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Nordstrom's Strategies Yield Results: Stock Gains 38.4% in a Year
ZACKS· 2025-04-16 15:55
Core Viewpoint - Nordstrom, Inc. has demonstrated strong stock performance, significantly outperforming the broader retail sector and S&P 500 index, while focusing on digital growth and operational efficiency to enhance customer engagement and profitability [1][10]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Nordstrom's shares have surged 38.4% over the past year, compared to a 12.9% increase in the Retail-Wholesale sector and a 9.3% rise in the S&P 500 index [1]. - The Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry has seen a decline of 7.9% in the same period [1]. Group 2: Strategic Focus - The company is enhancing its digital capabilities to drive growth and customer engagement, with a focus on Nordstrom banner growth and optimizing operations at Nordstrom Rack [2][3]. - Nordstrom aims to capitalize on its digital-first platform, expand its market share, and deliver profitable growth by focusing on key markets and enhancing digital capabilities [3][4]. Group 3: Operational Efficiency - The company is leveraging technology to streamline operations, improve inventory management, and provide a seamless shopping experience, with efforts to enhance order fulfillment speed [4]. - Nordstrom is working to improve Rack's productivity, reduce transportation costs and delivery times, and enhance services through faster delivery [5]. Group 4: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026 has seen upward revisions, reflecting positive sentiment around the stock [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimate for the current fiscal year has risen by 0.9% to $2.15, while the estimate for fiscal 2026 has increased by 3.5% to $2.37, indicating a year-over-year earnings dip of 0.9% for the current year and growth of 10.4% for the next [7]. Group 5: Valuation - Nordstrom stock is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 10.96, which is lower than the industry average of 13.77 and its median of 11.98, indicating an attractive valuation [9]. - The company holds a Value Score of A, further strengthening its investment appeal [9]. Group 6: Conclusion - Nordstrom's robust strategies, including strong momentum at the Rack banner and digital initiatives, position it for success, with confidence in brand strength and profitable growth [10].
Is Most-Watched Stock Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) Worth Betting on Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-15 14:00
Deckers (DECK) is one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com visitors lately. So, it might be a good idea to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock.Shares of this maker of Ugg footwear have returned -8.8% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -3.9% change. The Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which Deckers belongs, has lost 8.9% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?While media ...
GAP or ONON: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-14 16:45
Investors with an interest in Retail - Apparel and Shoes stocks have likely encountered both Gap (GAP) and On Holding (ONON) . But which of these two stocks presents investors with the better value opportunity right now? Let's take a closer look.Everyone has their own methods for finding great value opportunities, but our model includes pairing an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system with a strong Zacks Rank. The proven Zacks Rank emphasizes companies with positive estimate revi ...
Boot Barn (BOOT) Soars 12.8%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-04-10 12:10
Company Overview - Boot Barn (BOOT) shares increased by 12.8% to $103.69 in the last trading session, following a period of 9.5% loss over the past four weeks, indicating a significant recovery in stock performance [1][2] - The company is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.24 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 22.8%, with revenues projected at $458.18 million, an 18% rise from the previous year [3] Market Context - The recent rally in U.S. stocks was influenced by President Trump's announcement of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all nations except China, which is expected to boost consumer demand [2] - Boot Barn is positioned to benefit from this broad-based consumer demand, disciplined merchandising through full-price selling, and strategic store expansion [2] Earnings Estimates and Trends - The consensus EPS estimate for Boot Barn has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting stability in earnings expectations [4] - Trends in earnings estimate revisions are correlated with near-term stock price movements, indicating that monitoring these trends is crucial for assessing future stock performance [3][4] Industry Comparison - Boot Barn is part of the Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, where Foot Locker (FL) also operates. Foot Locker's stock closed 19% higher at $13.64, but has seen a -29.4% return over the past month [4] - Foot Locker's consensus EPS estimate has drastically changed by -90.2% over the past month, indicating significant challenges compared to Boot Barn's stable outlook [5]
Why Tapestry Could Be an Undervalued Gem: Key Insights for Investors
ZACKS· 2025-04-08 15:45
Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) is identified as a compelling value play in the Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry, trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 12.08, which is lower than the industry average of 13.61 and the Retail-Wholesale sector average of 20.75, indicating potential for attractive investment opportunities [1][3] - The company has a Value Score of A, enhancing its appeal as an investment option [1] Financial Performance - Coach, a key brand under Tapestry, reported an 11% increase in revenues for Q2 of fiscal 2025, with a 270-basis-point improvement in gross margin [5] - Tapestry's stock has surged 47.6% over the past year, significantly outperforming the broader industry, which declined 14%, and the S&P 500, which fell 2.1% during the same period [9] - The company has upgraded its fiscal 2025 revenue forecast to exceed $6.85 billion, reflecting a 3% year-over-year increase, surpassing the previous estimate of $6.75 billion [13] - Projected earnings per share (EPS) have been raised to a range of $4.85 to $4.90, indicating a 13-14% increase over the prior year [14] International Growth - Tapestry's international markets are crucial for revenue growth, with Europe experiencing a 42% year-over-year revenue increase [8] - Greater China saw a 2% rise in sales, while the Asia-Pacific region (excluding China) reported an 11% revenue increase, driven by strong performances in South Korea, Malaysia, Australia, and New Zealand [10] Digital and DTC Strategy - The company is investing in digital and direct-to-consumer (DTC) platforms, with DTC sales up 4% and profit margins improving across all distribution channels [11] - Tapestry is leveraging AI-driven customer engagement tools to enhance pricing precision and reduce reliance on discounting, appealing to younger consumers [12] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have positively revised Tapestry's earnings estimates, with the consensus estimate for the current fiscal year increased by 27 cents to $4.91 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 14.5% [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 sales is pegged at $6.87 billion, implying a 3% year-over-year growth [16] Overall Outlook - Tapestry is positioned as a strong investment opportunity in the retail and fashion space, with brand strength, global reach, and operational momentum, all at a modest valuation compared to industry peers [20]
Deckers (DECK) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for Investors
ZACKS· 2025-04-07 23:05
Company Performance - Deckers (DECK) closed at $106.13, with a slight increase of +0.1% from the previous session, outperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.23% [1] - Over the past month, Deckers' shares have declined by 16.34%, which is worse than the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 11.71% and the S&P 500's loss of 12.13% [1] Earnings Forecast - The upcoming earnings disclosure for Deckers is anticipated, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.55, representing a 33.73% decrease from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is forecasted to be $992.79 million, indicating a growth of 3.44% compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Analyst Estimates - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Deckers are crucial as they reflect changing business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable outlook on the company's health and profitability [3] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Deckers currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with a track record of superior performance, where 1 stocks have averaged an annual return of +25% since 1988 [5] - The Forward P/E ratio for Deckers is 16.07, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 12.51, and the PEG ratio stands at 1.06, compared to the industry average of 1.22 [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 168, placing it in the bottom 33% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
DECK Stock Declines 26% in a Month: Buy the Dip or Stay Away?
ZACKS· 2025-04-04 16:55
Company Performance - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) has experienced a significant decline in its stock price, dropping 25.9% over the past month, which is worse than the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry's decline of 7.9% and the S&P 500's decline of 3.3% [1][4] - The stock closed at $100.88, nearly 55% below its 52-week high of $223.98 reached on January 30, 2025, and is trading below its 50 and 200-day moving averages, indicating bearish sentiment [6][9] Revenue and Growth Challenges - The decline in DECK's stock price is attributed to slowing growth and increased competition in the footwear and accessories market, with revenue deceleration due to inventory constraints affecting key brands like UGG [4][13] - Management anticipates a 13.2% decline in UGG sales in the fourth quarter, contrasting with a 16.1% year-over-year growth in the third quarter, leading to an expected overall sales growth deceleration to 1% in the fourth quarter from 17.1% in the third quarter [14][16] Cost and Margin Pressures - SG&A expenses rose 24.9% year-over-year to $535.3 million in the fiscal third quarter, driven by increased marketing spend and an expanded workforce, which is expected to pressure the company's operating margin [17] - Increased markdowns and promotional activities, particularly for HOKA, along with higher freight costs and foreign exchange pressures, are anticipated to further impact profitability [16][17] Valuation Metrics - DECK is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/S ratio of 3.09, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.45 and the sector average of 1.50, indicating strong investor confidence but also heightening valuation risk [9][10] - Compared to peers, Boot Barn has a forward P/S of 1.56, Skechers at 0.73, and Adidas at 1.35, highlighting DECK's premium positioning [10] Long-term Growth Potential - Deckers is focusing on brand portfolio reinforcement through innovative product launches and optimized distribution strategies, with management guiding for a 15% year-over-year revenue growth to $4.9 billion for fiscal 2025 [18][19] - The company is expanding its international presence, particularly in high-potential markets like China, which is expected to contribute to long-term revenue growth [21] Direct-to-Consumer Segment - The direct-to-consumer (DTC) segment is a key growth driver, with DTC net sales increasing 17.9% to $1.01 billion in the fiscal third quarter, supported by strong digital performance and the expansion of flagship retail locations [22] - Enhanced omnichannel capabilities and loyalty initiatives are fueling customer acquisition and brand loyalty, positioning the company for sustained success [22]
