Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral investment rating for the U.S. stock market [1] Core Insights - The S&P 500 index reached a historical high, with a weekly increase of 3.4% and the Nasdaq rising by 4.2% [3] - Among 20 industries, 16 experienced gains, with notable increases in semiconductor products and equipment (+8.4%), durable goods and apparel (+8.3%), and media and entertainment (+6.6%) [3] - The report highlights significant capital inflows into the S&P 500, estimating a net inflow of $18.17 billion this week, compared to $14.66 billion in the previous week [4][19] - Earnings expectations for the S&P 500 components were adjusted upward by 0.3%, with semiconductor products and equipment leading the upward revisions (+1.3%) [5] Summary by Sections Price Trends - The S&P 500 index increased by 3.4%, while the Nasdaq rose by 4.2% this week [3] - The leading sectors included semiconductor products and equipment (+8.4%) and durable goods and apparel (+8.3%), while the energy sector saw a decline of 3.4% [3] Capital Flows - The estimated capital inflow for S&P 500 components was $18.17 billion this week, a significant increase from $14.66 billion the previous week [4][19] - The semiconductor products and equipment sector attracted the highest inflow of $5.77 billion, followed by information technology with $5.36 billion [19] Earnings Forecast - The dynamic F12M EPS expectations for S&P 500 components were raised by 0.3%, with semiconductor products and equipment seeing the largest increase of 1.3% [5] - Four industries had downward revisions, with durable goods and apparel experiencing a decrease of 1.0% [5]

走进位于山东省潍坊市临朐县蒋峪镇的山东春冠食品有限公司鹅肥肝加工车间，穿戴整洁的工人们正熟练地进行鹅肥肝制品分拣、装袋。 "我们研发生产的红酒蓝莓鹅肝、冰激凌鹅肝等新产品，不仅热销北上广深和港澳，还出口欧洲、东南亚多个国家，去年公司鹅肝产量1600多 吨，销售收入近4亿元。"山东春冠食品有限公司总经理马立君说，公司通过成立合作社，带动了6家养殖场、78家家庭农场共同致富。 山东春冠食品有限公司工人们对鹅肥肝制品进行分拣、装袋。（受访者供图） 地处沂蒙山区的临朐县，是我国重要的朗德鹅养殖基地，目前年出栏朗德鹅500万只，年鹅肝产量达5000余吨，占国内市场的70%、世界市场 的20%，年产值达80多亿元。 小鹅肝如何在临朐这个小县城拓出产业富民的"新赛道"？临朐县农业农村局局长魏淑娟说，朗德鹅原产于法国朗德省，朗德鹅肝以其质地细 腻、口味鲜美著称。临朐县山水资源丰富，与法国朗德省有着相似的气候条件，适合朗德鹅生长。 近年来，临朐县还积极与中国农科院、中国海洋大学、江南大学等高校院所合作，进行朗德鹅本土改良育种。同时，加大政策引导，助力一批 龙头企业发展壮大，目前全县鹅肝相关企业发展到105家，从业人数达6000 ...

股价表现：大盘显著上涨，金融与科技领先 证券研究报告 | 2025年06月29日 港股市场速览 优于大市 资金大量流入，金融与科技领先 盈利预测：总体平稳上修，行业分化加深 本周，港股通总体法 EPS 预期上修 0.3%，上周上修 0.1%。 结构上，20 个行业 EPS 预期上修，8 个行业 EPS 预期下修，1 个基本持平。 上修的行业主要有：电力设备及新能源（+3.7%）、医药（+1.7%）、电子（+1.6%）、 有色金属（+1.4%）、传媒（+1.0%）；下修的行业主要有：国防军工（-7.4%）、 钢铁（-3.5%）、轻工制造（-2.4%）、建材（-0.9%）、商贸零售（-0.2%）。 风险提示：经济基本面的不确定性，国际政治局势的不确定性，美国财政政 策的不确定性，美联储货币政策的不确定性。 核心观点 行业研究·海外市场专题 本周，恒生指数涨 3.2%，恒生科技涨 4.1%。风格方面，小盘（恒生小型股 +4.5%）＞中盘（恒生中型股+4.1%）＞大盘（恒生大型股+2.9%）。 概念指数均有所上涨，表现领先的有：恒生金融（+4.0%）、恒生互联网 （+3.9%）、恒生香港 35（+3.8%）。 港股通 ...

