Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Century Aluminum generated $78 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2025, a modest decrease from Q4 2024 primarily due to polar vortex-related weather conditions impacting energy prices and one-time alumina costs [21][22] - Net sales for the quarter were $634 million, reflecting a $3 million increase due to higher metal volume and all-in metal pricing, partially offset by lower third-party alumina sales [23] - Net income was reported at $30 million or $0.29 per share, with adjusted net income at $37 million or $0.36 per share [23][24] - Liquidity increased to $339 million, up nearly $100 million quarter over quarter, and net debt declined by $55 million to $442 million [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - First quarter shipments rose slightly to nearly 169,000 tonnes, an increase of 1% sequentially, with all smelters operating at targeted utilization levels by quarter end [22] - Jamalco produced its highest quarterly volume in Q1 since acquisition in 2023, while Grundartangi returned to full production levels in March [22][14] - Billet orders from Grundartangi were lower than anticipated in Q1 due to demand weakness in the European market, but a small uptick was noted entering Q2 [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Realized LME prices averaged $2,553 per ton in Q1, up $91 per ton from the prior quarter, while the Midwest premium averaged $6.00 per ton, up $165 per ton [26] - Global market is expected to face a deficit of approximately 400,000 tonnes in 2025 as China reaches its production cap [10] - U.S. energy prices have eased since the polar vortex conditions in Q1, with Midwest Indiana hub prices down approximately 15% compared to the last quarter [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on achieving lower production costs through capital improvement programs, particularly at the Jamalco facility [22][18] - Century Aluminum is committed to building a new smelter project, which will be the first new smelter built in the U.S. in fifty years, aiming to double the size of the existing U.S. industry [37] - The company is actively working to secure supply chains in response to recent tariff implementations, aiming to mitigate cost increases [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong demand for aluminum, particularly in the U.S., as customers are nearshoring their supply chains [61] - The company anticipates continued support for higher aluminum prices due to low global inventories and ongoing demand growth [11] - Management remains cautious about market volatility but expects a small deficit in the aluminum market this year, with prices likely to rise in the near to medium future [62][65] Other Important Information - The company plans to complete a major capital improvement program at Jamalco by year-end, which will enhance power generation and lower production costs [18] - A one-time increase in maintenance spending of about $10 million is expected in Q2 due to planned outages at the Sebree facility [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Confirmation on the one-time OpEx cost of $10 million to $15 million in Q2 - Management confirmed that this cost is indeed one-time and should reverse in Q3 [40][41] Question: Clarification on alumina costs being one-time - Management explained that the higher alumina costs were related to timing of vessel sales, with a high-priced vessel sold in Q1 and lower prices expected in Q2 [42] Question: Update on manufacturing credit receivable - Management expects to receive about $60 million of the FY '23 amount in Q2, with the remaining $20 million expected later this year or early next year [44][45] Question: Confirmation on debt reduction as a priority for excess cash - Management confirmed that reducing debt remains the top use of excess cash while continuing existing CapEx programs [50] Question: Update on operations at Jamalco - Management reported that Jamalco is operating well, with plans to introduce a steam generation turbine by year-end to reduce third-party power purchases [53] Question: Expectations on aluminum market and inventory replenishment - Management indicated that they do not foresee a replenishment of inventories and expect aluminum prices to continue rising [65] Question: Key milestones for the new aluminum smelter project - Management highlighted that finalizing power arrangements and site selection are the next key milestones, with significant CapEx expected in 2026 [74]

Financial Performance & Liquidity - Century Aluminum reported Q1 2025 Adjusted EBITDA of $78 million, compared to $81 million in Q4 2024[9] - Net debt decreased to $442 million in Q1 2025 from $497 million in Q4 2024[9, 31] - The company has robust liquidity of $339 million, including $45 million in cash and $294 million in credit facility availability[9, 31] - Q1 2025 net income was $30 million, or $0.29 earnings per share, compared to $45 million, or $0.44 earnings per share in Q4 2024[31] - Q2 2025 Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $80 million and $90 million[37] Operational Highlights - Shipments increased slightly from 166,677 tonnes in Q4 2024 to 168,672 tonnes in Q1 2025[31] - Jamalco refinery achieved its highest quarterly production volume since acquisition, with a continued focus on cost improvements[9] - Grundartangi returned to full production levels in March following a minor power curtailment[9] - Mt Holly experienced emergency energy charges due to a polar vortex impact in South Carolina[9] Market Conditions & Outlook - Global aluminum inventory levels have fallen to only 46 days of consumption[9] - Energy prices increased in Q1 2025 due to the polar vortex in the U S, but Q2 Indy Hub prices are approximately 15% lower quarter-to-date[9] - The company expects to realize a higher Midwest Premium (MWP) moving forward, partially benefiting from the increased Section 232 tariff in Q1[9]

