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Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Agilon (AGL) Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-08-05 01:01
Core Insights - Agilon Health (AGL) reported $1.39 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.9% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period was -$0.25, compared to -$0.07 a year ago, indicating a significant deterioration in profitability [1] - The reported revenue was a surprise of -4.98% compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.47 billion, while the EPS surprise was -127.27% against the consensus estimate of -$0.11 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - The average number of Medicare Advantage members was 498,000, slightly above the average estimate of 493,100 based on two analysts [4] - Other operating revenues were reported at $2.94 million, which is lower than the estimated $3.16 million by five analysts, representing a year-over-year decline of 7.4% [4] - Medical services revenues were $1.39 billion, compared to the average estimate of $1.46 billion from five analysts, also reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 5.9% [4] Stock Performance - Agilon's shares have returned -30% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.6% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
NUTEX ALERT: Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. is Investigating Nutex Health Inc. on Behalf of Nutex Stockholders and Encourages Investors to Contact the Firm
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-08-04 23:07
Core Viewpoint - Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. is investigating potential claims against Nutex Health Inc. for possible violations of federal securities laws and unlawful business practices following a short report by Blue Orca Capital that raised concerns about litigation risks associated with Nutex's relationship with a third-party vendor [1][2]. Group 1: Legal Investigation - Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. is encouraging Nutex stockholders who have suffered losses to contact them to discuss their legal rights [1][4]. - The investigation is focused on whether Nutex has engaged in unlawful business practices, particularly in light of allegations made in the Blue Orca report [1][2]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Following the release of the Blue Orca report, Nutex's stock price experienced a significant decline, falling by $11.18 per share, or 10.05%, closing at $100.01 on July 22, 2025 [3].
AGL Investor ALERT: Agilon Health Shares Down Over 25%; Investors Should Contact Block & Leviton to Potentially Recover Losses
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-08-04 22:37
BOSTON, Aug. 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Block & Leviton LLP is investigating agilon health, Inc. (NYSE: AGL) for potential securities law violations. Investors who have lost money in their agilon investment should contact the firm to learn more about how they might recover those losses. For more details, visit https://blockleviton.com/cases/agl. Block & Leviton is investigating whether the Company committed securities law violations and may file an action to attempt to recover losses on behalf of investor ...
agilon health(AGL) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-04 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total revenue for Q2 2025 was $1.4 billion, down from $1.48 billion in Q2 2024, primarily due to lower risk adjustment contributions and unfavorable developments in Part D [29][30] - The medical margin for Q2 2025 was negative $53 million, compared to a positive $106 million in Q2 2024, driven by underperformance in the burden of illness program [30][32] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was negative $83 million, compared to negative $3 million in Q2 2024, reflecting the impact of lower risk adjustments and unfavorable prior period developments [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Medicare Advantage membership at the end of Q2 2025 was 498,000, down from 513,000 in Q2 2024, reflecting a measured approach to membership growth [28] - ACO REACH membership in Q2 2025 was 116,000, down from 132,000 in 2024, aligning with expectations [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a medical cost trend of 5.9% for Q2 2025, consistent with the previous year's trend of 6% [33] - The company has successfully reduced its exposure to Medicare Part D, with less than 30% of its membership carrying Part D risk in 2025 [34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on improving contract economics and bid visibility with payers, enhancing its data platform, and reducing variability in its business [35] - The leadership transition aims to strengthen execution and improve relationships critical to future success [11][12] - The company is committed to enhancing performance and positioning itself for sustainable value creation, particularly with the improved Medicare reimbursement model expected to take effect next year [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged that 2025 is a transition year with challenges that were more acute than previously expected, leading to underperformance [9][10] - The company expects to see the results of strategic initiatives in 2026, with a focus on improving operational and financial performance [16][17] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term value of the company's model and its ability to deliver significant growth opportunities [10][15] Other Important Information - The company has withdrawn its previously issued full-year 2025 financial guidance due to ongoing market uncertainties [34] - The leadership team is recalibrating the organization's culture to emphasize urgency, accountability, and performance [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on potential positive PYD in Q3 and growth rate into 2026 - Management indicated that there was a small amount of favorable development