Canada Goose (GOOS) Rises Higher Than Market: Key Facts
ZACKS· 2025-04-01 22:55
Company Performance - Canada Goose (GOOS) ended the latest trading session at $8.04, reflecting a +1.13% adjustment from the previous day's close, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.38% [1] - Over the past month, shares of Canada Goose have declined by 18.21%, which is significantly worse than the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 7.71% and the S&P 500's loss of 5.59% [1] Earnings Forecast - The upcoming earnings release for Canada Goose is anticipated to show an EPS of $0.16, indicating a growth of 14.29% compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $255.62 million, which represents a decrease of 3.74% from the year-ago period [2] Analyst Projections - Recent shifts in analyst projections for Canada Goose should be monitored, as positive estimate revisions can indicate optimism about the company's business outlook [3] Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose is currently trading with a Forward P/E ratio of 11.28, which is a discount compared to the industry's average Forward P/E of 14.13 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.76, while the industry average PEG ratio is 1.34 [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which includes Canada Goose, ranks 167 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the bottom 33% of all industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank evaluates the performance of distinct industry groups, indicating that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) Beats Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-01 22:15
Company Performance - Sportsman's Warehouse reported quarterly earnings of $0.04 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.08 per share, and showing improvement from a loss of $0.20 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 150% [1] - The company posted revenues of $340.4 million for the quarter ended January 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.87%, although this is a decline from year-ago revenues of $370.39 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, Sportsman's Warehouse has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance - Sportsman's Warehouse shares have declined approximately 62.8% since the beginning of the year, in contrast to the S&P 500's decline of 4.6% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.46 on revenues of $236.9 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$0.39 on revenues of $1.19 billion [7] Industry Outlook - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which Sportsman's Warehouse belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 33% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8] - The performance of Sportsman's Warehouse stock may be influenced by the overall outlook for the industry, as research indicates that the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1 [8]
TPR Stock Rises 54% in 6 Months: A Bullish Signal for Investors?
ZACKS· 2025-04-01 14:05
Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) has seen a significant stock price increase of 53.7% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry's decline of 14.6% [1] - The stock closed at $70.41, approaching its 52-week high of $90.85 reached on February 18, 2025 [2] - Tapestry's operational efficiency and growth initiatives have contributed to its strong performance compared to the broader Retail-Wholesale sector and the S&P 500 index [1] Performance Metrics - Tapestry's stock is trading above its 100-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $69.29 and $55.89, indicating a positive market sentiment [5] - Coach, a key brand for Tapestry, reported an 11% increase in revenues in Q2 of fiscal 2025, with a 270-basis-point improvement in gross margin [8] - Tapestry's international strategy has led to a 42% year-over-year revenue increase in Europe and a 2% growth in Greater China [11][12] Strategic Developments - Tapestry announced the sale of its Stuart Weitzman brand to Caleres for $105 million, focusing on its core brands, Coach and Kate Spade [9] - The company is enhancing its digital and direct-to-consumer strategies, with DTC sales rising 4% in Q2, driven by strong digital sales [13] - AI-powered customer engagement is improving pricing strategies and attracting younger consumers, solidifying Tapestry's market position [14] Financial Outlook - Tapestry has raised its full-year revenue forecast to exceed $6.85 billion, reflecting a 3% year-over-year increase [15] - The company expects a 100-basis-point improvement in operating margin and EPS forecasted between $4.85 and $4.90, indicating a 13-14% increase from the prior year [16] - Analysts have positively revised EPS estimates, with the current fiscal year consensus at $4.91 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 14.5% [19] Valuation Insights - Tapestry's forward 12-month P/E ratio is 13.53, lower than the industry average of 15.40 and the sector's 22.38, indicating potential undervaluation [17] - The company's Value Score of A highlights its attractiveness as an investment option [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tapestry's sales for the current and next fiscal years is projected at $6.87 billion and $7.11 billion, respectively, implying year-over-year growth of 3% and 3.4% [20]