Core Insights - Century Aluminum Company reported a net income attributable to stockholders of $29.7 million for Q1 2025, a decrease of $15.5 million from Q4 2024, primarily due to higher input costs and losses on derivative instruments [4][8] - Adjusted net income for the same period was $36.6 million, down $6.9 million sequentially, influenced by exceptional items including emergency energy charges and unrealized losses on derivatives [4][8] - The company expects Q2 2025 Adjusted EBITDA to range between $80 to $90 million, driven by increased regional premiums and lower energy costs [6] Financial Performance - Net sales for Q1 2025 were $633.9 million, an increase of $3.0 million from Q4 2024, attributed to higher LME aluminum prices and favorable volume and mix [3][8] - Aluminum shipments increased by 1% sequentially to 168,672 tonnes [8] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $78.0 million, a decrease of $2.9 million from the previous quarter, mainly due to higher energy prices and raw material costs [5][8] Operational Highlights - The Midwest premium realized was $602, reflecting a 38% increase from the prior quarter [8] - The company recorded a positive impact of $16.2 million from the increase in Section 232 aluminum tariffs to 25% [8] - Century Aluminum's liquidity position as of March 31, 2025, was $339.1 million, consisting of cash and cash equivalents of $44.9 million and $294.2 million in borrowing availability [5][8] Strategic Developments - A new five-year labor contract was approved for the Grundartangi smelter [8] - The power purchase agreement with ON Power, the largest power provider in Iceland, was extended through Q1 2032 [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The first quarter of 2025 saw comparable diluted earnings per share increase to $0.76 from $0.68 in the first quarter of 2024, representing a 12% increase [13] - Comparable net earnings for the first quarter were $216 million, driven by higher volumes, lower interest expenses, and cost management initiatives [13][15] - The company anticipates a net debt to comparable EBITDA ratio of 2.75 times by the end of 2025 and plans to repurchase at least $1.3 billion worth of shares [16][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In North and Central America, comparable operating earnings increased by 2% due to stronger-than-expected volume performance [13][14] - EMEA segment comparable operating earnings increased by 13%, supported by robust demand trends [14] - South America saw a 25% increase in segment comparable operating earnings, driven by strong volume performance across all markets [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global shipments increased by 2.6% year-over-year in the first quarter of 2025, with volume growth in North America returning despite economic pressures [10] - The company expects global volume growth in the 2% to 3% range for 2025, with mid-single-digit growth anticipated in EMEA [11] - In South America, volume growth is expected to exceed the long-term range of 4% to 6% in 2025 due to recovery in Argentina and Chile [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on achieving 11% to 14% comparable diluted earnings per share growth in 2025 and is confident in its ability to navigate external uncertainties [9][19] - A strategic partnership was formed with Oasis Venture Holdings for the aluminum cup business, indicating a focus on long-term growth potential [12] - The company emphasizes operational excellence, disciplined cost management, and efficiency improvements across its operations [17][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains confident in the ability to manage uncertainties related to tariffs and consumer pressures, particularly in the U.S. [9][19] - The company is optimistic about the demand for aluminum packaging, which continues to outperform other substrates globally [9] - Management highlighted the resilience of the business model, stating that the company typically performs well during economic slowdowns [75] Other Important Information - The company plans to maintain a full-year effective tax rate on comparable earnings slightly above 22% due to lower year-over-year tax credits [17] - Capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to be slightly below depreciation and amortization, in the range of $600 million [16][102] - The company has repurchased $651 million worth of shares year-to-date [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you frame your supply position in Europe and where the next leg of incremental growth will come from? - Management indicated that they have made significant investments in Europe, which allows for scaling up production, and they expect continued growth into 2026 and 2027 [26][28] Question: How are self-improvement