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国海证券晨会纪要-2025-03-31
Guohai Securities· 2025-03-31 01:39
Group 1: Key Insights from Reports - The report highlights that overseas growth remains strong, driven by both IP and product categories, with Pop Mart achieving a revenue of 13.04 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 106.9% [4][5] - The adjusted net profit for Pop Mart reached 3.4 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 185.9% [5][6] - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of 0.8146 RMB per share, totaling 1.094 billion RMB, which represents 35% of the net profit [6] Group 2: Company Performance and Growth - Xingtong Co. reported a revenue of 1.515 billion RMB in 2024, up 22% year-on-year, with a net profit of 350 million RMB, marking a 39% increase [12][13] - China Foreign Transport achieved a revenue of 105.621 billion RMB in 2024, a 3.9% increase, although net profit decreased by 7.2% to 3.918 billion RMB [16][17] - The company’s logistics and agency business volumes grew steadily, with contract logistics volume increasing by 4% and sea freight agency volume by 13% [17][18] Group 3: Industry Trends and Developments - The distributed energy storage demand is accelerating, with a focus on sodium battery solutions and new product iterations [21][24] - The report indicates that the global industrial storage market is entering a new growth phase, driven by economic viability and increasing backup power demands [24] - The wind power sector is experiencing a surge in component production, with significant increases in offshore wind projects expected in 2025 [25][26] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The report maintains a "buy" rating for Pop Mart, projecting revenues of 21.749 billion RMB, 30.671 billion RMB, and 38.205 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with adjusted net profits of 5.516 billion RMB, 8.026 billion RMB, and 9.974 billion RMB respectively [11] - Xingtong Co. is also rated as a "buy," with projected revenues of 1.943 billion RMB, 2.495 billion RMB, and 2.991 billion RMB for 2025-2027, alongside net profits of 417 million RMB, 494 million RMB, and 576 million RMB [15] - China Foreign Transport is expected to see revenues of 113.848 billion RMB, 118.386 billion RMB, and 122.636 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with net profits of 4.154 billion RMB, 4.300 billion RMB, and 4.429 billion RMB [20]