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公募基金指数跟踪周报(2026.01.19-2026.01.23):“春季躁动”行情分化,逐步切换至绩优方向-20260126
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 11:42
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the equity market last week (2026.01.19 - 2026.01.23), under the environment of continuous regulatory policy suppression and abundant liquidity, the market structure was highly differentiated. Weight - stocks in consumption, medicine, and finance declined significantly due to large - scale ETF redemptions by policy funds, while the growth direction was active, and the commercial space sector regained strength after adjustment. As the earnings period begins, the market may rotate towards profit recovery and valuation repair. With the in - depth implementation of anti - involution policies, the investment growth rates of various industries have turned negative, implying future supply contraction, while demand stabilizes under the background of fiscal stimulus and economic recovery. This shift in the supply - demand contradiction consolidates the performance inflection points of leading companies in cyclical sectors such as non - ferrous metals and chemicals, and also drives the rise of sectors with price - increase logic like photovoltaics, lithium batteries, and coal [2][10][12]. - In the fixed - income market last week, short - term bond yields rose, and long - term yields fell. The 1 - year Treasury yield rose 3.95BP to 1.28%, the 10 - year Treasury yield fell 1.26BP to 1.83%, and the 30 - year Treasury yield fell 1.65BP to 2.29%, narrowing the term spread. Some funds entered the bond market for safety as the stock market cooled. The central bank governor's statement about potential reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts, along with positive news from the Ministry of Finance and good 7 - year Treasury bond issuance results, contributed to the narrowing of the term spread and the decline of long - term interest rates. There is support for the bond market sentiment, and there are opportunities to capture band trading in ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds [3][13]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Market Observation 3.1.1 Equity Market Review and Observation - Index performance: Last week, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.84%, the CSI 300 fell 0.62%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.34%. The average daily trading volume of the entire A - share market was 27,972 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous week [10]. - ETF funds: Overall, ETF funds showed a net outflow trend last week. The CSI 300ETF had the most significant share reduction, with 49.603 billion shares less in the past week. The CSI 1000, SSE 50, SSE STAR 50, and CSI A500 also had share reductions of 23.3 billion, 11.5 billion, 9.6 billion, and 7.9 billion respectively. Since January 15, patient funds have continuously redeemed a basket of ETFs, and during this period, some individual stocks with high weight in the index and actively priced by funds performed better. The market trading volume has shrunk from around 4 trillion to around 2.5 trillion, indicating that policy goals have achieved some results. Future market - overheating adjustment methods may focus on cracking down on hot money, relaxing IPOs, and executive share - sales, and the impact of ETF redemptions on the market may weaken marginally [11]. - External factors: The latest US economic data remains resilient, and the November PCE inflation data is in line with market expectations, with no obvious signs of inflation rebound. This week, the Federal Reserve will hold an interest - rate meeting, and the market will focus on the meeting and the earnings reports of large technology companies, especially on performance guidance and the sustainability of profit realization under high valuations. Overseas geopolitical conflicts are also an important short - term uncertainty factor, and market risk - aversion sentiment will remain before the situation in Iran is resolved [11]. 