舜宇光學短線操作：結合關鍵支撐阻力與衍生品部署 舜宇光學科技（02382.HK）的股價在2025年第四季度呈現顯著的弱勢格局。作為全球智能手機鏡頭及車載鏡頭的龍頭供應商，其股價表現與全球消費電子 復甦預期及智能汽車發展密切相關。截至12月30日，股價收報64.8元，儘管單日反彈2.21%，但綜合各項技術指標與市場新聞來看，短線趨勢仍面臨嚴峻挑 戰。今日（31日）股價報65.85元，升幅1.62%。 關鍵支撐與阻力位分析： * 上方阻力：短線反彈將面臨的第一道重要關口在 66.9元 附近，該位置與10日及30日均線接近，壓力顯著。若能突破，下一個更強的阻力位在 68.6元。 * 下方支撐：股價下方的初步支撐位於 63.2元。若此位置失守，則可能進一步下探 61元 的關鍵支撐區。對於多頭而言，守住63.2元並重新站上66.9元是扭轉 短期頹勢的必要條件。 | | | 市場觀點與新聞動態：基本面承壓與機構分歧加劇 舜宇光學近期的股價疲軟，與其業務基本面面臨的短期挑戰及機構投資者的看法轉變息息相關。最新出貨數據顯示，公司手機業務承受壓力。根據中金公司 12月25日發表的報告，舜宇光學2025年首兩個月的手機鏡頭和手機 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Sunny Optical has shown rebound momentum after finding solid support at 76.7 HKD, currently trading at 79.73 HKD, indicating a critical decision point for the stock [1] Technical Analysis - The stock is currently at a key decision point, with a resistance level at 84.5 HKD and a strong support at 70.2 HKD, providing clear risk reference for short-term operations [1] - The RSI is at 46, suggesting there is still ample room for upward movement, while multiple technical indicators signal a buy, including momentum oscillators and bullish power indicators [1] - However, MACD and Bollinger Bands maintain sell signals, indicating that the medium to long-term trend has not fully reversed [1] - The stock is oscillating between MA30 (83.32 HKD) and MA60 (81.09 HKD), which will be important references for short-term trends [1] - The 5-day volatility is at 7%, with a 55% probability of an upward movement, raising questions about whether Sunny Optical can break through the 83.32 HKD resistance in the short term [1] Derivative Products Performance - Recent performance of warrants related to Sunny Optical has shown significant leverage effects, with various products recording returns exceeding the underlying stock's 1.34% increase [3] - On October 20, warrants from Societe Generale and HSBC achieved approximately 6% gains, while JPMorgan's warrants reached a 7% return [3] Product Selection Strategy - For bullish investors, two warrants are highlighted: Societe Generale's warrant (13939) with a leverage of 6.9 times and a strike price of 89.5 HKD, and another from Barclays (15410) offering 7.7 times leverage with a strike price of 89.55 HKD [6] - For those preferring bull certificates, JPMorgan's (65073) and Barclays' (64719) products provide over 7 times actual leverage, suitable for higher risk tolerance investors [6] Bearish Strategy and Risk Management - Cautious investors can consider bearish tools, such as HSBC's put warrant (21077) and JPMorgan's put warrant (20409), both offering around 3.2 times leverage [8] - JPMorgan's bear certificate (65062) provides the highest leverage among similar products at 6.1 times, with a redemption price of 92 HKD [8] Short-term Product Considerations - Short-term products expiring in December are noted for their high leverage, potentially reaching 7 to 8 times, but they also carry significant time value decay risks [10][11] - Investors are advised to consider longer-term products expiring in April, which offer lower time value decay and are generally safer [13]