土地供应方面，截至2025年6月25日，本月土地供应建筑面积本月供应建筑面积5253万平方米，环比上 月同期增加9%。同比下降12.2%，仍延续缩量趋势。受季节性因素影响，随着各地重点建设项目供应的 增加，年中土地供应规模环比上升，但同比来看仍延续缩量，助力行业库存持续下降。 01 供求 交易量季节性环比量增 同比仍延续缩量降库存 智通财经APP获悉，克而瑞地产研究发文称，2025年6月，土地市场成交规模迎来周期性环比增长。据 月末快报数据，土地成交建面和金额分别环比增长54%和89%，同比来看延续缩量提质，建面下降、金 额上升的趋势不变。截至6月25日，本月供应建筑面积5253万平方米，环比上月同期增加9%，年中供应 规模略有上升。本月平均溢价率4.2%，二季度以来连续3个月环比回落，主要是由于时至年中，各地重 点建设项目成交比例增加，这些地块大多投资总量高、开发难度较大，多为低溢价成交，如北京即于月 内成交了多宗棚改、回购地块。 月内中央明确将更大力度推动房地产止跌回稳，并如期下达了投资城市更新专项资金，随着各地土地要 素使用效率的提高，土地市场有望迎来更多高质量宅地供应。 至截稿时，一线城市中仅上海、深 ...

机构：申万宏源研究 研究员：杨海晏/戴文杰 智能化配置：芯片方面，全系搭载高通骁龙8Gen3 座舱芯片、英伟达Thor 智驾芯片（算力 700TOPS），对比小鹏G7（图灵AI 芯片+高通8295P、2200TOPS）、Model Y（AI4+AMDRyzen， 720TOPS），芯片算力相当。智驾硬件方面，全系标配禾赛AT128激光雷达、1 颗4D 毫米波雷达，实现 城市NOA。 AI 眼镜主打"时尚+科技"，镜片最高支持紫、蓝、粉、灰4 彩变色。镜框仅重40g。标准版、单色电致 变色、彩色电致变色版分别定价 1,999/2,699/2,999 元。其中彩色版支持紫、蓝、粉、灰4 色变色。硬件 配置：处理平台为高通骁龙AR1 Gen1+低功耗蓝牙音频处理器双芯架构，兼顾高性能+长续航。续航能 力略超预期，21h 待机续航、8.6h 典型续航、支持Type-C 边用边充。传感器包括IMX681 12MP 摄像 头，支持2K@30fps 视频录制；以及双扬声器+5 麦克风阵列+鼻托骨传导拾音。软件功能：AI 交互功能 齐全，基于小爱同学，支持随身百科、会议摘要、10 种语言同声传译、中英识别翻译。生态方面突出 ...

上调目标价至67 港元。我们认为，小米汽车产能或为之后影响其汽车业务收入的关键因素。我们预测 小米二期之后的新工厂（三期）或将在2026 下半年开始贡献产能，三个工厂在2026 年分别提供 30/30/10 万辆的产量。基于这个假设，我们上调小米汽车2025/26 年销量至40.0/70.0 万辆（前值 39.5/58.2 万辆）。分车型看，我们预测YU7 系列在2026 年贡献SU7 系列两倍以上销量。我们上调 2026/27 年收入预测至6,462/7,785 亿元（前值6,159/7,128 亿元），上调2026 年经调整EPS 至2.17 元（前 值2.14元）。基于2026 年手机x AIoT 26 倍（维持前值不变）市盈率和汽车业务2.2 倍（前值2 倍）市销 率，综合汇率因素，我们上调目标价到67 港元，维持买入评级。 机构：交银国际 研究员：童钰枫/王大卫 2025 年6 月26 日晚，小米召开人车家全生态发布会，会上正式发布了小米YU7、小米MIX Flip2、小米 AI 眼镜等产品。我们上调小米汽车2025/26 年销量预测，并上调目标价至67 港元，维持买入评级。 豪华高性能小米YU7 ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's recent product launch of the YU7 SUV has generated nearly 300,000 orders within one hour, significantly surpassing market expectations, which is expected to enhance earnings consensus and support valuation multiple expansion for the company [1] Group 1: YU7 SUV - The YU7 SUV received over 289,000 confirmed orders in the first hour of its launch, exceeding market expectations against the in-line MSRP [1] - The initial order backlog may face challenges from scalping, and production capacity constraints are anticipated to limit sales growth over the next year, with a maximum delivery estimate of 1 million units by 2026 [1] - The order frenzy for the YU7 is expected to benefit Li Auto with its upcoming i-series BEV models and Xiaomi's supply chain, including its exclusive LIDAR supplier [1] Group 2: AI Glasses - Xiaomi's AI glasses, comparable to Meta-Rayban products but with superior specifications, are expected to succeed in the Chinese market due to limited competition within Xiaomi's ecosystem [1] - The single-color electrochromic version of the AI glasses sold out within half an hour of launch [1] Group 3: MIX Flip2 Smartphone - The MIX Flip2, Xiaomi's latest compact foldable flagship smartphone, features significant upgrades in design, performance, battery life, and imaging systems, with a starting price of RMB 5,999 [2] - The MIX Flip2 is anticipated to become a key player in the 2025 compact foldable smartphone market [2] Group 4: Valuation - Xiaomi is reiterated as a top BUY due to its strong EV growth, progress in smartphone and IoT products, and exposure to AI, AR glasses, and robotics [3] - The target price of HK$75.25 is based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation, combining a 21x 2026E P/E for traditional business and a 4x 2026E P/S for the EV business [3]