3.1.2 Pan - Fixed - Income Market Review and Observation - Domestic bond market: Last week, short - term bond yields in the domestic bond market rose, and long - term yields fell, narrowing the term spread. The 1 - year Treasury yield rose 3.95BP to 1.28%, the 10 - year Treasury yield fell 1.26BP to 1.83%, and the 30 - year Treasury yield fell 1.65BP to 2.29%. Some funds entered the bond market for safety as the stock market cooled. Positive factors such as the central bank governor's statement on potential reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts, the Ministry of Finance's press conference, and good 7 - year Treasury bond issuance results contributed to the narrowing of the term spread and the decline of long - term interest rates. There is support for the bond market sentiment, and there are opportunities to capture band trading in ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds [3][13]. - US Treasury yields: Last week, US Treasury yields fluctuated. The 1 - year US Treasury yield fell 2BP to 3.53%, the 2 - year yield rose 1BP to 3.60%, and the 10 - year yield remained flat at 4.24%. Trump's remarks about Greenland led to European selling of US Treasuries and a rise in yields, but his subsequent attitude reversed the trend. US Treasuries will likely continue to fluctuate in the future, with increased unpredictability [14]. - REITs: Last week, the CSI REITs Total Return Index rose 2.17% to 1047.51 points, and all types of REITs closed higher, with data centers, consumption, and warehousing leading the gains. In the primary market, 5 public REITs withdrew or terminated, including 4 initial projects and 1 expansion project [14][15]. 3.1.3 Public Fund Market Dynamics On January 23, 2026, the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued the "Guidelines for the Performance Comparison Benchmark of Publicly Offered Securities Investment Funds," and the Asset Management Association of China issued the "Operation Rules for the Performance Comparison Benchmark of Publicly Offered Securities Investment Funds." The official versions are generally consistent with the draft versions, with some adjustments including clarifying restrictions on benchmark changes, exempting money - market funds from disclosing performance - benchmark comparisons, and modifying the requirements for long - term performance evaluation by fund evaluation institutions [16]. 3.2 Fund Index Performance Tracking 3.2.1 Equity Strategy Theme - Based Index - Active Stock Fund Selection Index: The index selects 15 funds each period, with equal - weight allocation. It selects active equity funds based on performance competitiveness and style stability within value, balanced, and growth styles, and allocates them according to the style distribution of the CSI Equity - Oriented Fund Index (930950.CSI). The performance benchmark is the CSI Equity - Oriented Fund Index (930950.CSI) [20][21]. 3.2.2 Investment Style - Based Index - Value Stock Fund Selection Index: It includes both deep - value and quality - value styles. It selects 10 funds of deep - value, quality - value, and balanced - value styles based on multi - period style classification. The performance benchmark is the CSI 800 Value Index (H30356.CSI) [24]. - Balanced Stock Fund Selection Index: It selects 10 funds of relatively balanced and value - growth styles based on multi - period style classification. The performance benchmark is the CSI 800 (000906.SH) [24]. - Growth Stock Fund Selection Index: It aims to capture the performance and valuation double - click opportunities of high - growth companies and select "dark - horse" stocks. It selects 10 funds of active - growth, quality - growth, and balanced - growth styles based on multi - period style classification. The performance benchmark is the 800 Growth (H30355.CSI) [27]. 3.2.3 Industry Theme - Based Index - Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Selection Index: It classifies funds according to the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of the CITIC Pharmaceutical Index (with an average purity of not less than 60% in the past 3 years or since inception). It constructs an evaluation system in the eligible sample, considering factors such as relative benchmark index win - rate, product drawdown, style stability, and overall performance competitiveness, and selects 15 funds to form the index. The performance benchmark is the pharmaceutical theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities' fund research and investment platform) [30][31]. - Consumption Stock Fund Selection Index: It classifies funds according to the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of relevant CITIC consumption - related indices (with an average purity of not less than 50% in the past 3 years or since inception). It constructs an evaluation system in the eligible sample and selects 10 funds to form the index. The performance benchmark is the consumption theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities' fund research and investment platform) [31][32]. - Technology Stock Fund Selection Index: It classifies funds according to the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of relevant CITIC technology - related indices (with an average purity of not less than 60% in the past 3 years or since inception). It constructs an evaluation system in the eligible sample and selects 10 funds to form the index. The performance