Core Viewpoint - The condom industry in China is experiencing a significant decline, with a market size projected at approximately 15.6 billion yuan in 2024, representing a 17% decrease year-on-year and a 19.2% decline compared to 2019 [8][9]. Group 1: Market Trends - The traditional logic of relationships has shifted from a sequence of dating, buying a house, getting married, and having children to a focus on individual well-being first [14]. - The number of single individuals in China has reached 297 million, accounting for 20.7% of the population, with 92 million living alone [16]. - The decline in condom sales is attributed to a decrease in intimate relationships, as many young people are choosing to remain single or delay marriage due to economic pressures and lifestyle preferences [15][18]. Group 2: Emerging Markets - As condom sales decline, the market for sexual wellness products is experiencing robust growth, with a projected market size of 194.21 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 8% year-on-year increase and over 60% growth since 2019 [22]. - The repurchase rate for adult products is high at 38%, with the average order frequency increasing from 2.1 times in 2021 to 5.3 times in 2024 [25]. - The demographic of consumers is shifting, with over 65% of purchases made by individuals born in the 1990s and 2000s, and female consumers accounting for 67% of sales in female-oriented products [25]. Group 3: Changing Consumer Behavior - The perception of sexual wellness products has evolved from being seen as taboo to being embraced as part of self-care and personal enjoyment [32]. - The shift from relationship-based intimacy to self-pleasure reflects a broader change in consumer values, emphasizing self-care and individual satisfaction over dependency on others [36][38]. - The decline in condom sales and the rise in sexual wellness products indicate a transformation in how intimacy and personal pleasure are perceived and consumed in modern society [26][32].

Core Insights - The condom industry in China is experiencing a significant decline, with the market size projected to be approximately 15.6 billion yuan in 2024, representing a 17% year-on-year decrease and a 19.2% drop compared to 2019 [3][6][12] - This decline is attributed to changing attitudes towards relationships and marriage among the younger generation, leading to a decrease in the need for condoms [4][5][6] Market Trends - The traditional pathway of relationships has shifted from "dating → buying a house → marriage → having children" to a focus on individual well-being first [5] - The number of single individuals in China has reached 297 million, accounting for 20.7% of the population, with 92 million living alone [6][7] - The active sexual life among the youngest demographic is reportedly the lowest, with a significant percentage of partnered individuals not engaging in sexual activity [7] Consumer Behavior - Economic pressures and lifestyle preferences are driving more young people to choose single living, with many prioritizing career and personal goals over relationships [9] - The rise of the adult product market is notable, with the market size expected to reach 194.21 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 8% year-on-year growth and over 60% growth since 2019 [12][16] - The purchasing behavior for adult products has shifted from occasional purchases to regular stocking, with a 90-day repurchase rate of 38% [16] Product Evolution - Adult products are increasingly viewed as essential for self-care rather than taboo items, with a focus on aesthetics and personal enjoyment [18][21] - The distinction between condom sales and adult product sales highlights a shift from relationship-based consumption to individual pleasure and self-satisfaction [21]