initiatives tracking in North America? - Management noted that while they do not expect margin expansion, they are seeing improvements in operational efficiencies, particularly in Europe and South America [30] Question: What is the potential impact of tariffs on demand, particularly regarding beer exposure in Mexico? - Management stated that the impact of tariffs is minimal and that they have not seen significant changes in customer behavior or forecasts [39] Question: How is the promotional environment shaping up in major markets? - Management observed that there has been innovation in the energy segment and a more deliberate effort to price products to drive volume [48][50] Question: Can the company achieve 11% EPS growth if volume falls short due to tariffs? - Management expressed confidence in navigating uncertainties and highlighted the resilience of aluminum packaging during economic downturns [72][75] Question: What are the expectations for margin sustainability in North America? - Management acknowledged that maintaining current margins will be challenging due to affordability pressures from CPG customers [112][114] Question: How is the contracting process for the new Florida facility shaping up? - Management confirmed that the Florida facility has been integrated and is expected to contribute significantly during the peak season [53]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, comparable diluted earnings per share increased to $0.76 from $0.68 in Q1 2024, representing a 12% growth [12] - Comparable net earnings for Q1 2025 were $216 million, driven by higher volumes, lower interest expenses, and cost management initiatives [12][14] - The company anticipates a net debt to comparable EBITDA ratio of 2.75 times by year-end 2025 and plans to repurchase at least $1.3 billion worth of shares in 2025 [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North and Central America saw a 2% increase in comparable operating earnings, driven by stronger-than-expected volume performance, particularly in energy drinks and non-alcoholic beverages [12][13] - EMEA segment volume remained robust, with comparable operating earnings increasing by 13% [13] - South America experienced a 25% increase in segment comparable operating earnings, supported by strong volume performance across all markets [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global shipments increased by 2.6% year-over-year in Q1 2025, with volume growth expected to be in the 2% to 3% range for the year [8][9] - In EMEA, mid-single-digit volume growth is anticipated for 2025, driven by the competitive advantages of aluminum packaging [9] - In South America, recovery in Argentina and Chile, along with growth in Brazil, is expected to drive volume growth above the long-term range of 4% to 6% in 2025 [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on achieving 11% to 14% comparable diluted earnings per share growth in 2025 and generating record adjusted free cash flow [7][19] - A strategic partnership, Oasis Venture Holdings, was formed to enhance the aluminum cup business, indicating a focus on long-term growth potential [10] - The company emphasizes operational excellence, disciplined cost management, and driving efficiency across the organization [17][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains confident in navigating uncertainties related to tariffs and consumer pressures, particularly in the U.S., while sustaining positive momentum [7][19] - The company is optimistic about the resilience of its global portfolio and strong customer alignment, which positions it well to handle potential economic slowdowns [10][19] - Management highlighted the importance of monitoring geopolitical developments and their potential impact on operations [17] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased $651 million worth of shares year-to-date and plans to continue aggressive stock repurchases [15] - The effective tax rate for 2025 is expected to be slightly above 22%, influenced by lower year-over-year tax credits [16] - Capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to be slightly below depreciation and amortization, in the range of $600 million [15][16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you frame your supply position in Europe and the next leg of incremental growth? - Management indicated that they have made significant investments in Europe, which allows for scaling up production, and they expect continued growth into 2026 and 2027 [25][28] Question: How are self-improvement initiatives tracking in North America? - Management noted that while they do not expect margin expansion, they are seeing improvements in Europe and South America due to lean initiatives [30] Question: What is the impact of tariffs on demand, particularly regarding Mexico beer exposure? - Management stated that the impact of tariffs is minimal and they have not seen significant changes in customer behavior or forecasts [36][38] Question: How is the promotional environment shaping up in major markets? - Management observed that there has been innovation in the energy segment and a more deliberate effort to price products to drive volume [46] Question: Can the company achieve 11% EPS growth if volume falls short due to tariffs? - Management expressed confidence in navigating uncertainties and highlighted the resilience of aluminum packaging