benchmark is the technology theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities' fund research and investment platform) [35]. - High - End Manufacturing Stock Fund Selection Index: It classifies funds according to the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of relevant CITIC high - end manufacturing - related indices (with an average purity of not less than 50% in the past 3 years or since inception). It constructs an evaluation system in the eligible sample and selects 10 funds to form the index. The performance benchmark is the high - end manufacturing theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities' fund research and investment platform) [40][41]. - Cyclical Stock Fund Selection Index: It classifies funds according to the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of relevant CITIC cyclical - related indices (with an average purity of not less than 50% in the past 3 years or since inception). It constructs an evaluation system in the eligible sample and selects 5 funds to form the index. The performance benchmark is the cyclical theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities' fund research and investment platform) [43][44]. 3.2.4 Money - Market Enhancement Index - Money - Market Enhancement Strategy Index: It aims at liquidity management, pursuing a curve that exceeds money - market funds and is smooth and upward. It mainly allocates money - market funds with relatively good performance and passive index - bond funds (inter - bank certificate of deposit index funds). The performance benchmark is the CSI Money - Market Fund Index (H11025.CSI) [47]. 3.2.5 Pure - Bond Index - Short - Term Bond Fund Selection Index: It aims at liquidity management, pursuing a smooth and upward curve while controlling drawdown. It mainly allocates 5 funds with stable long - term returns, strict drawdown control, and significant absolute - return ability. The performance benchmark is 50% * Short - Term Pure - Bond Fund Index + 50% * Ordinary Money - Market Fund Index [50]. - Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Selection Index: It invests in medium - and long - term pure - bond funds, aiming for stable returns while controlling drawdown. It selects 5 funds with both return and drawdown control, and adjusts the duration and the ratio of credit - bond funds and interest - rate bond funds according to market conditions. The performance benchmark is not clearly stated in a simple formula in the text [52]. 3.2.6 Fixed - Income + Index - Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index: The equity center is set at 10%. It selects 10 fixed - income + funds with an equity center (considering convertible bond and stock positions) of less than 15% in the past three years and recently. It focuses on the risk - return ratio and holding experience. The performance benchmark is 10% CSI 800 Index + 90% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [55]. - Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index: The equity center is set at 20%. It selects 5 fixed - income + funds with an equity center between 15% and 25% in the past three years and recently, emphasizing the risk - return ratio and performance elasticity. The performance benchmark is 20% CSI 800 Index + 80% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [58]. - High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index: The equity center is set at 30%. It selects 5 fixed - income + funds with an equity center between 25% and 35% in the past three years and recently, emphasizing the risk - return ratio and performance elasticity. It selects funds with stable bond - end returns, no credit - downgrading, and strong stock - selection ability on the equity end. The performance benchmark is 30% CSI 800 Index + 70% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [61]. 3.2.7 Other Pan - Fixed - Income Index - Convertible Bond Fund Selection Index: It selects bond funds with an average convertible - bond investment proportion of not less than 60% in the latest period and not less than 80% in the past four quarters as the sample space. It constructs an evaluation system from the fund product, fund manager, and fund company dimensions, considering factors such as long - and short - term returns, drawdown, risk - adjusted returns, and the manager's timing and bond - selection abilities, and selects 5 funds to form the index [64]. - QDII Bond Fund Selection Index: It selects 6 QDII bond funds with stable returns and good risk control based on credit and duration conditions. The underlying assets of QDII bond funds are overseas bonds, covering regions such as the world, Asia, and emerging markets, and investment targets include Chinese - funded US dollar bonds and US dollar bonds [67]. - REITs Fund Selection Index: It selects 10 REITs funds with stable operation, reasonable valuation, and certain elasticity based on the underlying asset type. The underlying assets of REITs are mainly mature, high - quality, and stable - operating infrastructure projects, with relatively clear cash - flow expectations and limited unit - net - value volatility [68].