on quality programs, but the significant negative developments were related to risk adjustment and Part D costs [39][40] Question: Call trends and cost trends development - Management confirmed that Q1 cost trends were around 6%, and Q2 trends were consistent with Q1, but July data was less complete [44] Question: 2026 class commentary and glide path strategy - Management stated that growth for 2026 is under review and they will be highly selective on future growth due to current business performance [57] Question: 2026 bidding insights - Management noted that payers are looking for improved economics as they head into 2026, and negotiations are ongoing [59][62] Question: CEO search criteria - The company is looking for a CEO with multi-market management capability, experience with primary care physicians, and strong operational rigor [67] Question: Quality incentives and their impact - Management highlighted that payers are increasingly willing to include more quality incentives in contracts, which could lead to increased dollars available for performance [72][73]
agilon health(AGL) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-04 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue for Q2 2025 of $1.4 billion, down from $1.48 billion in Q2 2024, primarily due to lower risk adjustment contributions and unfavorable developments in Part D costs [29][30] - Medical margin for Q2 2025 was negative $53 million, compared to positive $106 million in Q2 2024, driven by underperformance in the burden of illness program [30][33] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was negative $83 million, compared to negative $3 million in Q2 2024, reflecting the impact of lower risk adjustments and unfavorable prior period developments [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Medicare Advantage membership at the end of Q2 2025 was 498,000, down from 513,000 in Q2 2024, reflecting a measured approach to membership growth [28] - ACO REACH membership in Q2 2025 was 116,000, down from 132,000 in 2024, aligning with expectations [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has reduced its exposure to Medicare Part D, with less than 30% of its membership carrying Part D risk in 2025, and aims to further decrease this as it enters 2026 [35] - The company expects its same geography growth rate to align with the broader industry for 2025 [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on improving contract economics and bid visibility with payers, enhancing its data platform, and reducing variability in its business [36] - The leadership transition aims to drive improved execution and strengthen relationships critical to future success [10][11] - The company is committed to enhancing performance and Agilent's position for sustainable value creation, particularly with the improved Medicare reimbursement model expected to take effect next year [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged that 2025 is a transition year with industry complexities and headwinds that were more acute than previously expected, leading to underperformance [8][9] - The company is optimistic about realizing the benefits of strategic initiatives in 2026, despite current challenges [7][36] Other Important Information - The company has withdrawn its previously issued full-year 2025 financial guidance due to ongoing market uncertainty [35] - The leadership team is recalibrating the organization's culture to emphasize urgency, accountability, and performance [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on potential positive PYD in Q3 and growth rate into 2026 - Management indicated that there was a small amount of favorable development on quality programs, but the most significant pieces of development were unfavorable, particularly related to risk adjustment [40][41][42] Question: Insights on call trends and cost trends - Cost trends for Q1 were around 6%, and Q2 trends were consistent with Q1, but July data was not yet complete [46][47] Question: Commentary on 2026 class and glide path strategy - Management confirmed that growth for 2026 is under review and will be highly selective based on current business performance [59] Question: Insights on bidding for 2026 - Management noted that payers are looking for improved economics as they head into 2026, and negotiations are ongoing [61][62] Question: CEO search criteria - The company is looking for a CEO with multi-market management capability, experience with primary care physicians, and operational rigor [68][69] Question: Quality incentives and their potential impact - Management expects an increase in quality incentive dollars from 2025 to 2026, as payers are more willing to put dollars at risk for higher performance [75][76]
4 Value Stocks to Shield Amid Labor Market and Trade Worries
ZACKS· 2025-08-04 14:42
Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced a significant decline due to escalating trade tensions and disappointing labor data, leading to a broad sell-off on Wall Street [1][10] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 542.40 points (1.23%) to close at 43,588.58, while the S&P 500 decreased by 1.60% to 6,238.01, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 2.24% to 20,650.13 [3] Employment Data - Nonfarm payrolls increased by only 73,000 in July, significantly below consensus expectations, and June's job creation was revised down from 147,000 to just 14,000, indicating a deeper slowdown in the labor market [2] - These labor market developments have raised the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September [2] Investment Opportunities - In the current market environment, value stocks are highlighted as attractive investment options due to their potential safety margin during periods of uncertainty [3][10] - Companies such as CVS Health Corporation (CVS), Integer Holdings Corporation (ITGR), Associated Banc-Corp (ASB), and F.N.B. Corporation (FNB) are noted for their low Price to Cash Flow (P/CF) ratios, indicating strong financial health [4][10] Valuation Metrics - The P/CF ratio is emphasized as a reliable valuation metric, as it reflects a company's cash flow generation relative to its market price, providing a clearer picture of financial health compared to earnings metrics [5][6] - Positive cash flow is crucial for a company's liquidity, enabling it to manage debt, reinvest, and undertake shareholder-friendly actions [7] Stock Selection Criteria - A comprehensive approach to identifying value stocks includes considering multiple metrics such as price-to-book ratio, price-to-earnings ratio, and price-to-sales ratio, alongside a favorable Zacks Rank and Value Score [8][11][12] - Specific parameters for selecting true-value stocks include a P/CF ratio less than or equal to the industry median, a minimum stock price of $5, and a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 [9][13] Company Highlights - CVS Health has a Zacks Rank of 2, with projected sales growth of 3.9% and EPS growth of 14.6% for the current financial year, and shares have increased by 8.1% over the past year [14] - Integer Holdings also holds a Zacks Rank of 2, with expected sales growth of 7.8% and EPS growth of 20.2%, although shares have decreased by 3.4% in the past year [15] - Associated Banc-Corp, with a Zacks Rank of 2, anticipates sales growth of 11.5% and EPS growth of 8.4%, with shares rising by 19.2% in the past year [16] - F.N.B. Corporation, also ranked 2, expects sales growth of 6.2% and EPS growth of 2.2%, with shares increasing by 9.6% over the past year [17]
Should Value Investors Buy Select Medical (SEM) Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-04 14:41
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of value investing and highlights Select Medical (SEM) as a potentially undervalued stock based on various financial metrics [2][7]. Company Metrics - Select Medical (SEM) has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and a Value grade of A, indicating it is a high-quality value stock [3]. - SEM's PEG ratio is 0.71, which is lower than the industry's average PEG of 0.98, suggesting it may be undervalued [4]. - The P/B ratio for SEM is 0.93, significantly lower than the industry's average P/B of 1.68, indicating attractive valuation [5]. - SEM's P/CF ratio stands at 5.16, compared to the industry's average P/CF of 7.06, further supporting the notion of undervaluation [6]. - Over the past year, SEM's PEG has fluctuated between 0.38 and 2.22, with a median of 0.76, while its P/B has ranged from 0.89 to 3.03, with a median of 1.18 [4][5]. - The P/CF ratio for SEM has varied from 4.63 to 10.57, with a median of 5.52, reinforcing its potential as a value stock [6].
UnitedHealth: The More It Drops, The More I'll Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-04 13:53
Core Insights - UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) is facing significant challenges due to adverse medical cost trends impacting its core business [1] - Rising cost pressures have led to a downgrade in the company's outlook [1] Company Summary - UnitedHealth is experiencing difficulties related to increasing medical costs, which are affecting its operational performance [1] - The company has been downgraded by analysts as a result of these rising cost pressures [1]
UnitedHealth's Meta Moment? Bleeding Out Or Just A Bad X-Ray?
Benzinga· 2025-08-04 13:02
Core Insights - UnitedHealth Group Inc. is experiencing a significant stock decline, down 22% in a month and 63% from its all-time highs, yet some analysts see potential for recovery, likening it to a "Meta moment" [1][2] Financial Performance - UnitedHealth's stock has reached a five-year low of $234.60, with a relative strength index (RSI) of 24, indicating oversold conditions, which typically suggests panic rather than fundamental issues [2] - The company generates approximately $400 billion in annual revenue, making it the third-largest by revenue in the U.S., and has a market cap of $215 billion with $25.3 billion in free cash flow, suggesting it is undervalued compared to Meta's previous valuation [2][3] Valuation Comparison - UnitedHealth's current valuation is lower than Meta's at its 2022 low, despite UnitedHealth's significantly higher revenue and free cash flow [3][4] Regulatory Environment - The White House's proposed drug pricing reforms may provide UnitedHealth with a regulatory advantage, potentially unlocking additional free cash flow through Pharmacy Benefit Manager reforms and a 2026 premium reset [5] - Changes to the Medicaid system, including work requirements, are expected to impact healthcare significantly, with 92% of adult Medicaid recipients already employed [6] Growth Potential - Optum Insight, UnitedHealth's AI-driven subsidiary, generated $4.8 billion in revenue last quarter, surpassing Palantir Technologies' annual revenue, yet UnitedHealth's market valuation remains significantly lower [7] - The potential for UnitedHealth to be mispriced in the market is highlighted, as it may be building a foundational operating system for healthcare [7]
Amedisys: Thoughts On UnitedHealth Merger, Plus Underlying Factors
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-04 03:32
Group 1 - The article emphasizes a technical focus on fundamental value drivers of business economics to identify high probability long-term investment opportunities [1] - The company aims to buy securities at prices that are appropriate relative to their intrinsic worth, indicating a value investing strategy [1] - Research covers a wide range of financial markets, including investment securities and futures & options markets, catering to various market participants [1] Group 2 - The analyst discloses no current stock or derivative positions in the companies mentioned, ensuring an unbiased perspective [2] - The article reflects the author's personal opinions and is not influenced by compensation from any company mentioned [2] - Seeking Alpha clarifies that past performance does not guarantee future results, highlighting the importance of individual due diligence [3]