in a recession [70][74] Question: What are the expectations for margin sustainability in North America? - Management acknowledged that maintaining current margins will be challenging due to affordability concerns among CPG customers [112][114] Question: How is the company adjusting its mix in specialty cans? - Management noted that there is growth in 12-ounce cans and that affordability is a key factor in the current market [115] Question: What are the trends in Latin America and expectations for growth? - Management indicated that Brazil is expected to see 2% to 3% growth, with recovery in Argentina and Chile contributing to overall growth in the region [121][123] Question: How should the market view supply-demand dynamics in Europe? - Management highlighted that Europe presents more growth opportunities than North America due to the shift away from glass packaging [125][128]

Momentum investing is essentially the opposite of the tried-and-tested Wall Street adage -- "buy low and sell high." Investors following this investing style typically avoid betting on cheap stocks and waiting long for them to recover. They believe instead that one could make far more money in lesser time by "buying high and selling higher."Everyone likes betting on fast-moving trending stocks, but it isn't easy to determine the right entry point. These stocks often lose momentum when their future growth po ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market is experiencing volatility, with the S&P 500 declining 0.8% in April, marking its third consecutive monthly drop, while GDP shrank 0.3%, the first decline since early 2022. However, strong consumer spending and a stable job market indicate underlying confidence in the economy [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - In uncertain market conditions, a relative price strength strategy can help investors identify stocks that outperform their peers, thus staying aligned with market momentum [2]. - Stocks that show better performance than their industry or benchmark should be included in investment portfolios, as they are more likely to yield significant returns [4]. - It is essential to assess whether a stock has upside potential, particularly those that have outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 1 to 3 months and possess solid fundamentals [5]. Group 2: Screening Parameters - The screening criteria for identifying potential stocks include positive relative price changes over 12 weeks, 4 weeks, and 1 week, as well as positive current-quarter estimate revisions [7]. - Stocks must have a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), a current price of at least $5, and an average 20-day trading volume of at least 50,000 to ensure adequate liquidity [8]. Group 3: Featured Stocks - **Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)**: Expected earnings growth of 66.1% for 2025, with a market cap of $1.1 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has increased by 35.4% over the past 30 days, although shares have decreased by 29.3% in the past year [10][11]. - **Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM)**: Anticipated earnings growth of 30.7% for 2025, with shares rising 131.9% in the past year. The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of approximately 16.5% [12][13]. - **BGC Group, Inc. (BGC)**: Projected EPS growth rate of 23.2% year-over-year for 2025, with a favorable expected growth rate of 24.7% over the next three to five years compared to the industry average of 13.8%. Shares have gained 7% in the past year [14][15]. - **ODDITY Tech Ltd. (ODD)**: Expected earnings growth of 3.1% for 2025, with shares increasing by 95.8% in the past year. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of about 32.8% [16][17].

Growth investors focus on stocks that are seeing above-average financial growth, as this feature helps these securities garner the market's attention and deliver solid returns. But finding a great growth stock is not easy at all.In addition to volatility, these stocks carry above-average risk by their very nature. Also, one could end up losing from a stock whose growth story is actually over or nearing its end.However, the Zacks Growth Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which looks beyond ...

Constellium (CSTM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 30, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Jason Hershiser - Director of Investor RelationsJean-Marc Germain - Chief Executive OfficerJack Guo - SVP & CFO Conference Call Participants Katja Jancic - AnalystCorinne Blanchard - AnalystBill Peterson - AnalystJosh Sullivan - MD & Senior Equity Research Analyst Operator Good morning or good afternoon, all, and welcome to the Constellium First Quarter twenty twenty five Results Call. My name is Adam, and I'll be your ...

Constellium (CSTM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 30, 2025 10:00 AM ET Speaker0 Good morning or good afternoon, all, and welcome to the Constellium First Quarter twenty twenty five Results Call. My name is Adam, and I'll be your operator today. I will now hand over to Jason Hirschweizer, Director of Investor Relations, begin. So Jason, please go ahead. Speaker1 Thank you, Adam. I would like to welcome everyone to our first quarter twenty twenty five earnings call. On the call today, we have our Chief Executive ...