房地产开发行业周报:C-REITs周报——四季报业绩分化,消费REITs保持较高稳定性
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 12:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5] Core Insights - The C-REITs market has shown resilience, particularly in the consumer REITs segment, which has maintained strong operational metrics despite market fluctuations [3][13] - The overall market capitalization of listed REITs is approximately 228.02 billion, with an average market value of about 2.9 billion per REIT [12] - The report highlights three main investment strategies: focusing on high-quality undervalued projects, recognizing the market's acceptance of weak-cycle assets like affordable housing, and monitoring the expansion of REITs alongside new issuances [3] REITs Index Performance - The CSI REITs total return index increased by 2.17% this week, closing at 1047.5 points, while the CSI REITs index rose by 2.09% to 806.7 points [10][11] - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs total return index has risen by 3.73% [10] Secondary Market Performance - The secondary market for C-REITs has shown an overall upward trend, with a weekly average increase of 2.63% and 68 out of 78 listed REITs experiencing price increases [12] - The data center and municipal water sectors have performed particularly well, while energy and transportation infrastructure REITs have seen smaller gains [12] REITs Valuation Performance - The internal rate of return (IRR) for listed REITs has shown significant differentiation, with the top three being Guangzhou Guanghe REIT (10.8%), China Communications Construction REIT (9.4%), and Guangkai Industrial Park REIT (8.6%) [3] - Price-to-NAV ratios range from 0.7 to 1.9, with the highest being Anbo Warehousing REIT (1.9) and Wumart Consumer REIT (1.8) [3]
C-REITs周报:四季报业绩分化,消费REITs保持较高稳定性-20260125
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 11:19
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 01 25 年 月 日 房地产开发 C-REITs 周报——四季报业绩分化,消费 REITs 保持较高稳定性 REITs 指数表现 本周中证 REITs 全收益指数上涨 2.17%。截至 1.23,本周(1.16-1.23, 下同)中证 REITs(收盘)指数上涨 2.09%,收于 806.7 点;中证 REITs 全 收益指数上涨 2.17%,收于 1047.5 点。本周沪深 300/恒生/中债十年期 国债/房地产(申万)/恒生地产建筑业/高速公路(申万)指数分别下跌 0.62%/下跌 0.36%/上涨 0.18%/上涨 5.21%/上涨 1.34%/上涨 0.87%。 本年中证 REITs 全收益指数涨幅为 3.73%截至 。1.23,本年中证 REITs(收盘)指数+3.61%,中证 REITs 全收益指数+3.73%。本年沪深 300/ 恒生/中债十年期国债/房地产(申万)/恒生地产建筑业/高速公路(申万)指 数分别+1.57%/+4.37%/+0.47%/+6.66%/+8.56%/-1.22%。 C-REITs 二级市场表现 本周 C ...
REIT策略周报:快速上行,行稳致远-20260125
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 05:44
REIT 策略周报 本报告导读: 维持看多趋势不变,但部分项目存在追高风险,可待回调后参与或挖掘潜在涨幅空 间更充裕的项目。 快速上行,行稳致远 [Table_Authors] 刘玉(分析师) 投资要点: | | 021-38038263 | | --- | --- | | | liuyu6@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880523050002 | | | 汤志宇(分析师) | | | 021-38031036 | | | 021-38031036 | | --- | --- | | | tangzhiyu@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525070031 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 再谈动量因子 U 型特征 2026.01.24 久期热度回升,配置强于交易 2026.01.22 稳中待变:美联储降息延后下中久期配置正当时 2026.01.21 二永债:利差修复扩散至中长端可期 2026.01.20 关注 30Y 国债借入量大超季节性 2026.01.20 证 券 研 究 报 告 券 研 究 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 债 市 场 策 略 周 报 债券 ...
REITs 周度观察(20260119-20260123):REITs 二级市场价格上涨,多个项目状态更新至中止-20260124
EBSCN· 2026-01-24 14:11
2026 年 1 月 24 日 总量研究 REITs 二级市场价格上涨 ,多个项目状态更新至"中止" ——REITs 周度观察(20260119-20260123) 要点 1、 二级市场 2026 年 1 月 19 日-2026 年 1 月 23 日(以下简称"本周"),我国已上市公募 REITs 二级市场价格整体呈现上行趋势:中证 REITs(收盘)和中证 REITs 全收 益指数分别收于 806.72 和 1047.51,本周回报率分别为 2.09%和 2.17%。与其 他主流大类资产相比,回报率由高至低排序分别为:黄金>可转债> REITs >A 股> 原油>纯债>美股。 从项目属性来看,本周产权类和特许经营权类 REITs 的二级市场价格均有所上 涨,其中,产权类 REITs 回报率为 3.05%,特许经营权类 REITs 回报率为 1.63%。 从底层资产类型来看,本周新型基础设施类 REITs 涨幅最大。本周回报率排名前 三的底层资产类型分别为新型基础设施类、市政设施类和消费类。 从单只 REIT 层面来看,有 68 只 REITs 上涨,有 10 只 REITs 下跌。涨跌幅方面, 涨幅排名前三 ...
Full Portfolio Review: 5%+ Yield And 5%+ Dividend Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-24 13:15
If you want access to our entire Portfolio and all our current Top Picks, feel free to join us for a 2-week free trial at High Yield Landlord.I want to do something I have never done before on Seeking Alpha: a full review of my investment portfolio.Austin Rogers is a REIT specialist with a professional background in commercial real estate. He writes about high-quality dividend growth stocks with the goal of generating the safest growing passive income stream possible. Since his ideal holding period is "life ...