简评 机构：中信建投证券 研究员：崔世峰 核心观点 6 月26 日，小米召开人车家发布会，发布了小米YU7、首款AI 眼镜、MIX Flip2 小折叠等一系列产品。 核心亮点在于： 1） YU7 大爆：YU7 定价标准版/Pro 版/Max 版分别为25.35/27.9 9 /32.99 万元，基本贴合前期市场预 期，上线3 分钟大定突破2 0万台，一小时突破28.9 万台，18 小时锁单超24 万台， 相比su7 4 分钟大定 突破1 万&27 分钟大定破5 万&24 小时破8.8万表现明显强劲。 2） 首款AI 眼镜：小米AI 眼镜集第一人称相机+耳机+随身AI 助手为一体，标准版/单色电致变色版/彩 色电致变色版售价分别为1999/2699/2999 元，对标竞品Ray-Ban Meta AI 眼镜（定价299 美元）优势在 于：更轻、续航更长、配置超级小爱。 YU7 上线3 分钟大定突破20 万台，1 小时突破28.9 万台，1 8小时锁单超24 万台，相比SU7 4 分钟大定 突破1 万&27 分钟大定破5 万&24 小时破8.8 万表现明显强劲， 并且大幅超出此前市场预期，按照现有 大定&锁单，推 ...

Core Insights - Xiaomi hosted its "Human x Car x Home" ecosystem launch event on June 26, unveiling three key products: Xiaomi YU7, foldable phone MIX Flip 2, and Xiaomi AI glasses, indicating a significant expansion in its automotive ambitions and premium consumer technology execution [1][2] Group 1: Xiaomi YU7 - The starting price of Xiaomi YU7 is RMB 253.5k, which is largely in line with market expectations, and it achieved 289k preorders within the first hour, significantly exceeding the 89k preorders of SU7 in the first 24 hours [1][2] - YU7 models (Standard/Pro/Max) feature an extended range, with the Standard model offering 835km and the Max model achieving 0-100 km/h in 3.23 seconds, positioning YU7 among top-tier electric SUVs [2] - The pricing strategy for YU7 is competitive against brands like Tesla Model Y and Li L series, with expectations of positive market reaction and potential upside to the estimated 360k EV shipments in FY25E [2] Group 2: Xiaomi AI Glasses - Xiaomi's AI glasses feature a D-shaped frame, a 12MP camera, and Qualcomm's AR1 SoC, powered by HyperAI LLM, marking a step into next-gen personal AI [3] - The battery capacity of Xiaomi AI glasses is 64% higher than that of Meta AI glasses, and the integration of XiaoAI enables real-time translation, AI summarization, and IoT control [3] - The expected price range of RMB 1,999-2,999 aligns with market expectations, reinforcing Xiaomi's AI ecosystem strategy [3] Group 3: Other Product Launches - Xiaomi also released the second-generation foldable smartphone MIX Flip 2, along with REDMI K80, Pad 7S Pro 12.5, Watch S4 41mm, Smart Band 10, and open earphones Pro [4] - In the smart home category, new products include a high-speed hair dryer Pro, Vacuum-Mop M40 S, wireless floor scrubber 4 Max, and Mi home air conditioner Pro [4] - The company reiterates a BUY rating with a target price of HK$65.91 [4]

机构：东方证券 研究员：韩潇锐/蒯剑/薛宏伟 小米推出多款手机、平板、可穿戴及家电新品，人车家全生态进一步强化。在手机、平板等产品方面， 小米发布MIXFlip2、小米平板7S Pro 等新品；在可穿戴方面，小米发布小米手环10、开放式耳机Pro 等 产品；在家电领域，小米推出空调、吹风机、扫地机器人、洗地机等新品。小米持续构造人车家全生 态，未来有望继续在手机、IoT 等业务上丰富产品体系、提升产品力，持续拓宽自身成长空间。 我们预测公司25-27 年每股收益分别为1.35/1.82/2.27 元，维持可比公司26 年38 倍PE 估值，对应目标价 为75.95 港币（人民币港币汇率采用1：1.096），维持买入评级。 风险提示 手机销量不及预期，汽车业务不及预期，AI 落地不及预期。 小米YU7 兼具高性能与高性价比，有望推动汽车业务加速成长。续航及性能方面，小米YU7 标准版的 CLTC 续航达835km，配备800V 高压平台及96.3kWh 电池，最高时速达240km/h；辅助驾驶能力方面， 小米YU7 全系标配700TOPS NVIDIA Thor芯片、激光雷达、4D 毫米波雷达、高清摄像头、超声 ...