual labor for slag removal tasks [1] Group 2 - AI technology is increasingly permeating the entire lead smelting process, with the "smart AI steward" capable of converting emergency plans into interactive Q&A and generating learning reports based on employee responses [2] - The traditional manual calculation of blending schemes, which took an hour, can now be completed in one second using the intelligent AI blending system, maintaining a raw material grade error control within 0.01% [2] - Future plans for the smelting workshop include transitioning to a "no-manufacturing factory" era, with automated systems and AI-driven technologies enhancing operational efficiency and real-time monitoring capabilities [2]
株冶集团:资产重组激活全产业链 老牌国企焕发新生机
Core Viewpoint - Zhuzhou Smelter Group Co., Ltd. has successfully transformed from a single smelting enterprise to a comprehensive industry leader through a significant asset restructuring, enhancing its core competitiveness and revitalizing the company [1][2]. Group 1: Asset Restructuring and Industry Position - The company initiated a major asset restructuring at the end of 2022, acquiring 100% of Shuikoushan Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd., which provided it with lead and zinc mining resources [1][2]. - The company now possesses mining rights for Shuikoushan lead-zinc mine and Baifang copper mine, with an annual raw ore selection capacity of 860,000 tons [1]. - In zinc smelting, the company has an annual capacity of 300,000 tons for zinc smelting and 380,000 tons for zinc alloy deep processing, ranking among the top in the country [1][2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 19.759 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.82%, and a net profit of 730 million yuan, up 29.71% [2]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 4.803 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.50%, and a net profit of 283 million yuan, up 112.94% [2]. Group 3: Market Strategy and Product Development - The company plans to leverage the rising international gold prices, projecting a gold production of over 3,710 kilograms and sales exceeding 4,074 kilograms in 2024 [2]. - The company aims to enhance its full-chain advantages in mining, smelting, deep processing, and sales to achieve high-quality development [2]. Group 4: Technological Innovation - The company is investing in smart and automated mining technologies to improve efficiency and safety, while also utilizing IoT sensors for real-time monitoring [3]. - In smelting, the company maintains industry-leading process levels, producing zinc ingots with a purity of 99.995% and low impurity content [4]. Group 5: Synergistic Effects and Cost Management - The restructuring has released synergistic effects that are key to the company's performance growth, with improved raw material self-sufficiency and reduced smelting costs due to falling coal prices and optimized power supply [5].