Why REITs Beat Rental Properties In 2026
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-24 12:45
Group 1 - The company invests significant resources, including thousands of hours and over $100,000 annually, to identify profitable investment opportunities, resulting in over 500 five-star reviews from satisfied members [1] - The company has recently released its Top Picks for 2026, offering new members a promotional discount of $100 along with a 30-day money-back guarantee [1] Group 2 - Real estate has historically provided some of the best long-term returns among asset classes, despite being perceived as less exciting than tech stocks or cryptocurrencies [2] - Jussi Askola, the President of Leonberg Capital, leads the investing group High Yield Landlord, which focuses on REIT investing and provides real-time updates on portfolio transactions [2] - The group offers three distinct portfolios (core, retirement, international), buy/sell alerts, and a chat room for direct interaction with Jussi and his team of analysts [2]
公募REITs周度跟踪(2026.01.19-2026.01.23):四季报出炉,5单REITs申报终止-20260124
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-01-24 11:02
2026 年 01 月 24 日 四季报出炉,5 单 REITs 申报终止 公募 REITs 周度跟踪(2026.01.19-2026.01.23) 相关研究 《运营整体向好,板块内部分化— 公募 REITs 周度眼踪 2026.01.12-2026.01.16) 》 2026/01/17 三单项目集中获问 《市场开门红, 公募 REITs 周度跟踪 (2026.01.05-2026.01.09) 》 2026/01/10 《商业不动产 REITs 正式落地,哪 些变化? ——公募 REITs 周度跟踪 些变化? - (2025.12.29-2025.12.31) 》 2026/01/04 证券分析师 黄伟平 A0230524110002 huangwp@swsresearch.com 杨雪芳 A0230524120003 yangxf@swsresearch.com 研究支持 曹璇 A0230125070001 caoxuan@swsresearch.com 联系人 曹璇 A0230125070001 caoxuan@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务 | 1.一级市场:本周无新增首发和扩 ...
Blackstone's BREIT: Private Equity Outperformance Is Not What It Appears
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-22 22:30
Core Viewpoint - Blackstone's BREIT claims an 8.1% return in 2025, significantly outperforming public REITs, which had modest returns, with the Vanguard REIT ETF (VNQ) returning 4.17% including dividends [1][3]. Performance Comparison - Blackstone attributes its outperformance to superior asset selection, claiming a 70% outperformance over public REITs, which is a relative measure rather than an absolute one [3][4]. - The total return for public REITs is calculated based on market prices and dividends, while BREIT's return is based on internal evaluations of net asset value (NAV), making direct comparisons challenging [6][9]. Sector Performance - BREIT's portfolio includes significant exposure to rental housing, industrial, and data centers, with industrial being the standout performer in 2025, up about 17% [13][18]. - Single-family rentals and multifamily apartments faced challenges due to increased supply, leading to declines in major players like American Homes 4 Rent and Camden [14][16]. - Data centers, comprising 21% of BREIT's portfolio, suffered despite strong fundamentals, with major companies like Equinix and Digital Realty experiencing significant drops in stock prices [19][20]. Market Dynamics - Publicly traded REITs are trading at a substantial discount to NAV, with the median REIT trading at 83% of NAV, indicating that BREIT's reported outperformance may be more about the relative decline of public REITs than actual superior performance [27][28]. - The article suggests that both BREIT and public REITs performed reasonably well fundamentally, but the difference in reported returns is due to differing methodologies [29]. Investment Considerations - BREIT is currently trading at a premium to public REITs, which may position it for underperformance in the future [35]. - Investors are encouraged to consider redeeming shares of BREIT at NAV and reinvesting in public REITs, which may offer more attractive valuations [37].
BWG: Heavy Leverage Use Limits Appeal
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-22 10:20
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of a hybrid investment strategy that combines classic dividend growth stocks with Business Development Companies, REITs, and Closed End Funds to enhance investment income while achieving total returns comparable to traditional index funds [1]. Investment Strategy - The company advocates for a diversified approach to investing, suggesting that a solid base of dividend growth stocks can be effectively supplemented with other asset types to maximize income potential [1]. - The strategy aims to achieve a total return that aligns with the performance of the S&P index, indicating a balanced focus on both growth and income [1].